Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 15 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 17.3% 15.8–19.0% 15.4–19.4% 15.0–19.9% 14.3–20.7%
GroenLinks 9.1% 12.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.3–13.8% 10.0–14.2% 9.5–14.9%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 10.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.2–12.0% 7.7–12.7%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 9.3% 8.2–10.7% 7.9–11.0% 7.7–11.4% 7.1–12.0%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 8.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.3–10.4% 7.1–10.7% 6.6–11.3%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 8.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.3–10.4% 7.1–10.7% 6.6–11.3%
Democraten 66 12.2% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.4–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 6.7% 5.8–7.9% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.5% 4.9–9.1%
50Plus 3.1% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.4% 4.6–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 5.4% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–7.0% 3.7–7.5%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.7%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.9% 1.5–4.3%
DENK 2.1% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 26 23–29 23–29 22–31 21–31
GroenLinks 14 17 15–21 15–23 15–23 13–23
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 15 13–16 12–18 12–19 12–19
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 15 12–16 12–16 11–17 11–17
Partij van de Arbeid 9 15 12–17 12–17 11–17 10–17
Forum voor Democratie 2 12 10–15 10–16 9–16 9–18
Democraten 66 19 11 9–13 9–14 9–15 9–16
Socialistische Partij 14 10 8–13 8–13 8–13 7–14
50Plus 4 9 8–10 7–11 7–12 6–12
ChristenUnie 5 8 7–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Partij voor de Dieren 5 7 6–8 5–9 5–9 5–10
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 4 3–5 3–5 2–6 2–6
DENK 3 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–3

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 1.4% 99.9%  
22 1.4% 98%  
23 10% 97%  
24 22% 87%  
25 5% 65%  
26 25% 60% Median
27 16% 35%  
28 6% 20%  
29 9% 13%  
30 0.9% 5%  
31 3% 4%  
32 0.4% 0.5%  
33 0% 0.1% Last Result
34 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.7% 100%  
14 0.9% 99.3% Last Result
15 20% 98%  
16 4% 78%  
17 34% 74% Median
18 17% 41%  
19 5% 23%  
20 5% 18%  
21 5% 13%  
22 1.0% 8%  
23 7% 7%  
24 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 8% 99.5%  
13 14% 92%  
14 16% 78%  
15 44% 62% Median
16 8% 18%  
17 3% 9%  
18 3% 6%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 4% 99.8%  
12 18% 96%  
13 4% 78%  
14 21% 74%  
15 9% 53% Median
16 42% 44%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100% Last Result
10 1.0% 99.9%  
11 4% 98.8%  
12 17% 95%  
13 11% 78%  
14 14% 67%  
15 18% 53% Median
16 19% 35%  
17 16% 17%  
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 3% 100%  
10 17% 97%  
11 7% 80%  
12 23% 73% Median
13 8% 49%  
14 20% 42%  
15 16% 22%  
16 4% 6%  
17 0.7% 2%  
18 0.7% 0.9%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 17% 99.7%  
10 6% 83%  
11 35% 77% Median
12 29% 41%  
13 4% 12%  
14 4% 9%  
15 3% 5%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.1% 99.8%  
8 13% 98.7%  
9 28% 86%  
10 35% 58% Median
11 5% 24%  
12 4% 19%  
13 13% 15%  
14 2% 2% Last Result
15 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.1% 99.9%  
7 4% 98.8%  
8 21% 95%  
9 24% 74% Median
10 42% 50%  
11 5% 8%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.7% 100% Last Result
6 9% 99.3%  
7 30% 91%  
8 20% 61% Median
9 36% 41%  
10 4% 5%  
