Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 9–14 December 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 12.7% | 11.9–13.5% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.2–14.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.9–13.5% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.2–14.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 12.7% | 11.9–13.5% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.2–14.3% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 19 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 19 | 18–20 | 18–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 20 | 19–20 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 19 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 11 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–11 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 6% | 98% | |
| 19 | 54% | 92% | Median |
| 20 | 21% | 37% | |
| 21 | 14% | 16% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 14% | 97% | |
| 19 | 47% | 82% | Median |
| 20 | 27% | 35% | Last Result |
| 21 | 5% | 8% | |
| 22 | 3% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 5% | 97% | |
| 19 | 6% | 91% | |
| 20 | 78% | 86% | Median |
| 21 | 6% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 17 | 17% | 98.6% | |
| 18 | 30% | 82% | |
| 19 | 44% | 52% | Median |
| 20 | 6% | 8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 16% | 97% | |
| 15 | 58% | 80% | Median |
| 16 | 18% | 22% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5% | 100% | |
| 11 | 16% | 95% | |
| 12 | 49% | 80% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 31% | |
| 14 | 15% | 15% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 42% | 92% | Median |
| 12 | 37% | 50% | |
| 13 | 4% | 13% | |
| 14 | 9% | 9% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 23% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 24% | 76% | |
| 10 | 51% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 33% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 61% | 67% | Median |
| 8 | 6% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 8% | 100% | |
| 6 | 58% | 92% | Median |
| 7 | 28% | 34% | |
| 8 | 6% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 27% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 6 | 62% | 73% | Median |
| 7 | 10% | 11% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 52% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 44% | 48% | Last Result |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 31% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 67% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 74 | 22% | 74–76 | 73–77 | 72–78 | 71–79 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 75 | 22% | 73–76 | 73–76 | 72–77 | 70–78 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 73 | 11% | 71–76 | 71–76 | 70–76 | 69–76 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 72 | 2% | 71–73 | 70–74 | 70–75 | 68–76 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 66 | 65 | 0% | 64–67 | 63–67 | 63–68 | 62–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 65 | 0% | 64–68 | 63–68 | 63–68 | 61–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 61 | 0% | 60–64 | 60–64 | 59–65 | 58–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 59 | 0% | 57–61 | 57–62 | 56–63 | 55–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 55 | 0% | 54–58 | 53–58 | 52–59 | 52–59 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 54 | 0% | 53–57 | 52–57 | 51–57 | 50–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 53 | 0% | 52–56 | 51–56 | 51–56 | 49–57 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 53 | 0% | 52–55 | 52–56 | 51–56 | 50–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 53 | 0% | 51–55 | 50–55 | 49–56 | 49–57 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 | 61 | 51 | 0% | 50–54 | 49–54 | 48–54 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 46 | 0% | 45–50 | 45–50 | 44–50 | 43–50 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 47 | 0% | 45–49 | 44–49 | 44–49 | 42–50 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 42 | 0% | 40–42 | 39–43 | 39–44 | 38–44 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 42 | 39 | 0% | 38–41 | 38–41 | 37–42 | 35–42 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 35 | 0% | 34–36 | 33–36 | 32–37 | 30–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 34 | 0% | 33–37 | 33–37 | 32–37 | 31–38 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 27 | 0% | 26–29 | 25–29 | 25–29 | 24–30 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 73 | 5% | 96% | |
| 74 | 46% | 91% | Median |
| 75 | 23% | 45% | |
| 76 | 15% | 22% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 10% | 96% | |
| 74 | 18% | 86% | |
| 75 | 46% | 68% | Median |
| 76 | 20% | 22% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 9% | 97% | |
| 72 | 3% | 88% | |
| 73 | 59% | 84% | Median |
| 74 | 4% | 26% | |
| 75 | 11% | 21% | |
| 76 | 10% | 11% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 5% | 98% | |
| 71 | 12% | 93% | |
| 72 | 50% | 81% | Median |
| 73 | 24% | 31% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 5% | 98% | |
| 64 | 5% | 93% | |
| 65 | 50% | 88% | Median |
| 66 | 16% | 38% | Last Result |
| 67 | 19% | 22% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 5% | 98% | |
| 64 | 42% | 93% | Median |
| 65 | 23% | 51% | |
| 66 | 7% | 28% | |
| 67 | 10% | 22% | |
| 68 | 10% | 11% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 18% | 97% | |
| 61 | 38% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 62 | 12% | 41% | |
| 63 | 8% | 29% | |
| 64 | 17% | 21% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 17% | 97% | |
| 58 | 3% | 80% | Last Result |
| 59 | 43% | 77% | Median |
| 60 | 10% | 34% | |
| 61 | 18% | 25% | |
| 62 | 4% | 6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 5% | 97% | |
| 54 | 9% | 92% | |
| 55 | 52% | 83% | Median |
| 56 | 11% | 31% | |
| 57 | 8% | 21% | Last Result |
| 58 | 10% | 13% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 4% | 97% | |
| 53 | 10% | 92% | |
| 54 | 48% | 82% | Median |
| 55 | 18% | 33% | |
| 56 | 4% | 16% | |
| 57 | 10% | 11% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 5% | 98% | |
| 52 | 6% | 93% | |
| 53 | 58% | 87% | Median |
| 54 | 5% | 28% | |
| 55 | 10% | 23% | |
| 56 | 11% | 12% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 51 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 8% | 97% | |
| 53 | 47% | 89% | Median |
| 54 | 4% | 42% | |
| 55 | 32% | 37% | |
| 56 | 3% | 6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 3% | 100% | |
| 50 | 4% | 97% | |
| 51 | 9% | 93% | |
| 52 | 12% | 84% | |
| 53 | 48% | 72% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 24% | Last Result |
| 55 | 12% | 15% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 6% | 97% | |
| 50 | 8% | 91% | |
| 51 | 47% | 82% | Median |
| 52 | 8% | 35% | |
| 53 | 10% | 28% | |
| 54 | 17% | 17% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 10% | 96% | |
| 46 | 49% | 86% | Median |
| 47 | 14% | 37% | |
| 48 | 5% | 23% | |
| 49 | 7% | 18% | |
| 50 | 10% | 11% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 5% | 98% | |
| 45 | 4% | 93% | |
| 46 | 13% | 90% | |
| 47 | 46% | 77% | Last Result, Median |
| 48 | 13% | 31% | |
| 49 | 16% | 18% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 11% | 95% | |
| 41 | 13% | 84% | |
| 42 | 65% | 71% | Median |
| 43 | 3% | 7% | |
| 44 | 3% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 11% | 95% | |
| 39 | 49% | 84% | Median |
| 40 | 21% | 35% | |
| 41 | 11% | 14% | |
| 42 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 5% | 97% | |
| 34 | 15% | 92% | |
| 35 | 59% | 77% | Median |
| 36 | 14% | 18% | |
| 37 | 3% | 4% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 13% | 96% | |
| 34 | 43% | 82% | Median |
| 35 | 20% | 39% | |
| 36 | 7% | 18% | |
| 37 | 10% | 12% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 26 | 19% | 95% | |
| 27 | 41% | 75% | Median |
| 28 | 16% | 35% | |
| 29 | 17% | 18% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9–14 December 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.99%