Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 15 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
20.0% |
18.4–21.8% |
18.0–22.3% |
17.6–22.7% |
16.9–23.6% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.0% |
10.7–13.4% |
10.3–13.8% |
10.0–14.2% |
9.5–14.9% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
11.3% |
10.1–12.8% |
9.8–13.2% |
9.5–13.5% |
8.9–14.2% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.1% |
9.2–12.5% |
8.9–12.8% |
8.4–13.5% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.6% |
6.4–9.9% |
6.0–10.5% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.6% |
6.4–9.9% |
6.0–10.5% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.9% |
5.5–8.2% |
5.3–8.5% |
4.9–9.1% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.8–7.4% |
4.6–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
5.4% |
4.5–6.4% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.1–7.0% |
3.7–7.5% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.1–6.7% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.5–4.3% |
DENK |
2.1% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
32% |
99.6% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
67% |
|
29 |
12% |
67% |
|
30 |
6% |
55% |
Median |
31 |
6% |
49% |
|
32 |
33% |
43% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
10% |
Last Result |
34 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
35 |
8% |
9% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
17 |
28% |
93% |
|
18 |
9% |
65% |
|
19 |
46% |
56% |
Median |
20 |
8% |
10% |
Last Result |
21 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
15 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
16 |
14% |
98% |
|
17 |
41% |
84% |
Median |
18 |
10% |
43% |
|
19 |
31% |
33% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
22 |
2% |
2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
14 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
15 |
10% |
98.6% |
|
16 |
33% |
89% |
|
17 |
47% |
56% |
Median |
18 |
9% |
9% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
34% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
14% |
65% |
|
12 |
12% |
51% |
Median |
13 |
1.4% |
39% |
|
14 |
37% |
37% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
14% |
98.9% |
|
11 |
25% |
85% |
|
12 |
14% |
60% |
Median |
13 |
44% |
46% |
|
14 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
9 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
10 |
68% |
97% |
Median |
11 |
4% |
29% |
|
12 |
25% |
25% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
36% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
12% |
64% |
|
9 |
2% |
52% |
|
10 |
49% |
51% |
Median |
11 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
6% |
100% |
|
7 |
52% |
94% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
43% |
|
9 |
35% |
36% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
9% |
100% |
|
5 |
6% |
91% |
Last Result |
6 |
28% |
85% |
|
7 |
12% |
57% |
Median |
8 |
44% |
45% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
8% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
37% |
92% |
|
6 |
10% |
54% |
Median |
7 |
33% |
44% |
|
8 |
11% |
12% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
3 |
66% |
99.2% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
23% |
33% |
|
5 |
10% |
10% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
56% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
43% |
44% |
|
2 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
78 |
56% |
74–82 |
74–82 |
74–82 |
72–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
76 |
55% |
73–80 |
73–82 |
73–82 |
72–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
78 |
54% |
74–80 |
74–80 |
74–80 |
71–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
73 |
12% |
70–76 |
70–78 |
70–78 |
68–78 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
74 |
8% |
69–74 |
67–76 |
67–76 |
67–77 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
64 |
0% |
60–67 |
60–67 |
60–69 |
58–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
63 |
0% |
62–66 |
62–66 |
61–66 |
58–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
60 |
0% |
59–63 |
58–66 |
58–66 |
55–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
60 |
0% |
58–63 |
58–63 |
58–63 |
56–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
60 |
0% |
59–62 |
59–62 |
58–62 |
56–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
59 |
0% |
57–61 |
57–61 |
57–62 |
53–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
57 |
0% |
55–61 |
55–62 |
55–62 |
53–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
59 |
0% |
53–61 |
53–61 |
53–61 |
52–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
54 |
0% |
51–57 |
51–58 |
51–58 |
51–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
52 |
0% |
51–55 |
51–56 |
50–56 |
48–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
48 |
0% |
43–49 |
43–50 |
43–50 |
42–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
42 |
0% |
41–44 |
41–46 |
41–46 |
38–48 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
39 |
0% |
36–40 |
36–41 |
35–43 |
33–43 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
36 |
0% |
33–37 |
33–37 |
33–38 |
31–42 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
29 |
0% |
26–30 |
26–31 |
25–32 |
24–33 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
22 |
0% |
20–24 |
20–24 |
20–25 |
18–25 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
74 |
11% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
32% |
88% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
56% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
4% |
56% |
|
78 |
2% |
51% |
|
79 |
15% |
50% |
|
80 |
8% |
35% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
27% |
|
82 |
26% |
27% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
30% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
14% |
69% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
55% |
|
76 |
32% |
55% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
2% |
23% |
Last Result |
78 |
9% |
21% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
80 |
3% |
12% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
82 |
8% |
8% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
32% |
98% |
|
75 |
12% |
66% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
54% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
2% |
54% |
|
78 |
22% |
52% |
|
79 |
5% |
30% |
|
80 |
25% |
25% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
41% |
98.5% |
|
71 |
2% |
57% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
55% |
|
73 |
40% |
54% |
Median |
74 |
2% |
14% |
Last Result |
75 |
0.6% |
12% |
|
76 |
3% |
12% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
78 |
8% |
8% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
8% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
69 |
2% |
91% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
90% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
72 |
23% |
89% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
66% |
Median |
74 |
56% |
65% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
9% |
|
76 |
6% |
8% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
9% |
98% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
90% |
|
62 |
11% |
89% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
78% |
Median |
64 |
40% |
77% |
|
65 |
4% |
36% |
|
66 |
6% |
33% |
Last Result |
67 |
24% |
27% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
69 |
3% |
3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
62 |
32% |
97% |
|
63 |
36% |
65% |
Median |
64 |
8% |
30% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
22% |
|
66 |
19% |
20% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
58 |
6% |
98% |
|
59 |
25% |
93% |
|
60 |
51% |
68% |
|
61 |
3% |
17% |
Median |
62 |
1.1% |
14% |
|
63 |
4% |
13% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
10% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
66 |
8% |
8% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
58 |
43% |
98.6% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
56% |
Median |
60 |
9% |
55% |
|
61 |
12% |
47% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
35% |
|
63 |
32% |
34% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
58 |
1.5% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
59 |
44% |
97% |
|
60 |
25% |
53% |
Median |
61 |
15% |
28% |
|
62 |
12% |
13% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
57 |
32% |
98% |
|
58 |
12% |
66% |
|
59 |
34% |
54% |
Median |
60 |
7% |
20% |
|
61 |
10% |
14% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
4% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
55 |
12% |
99.0% |
|
56 |
26% |
87% |
|
57 |
39% |
61% |
Last Result, Median |
58 |
0.5% |
23% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
22% |
|
60 |
10% |
22% |
|
61 |
3% |
12% |
|
62 |
8% |
9% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
32% |
99.3% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
67% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
67% |
|
56 |
12% |
66% |
|
57 |
3% |
54% |
Median |
58 |
0.6% |
51% |
|
59 |
18% |
51% |
|
60 |
8% |
33% |
|
61 |
24% |
25% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
12% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
2% |
88% |
|
53 |
25% |
86% |
|
54 |
39% |
61% |
Last Result, Median |
55 |
8% |
22% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
57 |
4% |
13% |
|
58 |
8% |
9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
51 |
44% |
97% |
|
52 |
14% |
54% |
Median |
53 |
0.1% |
40% |
|
54 |
28% |
40% |
|
55 |
3% |
12% |
|
56 |
8% |
9% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
43 |
32% |
99.3% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
68% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
67% |
|
46 |
12% |
67% |
|
47 |
3% |
54% |
Median |
48 |
3% |
51% |
|
49 |
39% |
48% |
|
50 |
8% |
9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
41 |
44% |
98% |
|
42 |
38% |
54% |
Median |
43 |
1.1% |
16% |
|
44 |
6% |
15% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
46 |
8% |
9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
36 |
8% |
97% |
|
37 |
9% |
89% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
80% |
|
39 |
41% |
79% |
Median |
40 |
32% |
38% |
|
41 |
2% |
6% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
43 |
3% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
33 |
8% |
98% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.3% |
90% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
89% |
|
36 |
44% |
89% |
Median |
37 |
40% |
45% |
|
38 |
3% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
25 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
26 |
8% |
97% |
|
27 |
33% |
89% |
|
28 |
1.3% |
56% |
Last Result |
29 |
17% |
55% |
Median |
30 |
33% |
38% |
|
31 |
2% |
5% |
|
32 |
3% |
4% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
20 |
10% |
98.7% |
|
21 |
14% |
89% |
|
22 |
36% |
75% |
Median |
23 |
0.6% |
38% |
|
24 |
34% |
38% |
|
25 |
3% |
3% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 953
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.92%