Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 24–27 January 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
18.1% |
16.6–19.7% |
16.2–20.1% |
15.9–20.5% |
15.2–21.3% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
10.6% |
9.5–12.0% |
9.2–12.3% |
8.9–12.7% |
8.4–13.3% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
10.3% |
9.1–11.6% |
8.8–11.9% |
8.6–12.3% |
8.1–12.9% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.9% |
8.8–11.2% |
8.5–11.5% |
8.2–11.8% |
7.7–12.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.4% |
8.3–10.7% |
8.0–11.0% |
7.8–11.3% |
7.3–12.0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.2% |
8.2–10.5% |
7.9–10.8% |
7.6–11.1% |
7.1–11.8% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.1% |
7.1–9.3% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.6–9.9% |
6.1–10.5% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.1% |
5.0–7.4% |
4.8–7.7% |
4.4–8.2% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.5% |
4.5–6.8% |
4.3–7.1% |
3.9–7.6% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.3% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.7–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
2% |
97% |
|
26 |
4% |
95% |
|
27 |
4% |
91% |
|
28 |
70% |
87% |
Median |
29 |
4% |
17% |
|
30 |
12% |
14% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
2% |
97% |
|
15 |
10% |
95% |
|
16 |
6% |
85% |
|
17 |
71% |
79% |
Median |
18 |
7% |
9% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
14 |
8% |
96% |
|
15 |
70% |
88% |
Median |
16 |
11% |
18% |
|
17 |
5% |
7% |
|
18 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
19 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
10% |
98% |
|
14 |
4% |
88% |
Last Result |
15 |
68% |
84% |
Median |
16 |
8% |
16% |
|
17 |
5% |
8% |
|
18 |
3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
5% |
93% |
|
14 |
5% |
89% |
|
15 |
78% |
83% |
Median |
16 |
2% |
5% |
|
17 |
2% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
13 |
5% |
94% |
|
14 |
9% |
89% |
|
15 |
11% |
80% |
|
16 |
4% |
69% |
|
17 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
18 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
11 |
78% |
96% |
Median |
12 |
8% |
18% |
|
13 |
5% |
10% |
|
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
16 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
2% |
100% |
|
7 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
8 |
79% |
96% |
Median |
9 |
6% |
17% |
|
10 |
4% |
11% |
|
11 |
4% |
7% |
|
12 |
3% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
5% |
96% |
|
8 |
79% |
91% |
Median |
9 |
10% |
12% |
|
10 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
70% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
10% |
28% |
|
7 |
10% |
18% |
|
8 |
8% |
8% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
5 |
14% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
6 |
76% |
85% |
Median |
7 |
7% |
10% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
2 |
75% |
99.4% |
Median |
3 |
18% |
25% |
Last Result |
4 |
7% |
7% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
77% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
20% |
23% |
|
3 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
77 |
78% |
74–77 |
72–77 |
71–80 |
69–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
79 |
87% |
75–79 |
74–79 |
73–79 |
71–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
77 |
81% |
72–77 |
71–78 |
70–78 |
68–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
74 |
77 |
74% |
72–77 |
71–77 |
70–77 |
68–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
72 |
0.2% |
69–72 |
67–72 |
66–74 |
64–75 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
72 |
0.2% |
67–72 |
66–72 |
64–74 |
64–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
70 |
0% |
66–70 |
64–70 |
63–71 |
61–72 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
64 |
0% |
59–64 |
58–64 |
57–65 |
56–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
64 |
0% |
60–64 |
58–64 |
57–64 |
55–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
62 |
0% |
58–62 |
57–63 |
56–63 |
53–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
62 |
0% |
58–62 |
55–62 |
55–62 |
52–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
60 |
0% |
56–60 |
55–61 |
54–61 |
52–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
60 |
0% |
55–60 |
53–60 |
52–60 |
51–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
56 |
0% |
52–56 |
51–56 |
49–57 |
47–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
54 |
0% |
53–56 |
51–57 |
49–57 |
48–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
45 |
0% |
41–45 |
40–45 |
39–45 |
36–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
43 |
0% |
41–43 |
40–45 |
38–45 |
36–46 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
43 |
0% |
39–43 |
36–43 |
36–44 |
35–46 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
38 |
0% |
33–38 |
31–38 |
30–38 |
30–39 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
32 |
0% |
27–32 |
25–32 |
25–32 |
23–32 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
28 |
0% |
25–28 |
24–28 |
23–29 |
22–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
