Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 22–25 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 17.2% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.6% | 14.3–20.4% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.5–13.1% | 10.1–13.5% | 9.8–13.8% | 9.3–14.5% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.4–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.2–13.2% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 9.1% | 8.1–10.4% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.2–10.7% | 6.8–11.4% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.4% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.7% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.8–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 25 | 24–29 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 22–30 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 20 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 14–24 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 16 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–21 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–20 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 15 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–18 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 9 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 7 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 24 | 7% | 97% | |
| 25 | 51% | 90% | Median |
| 26 | 6% | 39% | |
| 27 | 10% | 33% | |
| 28 | 12% | 22% | |
| 29 | 6% | 10% | |
| 30 | 4% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 17 | 17% | 94% | |
| 18 | 5% | 77% | |
| 19 | 17% | 71% | Last Result |
| 20 | 48% | 55% | Median |
| 21 | 5% | 6% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 16 | 49% | 97% | Median |
| 17 | 10% | 48% | |
| 18 | 7% | 38% | |
| 19 | 16% | 31% | |
| 20 | 11% | 15% | Last Result |
| 21 | 3% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 10% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 9% | 89% | Last Result |
| 15 | 15% | 80% | |
| 16 | 4% | 66% | |
| 17 | 52% | 62% | Median |
| 18 | 9% | 11% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 8% | 94% | |
| 14 | 16% | 86% | |
| 15 | 58% | 70% | Median |
| 16 | 8% | 12% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 15% | 98.5% | |
| 12 | 6% | 84% | |
| 13 | 22% | 78% | |
| 14 | 49% | 56% | Median |
| 15 | 4% | 7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 6% | 97% | |
| 11 | 37% | 90% | |
| 12 | 46% | 53% | Median |
| 13 | 4% | 7% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 8% | 100% | |
| 7 | 7% | 92% | |
| 8 | 16% | 85% | |
| 9 | 54% | 69% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 15% | |
| 11 | 12% | 12% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 6% | 98% | |
| 7 | 64% | 92% | Median |
| 8 | 12% | 28% | |
| 9 | 12% | 16% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 69% | 94% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 13% | 25% | |
| 7 | 10% | 12% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 59% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 13% | 36% | Last Result |
| 6 | 21% | 23% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 25% | 86% | Last Result |
| 4 | 60% | 61% | Median |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 61% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 15% | 39% | |
| 3 | 20% | 24% | Last Result |
| 4 | 5% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 80 | 98% | 79–82 | 77–83 | 76–84 | 72–85 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 76 | 90% | 76–80 | 74–80 | 73–81 | 70–83 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 78 | 79% | 75–80 | 74–80 | 72–81 | 70–82 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 75 | 11% | 72–76 | 71–78 | 70–78 | 68–80 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 74 | 2% | 67–74 | 67–75 | 67–75 | 65–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 73 | 2% | 69–73 | 67–74 | 65–75 | 64–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 69 | 0% | 66–70 | 63–71 | 61–71 | 61–74 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 66 | 0% | 59–67 | 58–67 | 58–68 | 58–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 61 | 0% | 61–65 | 59–67 | 58–68 | 57–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 64 | 0% | 60–64 | 59–66 | 58–67 | 56–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 61 | 0% | 59–62 | 58–65 | 57–67 | 56–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 60 | 0% | 57–61 | 55–63 | 55–64 | 53–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 59 | 0% | 56–59 | 55–62 | 54–62 | 52–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 57 | 0% | 54–57 | 53–59 | 52–62 | 50–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–52 | 48–53 | 47–55 | 45–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 45 | 0% | 43–46 | 42–48 | 41–51 | 39–51 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 47 | 44 | 0% | 39–46 | 39–46 | 39–47 | 38–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 39 | 0% | 38–41 | 37–42 | 36–43 | 34–45 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 38 | 0% | 34–38 | 33–39 | 33–41 | 32–43 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 33 | 0% | 28–34 | 28–34 | 28–36 | 27–38 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 32 | 0% | 28–32 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 24–35 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 78 | 2% | 94% | |
