Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 19–21 December 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 17.7% | 16.3–19.3% | 15.9–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.9–21.0% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.2–12.7% | 9.9–13.1% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.1–14.1% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.3–13.0% | 8.7–13.7% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.1–13.0% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 9.7% | 8.6–10.9% | 8.3–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.3% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 9.1% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.8–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 7.2% | 6.3–8.3% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.8–8.9% | 5.4–9.5% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.6–6.9% | 4.4–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 29 | 26–29 | 25–30 | 24–30 | 24–32 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 15 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–21 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 14–16 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 12–18 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 7% | 97% | |
| 26 | 3% | 90% | |
| 27 | 3% | 87% | |
| 28 | 17% | 84% | |
| 29 | 60% | 67% | Median | 
| 30 | 5% | 7% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 7% | 96% | |
| 17 | 19% | 89% | |
| 18 | 52% | 70% | Median | 
| 19 | 16% | 18% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 62% | 99.0% | Median | 
| 16 | 14% | 37% | |
| 17 | 2% | 23% | |
| 18 | 19% | 22% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 57% | 98.9% | Last Result, Median | 
| 15 | 19% | 42% | |
| 16 | 17% | 23% | |
| 17 | 2% | 7% | |
| 18 | 5% | 5% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 19% | 98% | |
| 14 | 14% | 79% | |
| 15 | 10% | 65% | |
| 16 | 4% | 54% | |
| 17 | 47% | 50% | Median | 
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 12 | 22% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 52% | 77% | Median | 
| 14 | 2% | 25% | |
| 15 | 15% | 23% | |
| 16 | 7% | 8% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 9% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 16% | 90% | |
| 11 | 5% | 74% | |
| 12 | 65% | 69% | Median | 
| 13 | 2% | 4% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 81% | 97% | Median | 
| 9 | 6% | 16% | |
| 10 | 3% | 10% | |
| 11 | 7% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 4% | 98% | |
| 8 | 11% | 95% | |
| 9 | 71% | 83% | Median | 
| 10 | 11% | 12% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 27% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 65% | 71% | Median | 
| 7 | 3% | 6% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 74% | 99.6% | Median | 
| 5 | 5% | 26% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 15% | 21% | |
| 7 | 2% | 5% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 60% | 98.8% | Median | 
| 3 | 25% | 39% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 14% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 8% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 85% | 91% | Median | 
| 3 | 6% | 7% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 77 | 94% | 76–81 | 75–81 | 73–81 | 72–83 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 76 | 76% | 74–79 | 71–79 | 71–80 | 71–82 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 79 | 71% | 73–79 | 72–79 | 72–79 | 71–81 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 75 | 39% | 73–77 | 72–78 | 70–79 | 69–81 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 73 | 4% | 69–74 | 69–75 | 69–76 | 66–79 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 67 | 0.2% | 67–70 | 66–72 | 66–72 | 64–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 65 | 0% | 65–68 | 64–70 | 63–70 | 61–72 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 64 | 0% | 60–64 | 60–66 | 60–68 | 58–70 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 62 | 0% | 60–64 | 59–64 | 57–66 | 56–69 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 62 | 0% | 59–63 | 57–64 | 57–65 | 56–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 61 | 0% | 56–61 | 56–61 | 56–64 | 54–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 59 | 0% | 59–62 | 58–62 | 57–63 | 56–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 57 | 0% | 57–59 | 55–60 | 54–61 | 52–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 56 | 0% | 53–57 | 52–57 | 52–59 | 50–61 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 56 | 0% | 52–58 | 49–58 | 49–58 | 49–58 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 44 | 0% | 43–47 | 42–47 | 41–48 | 40–51 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 47 | 44 | 0% | 40–44 | 39–45 | 39–46 | 37–48 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 45 | 0% | 40–46 | 40–46 | 39–46 | 38–46 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 38 | 0% | 33–38 | 33–39 | 33–40 | 33–43 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 32 | 0% | 28–33 | 28–33 | 28–34 | 27–37 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 27 | 0% | 27–28 | 26–30 | 25–30 | 23–31 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 76 | 7% | 94% | Majority | 
