Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 20–23 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 21.1% 19.5–22.8% 19.1–23.3% 18.7–23.7% 17.9–24.6%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Democraten 66 12.2% 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
GroenLinks 9.1% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.7–11.4% 7.2–12.0%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
50Plus 3.1% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.0–3.3%
DENK 2.1% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 32 28–36 28–36 28–36 28–37
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 17 14–19 13–19 13–19 12–20
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 16 13–17 12–17 12–18 11–19
Democraten 66 19 15 13–17 13–17 12–18 11–19
GroenLinks 14 14 12–16 12–17 11–18 10–18
Partij van de Arbeid 9 14 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–17
Forum voor Democratie 2 10 9–12 9–13 8–14 7–15
Socialistische Partij 14 8 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–13
ChristenUnie 5 8 6–9 6–9 5–10 5–10
Partij voor de Dieren 5 6 4–8 4–8 4–9 4–9
50Plus 4 6 4–7 4–8 4–8 4–8
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 3 2–4 2–4 1–4 1–5
DENK 3 2 1–2 1–3 1–3 0–3

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.3% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.6%  
28 12% 99.5%  
29 5% 88%  
30 15% 83%  
31 8% 69%  
32 15% 60% Median
33 10% 46% Last Result
34 12% 36%  
35 15% 25%  
36 9% 10%  
37 1.1% 1.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.5% 100%  
13 6% 99.4%  
14 10% 94%  
15 12% 84%  
16 21% 72%  
17 21% 51% Median
18 9% 30%  
19 19% 21%  
20 2% 2% Last Result
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 2% 99.8%  
12 6% 98%  
13 3% 92%  
14 12% 89%  
15 24% 77%  
16 15% 53% Median
17 35% 38%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.3% 100%  
12 2% 98.7%  
13 10% 96%  
14 28% 86%  
15 23% 58% Median
16 15% 35%  
17 16% 20%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.9% 1.1% Last Result
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.1% 100%  
11 2% 98.9%  
12 30% 97%  
13 12% 67%  
14 24% 55% Last Result, Median
15 13% 31%  
16 9% 18%  
17 5% 9%  
18 5% 5%  
19 0% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.9% 100% Last Result
10 5% 99.1%  
11 13% 94%  
12 19% 81%  
13 9% 62%  
14 21% 53% Median
15 26% 32%  
16 0.9% 6%  
17 5% 5%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.4% 100%  
8 2% 98.6%  
9 35% 97%  
10 24% 62% Median
11 24% 38%  
12 5% 14%  
13 7% 9%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.9% 0.9%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.4% 100%  
7 11% 98.6%  
8 37% 87% Median
9 25% 50%  
10 19% 24%  
11 4% 5%  
12 1.1% 2%  
13 0.6% 0.6%  
14 0% 0% Last Result

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 4% 99.7% Last Result
6 16% 96%  
7 25% 80%  
8 32% 55% Median
9 19% 23%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 12% 99.9%  
5 24% 88% Last Result
6 26% 64% Median
7 19% 38%  
8 16% 19%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0.1% 0.3%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.4% 100%  
4 21% 99.6% Last Result
5 28% 79%  
6 35% 51% Median
7 11% 16%  
8 5% 5%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 32% 97%  
3 48% 65% Last Result, Median
4 15% 17%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 41% 99.0%  
2 50% 58% Median
3 8% 8% Last Result
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 84 99.7% 80–87 78–89 77–91 77–91
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 84 99.6% 79–89 78–89 77–89 76–89
