Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 30 August–2 September 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
20.9% |
19.3–22.6% |
18.9–23.1% |
18.5–23.5% |
17.7–24.4% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.0% |
9.2–12.4% |
8.9–12.8% |
8.4–13.4% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
9.9% |
8.8–11.2% |
8.5–11.6% |
8.2–11.9% |
7.7–12.6% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.6% |
7.9–10.9% |
7.6–11.3% |
7.1–11.9% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.1% |
8.0–10.4% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.5–11.0% |
7.0–11.7% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.6% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.8–10.3% |
6.4–10.9% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.8–9.1% |
5.4–9.7% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.8% |
4.9–6.9% |
4.7–7.2% |
4.5–7.4% |
4.1–8.0% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.6–7.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.4% |
3.7–5.3% |
3.5–5.6% |
3.3–5.9% |
3.0–6.3% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.2–2.7% |
1.1–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
26% |
99.1% |
|
29 |
2% |
73% |
|
30 |
10% |
71% |
|
31 |
17% |
61% |
Median |
32 |
14% |
45% |
|
33 |
5% |
30% |
Last Result |
34 |
10% |
25% |
|
35 |
13% |
15% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
13 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
14 |
6% |
95% |
|
15 |
32% |
89% |
|
16 |
23% |
58% |
Median |
17 |
25% |
35% |
|
18 |
5% |
11% |
|
19 |
2% |
6% |
Last Result |
20 |
2% |
3% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
12% |
93% |
|
14 |
12% |
82% |
|
15 |
15% |
70% |
|
16 |
36% |
55% |
Median |
17 |
8% |
19% |
|
18 |
5% |
11% |
|
19 |
6% |
6% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
4% |
97% |
|
13 |
47% |
93% |
Median |
14 |
20% |
46% |
Last Result |
15 |
14% |
26% |
|
16 |
7% |
12% |
|
17 |
4% |
5% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
2% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
98% |
|
12 |
17% |
96% |
|
13 |
44% |
78% |
Median |
14 |
12% |
35% |
|
15 |
10% |
23% |
|
16 |
10% |
13% |
|
17 |
2% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
11% |
94% |
|
12 |
32% |
83% |
|
13 |
32% |
51% |
Median |
14 |
13% |
19% |
|
15 |
5% |
6% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
17% |
99.0% |
|
10 |
16% |
82% |
|
11 |
21% |
66% |
Median |
12 |
27% |
45% |
|
13 |
15% |
18% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
16 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
19% |
98% |
|
8 |
19% |
78% |
|
9 |
49% |
60% |
Median |
10 |
7% |
11% |
|
11 |
3% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
5% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
6 |
15% |
95% |
|
7 |
15% |
80% |
|
8 |
39% |
65% |
Median |
9 |
21% |
27% |
|
10 |
4% |
6% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
21% |
98% |
Last Result |
6 |
17% |
78% |
|
7 |
52% |
61% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
9% |
|
9 |
4% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
21% |
94% |
Last Result |
5 |
14% |
72% |
|
6 |
49% |
58% |
Median |
7 |
7% |
9% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
13% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
30% |
86% |
Last Result |
4 |
19% |
56% |
Median |
5 |
36% |
37% |
|
6 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
|
2 |
36% |
95% |
|
3 |
49% |
60% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
10% |
10% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
80 |
98% |
76–84 |
76–84 |
76–86 |
74–88 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
80 |
98% |
76–83 |
76–85 |
76–85 |
73–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
77 |
83% |
74–81 |
73–81 |
72–83 |
71–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
73 |
32% |