| 77 | 49% | 87% | Last Result, Median | 
| 78 | 6% | 38% | |
| 79 | 14% | 32% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 81 | 15% | 17% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 74 | 2% | 92% | |
| 75 | 14% | 90% | |
| 76 | 50% | 76% | Median, Majority | 
| 77 | 4% | 26% | |
| 78 | 5% | 21% | |
| 79 | 13% | 16% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 17% | 92% | |
| 74 | 4% | 75% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 76 | 2% | 71% | Majority | 
| 77 | 15% | 69% | |
| 78 | 2% | 54% | |
| 79 | 50% | 52% | Median | 
| 80 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 73 | 7% | 94% | |
| 74 | 2% | 88% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 47% | 86% | Median | 
| 76 | 19% | 39% | Majority | 
| 77 | 15% | 20% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 13% | 98% | |
| 70 | 11% | 85% | |
| 71 | 3% | 73% | |
| 72 | 7% | 71% | |
| 73 | 48% | 64% | Median | 
| 74 | 10% | 16% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 52% | 95% | Median | 
| 68 | 2% | 43% | |
| 69 | 7% | 41% | |
| 70 | 24% | 34% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 72 | 7% | 9% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 5% | 95% | |
| 65 | 48% | 90% | Median | 
| 66 | 19% | 42% | |
| 67 | 11% | 23% | |
| 68 | 2% | 12% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 70 | 6% | 8% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 14% | 98% | |
| 61 | 6% | 85% | |
| 62 | 5% | 78% | |
| 63 | 4% | 74% | |
| 64 | 62% | 70% | Median | 
| 65 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 66 | 3% | 7% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 60 | 7% | 94% | |
| 61 | 8% | 87% | |
| 62 | 60% | 78% | Median | 
| 63 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 64 | 13% | 17% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 92% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 60 | 19% | 89% | |
| 61 | 2% | 70% | |
| 62 | 52% | 68% | Median | 
| 63 | 10% | 16% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 14% | 98% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 58 | 13% | 83% | |
| 59 | 4% | 70% | |
| 60 | 4% | 66% | |
| 61 | 58% | 62% | Last Result, Median | 
| 62 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 52% | 95% | Median | 
| 60 | 6% | 43% | |
| 61 | 10% | 38% | |
| 62 | 24% | 27% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 4% | 95% | |
| 57 | 51% | 91% | Median | 
| 58 | 18% | 40% | |
| 59 | 16% | 21% | |
| 60 | 3% | 5% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 8% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 54 | 3% | 89% | |
| 55 | 17% | 86% | |
| 56 | 52% | 69% | Median | 
| 57 | 12% | 17% | |
| 58 | 2% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 93% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 52 | 4% | 90% | |
| 53 | 25% | 86% | |
| 54 | 4% | 60% | |
| 55 | 6% | 56% | |
| 56 | 3% | 51% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 48% | |
| 58 | 47% | 47% | Median | 
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 21% | 94% | |
| 44 | 51% | 73% | Median | 
| 45 | 4% | 21% | |
| 46 | 3% | 17% | |
| 47 | 11% | 14% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 40 | 13% | 94% | |
| 41 | 3% | 81% | |
| 42 | 19% | 77% | |
| 43 | 3% | 58% | |
| 44 | 50% | 55% | Median | 
| 45 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 46 | 3% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 1.3% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 7% | 97% | |
| 41 | 14% | 90% | |
| 42 | 8% | 76% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 15% | 68% | |
| 44 | 3% | 54% | |
| 45 | 2% | 50% | |
| 46 | 49% | 49% | Median | 
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 13% | 99.8% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 6% | 87% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 81% | |
| 36 | 2% | 81% | |
| 37 | 6% | 79% | |
| 38 | 68% | 73% | Median | 
| 39 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 14% | 99.2% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 5% | 86% | |
| 30 | 3% | 81% | |
| 31 | 5% | 77% | |
| 32 | 59% | 72% | Median | 
| 33 | 8% | 13% | |
| 34 | 3% | 5% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 26 | 4% | 96% | |
| 27 | 69% | 93% | Median | 
| 28 | 16% | 23% | |
| 29 | 2% | 8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
 - Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
 - Fieldwork period: 19–21 December 2019
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1054
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 2.36%