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 77 73% 72–81 71–81 71–82 71–83
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 74 41% 70–79 69–79 69–79 68–81
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 80 74 34% 70–78 67–78 67–78 65–78
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 69 3% 66–75 65–75 65–77 64–77
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 67 0% 62–70 62–71 61–71 60–73
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 66 0% 60–70 60–70 59–70 58–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 64 0% 60–68 59–68 59–68 58–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 64 0% 59–68 59–68 58–68 57–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 62 0% 59–67 58–67 57–67 56–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 61 0% 56–66 56–66 55–66 53–66
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 61 0% 56–64 56–64 55–65 54–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 61 0% 56–64 55–65 54–65 54–66
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 58 0% 53–62 53–62 53–62 52–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 47 0% 44–52 44–52 43–52 41–53
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 45 0% 42–49 40–49 40–49 39–51
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 47 44 0% 40–48 39–48 38–48 38–49
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 37 0% 33–40 33–40 32–40 29–40
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 31 0% 27–33 27–34 26–34 24–35
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 29 0% 26–32 25–32 24–32 23–32

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.7% Majority
77 4% 99.6%  
78 0.6% 95%  
79 4% 95%  
80 2% 90%  
81 4% 88%  
82 9% 84%  
83 20% 75%  
84 11% 55%  
85 11% 45% Median
86 7% 34%  
87 21% 27%  
88 0.6% 6%  
89 1.2% 5%  
90 0.9% 4% Last Result
91 3% 3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.3% 99.9%  
76 0.8% 99.6% Majority
77 3% 98.8%  
78 3% 96%  
79 11% 93%  
80 3% 82%  
81 11% 79%  
82 10% 68%  
83 4% 58%  
84 23% 54%  
85 3% 31% Last Result, Median
86 2% 28%  
87 4% 26%  
88 3% 22%  
89 19% 19%  
90 0.3% 0.3%  
91 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 6% 99.9%  
72 4% 94%  
73 1.3% 90%  
74 3% 89%  
75 12% 85%  
76 15% 73% Majority
77 13% 59% Last Result
78 3% 45% Median
79 14% 43%  
80 16% 29%  
81 10% 13%  
82 0.9% 3%  
83 1.4% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.6% 99.9%  
69 5% 99.3%  
70 6% 94%  
71 1.3% 88%  
72 13% 87%  
73 13% 73%  
74 14% 60% Last Result
75 4% 46% Median
76 14% 41% Majority
77 14% 27%  
78 2% 13%  
79 9% 11%  
80 0.2% 2%  
81 1.3% 2%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.5% 99.9%  
66 1.1% 99.5%  
67 6% 98%  
68 0.2% 92%  
69 1.4% 92%  
70 1.3% 90%  
71 5% 89%  
72 9% 84%  
73 14% 75%  
74 21% 61%  
75 6% 40% Median
76 18% 34% Majority
77 3% 16%  
78 13% 13%  
79 0.1% 0.5%  
80 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 1.4% 99.6%  
65 7% 98%  
66 5% 91%  
67 18% 86%  
68 4% 67%  
69 16% 64%  
70 4% 48%  
71 2% 44% Median
72 5% 42%  
73 11% 37%  
74 11% 26%  
75 12% 15%  
76 0.5% 3% Last Result, Majority
77 3% 3%  
78 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.3% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.7%  
60 2% 99.6%  
61 2% 98% Last Result
62 16% 96%  
63 2% 80%  
64 12% 78%  
65 12% 66%  
66 4% 54%  
67 4% 51% Median
68 20% 46%  
69 11% 27%  
70 9% 15%  
71 4% 6%  
72 0.4% 2%  
73 1.2% 1.3%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.7%  
58 0.4% 99.6%  
59 2% 99.2%  
60 7% 97%  
61 1.2% 90%  
62 8% 89%  
63 6% 81%  
