Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 22–25 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
17.2% |
15.7–18.8% |
15.3–19.3% |
15.0–19.6% |
14.3–20.4% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
12.0% |
10.8–13.4% |
10.4–13.8% |
10.1–14.1% |
9.6–14.8% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
11.7% |
10.5–13.1% |
10.1–13.5% |
9.8–13.8% |
9.3–14.5% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.5% |
9.4–11.8% |
9.0–12.2% |
8.8–12.6% |
8.2–13.2% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
9.1% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.0–11.7% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.2–10.7% |
6.8–11.4% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
7.7% |
6.7–8.8% |
6.4–9.2% |
6.2–9.5% |
5.7–10.1% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.2% |
4.0–7.7% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.6–7.1% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.4% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.7% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.5% |
0.8–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
22 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
23 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
24 |
7% |
97% |
|
25 |
51% |
90% |
Median |
26 |
6% |
39% |
|
27 |
10% |
33% |
|
28 |
12% |
22% |
|
29 |
6% |
10% |
|
30 |
4% |
4% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
16 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
17 |
17% |
94% |
|
18 |
5% |
77% |
|
19 |
17% |
71% |
Last Result |
20 |
48% |
55% |
Median |
21 |
5% |
6% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
23 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
16 |
49% |
97% |
Median |
17 |
10% |
48% |
|
18 |
7% |
38% |
|
19 |
16% |
31% |
|
20 |
11% |
15% |
Last Result |
21 |
3% |
4% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
10% |
99.3% |
|
14 |
9% |
89% |
Last Result |
15 |
15% |
80% |
|
16 |
4% |
66% |
|
17 |
52% |
62% |
Median |
18 |
9% |
11% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
20 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
5% |
98.7% |
|
13 |
8% |
94% |
|
14 |
16% |
86% |
|
15 |
58% |
70% |
Median |
16 |
8% |
12% |
|
17 |
3% |
4% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
15% |
98.5% |
|
12 |
6% |
84% |
|
13 |
22% |
78% |
|
14 |
49% |
56% |
Median |
15 |
4% |
7% |
|
16 |
2% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
10 |
6% |
97% |
|
11 |
37% |
90% |
|
12 |
46% |
53% |
Median |
13 |
4% |
7% |
|
14 |
3% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
8% |
100% |
|
7 |
7% |
92% |
|
8 |
16% |
85% |
|
9 |
54% |
69% |
Median |
10 |
3% |
15% |
|
11 |
12% |
12% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
2% |
100% |
|
6 |
6% |
98% |
|
7 |
64% |
92% |
Median |
8 |
12% |
28% |
|
9 |
12% |
16% |
|
10 |
4% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
4 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
5 |
69% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
13% |
25% |
|
7 |
10% |
12% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
5% |
100% |
|
4 |
59% |
95% |
Median |
5 |
13% |
36% |
Last Result |
6 |
21% |
23% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
14% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
25% |
86% |
Last Result |
4 |
60% |
61% |
Median |
5 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
61% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
15% |
39% |
|
3 |
20% |
24% |
Last Result |
4 |
5% |
5% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
80 |
98% |
79–82 |
77–83 |
76–84 |
72–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
76 |
90% |
76–80 |
74–80 |
73–81 |
70–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
78 |
79% |
75–80 |
74–80 |
72–81 |
70–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
75 |
11% |
72–76 |
71–78 |
70–78 |
68–80 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
74 |
2% |
67–74 |
67–75 |
67–75 |
65–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
73 |
2% |
69–73 |
67–74 |
65–75 |
64–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
69 |
0% |
66–70 |
63–71 |
61–71 |
61–74 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
66 |
0% |
59–67 |
58–67 |
58–68 |
58–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
61 |
0% |
61–65 |
59–67 |
58–68 |
57–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
64 |
0% |
60–64 |
59–66 |
58–67 |
56–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
61 |
0% |
59–62 |
58–65 |
57–67 |
56–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
60 |
0% |
57–61 |
55–63 |
55–64 |
53–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
59 |
0% |
56–59 |
55–62 |
54–62 |
52–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
57 |
0% |
54–57 |
53–59 |
52–62 |
50–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
51 |
0% |
49–52 |
48–53 |
47–55 |
45–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
45 |
0% |
43–46 |
42–48 |
41–51 |
39–51 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
44 |
0% |
39–46 |
39–46 |
39–47 |
38–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
39 |
0% |
38–41 |
37–42 |
36–43 |
34–45 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
38 |
0% |
34–38 |
33–39 |
33–41 |
32–43 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
33 |
0% |
28–34 |
28–34 |
28–36 |
27–38 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
32 |
0% |
28–32 |
27–32 |
26–33 |
24–35 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
98% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
