Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 15 October 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
20.7% |
19.1–22.4% |
18.6–22.9% |
18.2–23.4% |
17.5–24.2% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.1% |
9.2–12.5% |
8.9–12.8% |
8.4–13.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.1% |
9.2–12.5% |
8.9–12.8% |
8.4–13.5% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
10.0% |
8.8–11.3% |
8.5–11.7% |
8.2–12.0% |
7.7–12.7% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
8.7% |
7.6–10.0% |
7.3–10.4% |
7.1–10.7% |
6.6–11.3% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.6% |
6.4–9.9% |
6.0–10.5% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.6% |
6.1–8.9% |
5.9–9.2% |
5.4–9.8% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.8–7.4% |
4.6–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
5.4% |
4.5–6.4% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.1–7.0% |
3.7–7.5% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.1–6.7% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.5% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
21% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
16% |
78% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
62% |
|
30 |
7% |
61% |
|
31 |
13% |
55% |
Median |
32 |
32% |
42% |
|
33 |
3% |
9% |
Last Result |
34 |
3% |
6% |
|
35 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
3% |
100% |
|
13 |
15% |
97% |
|
14 |
7% |
82% |
Last Result |
15 |
8% |
75% |
|
16 |
4% |
68% |
|
17 |
8% |
64% |
|
18 |
28% |
56% |
Median |
19 |
12% |
28% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
16% |
|
21 |
16% |
16% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
12% |
99.1% |
|
14 |
22% |
87% |
|
15 |
5% |
65% |
|
16 |
14% |
59% |
Median |
17 |
16% |
46% |
|
18 |
24% |
29% |
|
19 |
5% |
6% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
4% |
98% |
|
14 |
31% |
94% |
|
15 |
21% |
63% |
Median |
16 |
31% |
42% |
|
17 |
7% |
11% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
19 |
3% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
11 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
12 |
21% |
96% |
|
13 |
43% |
75% |
Median |
14 |
25% |
31% |
|
15 |
4% |
6% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
17 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
19% |
98.8% |
|
10 |
4% |
80% |
|
11 |
37% |
76% |
Median |
12 |
19% |
39% |
|
13 |
8% |
19% |
|
14 |
11% |
11% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
9 |
18% |
98% |
|
10 |
9% |
80% |
|
11 |
24% |
70% |
Median |
12 |
39% |
47% |
|
13 |
6% |
8% |
|
14 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
26% |
98% |
|
8 |
4% |
72% |
|
9 |
24% |
68% |
Median |
10 |
36% |
44% |
|
11 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
12 |
7% |
7% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
1.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
22% |
98.9% |
|
7 |
10% |
77% |
|
8 |
40% |
67% |
Median |
9 |
23% |
27% |
|
10 |
3% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
11% |
97% |
|
7 |
47% |
86% |
Median |
8 |
33% |
39% |
|
9 |
5% |
6% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
13% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
26% |
87% |
Last Result |
6 |
33% |
61% |
Median |
7 |
23% |
28% |
|
8 |
5% |
6% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
24% |
99.3% |
|
3 |
26% |
75% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
45% |
49% |
|
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
15% |
98% |
|
3 |
48% |
83% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
31% |
34% |
|
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
77 |
73% |
74–80 |
74–81 |
74–82 |
73–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
77 |
69% |
71–79 |
71–80 |
71–82 |
71–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
72 |
18% |
69–77 |
69–78 |
69–79 |
69–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
74 |
69 |
4% |
65–74 |
65–75 |
65–76 |
65–78 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij |
80 |
70 |
1.0% |
67–75 |
67–75 |
65–75 |
64–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
66 |
0.1% |
62–71 |
62–74 |
62–74 |
60–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
63 |
0% |
58–68 |
58–71 |
58–71 |
58–71 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
62 |
0% |
59–68 |
59–68 |
59–68 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
59 |
0% |
58–63 |
58–65 |
57–66 |
56–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
58 |
0% |
52–61 |
52–62 |
52–64 |
52–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
57 |
0% |
55–62 |
55–62 |
55–63 |
52–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
57 |
0% |
52–60 |
52–62 |
52–63 |
52–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
57 |
0% |
52–61 |
52–61 |
52–63 |
52–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
53 |
0% |
51–59 |
51–59 |
51–60 |
49–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
53 |
0% |
50–56 |
50–57 |
49–58 |
48–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
46 |
0% |
41–49 |
41–50 |
41–52 |
41–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
41 |
0% |
38–45 |
38–46 |
38–47 |
37–48 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
38 |
0% |
35–41 |
35–42 |
34–42 |
30–44 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
34 |
0% |
32–38 |
32–38 |
32–38 |
29–41 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
26 |
0% |
24–30 |
24–30 |
24–30 |
21–32 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
22 |
0% |
21–25 |
19–26 |
19–26 |
18–27 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
22% |
98.9% |
|
75 |
4% |
77% |
|
76 |
2% |
73% |
Majority |
77 |
33% |
72% |
|
78 |
10% |
39% |
|
79 |
2% |
28% |
Median |
80 |
21% |
27% |
|
81 |
2% |
6% |
|
82 |
2% |
3% |
|
83 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
11% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
89% |
|
73 |
17% |
89% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
71% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
71% |
|
76 |
12% |
69% |
Majority |
77 |
25% |
58% |
Median |
78 |
17% |
33% |
|
79 |
9% |
16% |
|
80 |
3% |
6% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
84 |
2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
21% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
79% |
|
71 |
2% |
78% |
|
72 |
32% |
76% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
44% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
43% |
|
75 |
22% |
40% |
|
76 |
8% |
18% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
10% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
6% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
20% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
79% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
79% |
|
68 |
19% |
78% |
|
69 |
15% |
59% |
|
70 |
6% |
44% |
Median |
71 |
1.3% |
38% |
|
72 |
3% |
37% |
|
73 |
24% |
34% |
|
74 |
3% |
10% |
Last Result |
75 |
3% |
7% |
|
76 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
67 |
15% |
96% |
|
68 |
5% |
81% |
|
69 |
25% |
77% |
|
70 |
23% |
52% |
|
71 |
3% |
28% |
Median |
72 |
0.7% |
25% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
25% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
23% |
|
75 |
21% |
22% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
62 |
20% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
79% |
|
64 |
5% |
78% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
73% |
|
66 |
27% |
72% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
45% |
Median |
68 |
2% |
44% |
|
69 |
28% |
42% |
|
70 |
3% |
14% |
|
71 |
2% |
11% |
|
72 |
2% |
9% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
74 |
7% |
7% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
20% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
59 |
0.7% |
79% |
|
60 |
4% |
79% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
74% |
|
62 |
12% |
73% |
|
63 |
16% |
61% |
|
64 |
6% |
46% |
Median |
65 |
6% |
40% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
34% |
|
67 |
20% |
32% |
|
68 |
3% |
12% |
|
69 |
2% |
9% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
71 |
7% |
7% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
98.5% |
|
59 |
17% |
98% |
|
60 |
3% |
82% |
|
61 |
4% |
79% |
|
62 |
32% |
75% |
|
63 |
16% |
44% |
|
64 |
3% |
28% |
Median |
65 |
2% |
25% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
24% |
Last Result |
67 |
1.0% |
22% |
|
68 |
21% |
21% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
11% |
95% |
|
59 |
38% |
84% |
|
60 |
6% |
45% |
|
61 |
15% |
39% |
Median |
62 |
5% |
24% |
|
63 |
12% |
19% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
65 |
3% |
6% |
|
66 |
2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
11% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
89% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
89% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
56 |
25% |
87% |
|
57 |
7% |
62% |
|
58 |
36% |
55% |
Median |
59 |
3% |
19% |
|
60 |
2% |
16% |
|
61 |
8% |
14% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
6% |
|
63 |
2% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
65 |
2% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
55 |
25% |
98.6% |
|
56 |
16% |
74% |
|
57 |
12% |
58% |
Last Result |
58 |
0.8% |
46% |
Median |
59 |
20% |
45% |
|
60 |
6% |
24% |
|
61 |
3% |
18% |
|
62 |
11% |
15% |
|
63 |
3% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
21% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
79% |
|
54 |
12% |
79% |
|
55 |
5% |
67% |
|
56 |
9% |
62% |
|
57 |
14% |
53% |
Median |
58 |
3% |
39% |
|
59 |
12% |
37% |
|
60 |
17% |
25% |
|
61 |
2% |
8% |
|
62 |
4% |
6% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
12% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
88% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
55 |
17% |
87% |
|
56 |
3% |
70% |
|
57 |
31% |
67% |
|
58 |
9% |
36% |
Median |
59 |
6% |
28% |
|
60 |
2% |
21% |
|
61 |
15% |
19% |
Last Result |
62 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
66 |
2% |
2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
24% |
98.9% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
74% |
|
53 |
26% |
73% |
|
54 |
2% |
48% |
Last Result |
55 |
8% |
46% |
Median |
56 |
2% |
38% |
|
57 |
18% |
36% |
|
58 |
3% |
18% |
|
59 |
11% |
15% |
|
60 |
3% |
4% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
32% |
95% |
|
51 |
3% |
63% |
|
52 |
2% |
61% |
|
53 |
31% |
58% |
Median |
54 |
11% |
28% |
|
55 |
3% |
17% |
|
56 |
8% |
13% |
|
57 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
58 |
2% |
4% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
11% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
89% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
44 |
6% |
88% |
|
45 |
24% |
82% |
|
46 |
20% |
57% |
|
47 |
10% |
37% |
Median |
48 |
2% |
27% |
|
49 |
19% |
25% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
55 |
2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
21% |
99.3% |
|
39 |
15% |
79% |
|
40 |
2% |
64% |
|
41 |
20% |
62% |
|
42 |
4% |
41% |
Median |
43 |
2% |
37% |
|
44 |
19% |
35% |
|
45 |
9% |
15% |
|
46 |
2% |
6% |
|
47 |
4% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
34 |
1.3% |
98.5% |
|
35 |
27% |
97% |
|
36 |
3% |
70% |
|
37 |
5% |
67% |
|
38 |
19% |
62% |
Median |
39 |
5% |
43% |
|
40 |
2% |
38% |
|
41 |
29% |
36% |
|
42 |
5% |
7% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
32 |
27% |
98.7% |
|
33 |
5% |
71% |
Last Result |
34 |
16% |
66% |
|
35 |
8% |
50% |
Median |
36 |
8% |
42% |
|
37 |
8% |
34% |
|
38 |
24% |
26% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
23 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
24 |
12% |
98% |
|
25 |
3% |
86% |
|
26 |
33% |
83% |
|
27 |
3% |
49% |
Median |
28 |
8% |
47% |
Last Result |
29 |
27% |
39% |
|
30 |
9% |
11% |
|
31 |
2% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
19 |
7% |
99.3% |
|
20 |
2% |
93% |
|
21 |
33% |
91% |
|
22 |
13% |
58% |
Median |
23 |
26% |
45% |
|
24 |
3% |
19% |
|
25 |
10% |
16% |
|
26 |
5% |
6% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15 October 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 953
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.70%