72 |
3% |
97% |
|
73 |
2% |
94% |
|
74 |
11% |
92% |
|
75 |
3% |
81% |
|
76 |
6% |
78% |
Majority |
77 |
67% |
72% |
Median |
78 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
80 |
3% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
74 |
3% |
97% |
|
75 |
7% |
94% |
|
76 |
6% |
87% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
81% |
Last Result |
78 |
4% |
78% |
|
79 |
73% |
74% |
Median |
80 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
71 |
5% |
96% |
|
72 |
6% |
91% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
85% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
84% |
|
75 |
2% |
83% |
|
76 |
7% |
81% |
Majority |
77 |
68% |
74% |
Median |
78 |
4% |
6% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
71 |
5% |
97% |
|
72 |
3% |
92% |
|
73 |
7% |
89% |
|
74 |
2% |
82% |
Last Result |
75 |
6% |
80% |
|
76 |
6% |
74% |
Majority |
77 |
66% |
68% |
Median |
78 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
66 |
2% |
98% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
68 |
4% |
95% |
|
69 |
2% |
90% |
|
70 |
6% |
88% |
|
71 |
9% |
82% |
|
72 |
68% |
73% |
Median |
73 |
2% |
5% |
|
74 |
2% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
66 |
2% |
96% |
|
67 |
7% |
94% |
|
68 |
3% |
87% |
|
69 |
2% |
84% |
|
70 |
4% |
82% |
|
71 |
8% |
78% |
|
72 |
66% |
70% |
Median |
73 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
74 |
2% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
63 |
2% |
98% |
|
64 |
2% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
95% |
|
66 |
6% |
92% |
|
67 |
2% |
86% |
|
68 |
10% |
85% |
|
69 |
4% |
74% |
|
70 |
67% |
70% |
Median |
71 |
3% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
2% |
97% |
|
59 |
7% |
94% |
|
60 |
3% |
87% |
|
61 |
3% |
84% |
|
62 |
4% |
81% |
|
63 |
5% |
76% |
|
64 |
67% |
71% |
Median |
65 |
2% |
4% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
2% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
98% |
Last Result |
58 |
3% |
97% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
60 |
5% |
93% |
|
61 |
6% |
88% |
|
62 |
7% |
82% |
|
63 |
7% |
75% |
|
64 |
66% |
68% |
Median |
65 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
56 |
2% |
98% |
|
57 |
3% |
97% |
|
58 |
6% |
94% |
|
59 |
3% |
88% |
|
60 |
3% |
85% |
|
61 |
7% |
82% |
|
62 |
67% |
75% |
Median |
63 |
5% |
7% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
Last Result |
55 |
3% |
98% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
57 |
4% |
94% |
|
58 |
8% |
90% |
|
59 |
7% |
82% |
|
60 |
8% |
75% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
68% |
|
62 |
66% |
67% |
Median |
63 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
54 |
3% |
98% |
|
55 |
3% |
96% |
|
56 |
5% |
92% |
|
57 |
5% |
87% |
|
58 |
5% |
82% |
|
59 |
3% |
77% |
|
60 |
66% |
73% |
Median |
61 |
7% |
8% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
54 |
4% |
95% |
|
55 |
6% |
91% |
|
56 |
4% |
85% |
|
57 |
2% |
81% |
|
58 |
5% |
80% |
|
59 |
4% |
75% |
|
60 |
71% |
71% |
Median |
61 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
51 |
2% |
96% |
|
52 |
5% |
94% |
|
53 |
4% |
89% |
|
54 |
4% |
86% |
|
55 |
3% |
82% |
|
56 |
74% |
79% |
Median |
57 |
3% |
5% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
51 |
3% |
97% |
|
52 |
2% |
93% |
|
53 |
5% |
91% |
|
54 |
69% |
86% |
Median |
55 |
1.4% |
17% |
|
56 |
9% |
16% |
|
57 |
5% |
7% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
39 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
40 |
5% |
95% |
|
41 |
6% |
90% |
|
42 |
3% |
84% |
|
43 |
3% |
82% |
|
44 |
6% |
78% |
|
45 |
71% |
72% |
Median |
46 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
2% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
40 |
3% |
96% |
|
41 |
4% |
94% |
|
42 |
6% |
89% |
Last Result |
43 |
73% |
83% |
Median |
44 |
2% |
10% |
|
45 |
8% |
8% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
37 |
3% |
95% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
92% |
|
39 |
2% |
91% |
|
40 |
6% |
89% |
|
41 |
9% |
83% |
|
42 |
3% |
74% |
|
43 |
67% |
70% |
Median |
44 |
2% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
1.5% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
32 |
2% |
94% |
|
33 |
4% |
92% |
Last Result |
34 |
4% |
88% |
|
35 |
9% |
84% |
|
36 |
5% |
75% |
|
37 |
3% |
71% |
|
38 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
39 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
25 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
26 |
4% |
95% |
|
27 |
3% |
91% |
|
28 |
5% |
88% |
Last Result |
29 |
6% |
84% |
|
30 |
9% |
78% |
|
31 |
1.0% |
69% |
|
32 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
33 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
22 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
23 |
2% |
98% |
|
24 |
6% |
96% |
|
25 |
3% |
90% |
|
26 |
10% |
87% |
|
27 |
3% |
76% |
|
28 |
70% |
74% |
Median |
29 |
3% |
4% |
|
30 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24–27 January 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1052
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.77%