Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 26–29 July 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
20.1% |
18.6–21.8% |
18.2–22.3% |
17.8–22.7% |
17.1–23.5% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
12.0% |
10.7–13.4% |
10.4–13.7% |
10.1–14.1% |
9.6–14.8% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.2% |
9.1–11.5% |
8.8–11.9% |
8.5–12.2% |
8.0–12.9% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.3% |
8.6–11.7% |
8.3–12.0% |
7.8–12.7% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.0–9.8% |
6.7–10.1% |
6.3–10.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.1% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.6–8.7% |
5.2–9.3% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
4.2–7.0% |
3.9–7.5% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.4% |
3.5–5.7% |
3.4–5.9% |
3.0–6.4% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.7% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.2% |
1.7–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.3% |
1.3–3.7% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.2% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.9% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
28 |
3% |
98% |
|
29 |
13% |
96% |
|
30 |
32% |
83% |
|
31 |
15% |
51% |
Median |
32 |
30% |
36% |
|
33 |
0.7% |
6% |
Last Result |
34 |
2% |
5% |
|
35 |
3% |
3% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
15 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
16 |
24% |
95% |
|
17 |
14% |
71% |
|
18 |
26% |
57% |
Median |
19 |
8% |
31% |
|
20 |
20% |
23% |
|
21 |
2% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
14 |
15% |
96% |
Last Result |
15 |
36% |
81% |
Median |
16 |
34% |
45% |
|
17 |
5% |
11% |
|
18 |
3% |
6% |
|
19 |
3% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
14% |
98% |
|
14 |
35% |
84% |
Median |
15 |
21% |
49% |
|
16 |
10% |
28% |
|
17 |
11% |
17% |
|
18 |
5% |
6% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
2% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
6% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
10% |
94% |
|
13 |
16% |
83% |
|
14 |
31% |
68% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
36% |
|
16 |
30% |
30% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
10 |
7% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
27% |
92% |
|
12 |
15% |
64% |
Median |
13 |
22% |
49% |
|
14 |
24% |
27% |
|
15 |
3% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
17% |
97% |
|
10 |
34% |
80% |
Median |
11 |
36% |
45% |
|
12 |
5% |
9% |
|
13 |
3% |
4% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
21% |
97% |
|
8 |
30% |
76% |
Median |
9 |
32% |
47% |
|
10 |
13% |
14% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
5 |
36% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
6 |
17% |
63% |
Median |
7 |
16% |
47% |
|
8 |
30% |
31% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
41% |
93% |
Last Result |
6 |
42% |
51% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
10% |
|
8 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
11% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
5 |
50% |
89% |
Median |
6 |
12% |
39% |
|
7 |
21% |
27% |
|
8 |
5% |
6% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
19% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
35% |
80% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
43% |
46% |
|
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
37% |
92% |
|
2 |
54% |
55% |
Median |
3 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
80 |
98.6% |
77–83 |
77–84 |
76–85 |
74–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
79 |
90% |
75–81 |
75–82 |
74–85 |
72–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
77 |
88% |
75–80 |
73–81 |
73–82 |
72–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
74 |
73 |
21% |
72–77 |
69–78 |
69–78 |
69–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
73 |
8% |
70–75 |
67–76 |
67–77 |
67–78 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
70 |
3% |
69–75 |
68–75 |
67–76 |
65–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
69 |
0.2% |
67–72 |
63–73 |
63–74 |
63–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
66 |
0% |
64–70 |
62–71 |
62–71 |
61–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
64 |
0% |
62–67 |
62–68 |
60–71 |
58–71 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
63 |
0% |
60–66 |
59–67 |
59–69 |
57–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
63 |
0% |
61–66 |
58–68 |
58–68 |
58–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
60 |
0% |
56–62 |
56–63 |
56–63 |
54–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
58 |
0% |
55–61 |
55–62 |
55–63 |
53–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
57 |
0% |
54–60 |
53–60 |
52–63 |
51–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
55 |
0% |
53–59 |
53–60 |
53–61 |
51–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
45 |
0% |
43–48 |
42–49 |
42–49 |
41–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
46 |
0% |
42–46 |
41–47 |
40–49 |
39–49 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
42 |
0% |
38–43 |
37–44 |
37–45 |
36–47 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
35 |
0% |
32–39 |
32–39 |
31–39 |
30–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
27 |
0% |
25–29 |
25–30 |
25–32 |
23–33 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
30 |
0% |
26–31 |
25–32 |
25–32 |
24–34 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
76 |
2% |
98.6% |
Majority |
77 |
12% |
97% |
|
78 |
8% |
84% |