| 79 | 4% | 92% | |
| 80 | 51% | 88% | Median |
| 81 | 9% | 38% | |
| 82 | 22% | 29% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 4% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 74 | 4% | 97% | Last Result |
| 75 | 3% | 93% | |
| 76 | 47% | 90% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 11% | 43% | |
| 78 | 6% | 32% | |
| 79 | 11% | 26% | |
| 80 | 10% | 15% | |
| 81 | 4% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 15% | 94% | |
| 76 | 16% | 79% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 63% | |
| 78 | 47% | 59% | Median |
| 79 | 2% | 13% | |
| 80 | 5% | 10% | |
| 81 | 4% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 6% | 92% | |
| 73 | 15% | 86% | |
| 74 | 11% | 71% | |
| 75 | 50% | 60% | Median |
| 76 | 2% | 11% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 78 | 5% | 8% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 3% | 88% | |
| 69 | 10% | 85% | |
| 70 | 10% | 75% | |
| 71 | 8% | 65% | |
| 72 | 2% | 58% | |
| 73 | 4% | 56% | |
| 74 | 46% | 52% | Median |
| 75 | 4% | 6% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 67 | 2% | 95% | |
| 68 | 3% | 94% | |
| 69 | 3% | 91% | |
| 70 | 9% | 88% | |
| 71 | 10% | 79% | |
| 72 | 6% | 68% | |
| 73 | 53% | 63% | Median |
| 74 | 6% | 10% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 97% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 64 | 2% | 95% | |
| 65 | 2% | 93% | |
| 66 | 9% | 91% | |
| 67 | 3% | 82% | |
| 68 | 4% | 79% | |
| 69 | 56% | 75% | Median |
| 70 | 12% | 19% | |
| 71 | 5% | 7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 91% | |
| 60 | 2% | 89% | |
| 61 | 3% | 87% | |
| 62 | 15% | 85% | |
| 63 | 5% | 69% | |
| 64 | 8% | 65% | |
| 65 | 6% | 57% | |
| 66 | 2% | 51% | Last Result |
| 67 | 46% | 49% | Median |
| 68 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 3% | 95% | |
| 61 | 50% | 91% | Median |
| 62 | 6% | 41% | |
| 63 | 3% | 35% | |
| 64 | 7% | 32% | |
| 65 | 19% | 25% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 3% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 58 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 59 | 4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 4% | 92% | |
| 61 | 2% | 88% | |
| 62 | 15% | 86% | |
| 63 | 12% | 72% | |
| 64 | 50% | 59% | Median |
| 65 | 4% | 10% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 67 | 4% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 58 | 6% | 97% | |
| 59 | 5% | 91% | |
| 60 | 8% | 86% | |
| 61 | 53% | 78% | Median |
| 62 | 15% | 25% | |
| 63 | 2% | 10% | |
| 64 | 2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 67 | 4% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 55 | 4% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 95% | |
| 57 | 3% | 91% | |
| 58 | 5% | 88% | |
| 59 | 12% | 83% | |
| 60 | 52% | 72% | Median |
| 61 | 14% | 20% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 64 | 3% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 16% | 92% | |
| 57 | 5% | 76% | |
| 58 | 5% | 71% | |
| 59 | 57% | 66% | Median |
| 60 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 6% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 7% | 94% | |
| 55 | 5% | 87% | |
| 56 | 19% | 82% | |
| 57 | 53% | 63% | Median |
| 58 | 3% | 9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 6% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 4% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 48 | 4% | 97% | |
| 49 | 11% | 93% | |
| 50 | 11% | 82% | |
| 51 | 54% | 70% | Median |
| 52 | 10% | 17% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 96% | |
| 43 | 8% | 93% | |
| 44 | 6% | 85% | |
| 45 | 57% | 79% | Median |
| 46 | 14% | 22% | |
| 47 | 2% | 8% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 51 | 3% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 11% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 8% | 89% | |
| 41 | 4% | 81% | |
| 42 | 3% | 77% | |
| 43 | 16% | 75% | |
| 44 | 9% | 59% | |
| 45 | 2% | 49% | |
| 46 | 44% | 48% | Median |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 37 | 6% | 97% | |
| 38 | 11% | 91% | |
| 39 | 55% | 80% | Median |
| 40 | 11% | 25% | |
| 41 | 4% | 14% | |
| 42 | 5% | 10% | Last Result |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 7% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 34 | 10% | 92% | |
| 35 | 3% | 82% | |
| 36 | 15% | 79% | |
| 37 | 11% | 64% | |
| 38 | 45% | 53% | Median |
| 39 | 4% | 8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 10% | 98% | Last Result |
| 29 | 2% | 88% | |
| 30 | 10% | 86% | |
| 31 | 4% | 76% | |
| 32 | 15% | 72% | |
| 33 | 8% | 56% | |
| 34 | 45% | 48% | Median |
| 35 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 36 | 2% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 27 | 5% | 97% | |
| 28 | 11% | 92% | |
| 29 | 8% | 80% | |
| 30 | 17% | 73% | |
| 31 | 5% | 56% | |
| 32 | 48% | 51% | Median |
| 33 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 22–25 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1018
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.13%