Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 21–24 February 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
17.1% |
15.6–18.7% |
15.2–19.1% |
14.9–19.5% |
14.2–20.3% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
11.8% |
10.6–13.2% |
10.3–13.6% |
10.0–14.0% |
9.4–14.6% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
9.8% |
8.7–11.1% |
8.4–11.4% |
8.1–11.8% |
7.6–12.4% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.6% |
8.5–10.9% |
8.2–11.2% |
7.9–11.6% |
7.5–12.2% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.6% |
7.9–10.9% |
7.7–11.2% |
7.2–11.9% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.2% |
8.1–10.5% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.6–11.1% |
7.1–11.8% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.6% |
7.0–9.9% |
6.8–10.2% |
6.3–10.8% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
4.9% |
4.2–5.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.8–6.4% |
3.4–7.0% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.9–5.2% |
2.6–5.7% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
1.2–3.0% |
1.1–3.3% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.3% |
1.0–2.5% |
0.8–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
24 |
8% |
96% |
|
25 |
69% |
88% |
Median |
26 |
4% |
19% |
|
27 |
2% |
14% |
|
28 |
3% |
12% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
30 |
5% |
9% |
|
31 |
4% |
4% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
15 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
16 |
71% |
98% |
Median |
17 |
5% |
28% |
|
18 |
5% |
22% |
|
19 |
12% |
17% |
|
20 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
10% |
98% |
|
14 |
72% |
88% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
16% |
|
16 |
4% |
10% |
|
17 |
2% |
6% |
|
18 |
4% |
4% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
13 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
7% |
96% |
Last Result |
15 |
9% |
89% |
|
16 |
80% |
81% |
Median |
17 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
6% |
95% |
|
14 |
9% |
89% |
|
15 |
73% |
80% |
Median |
16 |
3% |
6% |
|
17 |
2% |
4% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
3% |
94% |
|
13 |
7% |
91% |
|
14 |
78% |
84% |
Median |
15 |
2% |
6% |
|
16 |
3% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
68% |
97% |
Median |
12 |
19% |
30% |
|
13 |
3% |
10% |
|
14 |
2% |
7% |
|
15 |
4% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
12% |
97% |
|
10 |
13% |
85% |
|
11 |
71% |
72% |
Median |
12 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
6 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
7 |
79% |
95% |
Median |
8 |
9% |
16% |
|
9 |
4% |
7% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
8% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
6 |
12% |
92% |
|
7 |
75% |
80% |
Median |
8 |
3% |
5% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
16% |
95% |
Last Result |
6 |
74% |
79% |
Median |
7 |
4% |
4% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
13% |
98% |
|
3 |
75% |
85% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
10% |
10% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
22% |
97% |
|
3 |
75% |
75% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
73 |
21% |
73–77 |
73–80 |
72–80 |
70–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
74 |
14% |
72–76 |
70–77 |
69–80 |
67–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
74 |
70 |
8% |
70–75 |
70–78 |
70–78 |
67–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
72 |
4% |
71–75 |
70–75 |
67–76 |
67–77 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
70 |
0% |
67–71 |
67–72 |
66–72 |
63–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
68 |
0% |
66–70 |
65–70 |
64–72 |
62–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
65 |
0% |
63–66 |
62–68 |
62–69 |
60–70 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
63 |
0% |
60–63 |
59–63 |
59–65 |
56–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
56 |
0% |
56–60 |
55–64 |
54–64 |
52–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
58 |
0% |
58–61 |
56–63 |
53–64 |
53–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
57 |
0% |
56–60 |
55–61 |
55–62 |
52–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
54 |
0% |
53–56 |
53–59 |
52–60 |
50–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
54 |
0% |
51–56 |
50–57 |
50–58 |
48–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
51 |
0% |
51–55 |
49–56 |
48–57 |
48–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
50 |
0% |
50–54 |
49–56 |
48–56 |
47–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
40 |
0% |
38–43 |
37–45 |
36–45 |
36–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
39 |
0% |
38–42 |
36–44 |
36–44 |
35–44 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
40 |
0% |
38–41 |
38–43 |
37–43 |
37–45 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
36 |
0% |
32–36 |
32–36 |
31–37 |
30–38 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
29 |
0% |
26–29 |
25–30 |
25–31 |
24–31 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
26 |
0% |
26–28 |
25–29 |
24–29 |
24–31 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
73 |
68% |
95% |
Median |
74 |
2% |
28% |
|
75 |
5% |
25% |
|
76 |
9% |
21% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
12% |
Last Result |
78 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
80 |
4% |
7% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
83 |
2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
3% |
96% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
72 |
4% |
93% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
74 |
68% |
88% |
Median |
75 |
7% |
20% |
|
76 |
4% |
14% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
10% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
80 |
4% |
4% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
70 |
69% |
98% |
Median |
71 |
1.3% |
29% |
|
72 |
13% |
28% |
|
73 |
2% |
15% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
12% |
Last Result |
75 |
3% |
11% |
|
76 |
2% |
8% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
78 |
4% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
70 |
4% |
96% |
|
71 |
4% |
92% |
|
72 |
67% |
89% |
Median |
73 |
3% |
21% |
|
74 |
6% |
18% |
|
75 |
8% |
12% |
|
76 |
3% |
4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
66 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
67 |
8% |
96% |
|
68 |
5% |
88% |
|
69 |
3% |
83% |
|
70 |
69% |
80% |
Median |
71 |
4% |
11% |
|
72 |
5% |
7% |
|
73 |
2% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
3% |
98% |
|
65 |
3% |
95% |
|
66 |
5% |
92% |
|
67 |
5% |
87% |
|
68 |
68% |
82% |
Median |
69 |
2% |
14% |
|
70 |
9% |
13% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
74 |
2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
62 |
4% |
98% |
|
63 |
8% |
94% |
|
64 |
4% |
86% |
|
65 |
67% |
82% |
Median |
66 |
6% |
15% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
9% |
|
68 |
5% |
8% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
70 |
2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
59 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
60 |
7% |
95% |
|
61 |
6% |
88% |
|
62 |
8% |
82% |
|
63 |
69% |
74% |
Median |
64 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
65 |
3% |
4% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
55 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
56 |
69% |
94% |
Median |
57 |
4% |
25% |
|
58 |
2% |
21% |
|
59 |
8% |
19% |
|
60 |
2% |
11% |
|
61 |
2% |
9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
64 |
6% |
6% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
3% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
56 |
3% |
96% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
58 |
67% |
92% |
Median |
59 |
5% |
24% |
|
60 |
4% |
20% |
|
61 |
10% |
15% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
64 |
5% |
5% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
55 |
5% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
93% |
|
57 |
74% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
58 |
2% |
16% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
14% |
|
60 |
5% |
12% |
|
61 |
4% |
7% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
64 |
2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
52 |
3% |
98% |
|
53 |
7% |
96% |
|
54 |
70% |
89% |
Last Result, Median |
55 |
4% |
19% |
|
56 |
6% |
15% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
9% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
59 |
4% |
7% |
|
60 |
3% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
4% |
98% |
|
51 |
5% |
94% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
53 |
5% |
89% |
|
54 |
67% |
84% |
Median |
55 |
3% |
17% |
|
56 |
5% |
14% |
|
57 |
5% |
9% |
|
58 |
3% |
4% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
3% |
96% |
|
50 |
2% |
94% |
|
51 |
67% |
92% |
Median |
52 |
4% |
25% |
|
53 |
4% |
21% |
|
54 |
2% |
17% |
|
55 |
8% |
15% |
|
56 |
3% |
7% |
|
57 |
4% |
4% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
49 |
3% |
96% |
|
50 |
71% |
93% |
Median |
51 |
4% |
23% |
|
52 |
2% |
19% |
|
53 |
3% |
17% |
|
54 |
7% |
14% |
|
55 |
2% |
7% |
|
56 |
4% |
5% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
5% |
96% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
91% |
|
39 |
2% |
90% |
|
40 |
72% |
88% |
Median |
41 |
0.9% |
16% |
|
42 |
3% |
15% |
|
43 |
5% |
13% |
|
44 |
2% |
7% |
|
45 |
6% |
6% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
37 |
4% |
95% |
|
38 |
4% |
91% |
|
39 |
69% |
87% |
Median |
40 |
3% |
17% |
|
41 |
3% |
14% |
|
42 |
6% |
12% |
Last Result |
43 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
44 |
5% |
5% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
6% |
96% |
|
39 |
5% |
90% |
|
40 |
71% |
84% |
Median |
41 |
5% |
14% |
|
42 |
2% |
9% |
|
43 |
4% |
7% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
32 |
7% |
95% |
|
33 |
5% |
88% |
Last Result |
34 |
3% |
83% |
|
35 |
2% |
80% |
|
36 |
74% |
78% |
Median |
37 |
2% |
4% |
|
38 |
2% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
5% |
98% |
|
26 |
5% |
93% |
|
27 |
7% |
89% |
|
28 |
2% |
81% |
Last Result |
29 |
72% |
79% |
Median |
30 |
4% |
7% |
|
31 |
3% |
3% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
5% |
96% |
|
26 |
73% |
90% |
Median |
27 |
7% |
17% |
|
28 |
5% |
11% |
|
29 |
4% |
6% |
|
30 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 21–24 February 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1031
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.42%