Median |
79 |
18% |
76% |
|
80 |
34% |
58% |
|
81 |
7% |
24% |
|
82 |
5% |
17% |
|
83 |
4% |
12% |
|
84 |
4% |
8% |
|
85 |
2% |
4% |
|
86 |
2% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
2% |
98% |
|
75 |
7% |
96% |
|
76 |
3% |
90% |
Majority |
77 |
14% |
86% |
Median |
78 |
19% |
72% |
|
79 |
25% |
54% |
|
80 |
19% |
29% |
|
81 |
5% |
10% |
|
82 |
2% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
85 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
7% |
99.4% |
|
74 |
2% |
93% |
|
75 |
3% |
91% |
|
76 |
32% |
88% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
30% |
56% |
Last Result |
78 |
5% |
26% |
|
79 |
3% |
22% |
|
80 |
13% |
19% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
82 |
3% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
71 |
2% |
92% |
|
72 |
4% |
91% |
|
73 |
42% |
87% |
Median |
74 |
18% |
45% |
Last Result |
75 |
6% |
27% |
|
76 |
10% |
21% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
11% |
|
78 |
4% |
6% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
6% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
69 |
2% |
93% |
|
70 |
2% |
91% |
|
71 |
31% |
89% |
Median |
72 |
6% |
57% |
|
73 |
28% |
51% |
|
74 |
5% |
23% |
|
75 |
11% |
19% |
|
76 |
5% |
8% |
Majority |
77 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
78 |
2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
68 |
3% |
97% |
|
69 |
7% |
94% |
Median |
70 |
38% |
87% |
|
71 |
7% |
49% |
|
72 |
13% |
43% |
|
73 |
4% |
30% |
|
74 |
3% |
26% |
|
75 |
19% |
23% |
|
76 |
2% |
3% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
78 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
66 |
2% |
93% |
|
67 |
3% |
91% |
|
68 |
19% |
88% |
Median |
69 |
42% |
69% |
|
70 |
6% |
27% |
|
71 |
9% |
22% |
|
72 |
7% |
12% |
|
73 |
2% |
5% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
7% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
2% |
93% |
|
64 |
2% |
91% |
|
65 |
4% |
89% |
|
66 |
46% |
85% |
Median |
67 |
6% |
38% |
|
68 |
13% |
33% |
|
69 |
8% |
20% |
|
70 |
4% |
12% |
|
71 |
5% |
7% |
|
72 |
2% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
62 |
14% |
96% |
|
63 |
13% |
83% |
Median |
64 |
25% |
70% |
|
65 |
28% |
45% |
|
66 |
5% |
17% |
|
67 |
2% |
12% |
|
68 |
5% |
10% |
|
69 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
71 |
3% |
3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
59 |
7% |
98% |
|
60 |
2% |
91% |
|
61 |
9% |
89% |
Median |
62 |
22% |
80% |
|
63 |
21% |
58% |
|
64 |
11% |
37% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
25% |
|
66 |
17% |
24% |
Last Result |
67 |
2% |
7% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
69 |
2% |
4% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
92% |
|
61 |
2% |
91% |
|
62 |
16% |
90% |
|
63 |
26% |
73% |
Median |
64 |
24% |
47% |
|
65 |
10% |
23% |
|
66 |
3% |
13% |
|
67 |
4% |
9% |
|
68 |
4% |
6% |
|
69 |
2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
56 |
15% |
98% |
|
57 |
2% |
83% |
|
58 |
5% |
81% |
|
59 |
11% |
77% |
Median |
60 |
28% |
66% |
|
61 |
20% |
38% |
Last Result |
62 |
9% |
18% |
|
63 |
7% |
9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
9% |
98% |
|
56 |
25% |
88% |
|
57 |
13% |
64% |
Median |
58 |
6% |
50% |
|
59 |
11% |
44% |
|
60 |
21% |
33% |
|
61 |
6% |
11% |
|
62 |
2% |
5% |
|
63 |
3% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
2% |
96% |
|
54 |
4% |
94% |
|
55 |
12% |
90% |
|
56 |
12% |
78% |
|
57 |
27% |
66% |
Median |
58 |
3% |
39% |
|
59 |
18% |
35% |
|
60 |
14% |
17% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
3% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
63 |
3% |
3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
53 |
14% |
99.0% |
|
54 |
14% |
85% |
|
55 |
25% |
72% |
Median |
56 |
5% |
47% |
|
57 |
18% |
42% |
|
58 |
6% |
24% |
|
59 |
12% |
18% |
|
60 |
3% |
6% |
|
61 |
2% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
8% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
91% |
|
44 |
21% |
90% |
|
45 |
19% |
69% |
Median |
46 |
21% |
50% |
|
47 |
6% |
28% |
|
48 |
13% |
22% |
|
49 |
7% |
9% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
40 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
41 |
4% |
96% |
|
42 |
3% |
92% |
Last Result |
43 |
18% |
90% |
|
44 |
5% |
71% |
|
45 |
8% |
66% |
Median |
46 |
52% |
59% |
|
47 |
4% |
7% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
49 |
3% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
8% |
99.4% |
|
38 |
3% |
92% |
|
39 |
2% |
88% |
|
40 |
12% |
87% |
Median |
41 |
15% |
75% |
|
42 |
39% |
59% |
|
43 |
15% |
21% |
|
44 |
2% |
6% |
|
45 |
2% |
3% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
32 |
11% |
97% |
|
33 |
17% |
86% |
Last Result |
34 |
5% |
69% |
Median |
35 |
20% |
64% |
|
36 |
14% |
44% |
|
37 |
6% |
30% |
|
38 |
4% |
24% |
|
39 |
18% |
20% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
25 |
9% |
98% |
|
26 |
25% |
89% |
Median |
27 |
24% |
63% |
|
28 |
24% |
39% |
|
29 |
6% |
15% |
|
30 |
5% |
9% |
|
31 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
32 |
3% |
4% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
25 |
8% |
99.1% |
|
26 |
2% |
91% |
|
27 |
15% |
90% |
|
28 |
20% |
74% |
Last Result, Median |
29 |
4% |
55% |
|
30 |
25% |
50% |
|
31 |
19% |
26% |
|
32 |
4% |
6% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
34 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 July 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1028
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.69%