11 0.6% 0.8%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 7% 99.7% Last Result
6 37% 93%  
7 38% 57% Median
8 13% 18%  
9 5% 5%  
10 0.5% 0.6%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 4% 99.7%  
3 11% 96% Last Result
4 43% 84% Median
5 37% 42%  
6 4% 4%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 39% 51% Median
2 10% 12%  
3 2% 2% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 90 77 66% 73–81 73–83 72–84 71–85
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 80 76 51% 71–80 71–81 70–81 68–83
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 85 75 35% 69–77 68–78 68–80 66–82
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 72 15% 68–76 66–77 66–77 66–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 67 0.1% 64–73 62–73 62–73 62–75
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 67 0% 61–72 59–72 59–72 58–74
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 66 66 0% 62–68 61–69 60–71 59–74
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 62 0% 57–67 55–68 55–68 54–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 60 0% 55–63 55–64 54–67 54–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 57 0% 53–62 51–64 51–64 51–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 56 0% 51–58 50–58 50–60 49–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 54 0% 48–59 48–59 48–60 47–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 52 0% 49–57 47–60 47–60 47–60
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 52 0% 48–56 47–57 47–58 45–58
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 61 52 0% 48–54 47–54 47–57 45–58
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 40 0% 35–45 35–45 35–46 35–46
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 47 40 0% 36–44 36–44 34–45 33–45
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 40 0% 36–43 36–43 36–44 34–46
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 39 0% 33–40 31–40 31–40 30–40
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 30 0% 25–33 24–33 23–33 21–33
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 26 0% 23–27 22–28 22–29 21–33

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.8% 99.9%  
72 3% 99.1%  
73 8% 96%  
74 17% 89%  
75 5% 72%  
76 3% 66% Majority
77 16% 63% Median
78 11% 47%  
79 15% 36%  
80 8% 21%  
81 6% 13%  
82 2% 7%  
83 0.4% 5%  
84 4% 5%  
85 0.5% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.5% 100%  
69 1.2% 99.5%  
70 2% 98%  
71 10% 96%  
72 0.7% 86%  
73 4% 86%  
74 10% 82%  
75 21% 73%  
76 6% 51% Median, Majority
77 16% 46%  
78 17% 30%  
79 2% 13%  
80 1.4% 11% Last Result
81 8% 9%  
82 0.5% 1.1%  
83 0.6% 0.6%  
84 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 2% 99.6%  
67 0.2% 98%  
68 8% 98%  
69 4% 90%  
70 7% 86%  
71 4% 79%  
72 3% 75%  
73 5% 72%  
74 5% 67%  
75 27% 63% Median
76 12% 35% Majority
77 16% 23%  
78 5% 8%  
79 0.3% 3%  
80 0.3% 3%  
81 0.2% 2%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0% 99.8%  
66 8% 99.7%  
67 2% 92%  
68 2% 90%  
69 4% 88%  
70 9% 84%  
71 23% 76%  
72 17% 53% Median
73 3% 35%  
74 15% 33%  
75 2% 17%  
76 6% 15% Majority
77 7% 9% Last Result
78 0.3% 2%  
79 0.6% 2%  
80 1.1% 1.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 7% 99.8%  
63 2% 92%  
64 2% 90%  
65 6% 88%  
66 7% 82%  
67 31% 75%  
68 8% 44% Median
69 14% 36%  
70 5% 22%  
71 5% 17%  
72 1.2% 12%  
73 9% 11%  
74 0.6% 2% Last Result
75 1.3% 1.4%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.7% 100%  
59 8% 99.3%  
60 0.4% 91%  
61 2% 91% Last Result
62 3% 89%  
63 2% 86%  
64 3% 85%  
65 3% 81%  
66 22% 78% Median
67 23% 56%  
68 5% 33%  
69 14% 28%  
70 1.4% 14%  
71 2% 13%  
72 9% 11%  
73 0.2% 1.3%  
74 1.1% 1.1%  
75 0% 0%  

GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 1.2% 99.7%  