71–78 |
70–79 |
69–79 |
67–81 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
70 |
7% |
69–75 |
69–76 |
67–77 |
66–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
66 |
0.2% |
64–72 |
62–72 |
62–73 |
61–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
66 |
0.1% |
63–71 |
63–71 |
62–72 |
60–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
63 |
0% |
61–69 |
59–69 |
59–69 |
58–71 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
62 |
0% |
60–66 |
59–67 |
59–68 |
57–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
63 |
0% |
59–67 |
59–67 |
58–68 |
57–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
62 |
0% |
59–66 |
59–67 |
57–67 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
61 |
0% |
56–64 |
56–64 |
56–66 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
60 |
0% |
56–64 |
56–64 |
55–66 |
54–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
58 |
0% |
55–63 |
55–63 |
54–63 |
53–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
58 |
0% |
54–61 |
54–62 |
53–63 |
52–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
47 |
0% |
43–52 |
43–52 |
43–53 |
43–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
45 |
0% |
41–48 |
41–49 |
41–50 |
40–51 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
41 |
0% |
40–45 |
39–46 |
38–47 |
37–48 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
36 |
0% |
34–38 |
34–39 |
33–40 |
32–42 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
29 |
0% |
28–32 |
27–32 |
27–33 |
25–35 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
28 |
0% |
27–31 |
26–32 |
25–32 |
24–34 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
76 |
23% |
98% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
75% |
|
78 |
9% |
73% |
|
79 |
5% |
63% |
|
80 |
13% |
59% |
Median |
81 |
4% |
46% |
|
82 |
16% |
42% |
|
83 |
10% |
26% |
|
84 |
11% |
16% |
|
85 |
2% |
5% |
|
86 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
87 |
2% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
76 |
26% |
98% |
Majority |
77 |
1.4% |
72% |
|
78 |
7% |
71% |
|
79 |
9% |
64% |
|
80 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
81 |
13% |
46% |
|
82 |
14% |
34% |
|
83 |
12% |
20% |
|
84 |
2% |
8% |
|
85 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
86 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
2% |
96% |
|
74 |
5% |
94% |
|
75 |
7% |
89% |
|
76 |
32% |
83% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
51% |
Last Result |
78 |
9% |
45% |
Median |
79 |
8% |
36% |
|
80 |
6% |
28% |
|
81 |
18% |
22% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
84 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
70 |
5% |
97% |
|
71 |
27% |
92% |
|
72 |
7% |
65% |
|
73 |
16% |
58% |
|
74 |
9% |
42% |
Last Result, Median |
75 |
0.9% |
33% |
|
76 |
8% |
32% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
24% |
|
78 |
9% |
18% |
|
79 |
6% |
8% |
|
80 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
69 |
13% |
96% |
|
70 |
56% |
83% |
|
71 |
9% |
28% |
Median |
72 |
3% |
19% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
16% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
15% |
|
75 |
7% |
14% |
|
76 |
2% |
7% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
4% |
|
78 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
62 |
7% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
2% |
92% |
|
64 |
2% |
90% |
|
65 |
2% |
88% |
|
66 |
38% |
87% |
|
67 |
13% |
49% |
|
68 |
5% |
36% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
31% |
|
70 |
2% |
29% |
|
71 |
5% |
26% |
|
72 |
19% |
21% |
|
73 |
2% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
62 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
63 |
25% |
96% |
|
64 |
2% |
71% |
|
65 |
16% |
69% |
|
66 |
5% |
53% |
|
67 |
13% |
48% |
Median |
68 |
9% |
35% |
|
69 |
8% |
26% |
|
70 |
6% |
18% |
|
71 |
9% |
12% |
|
72 |
2% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
59 |
7% |
98.7% |
|
60 |
1.4% |
92% |
|
61 |
24% |
91% |
|
62 |
11% |
67% |
|
63 |
11% |
55% |
|
64 |
11% |
45% |
Median |
65 |
4% |
34% |
|
66 |
6% |
29% |
|
67 |
2% |
24% |
|
68 |
7% |
21% |
|
69 |
13% |
14% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
59 |
6% |
98.8% |
|
60 |
3% |
93% |
|
61 |
36% |
90% |
|
62 |
21% |
53% |
Median |
63 |
11% |
32% |
|
64 |
3% |
21% |
|
65 |
5% |
17% |
|
66 |
6% |
12% |
Last Result |
67 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
68 |
4% |
5% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
29% |
96% |
|
60 |
3% |
67% |
|
61 |
5% |
64% |
|
62 |
4% |
59% |
|
63 |
7% |
55% |
Median |
64 |
21% |
48% |
|
65 |
3% |
26% |
|
66 |
11% |
23% |
|
67 |
9% |
12% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
70 |
2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
98% |
Last Result |
58 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
59 |
9% |
96% |
|
60 |
25% |
87% |
|
61 |
5% |
62% |
|
62 |
21% |
56% |
Median |
63 |
3% |
35% |
|
64 |
6% |
32% |
|
65 |
10% |
26% |
|
66 |
8% |
17% |
|
67 |
6% |
8% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
24% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
2% |
76% |
|
58 |
3% |
74% |
|
59 |
2% |
71% |
|
60 |
9% |
69% |
Median |
61 |
14% |
60% |
Last Result |
62 |
9% |
46% |
|
63 |
14% |
37% |
|
64 |
19% |
23% |
|
65 |
2% |
5% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
56 |
24% |
97% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
73% |
|
58 |
11% |
72% |
|
59 |
4% |
61% |
|
60 |
15% |
57% |
Median |
61 |
11% |
41% |
|
62 |
8% |
30% |
|
63 |
6% |
22% |
|
64 |
13% |
17% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
66 |
2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
98% |
Last Result |
55 |
24% |
97% |
|
56 |
9% |
73% |
|
57 |
13% |
64% |
|
58 |
2% |
52% |
Median |
59 |
9% |
49% |
|
60 |
14% |
40% |
|
61 |
7% |
25% |
|
62 |
2% |
18% |
|
63 |
14% |
16% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
3% |
98% |
|
54 |
25% |
96% |
|
55 |
10% |
70% |
|
56 |
4% |
60% |
|
57 |
2% |
55% |
Median |
58 |
10% |
53% |
|
59 |
19% |
43% |
|
60 |
11% |
24% |
|
61 |
7% |
13% |
Last Result |
62 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
63 |
3% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
25% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
2% |
74% |
|
45 |
2% |
72% |
|
46 |
9% |
71% |
|
47 |
16% |
62% |
Median |
48 |
16% |
46% |
|
49 |
4% |
31% |
|
50 |
7% |
27% |
|
51 |
7% |
20% |
|
52 |
10% |
13% |
Last Result |
53 |
2% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
25% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
1.4% |
74% |
Last Result |
43 |
7% |
73% |
|
44 |
16% |
66% |
Median |
45 |
5% |
50% |
|
46 |
9% |
45% |
|
47 |
19% |
36% |
|
48 |
10% |
17% |
|
49 |
2% |
6% |
|
50 |
4% |
5% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
39 |
5% |
96% |
|
40 |
11% |
91% |
|
41 |
39% |
80% |
|
42 |
4% |
41% |
Median |
43 |
8% |
37% |
|
44 |
16% |
29% |
|
45 |
8% |
13% |
|
46 |
2% |
6% |
|
47 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
3% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
34 |
8% |
96% |
|
35 |
34% |
88% |
|
36 |
27% |
54% |
Median |
37 |
12% |
27% |
|
38 |
8% |
16% |
|
39 |
4% |
8% |
|
40 |
2% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
5% |
98% |
|
28 |
27% |
93% |
Last Result |
29 |
30% |
65% |
Median |
30 |
7% |
36% |
|
31 |
11% |
29% |
|
32 |
13% |
17% |
|
33 |
2% |
4% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
24 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
26 |
6% |
97% |
|
27 |
11% |
91% |
|
28 |
42% |
80% |
|
29 |
16% |
37% |
Median |
30 |
6% |
22% |
|
31 |
9% |
16% |
|
32 |
6% |
7% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 30 August–2 September 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.87%