97% |
Last Result |
78 |
2% |
94% |
|
79 |
4% |
92% |
|
80 |
51% |
88% |
Median |
81 |
9% |
38% |
|
82 |
22% |
29% |
|
83 |
2% |
7% |
|
84 |
4% |
4% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
74 |
4% |
97% |
Last Result |
75 |
3% |
93% |
|
76 |
47% |
90% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
11% |
43% |
|
78 |
6% |
32% |
|
79 |
11% |
26% |
|
80 |
10% |
15% |
|
81 |
4% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
74 |
2% |
96% |
|
75 |
15% |
94% |
|
76 |
16% |
79% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
63% |
|
78 |
47% |
59% |
Median |
79 |
2% |
13% |
|
80 |
5% |
10% |
|
81 |
4% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
70 |
3% |
98% |
|
71 |
3% |
95% |
|
72 |
6% |
92% |
|
73 |
15% |
86% |
|
74 |
11% |
71% |
|
75 |
50% |
60% |
Median |
76 |
2% |
11% |
Majority |
77 |
1.5% |
9% |
|
78 |
5% |
8% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
67 |
11% |
98.8% |
|
68 |
3% |
88% |
|
69 |
10% |
85% |
|
70 |
10% |
75% |
|
71 |
8% |
65% |
|
72 |
2% |
58% |
|
73 |
4% |
56% |
|
74 |
46% |
52% |
Median |
75 |
4% |
6% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
67 |
2% |
95% |
|
68 |
3% |
94% |
|
69 |
3% |
91% |
|
70 |
9% |
88% |
|
71 |
10% |
79% |
|
72 |
6% |
68% |
|
73 |
53% |
63% |
Median |
74 |
6% |
10% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
76 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
2% |
97% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
64 |
2% |
95% |
|
65 |
2% |
93% |
|
66 |
9% |
91% |
|
67 |
3% |
82% |
|
68 |
4% |
79% |
|
69 |
56% |
75% |
Median |
70 |
12% |
19% |
|
71 |
5% |
7% |
|
72 |
2% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
9% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
2% |
91% |
|
60 |
2% |
89% |
|
61 |
3% |
87% |
|
62 |
15% |
85% |
|
63 |
5% |
69% |
|
64 |
8% |
65% |
|
65 |
6% |
57% |
|
66 |
2% |
51% |
Last Result |
67 |
46% |
49% |
Median |
68 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
59 |
3% |
97% |
|
60 |
3% |
95% |
|
61 |
50% |
91% |
Median |
62 |
6% |
41% |
|
63 |
3% |
35% |
|
64 |
7% |
32% |
|
65 |
19% |
25% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
67 |
3% |
6% |
|
68 |
3% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
58 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
59 |
4% |
97% |
|
60 |
4% |
92% |
|
61 |
2% |
88% |
|
62 |
15% |
86% |
|
63 |
12% |
72% |
|
64 |
50% |
59% |
Median |
65 |
4% |
10% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
67 |
4% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
58 |
6% |
97% |
|
59 |
5% |
91% |
|
60 |
8% |
86% |
|
61 |
53% |
78% |
Median |
62 |
15% |
25% |
|
63 |
2% |
10% |
|
64 |
2% |
8% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
67 |
4% |
4% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
55 |
4% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
95% |
|
57 |
3% |
91% |
|
58 |
5% |
88% |
|
59 |
12% |
83% |
|
60 |
52% |
72% |
Median |
61 |
14% |
20% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
64 |
3% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
4% |
95% |
|
56 |
16% |
92% |
|
57 |
5% |
76% |
|
58 |
5% |
71% |
|
59 |
57% |
66% |
Median |
60 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
61 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
62 |
4% |
6% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
2% |
98% |
|
53 |
2% |
96% |
|
54 |
7% |
94% |
|
55 |
5% |
87% |
|
56 |
19% |
82% |
|
57 |
53% |
63% |
Median |
58 |
3% |
9% |
|
59 |
2% |
6% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
62 |
4% |
4% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
48 |
4% |
97% |
|
49 |
11% |
93% |
|
50 |
11% |
82% |
|
51 |
54% |
70% |
Median |
52 |
10% |
17% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
54 |
2% |
5% |
|
55 |
2% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
41 |
2% |
98% |
|
42 |
3% |
96% |
|
43 |
8% |
93% |
|
44 |
6% |
85% |
|
45 |
57% |
79% |
Median |
46 |
14% |
22% |
|
47 |
2% |
8% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
51 |
3% |
3% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
11% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
8% |
89% |
|
41 |
4% |
81% |
|
42 |
3% |
77% |
|
43 |
16% |
75% |
|
44 |
9% |
59% |
|
45 |
2% |
49% |
|
46 |
44% |
48% |
Median |
47 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
36 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
37 |
6% |
97% |
|
38 |
11% |
91% |
|
39 |
55% |
80% |
Median |
40 |
11% |
25% |
|
41 |
4% |
14% |
|
42 |
5% |
10% |
Last Result |
43 |
2% |
4% |
|
44 |
2% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
7% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
34 |
10% |
92% |
|
35 |
3% |
82% |
|
36 |
15% |
79% |
|
37 |
11% |
64% |
|
38 |
45% |
53% |
Median |
39 |
4% |
8% |
|
40 |
2% |
5% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
42 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
28 |
10% |
98% |
Last Result |
29 |
2% |
88% |
|
30 |
10% |
86% |
|
31 |
4% |
76% |
|
32 |
15% |
72% |
|
33 |
8% |
56% |
|
34 |
45% |
48% |
Median |
35 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
36 |
2% |
3% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
26 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
27 |
5% |
97% |
|
28 |
11% |
92% |
|
29 |
8% |
80% |
|
30 |
17% |
73% |
|
31 |
5% |
56% |
|
32 |
48% |
51% |
Median |
33 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
34 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 22–25 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1018
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.13%