64 14% 75%  
65 9% 61%  
66 23% 51% Last Result
67 5% 29% Median
68 10% 24%  
69 3% 13%  
70 10% 10%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 1.4% 99.7%  
59 6% 98%  
60 5% 92%  
61 5% 88%  
62 8% 83%  
63 20% 75%  
64 15% 55%  
65 2% 40% Median
66 13% 38%  
67 2% 25%  
68 21% 23%  
69 1.0% 2%  
70 0.5% 1.0%  
71 0.4% 0.4%  
72 0% 0.1% Last Result
73 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.4% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.6%  
58 3% 99.3% Last Result
59 11% 96%  
60 6% 85%  
61 11% 79%  
62 14% 68%  
63 4% 54%  
64 6% 51% Median
65 15% 44%  
66 13% 30%  
67 2% 17%  
68 14% 15%  
69 0.3% 0.9%  
70 0.3% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.3% 100%  
56 2% 99.7%  
57 1.1% 98%  
58 3% 97%  
59 17% 94%  
60 7% 77%  
61 17% 70%  
62 4% 53%  
63 5% 49% Median
64 6% 44%  
65 5% 38%  
66 19% 33%  
67 13% 14%  
68 0.5% 0.8%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1% Last Result
72 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.5% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.4%  
55 3% 99.2%  
56 6% 96%  
57 11% 90%  
58 2% 79%  
59 12% 76%  
60 7% 64%  
61 12% 57% Last Result
62 17% 45% Median
63 5% 28%  
64 1.5% 23%  
65 2% 21%  
66 19% 19%  
67 0.4% 0.4%  
68 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.7%  
54 1.4% 99.7%  
55 2% 98%  
56 11% 96%  
57 7% 85% Last Result
58 9% 79%  
59 10% 69%  
60 4% 60%  
61 6% 55% Median
62 9% 49%  
63 8% 40%  
64 28% 32%  
65 1.1% 4%  
66 1.1% 2%  
67 1.2% 1.4%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.3% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.7%  
54 3% 99.6%  
55 3% 97%  
56 10% 94%  
57 3% 84%  
58 4% 82%  
59 12% 77%  
60 13% 65%  
61 8% 52% Last Result, Median
62 14% 44%  
63 19% 30%  
64 1.2% 11%  
65 8% 10%  
66 1.4% 2%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.3% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.7%  
52 2% 99.6%  
53 13% 98%  
54 9% 86% Last Result
55 7% 77%  
56 3% 70%  
57 11% 67%  
58 10% 55% Median
59 2% 46%  
60 9% 44%  
61 23% 34%  
62 10% 11%  
63 0.6% 2%  
64 0.9% 1.1%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.3% 100%  
41 0.5% 99.7%  
42 0.4% 99.2%  
43 3% 98.8%  
44 16% 95%  
45 17% 80%  
46 8% 63%  
47 5% 55%  
48 5% 50% Median
49 8% 45%  
50 7% 37%  
51 15% 29%  
52 14% 14% Last Result
53 0.7% 0.8%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.9% 99.8%  
40 4% 98.9%  
41 4% 95%  
42 8% 91% Last Result
43 13% 83%  
44 11% 69%  
45 9% 58%  
46 6% 49% Median
47 9% 43%  
48 10% 35%  
49 24% 25%  
50 0.2% 0.7%  
51 0.4% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.8%  
37 0.1% 99.7%  
38 3% 99.6%  
39 5% 97%  
40 4% 92%  
41 17% 88%  
42 11% 71%  
43 3% 61%  
44 11% 58%  
45 20% 46% Median
46 5% 26%  
47 1.0% 21% Last Result
48 19% 20%  
49 0.3% 0.6%  
50 0.3% 0.3%  
51 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.8%  
30 0.3% 99.4%  
31 1.5% 99.1%  
32 2% 98%  
33 17% 96% Last Result
34 7% 79%  
35 14% 72%  
36 7% 58%  
37 11% 51%  
38 8% 40% Median
39 21% 33%  
40 11% 12%  
41 0.3% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 1.4% 99.9%  
25 0.7% 98.5%  
26 3% 98%  
27 11% 95%  
28 3% 84%  
29 13% 82%  
30 15% 69%  
31 18% 54% Median
32 10% 36%  
33 21% 26%  
34 4% 5%  
35 0.5% 0.9%  
36 0.4% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.3% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.7%  
24 2% 99.3%  
25 6% 97%  
26 13% 92%  
27 16% 79%  
28 9% 62% Last Result
29 9% 53%  
30 4% 45% Median
31 29% 41%  
32 11% 12%  
33 0.4% 0.4%  
34 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations