Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 21–24 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
20.0% |
18.5–21.7% |
18.1–22.2% |
17.7–22.6% |
17.0–23.4% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
13.2% |
11.9–14.7% |
11.6–15.1% |
11.3–15.5% |
10.7–16.2% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
11.3% |
10.1–12.7% |
9.8–13.0% |
9.5–13.4% |
8.9–14.1% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.0% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.4–11.0% |
7.0–11.6% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.7% |
6.3–9.1% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.2% |
5.9–8.6% |
5.7–8.8% |
5.3–9.4% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.2% |
4.0–7.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–5.9% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.8% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.8% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
6% |
99.0% |
|
28 |
8% |
93% |
|
29 |
18% |
84% |
|
30 |
18% |
67% |
Median |
31 |
20% |
49% |
|
32 |
21% |
29% |
|
33 |
2% |
8% |
Last Result |
34 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
35 |
4% |
5% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
10% |
99.4% |
|
18 |
5% |
89% |
|
19 |
34% |
84% |
Median |
20 |
21% |
49% |
|
21 |
11% |
28% |
|
22 |
9% |
17% |
|
23 |
7% |
8% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
2% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
15 |
18% |
98% |
|
16 |
9% |
80% |
|
17 |
14% |
71% |
|
18 |
23% |
57% |
Median |
19 |
32% |
34% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
12 |
21% |
97% |
|
13 |
30% |
76% |
Median |
14 |
14% |
46% |
|
15 |
13% |
31% |
|
16 |
10% |
19% |
|
17 |
8% |
9% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
10% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
21% |
89% |
|
13 |
40% |
69% |
Median |
14 |
15% |
29% |
|
15 |
8% |
14% |
|
16 |
2% |
5% |
|
17 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
18 |
2% |
2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
9 |
14% |
98.8% |
|
10 |
29% |
85% |
|
11 |
13% |
56% |
Median |
12 |
5% |
43% |
|
13 |
21% |
38% |
|
14 |
16% |
17% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
9 |
8% |
96% |
|
10 |
26% |
88% |
|
11 |
35% |
62% |
Median |
12 |
25% |
27% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
6 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
7 |
22% |
98% |
|
8 |
22% |
76% |
|
9 |
42% |
53% |
Median |
10 |
9% |
11% |
|
11 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
33% |
93% |
Last Result |
6 |
23% |
60% |
Median |
7 |
31% |
37% |
|
8 |
5% |
6% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
16% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
22% |
84% |
Last Result |
6 |
36% |
63% |
Median |
7 |
25% |
26% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
13% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
5 |
21% |
87% |
|
6 |
50% |
66% |
Median |
7 |
11% |
16% |
|
8 |
4% |
6% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
2 |
18% |
99.2% |
|
3 |
41% |
81% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
38% |
40% |
|
5 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
27% |
96% |
|
3 |
61% |
69% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
8% |
8% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
77 |
74% |
74–80 |
74–83 |
73–85 |
71–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
79 |
86% |
73–80 |
73–81 |
73–82 |
72–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
74 |
74 |
23% |
70–78 |
70–79 |
70–82 |
68–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
74 |
30% |
72–77 |
70–79 |
70–79 |
69–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
72 |
12% |
70–76 |
69–77 |
69–78 |
66–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
69 |
0.4% |
66–73 |
66–74 |
65–75 |
64–75 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
70 |
1.0% |
67–72 |
66–75 |
64–75 |
63–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
66 |
0% |
64–70 |
63–72 |
63–73 |
61–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
63 |
0% |
60–66 |
60–68 |
60–70 |
59–70 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
61 |
0% |
59–65 |
58–66 |
57–67 |
55–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
57 |
0% |
54–60 |
54–61 |
54–66 |
51–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
60 |
0% |
56–65 |
56–65 |
56–65 |
56–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
55 |
0% |
51–57 |
50–58 |
49–62 |
49–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
55 |
0% |
52–58 |
51–60 |
51–60 |
50–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
55 |
0% |
51–58 |
51–59 |
50–59 |
50–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
43 |
0% |
41–47 |
41–48 |
40–51 |
39–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
44 |
0% |
41–46 |
41–47 |
39–50 |
39–50 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
38 |
0% |
36–40 |
35–42 |
35–42 |
33–43 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
33 |
0% |
31–35 |
29–37 |
29–38 |
28–38 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
27 |
0% |
25–29 |
24–31 |
24–31 |
23–32 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
24 |
0% |
22–27 |
21–28 |
21–29 |
19–30 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
9% |
95% |
|
75 |
12% |
86% |
|
76 |
5% |
74% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
29% |
69% |
Last Result |
78 |
15% |
40% |
|
79 |
12% |
25% |
|
80 |
4% |
13% |
|
81 |
3% |
9% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
83 |
2% |
5% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
85 |
3% |
3% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
8% |
98% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
90% |
|
75 |
3% |
89% |
|
76 |
11% |
86% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
76% |
|
78 |
13% |
70% |
Median |
79 |
30% |
57% |
|
80 |
20% |
27% |
|
81 |
5% |
7% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
11% |
99.0% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
89% |
|
72 |
5% |
87% |
|
73 |
25% |
82% |
Median |
74 |
27% |
57% |
Last Result |
75 |
7% |
30% |
|
76 |
9% |
23% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
14% |
|
78 |
5% |
10% |
|
79 |
2% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
82 |
3% |
3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
1.5% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
7% |
98% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
72 |
7% |
91% |
|
73 |
25% |
84% |
Median |
74 |
13% |
59% |
|
75 |
16% |
46% |
|
76 |
5% |
30% |
Majority |
77 |
19% |
25% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
79 |
3% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
69 |
6% |
98.7% |
|
70 |
14% |
93% |
|
71 |
20% |
79% |
Median |
72 |
22% |
59% |
|
73 |
16% |
37% |
|
74 |
6% |
21% |
|
75 |
3% |
15% |
|
76 |
2% |
12% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
10% |
|
78 |
3% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
10% |
97% |
|
67 |
10% |
87% |
|
68 |
20% |
77% |
Median |
69 |
28% |
58% |
|
70 |
12% |
29% |
|
71 |
3% |
18% |
|
72 |
3% |
15% |
|
73 |
4% |
12% |
|
74 |
5% |
8% |
|
75 |
3% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
2% |
98% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
66 |
2% |
96% |
|
67 |
5% |
94% |
|
68 |
6% |
89% |
|
69 |
21% |
83% |
|
70 |
37% |
62% |
Median |
71 |
11% |
25% |
|
72 |
4% |
14% |
|
73 |
2% |
10% |
|
74 |
2% |
8% |
|
75 |
5% |
6% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
64 |
8% |
94% |
|
65 |
23% |
87% |
Median |
66 |
17% |
64% |
|
67 |
24% |
47% |
|
68 |
11% |
23% |
|
69 |
2% |
12% |
|
70 |
5% |
10% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
72 |
2% |
5% |
|
73 |
3% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
9% |
98.5% |
|
61 |
13% |
90% |
|
62 |
3% |
77% |
Median |
63 |
41% |
75% |
|
64 |
13% |
34% |
|
65 |
7% |
20% |
|
66 |
4% |
13% |
|
67 |
4% |
10% |
|
68 |
3% |
6% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
70 |
3% |
3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
55 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
57 |
2% |
98% |
|
58 |
2% |
96% |
|
59 |
7% |
94% |
|
60 |
14% |
87% |
|
61 |
31% |
73% |
Median |
62 |
24% |
42% |
|
63 |
2% |
17% |
|
64 |
4% |
15% |
|
65 |
6% |
11% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
6% |
Last Result |
67 |
5% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
54 |
10% |
98% |
|
55 |
5% |
89% |
|
56 |
32% |
83% |
Median |
57 |
5% |
51% |
|
58 |
16% |
46% |
|
59 |
18% |
29% |
|
60 |
6% |
11% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
5% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
66 |
3% |
3% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
10% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
9% |
90% |
|
58 |
2% |
81% |
|
59 |
6% |
80% |
|
60 |
34% |
74% |
Median |
61 |
8% |
40% |
|
62 |
6% |
32% |
|
63 |
6% |
26% |
|
64 |
2% |
20% |
|
65 |
17% |
18% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
2% |
96% |
|
51 |
16% |
95% |
|
52 |
7% |
78% |
|
53 |
4% |
71% |
|
54 |
15% |
67% |
Median |
55 |
23% |
52% |
|
56 |
12% |
30% |
|
57 |
11% |
18% |
|
58 |
2% |
7% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
62 |
3% |
3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
8% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
4% |
91% |
|
53 |
4% |
87% |
|
54 |
10% |
83% |
Median |
55 |
23% |
73% |
|
56 |
4% |
50% |
|
57 |
35% |
46% |
|
58 |
4% |
11% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
60 |
4% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
2% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
14% |
96% |
|
52 |
2% |
82% |
|
53 |
3% |
80% |
|
54 |
25% |
77% |
Median |
55 |
6% |
52% |
|
56 |
21% |
46% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
25% |
|
58 |
19% |
24% |
|
59 |
4% |
5% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
40 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
41 |
6% |
96% |
|
42 |
20% |
90% |
Last Result |
43 |
26% |
70% |
Median |
44 |
3% |
44% |
|
45 |
6% |
41% |
|
46 |
9% |
35% |
|
47 |
19% |
26% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
49 |
2% |
5% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
51 |
3% |
3% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
41 |
15% |
95% |
|
42 |
8% |
80% |
|
43 |
16% |
72% |
Median |
44 |
30% |
56% |
|
45 |
15% |
26% |
|
46 |
4% |
11% |
|
47 |
2% |
6% |
|
48 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
50 |
3% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
35 |
5% |
98% |
|
36 |
17% |
93% |
|
37 |
13% |
77% |
Median |
38 |
14% |
64% |
|
39 |
24% |
50% |
|
40 |
17% |
26% |
|
41 |
2% |
9% |
|
42 |
5% |
7% |
|
43 |
2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
29 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
30 |
2% |
94% |
|
31 |
16% |
92% |
|
32 |
25% |
76% |
Median |
33 |
30% |
50% |
Last Result |
34 |
5% |
20% |
|
35 |
9% |
15% |
|
36 |
2% |
7% |
|
37 |
2% |
5% |
|
38 |
3% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
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Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
24 |
3% |
98% |
|
25 |
21% |
95% |
|
26 |
14% |
74% |
Median |
27 |
31% |
61% |
|
28 |
17% |
30% |
Last Result |
29 |
3% |
12% |
|
30 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
31 |
8% |
8% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
21 |
9% |
99.1% |
|
22 |
20% |
90% |
|
23 |
13% |
70% |
|
24 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
25 |
8% |
50% |
|
26 |
9% |
41% |
|
27 |
28% |
33% |
|
28 |
2% |
5% |
|
29 |
3% |
3% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 21–24 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1028
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.83%