60 1.5% 98.5%  
61 7% 97%  
62 4% 90%  
63 12% 86%  
64 4% 74%  
65 3% 70%  
66 17% 67% Last Result, Median
67 16% 49%  
68 27% 33%  
69 1.0% 5%  
70 0.8% 4%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.5% 1.3%  
73 0.2% 0.8%  
74 0.2% 0.6%  
75 0.4% 0.4%  
76 0% 0% Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 1.1% 100%  
55 7% 98.9%  
56 1.1% 91%  
57 1.4% 90%  
58 1.4% 89% Last Result
59 2% 87%  
60 4% 85%  
61 3% 81%  
62 31% 78% Median
63 11% 46%  
64 19% 36%  
65 4% 17%  
66 2% 13%  
67 1.5% 11%  
68 8% 9%  
69 1.1% 1.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 2% 99.6%  
55 11% 97%  
56 6% 87%  
57 5% 80%  
58 3% 75%  
59 19% 72%  
60 18% 54% Median
61 14% 36%  
62 3% 22%  
63 13% 19%  
64 3% 7%  
65 0.5% 4%  
66 0.9% 3%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.4% 0.5%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 8% 99.7%  
52 0.7% 92%  
53 2% 91%  
54 8% 89%  
55 1.3% 80%  
56 18% 79%  
57 26% 61% Last Result, Median
58 4% 36%  
59 3% 32%  
60 15% 28%  
61 2% 13%  
62 2% 11%  
63 0.4% 9%  
64 9% 9%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.4% 99.8%  
50 9% 99.4%  
51 7% 91%  
52 3% 84%  
53 20% 81%  
54 3% 61%  
55 3% 58%  
56 8% 55% Median
57 31% 47%  
58 11% 15%  
59 1.4% 5%  
60 1.3% 3%  
61 0.6% 2%  
62 1.1% 1.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0% 99.8%  
46 0.2% 99.8%  
47 2% 99.6%  
48 8% 98%  
49 0.9% 90%  
50 2% 89%  
51 4% 87%  
52 10% 83%  
53 3% 73%  
54 22% 70%  
55 4% 48%  
56 2% 43% Median
57 11% 42%  
58 11% 31%  
59 17% 20%  
60 0.5% 3%  
61 2% 2% Last Result
62 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 9% 99.9%  
48 1.2% 91%  
49 2% 90%  
50 3% 88%  
51 5% 85%  
52 34% 80%  
53 8% 46% Median
54 3% 37% Last Result
55 17% 34%  
56 6% 17%  
57 1.0% 11%  
58 1.0% 10%  
59 2% 9%  
60 7% 7%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.3% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.7%  
46 2% 99.4%  
47 7% 98%  
48 7% 90%  
49 5% 84%  
50 21% 78%  
51 5% 57%  
52 13% 53% Median
53 17% 40%  
54 5% 24%  
55 5% 18%  
56 8% 13%  
57 2% 5%  
58 3% 3%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.6% 99.6%  
46 0.3% 98.9%  
47 6% 98.6%  
48 9% 93%  
49 3% 84%  
50 8% 81%  
51 13% 73%  
52 29% 60% Median
53 3% 31%  
54 22% 27%  
55 2% 5%  
56 0.3% 3%  
57 0.7% 3%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.7%  
35 10% 99.5%  
36 1.1% 90%  
37 6% 89%  
38 22% 83%  
39 4% 60%  
40 7% 56%  
41 3% 49% Median
42 17% 46%  
43 14% 29%  
44 3% 15%  
45 9% 13%  
46 3% 4%  
47 0.3% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.6% 99.8%  
34 3% 99.2%  
35 0.7% 97%  
36 6% 96%  
37 10% 90%  
38 7% 80%  
39 15% 73%  
40 12% 58%  
41 5% 46% Median
42 21% 41%  
43 1.2% 20%  
44 15% 18%  
45 3% 4%  
46 0% 0.4%  
47 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 1.1% 99.7%  
35 1.1% 98.7%  
36 11% 98%  
37 3% 87%  
38 7% 84%  
39 3% 77%  
40 27% 73%  
41 11% 47% Median
42 13% 35% Last Result
43 20% 23%  
44 0.2% 3%  
45 0.1% 2%  
46 2% 2%  
47 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0.7% 99.9%  
31 5% 99.2%  
32 4% 94%  
33 9% 90% Last Result
34 7% 81%  
35 10% 74%  
36 7% 63%  
37 2% 57%  
38 4% 55% Median
39 23% 50%  
40 27% 27%  
41 0.2% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9%  
22 0.2% 99.4%  
23 2% 99.2%  
24 3% 97%  
25 10% 94%  
26 10% 84%  
27 5% 74%  
28 10% 69% Last Result
29 3% 59%  
30 25% 56% Median
31 15% 31%  
32 1.1% 16%  
33 15% 15%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.4% 99.7%  
22 8% 99.4%  
23 3% 92%  
24 11% 89%  
25 17% 78%  
26 22% 61% Median
27 30% 39%  
28 4% 9%  
29 3% 5%  
30 0.4% 2%  
31 0.5% 2%  
32 0.3% 1.2%  
33 0.8% 0.9%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations