Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 25–28 October 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
21.6% |
20.0–23.3% |
19.6–23.8% |
19.2–24.2% |
18.4–25.1% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
10.3% |
9.2–11.6% |
8.9–12.0% |
8.6–12.3% |
8.1–13.0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.9% |
8.8–11.2% |
8.5–11.6% |
8.2–11.9% |
7.7–12.6% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.6% |
8.5–10.9% |
8.2–11.3% |
8.0–11.6% |
7.5–12.2% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.2% |
8.2–10.5% |
7.8–10.9% |
7.6–11.2% |
7.1–11.8% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
9.0% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.6% |
7.4–11.0% |
6.9–11.6% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
7.9% |
7.0–9.1% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.4–9.8% |
6.0–10.4% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.2% |
4.0–7.7% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.4% |
3.7–5.4% |
3.5–5.6% |
3.3–5.9% |
3.0–6.4% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.3% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.8% |
2.9–6.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.0% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.9–4.7% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.3% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.7–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
31 |
11% |
98% |
|
32 |
37% |
87% |
Median |
33 |
12% |
50% |
Last Result |
34 |
5% |
38% |
|
35 |
25% |
34% |
|
36 |
5% |
9% |
|
37 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
39 |
2% |
2% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
14 |
24% |
94% |
|
15 |
43% |
69% |
Median |
16 |
16% |
27% |
|
17 |
8% |
11% |
|
18 |
3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
5% |
96% |
|
14 |
44% |
92% |
Median |
15 |
4% |
48% |
|
16 |
13% |
44% |
|
17 |
23% |
31% |
|
18 |
7% |
7% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
100% |
|
12 |
3% |
98% |
|
13 |
8% |
95% |
|
14 |
66% |
87% |
Median |
15 |
12% |
20% |
|
16 |
5% |
8% |
|
17 |
2% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
12% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
12% |
88% |
|
14 |
41% |
76% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
18% |
35% |
|
16 |
14% |
17% |
|
17 |
3% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
10% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
24% |
90% |
|
13 |
11% |
65% |
|
14 |
10% |
54% |
Median |
15 |
7% |
44% |
|
16 |
27% |
37% |
|
17 |
8% |
10% |
|
18 |
2% |
2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
26% |
99.6% |
|
11 |
38% |
74% |
Median |
12 |
14% |
36% |
|
13 |
13% |
22% |
|
14 |
3% |
9% |
|
15 |
6% |
6% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
10% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
6% |
90% |
|
8 |
23% |
85% |
|
9 |
18% |
62% |
Median |
10 |
43% |
44% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
13% |
98% |
Last Result |
6 |
44% |
84% |
Median |
7 |
32% |
41% |
|
8 |
8% |
8% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
16% |
98% |
|
6 |
44% |
82% |
Median |
7 |
34% |
38% |
|
8 |
2% |
5% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
11% |
99.6% |
|
4 |
8% |
88% |
|
5 |
37% |
80% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
42% |
43% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
46% |
98.5% |
|
3 |
47% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
5% |
6% |
|
5 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
43% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
42% |
57% |
Median |
3 |
13% |
15% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
82 |
99.9% |
80–86 |
79–86 |
79–88 |
76–90 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
82 |
99.8% |
79–87 |
79–87 |
78–87 |
77–88 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
77 |
59% |
74–82 |
74–82 |
74–82 |
72–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
75 |
44% |
72–79 |
71–80 |
71–80 |
70–80 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
73 |
2% |
71–74 |
68–75 |
67–75 |
66–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
68 |
0% |
66–73 |
65–75 |
64–75 |
64–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
68 |
0.1% |
66–71 |
65–71 |
64–73 |
61–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
66 |
0% |
63–70 |
62–73 |
62–73 |
61–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
62 |
0% |
59–67 |
58–68 |
58–68 |
58–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
61 |
0% |
60–66 |
59–67 |
58–68 |
57–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
63 |
0% |
61–67 |
60–67 |
60–67 |
58–69 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
64 |
0% |
61–66 |
60–66 |
58–67 |
57–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
62 |
0% |
59–63 |
57–64 |
56–67 |
56–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
62 |
0% |
59–65 |
58–66 |
58–66 |
55–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
59 |
0% |
57–65 |
56–66 |
55–66 |
55–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
46 |
0% |
45–50 |
44–51 |
44–54 |
43–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
47 |
0% |
46–52 |
45–52 |
45–53 |
43–53 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
44 |
0% |
41–45 |
40–46 |
39–47 |
39–48 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
35 |
0% |
34–38 |
33–39 |
32–39 |
31–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
28 |
0% |
27–32 |
27–32 |
27–33 |
25–35 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
30 |
0% |
27–31 |
26–31 |
25–32 |
24–34 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
Majority |
77 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
79 |
5% |
98% |
|
80 |
8% |
92% |
Median |
81 |
5% |
84% |
|
82 |
32% |
79% |
|
83 |
9% |
46% |
|
84 |
9% |
38% |
|
85 |
19% |
29% |
Last Result |
86 |
6% |
10% |
|
87 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
90 |
2% |
2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
78 |
2% |
98% |
|
79 |
7% |
96% |
|
80 |
3% |
89% |
Median |
81 |
4% |
86% |
|
82 |
39% |
82% |
|
83 |
9% |
44% |
|
84 |
9% |
34% |
|
85 |
2% |
25% |
|
86 |
13% |
24% |
|
87 |
10% |
11% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
74 |
9% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
31% |
90% |
Median |
76 |
3% |
59% |
Majority |
77 |
9% |
56% |
Last Result |
78 |
4% |
46% |
|
79 |
17% |
42% |
|
80 |
4% |
25% |
|
81 |
10% |
21% |
|
82 |
8% |
11% |
|
83 |
2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
8% |
99.0% |
|
72 |
27% |
91% |
Median |
73 |
7% |
64% |
|
74 |
3% |
56% |
Last Result |
75 |
10% |
54% |
|
76 |
8% |
44% |
Majority |
77 |
16% |
36% |
|
78 |
4% |
21% |
|
79 |
7% |
16% |
|
80 |
9% |
10% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
68 |
2% |
95% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
70 |
2% |
92% |
|
71 |
14% |
90% |
Median |
72 |
12% |
76% |
|
73 |
25% |
64% |
|
74 |
31% |
39% |
|
75 |
6% |
8% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
4% |
95% |
|
66 |
34% |
91% |
Median |
67 |
2% |
57% |
|
68 |
8% |
55% |
|
69 |
4% |
47% |
|
70 |
7% |
44% |
|
71 |
15% |
36% |
|
72 |
7% |
22% |
|
73 |
8% |
14% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
75 |
6% |
6% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
65 |
6% |
97% |
|
66 |
8% |
91% |
Median |
67 |
3% |
83% |
|
68 |
32% |
80% |
|
69 |
11% |
48% |
|
70 |
8% |
37% |
|
71 |
25% |
29% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
74 |
2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
7% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
34% |
92% |
Median |
64 |
2% |
58% |
|
65 |
4% |
56% |
|
66 |
8% |
52% |
|
67 |
4% |
43% |
|
68 |
5% |
39% |
|
69 |
14% |
35% |
|
70 |
12% |
20% |
|
71 |
2% |
8% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
73 |
6% |
6% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
58 |
8% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
2% |
91% |
|
60 |
32% |
89% |
Median |
61 |
7% |
58% |
|
62 |
4% |
50% |
|
63 |
6% |
46% |
|
64 |
16% |
40% |
|
65 |
4% |
24% |
|
66 |
3% |
20% |
|
67 |
9% |
18% |
|
68 |
9% |
9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
60 |
36% |
94% |
Median |
61 |
10% |
58% |
Last Result |
62 |
5% |
49% |
|
63 |
5% |
44% |
|
64 |
4% |
38% |
|
65 |
7% |
35% |
|
66 |
21% |
28% |
|
67 |
3% |
7% |
|
68 |
3% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
7% |
98.6% |
|
61 |
31% |
92% |
Median |
62 |
4% |
61% |
|
63 |
12% |
58% |
|
64 |
4% |
46% |
|
65 |
13% |
42% |
|
66 |
13% |
29% |
|
67 |
15% |
16% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
97% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
61 |
5% |
94% |
|
62 |
8% |
89% |
Median |
63 |
7% |
82% |
|
64 |
44% |
75% |
|
65 |
19% |
31% |
|
66 |
8% |
12% |
Last Result |
67 |
2% |
4% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
2% |
95% |
|
58 |
3% |
93% |
|
59 |
11% |
90% |
|
60 |
3% |
80% |
Median |
61 |
21% |
76% |
Last Result |
62 |
34% |
55% |
|
63 |
15% |
22% |
|
64 |
2% |
7% |
|
65 |
2% |
5% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
70 |
2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
6% |
98.7% |
|
59 |
6% |
93% |
|
60 |
3% |
87% |
Median |
61 |
5% |
84% |
|
62 |
34% |
79% |
|
63 |
13% |
45% |
|
64 |
20% |
32% |
|
65 |
2% |
12% |
|
66 |
9% |
10% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
55 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
6% |
96% |
|
57 |
33% |
91% |
Median |
58 |
2% |
57% |
|
59 |
8% |
55% |
|
60 |
5% |
48% |
|
61 |
6% |
43% |
|
62 |
17% |
37% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
20% |
|
64 |
4% |
19% |
|
65 |
10% |
15% |
|
66 |
5% |
5% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
45 |
7% |
94% |
|
46 |
39% |
87% |
Median |
47 |
11% |
49% |
|
48 |
2% |
38% |
|
49 |
23% |
36% |
|
50 |
5% |
13% |
|
51 |
5% |
8% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
55 |
2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
5% |
98.5% |
|
46 |
38% |
94% |
Median |
47 |
10% |
56% |
|
48 |
2% |
46% |
|
49 |
3% |
44% |
|
50 |
6% |
40% |
|
51 |
12% |
34% |
|
52 |
19% |
23% |
Last Result |
53 |
4% |
4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
4% |
96% |
|
41 |
11% |
91% |
|
42 |
3% |
80% |
Median |
43 |
20% |
77% |
|
44 |
38% |
58% |
|
45 |
14% |
20% |
|
46 |
3% |
6% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
3% |
Last Result |
48 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
33 |
4% |
96% |
Last Result |
34 |
37% |
93% |
Median |
35 |
11% |
56% |
|
36 |
12% |
45% |
|
37 |
2% |
33% |
|
38 |
25% |
31% |
|
39 |
4% |
6% |
|
40 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
26 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
27 |
8% |
98% |
|
28 |
42% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
29 |
3% |
48% |
|
30 |
9% |
45% |
|
31 |
23% |
36% |
|
32 |
10% |
13% |
|
33 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
26 |
6% |
97% |
|
27 |
13% |
91% |
|
28 |
7% |
78% |
Median |
29 |
16% |
71% |
|
30 |
35% |
56% |
|
31 |
17% |
20% |
|
32 |
2% |
4% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 25–28 October 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1019
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.62%