Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 19–21 December 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
17.7% |
16.3–19.3% |
15.9–19.8% |
15.5–20.2% |
14.9–21.0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
11.4% |
10.2–12.7% |
9.9–13.1% |
9.6–13.5% |
9.1–14.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
11.0% |
9.8–12.3% |
9.5–12.7% |
9.3–13.0% |
8.7–13.7% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.3% |
9.2–11.6% |
8.9–12.0% |
8.6–12.3% |
8.1–13.0% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.7% |
8.6–10.9% |
8.3–11.3% |
8.0–11.6% |
7.5–12.3% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
9.1% |
8.1–10.3% |
7.8–10.7% |
7.5–11.0% |
7.0–11.6% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
7.2% |
6.3–8.3% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.8–8.9% |
5.4–9.5% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.1% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.6–6.9% |
4.4–7.2% |
4.0–7.7% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.7–5.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.4% |
1.1–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.9–2.3% |
0.7–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
25 |
7% |
97% |
|
26 |
3% |
90% |
|
27 |
3% |
87% |
|
28 |
17% |
84% |
|
29 |
60% |
67% |
Median |
30 |
5% |
7% |
|
31 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
16 |
7% |
96% |
|
17 |
19% |
89% |
|
18 |
52% |
70% |
Median |
19 |
16% |
18% |
|
20 |
1.3% |
2% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
62% |
99.0% |
Median |
16 |
14% |
37% |
|
17 |
2% |
23% |
|
18 |
19% |
22% |
|
19 |
1.3% |
3% |
Last Result |
20 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
14 |
57% |
98.9% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
19% |
42% |
|
16 |
17% |
23% |
|
17 |
2% |
7% |
|
18 |
5% |
5% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
19% |
98% |
|
14 |
14% |
79% |
|
15 |
10% |
65% |
|
16 |
4% |
54% |
|
17 |
47% |
50% |
Median |
18 |
3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
12 |
22% |
99.1% |
|
13 |
52% |
77% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
25% |
|
15 |
15% |
23% |
|
16 |
7% |
8% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
9% |
98.7% |
|
10 |
16% |
90% |
|
11 |
5% |
74% |
|
12 |
65% |
69% |
Median |
13 |
2% |
4% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
8 |
81% |
97% |
Median |
9 |
6% |
16% |
|
10 |
3% |
10% |
|
11 |
7% |
7% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
4% |
98% |
|
8 |
11% |
95% |
|
9 |
71% |
83% |
Median |
10 |
11% |
12% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
27% |
98% |
Last Result |
6 |
65% |
71% |
Median |
7 |
3% |
6% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
74% |
99.6% |
Median |
5 |
5% |
26% |
Last Result |
6 |
15% |
21% |
|
7 |
2% |
5% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
60% |
98.8% |
Median |
3 |
25% |
39% |
Last Result |
4 |
14% |
14% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
8% |
99.5% |
|
2 |
85% |
91% |
Median |
3 |
6% |
7% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
77 |
94% |
76–81 |
75–81 |
73–81 |
72–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
76 |
76% |
74–79 |
71–79 |
71–80 |
71–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
79 |
71% |
73–79 |
72–79 |
72–79 |
71–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
75 |
39% |
73–77 |
72–78 |
70–79 |
69–81 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
73 |
4% |
69–74 |
69–75 |
69–76 |
66–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
67 |
0.2% |
67–70 |
66–72 |
66–72 |
64–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
65 |
0% |
65–68 |
64–70 |
63–70 |
61–72 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
64 |
0% |
60–64 |
60–66 |
60–68 |
58–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
62 |
0% |
60–64 |
59–64 |
57–66 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
62 |
0% |
59–63 |
57–64 |
57–65 |
56–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
61 |
0% |
56–61 |
56–61 |
56–64 |
54–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
59 |
0% |
59–62 |
58–62 |
57–63 |
56–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
57 |
0% |
57–59 |
55–60 |
54–61 |
52–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
56 |
0% |
53–57 |
52–57 |
52–59 |
50–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
56 |
0% |
52–58 |
49–58 |
49–58 |
49–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
44 |
0% |
43–47 |
42–47 |
41–48 |
40–51 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
44 |
0% |
40–44 |
39–45 |
39–46 |
37–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
45 |
0% |
40–46 |
40–46 |
39–46 |
38–46 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
38 |
0% |
33–38 |
33–39 |
33–40 |
33–43 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
32 |
0% |
28–33 |
28–33 |
28–34 |
27–37 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
27 |
0% |
27–28 |
26–30 |
25–30 |
23–31 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
72 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
2% |
98% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
76 |
7% |
94% |
Majority |
77 |
49% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
78 |
6% |
38% |
|
79 |
14% |
32% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
18% |
|
81 |
15% |
17% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
6% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
74 |
2% |
92% |
|
75 |
14% |
90% |
|
76 |
50% |
76% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
4% |
26% |
|
78 |
5% |
21% |
|
79 |
13% |
16% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
7% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
17% |
92% |
|
74 |
4% |
75% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
71% |
|
76 |
2% |
71% |
Majority |
77 |
15% |
69% |
|
78 |
2% |
54% |
|
79 |
50% |
52% |
Median |
80 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
69 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
2% |
98% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
73 |
7% |
94% |
|
74 |
2% |
88% |
Last Result |
75 |
47% |
86% |
Median |
76 |
19% |
39% |
Majority |
77 |
15% |
20% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
79 |
3% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
69 |
13% |
98% |
|
70 |
11% |
85% |
|
71 |
3% |
73% |
|
72 |
7% |
71% |
|
73 |
48% |
64% |
Median |
74 |
10% |
16% |
|
75 |
2% |
6% |
|
76 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
52% |
95% |
Median |
68 |
2% |
43% |
|
69 |
7% |
41% |
|
70 |
24% |
34% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
10% |
|
72 |
7% |
9% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
5% |
95% |
|
65 |
48% |
90% |
Median |
66 |
19% |
42% |
|
67 |
11% |
23% |
|
68 |
2% |
12% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
70 |
6% |
8% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
60 |
14% |
98% |
|
61 |
6% |
85% |
|
62 |
5% |
78% |
|
63 |
4% |
74% |
|
64 |
62% |
70% |
Median |
65 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
66 |
3% |
7% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
68 |
2% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
2% |
98% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
60 |
7% |
94% |
|
61 |
8% |
87% |
|
62 |
60% |
78% |
Median |
63 |
1.2% |
18% |
|
64 |
13% |
17% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
7% |
98.6% |
|
58 |
2% |
92% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
60 |
19% |
89% |
|
61 |
2% |
70% |
|
62 |
52% |
68% |
Median |
63 |
10% |
16% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
65 |
3% |
5% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
14% |
98% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
84% |
|
58 |
13% |
83% |
|
59 |
4% |
70% |
|
60 |
4% |
66% |
|
61 |
58% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
62 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
64 |
2% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
98% |
Last Result |
58 |
2% |
97% |
|
59 |
52% |
95% |
Median |
60 |
6% |
43% |
|
61 |
10% |
38% |
|
62 |
24% |
27% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
98% |
Last Result |
55 |
2% |
97% |
|
56 |
4% |
95% |
|
57 |
51% |
91% |
Median |
58 |
18% |
40% |
|
59 |
16% |
21% |
|
60 |
3% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
8% |
98% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
90% |
|
54 |
3% |
89% |
|
55 |
17% |
86% |
|
56 |
52% |
69% |
Median |
57 |
12% |
17% |
|
58 |
2% |
5% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
6% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
2% |
93% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
52 |
4% |
90% |
|
53 |
25% |
86% |
|
54 |
4% |
60% |
|
55 |
6% |
56% |
|
56 |
3% |
51% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
48% |
|
58 |
47% |
47% |
Median |
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
42 |
3% |
97% |
|
43 |
21% |
94% |
|
44 |
51% |
73% |
Median |
45 |
4% |
21% |
|
46 |
3% |
17% |
|
47 |
11% |
14% |
|
48 |
2% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
50 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
39 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
40 |
13% |
94% |
|
41 |
3% |
81% |
|
42 |
19% |
77% |
|
43 |
3% |
58% |
|
44 |
50% |
55% |
Median |
45 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
46 |
3% |
4% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
40 |
7% |
97% |
|
41 |
14% |
90% |
|
42 |
8% |
76% |
Last Result |
43 |
15% |
68% |
|
44 |
3% |
54% |
|
45 |
2% |
50% |
|
46 |
49% |
49% |
Median |
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
13% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
34 |
6% |
87% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
81% |
|
36 |
2% |
81% |
|
37 |
6% |
79% |
|
38 |
68% |
73% |
Median |
39 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
40 |
3% |
5% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
14% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
29 |
5% |
86% |
|
30 |
3% |
81% |
|
31 |
5% |
77% |
|
32 |
59% |
72% |
Median |
33 |
8% |
13% |
|
34 |
3% |
5% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
24 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
25 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
26 |
4% |
96% |
|
27 |
69% |
93% |
Median |
28 |
16% |
23% |
|
29 |
2% |
8% |
|
30 |
3% |
5% |
|
31 |
2% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 19–21 December 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1054
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.36%