Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 21–24 February 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 17.1% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.9–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.3–13.6% | 10.0–14.0% | 9.4–14.6% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.4% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.4% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.5–12.2% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.2% | 7.2–11.9% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.1–10.5% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.6–11.1% | 7.1–11.8% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.8–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.4–7.0% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.6–5.7% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.1–3.3% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.8–2.9% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 25 | 24–28 | 24–30 | 22–31 | 22–31 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 16 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 14 | 13–15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 11–17 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 13–14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 11 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 24 | 8% | 96% | |
| 25 | 69% | 88% | Median | 
| 26 | 4% | 19% | |
| 27 | 2% | 14% | |
| 28 | 3% | 12% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 30 | 5% | 9% | |
| 31 | 4% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 71% | 98% | Median | 
| 17 | 5% | 28% | |
| 18 | 5% | 22% | |
| 19 | 12% | 17% | |
| 20 | 4% | 5% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 10% | 98% | |
| 14 | 72% | 88% | Median | 
| 15 | 6% | 16% | |
| 16 | 4% | 10% | |
| 17 | 2% | 6% | |
| 18 | 4% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 14 | 7% | 96% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 9% | 89% | |
| 16 | 80% | 81% | Median | 
| 17 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 6% | 95% | |
| 14 | 9% | 89% | |
| 15 | 73% | 80% | Median | 
| 16 | 3% | 6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 4% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 3% | 94% | |
| 13 | 7% | 91% | |
| 14 | 78% | 84% | Median | 
| 15 | 2% | 6% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 68% | 97% | Median | 
| 12 | 19% | 30% | |
| 13 | 3% | 10% | |
| 14 | 2% | 7% | |
| 15 | 4% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 12% | 97% | |
| 10 | 13% | 85% | |
| 11 | 71% | 72% | Median | 
| 12 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 6 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 79% | 95% | Median | 
| 8 | 9% | 16% | |
| 9 | 4% | 7% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 8% | 99.7% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 12% | 92% | |
| 7 | 75% | 80% | Median | 
| 8 | 3% | 5% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 16% | 95% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 74% | 79% | Median | 
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 13% | 98% | |
| 3 | 75% | 85% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 10% | 10% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 22% | 97% | |
| 3 | 75% | 75% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 73 | 21% | 73–77 | 73–80 | 72–80 | 70–83 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 74 | 14% | 72–76 | 70–77 | 69–80 | 67–80 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 70 | 8% | 70–75 | 70–78 | 70–78 | 67–79 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 72 | 4% | 71–75 | 70–75 | 67–76 | 67–77 | 
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 70 | 0% | 67–71 | 67–72 | 66–72 | 63–73 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 68 | 0% | 66–70 | 65–70 | 64–72 | 62–74 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 65 | 0% | 63–66 | 62–68 | 62–69 | 60–70 | 
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 63 | 0% | 60–63 | 59–63 | 59–65 | 56–66 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 56 | 0% | 56–60 | 55–64 | 54–64 | 52–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 58 | 0% | 58–61 | 56–63 | 53–64 | 53–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 57 | 0% | 56–60 | 55–61 | 55–62 | 52–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 54 | 0% | 53–56 | 53–59 | 52–60 | 50–60 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 54 | 0% | 51–56 | 50–57 | 50–58 | 48–59 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 51 | 0% | 51–55 | 49–56 | 48–57 | 48–57 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 50 | 0% | 50–54 | 49–56 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 40 | 0% | 38–43 | 37–45 | 36–45 | 36–45 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 39 | 0% | 38–42 | 36–44 | 36–44 | 35–44 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 47 | 40 | 0% | 38–41 | 38–43 | 37–43 | 37–45 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 36 | 0% | 32–36 | 32–36 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 29 | 0% | 26–29 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 24–31 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 26 | 0% | 26–28 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 24–31 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 73 | 68% | 95% | Median | 
| 74 | 2% | 28% | |
| 75 | 5% | 25% | |
| 76 | 9% | 21% | Majority | 
| 77 | 4% | 12% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 80 | 4% | 7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 83 | 2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 72 | 4% | 93% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 74 | 68% | 88% | Median | 
| 75 | 7% | 20% | |
| 76 | 4% | 14% | Majority | 
| 77 | 5% | 10% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 80 | 4% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 70 | 69% | 98% | Median | 
| 71 | 1.3% | 29% | |
| 72 | 13% | 28% | |
| 73 | 2% | 15% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 12% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 3% | 11% | |
| 76 | 2% | 8% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 4% | 6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 70 | 4% | 96% | |
| 71 | 4% | 92% | |
| 72 | 67% | 89% | Median | 
| 73 | 3% | 21% | |
| 74 | 6% | 18% | |
| 75 | 8% | 12% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 8% | 96% | |
| 68 | 5% | 88% | |
| 69 | 3% | 83% | |
| 70 | 69% | 80% | Median | 
| 71 | 4% | 11% | |
| 72 | 5% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 5% | 92% | |
| 67 | 5% | 87% | |
| 68 | 68% | 82% | Median | 
| 69 | 2% | 14% | |
| 70 | 9% | 13% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 4% | 98% | |
| 63 | 8% | 94% | |
| 64 | 4% | 86% | |
| 65 | 67% | 82% | Median | 
| 66 | 6% | 15% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 68 | 5% | 8% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 7% | 95% | |
| 61 | 6% | 88% | |
| 62 | 8% | 82% | |
| 63 | 69% | 74% | Median | 
| 64 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.0% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 56 | 69% | 94% | Median | 
| 57 | 4% | 25% | |
| 58 | 2% | 21% | |
| 59 | 8% | 19% | |
| 60 | 2% | 11% | |
| 61 | 2% | 9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 64 | 6% | 6% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 58 | 67% | 92% | Median | 
| 59 | 5% | 24% | |
| 60 | 4% | 20% | |
| 61 | 10% | 15% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 64 | 5% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 55 | 5% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 93% | |
| 57 | 74% | 90% | Last Result, Median | 
| 58 | 2% | 16% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 14% | |
| 60 | 5% | 12% | |
| 61 | 4% | 7% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 7% | 96% | |
| 54 | 70% | 89% | Last Result, Median | 
| 55 | 4% | 19% | |
| 56 | 6% | 15% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 59 | 4% | 7% | |
| 60 | 3% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 4% | 98% | |
| 51 | 5% | 94% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 53 | 5% | 89% | |
| 54 | 67% | 84% | Median | 
| 55 | 3% | 17% | |
| 56 | 5% | 14% | |
| 57 | 5% | 9% | |
| 58 | 3% | 4% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 2% | 94% | |
| 51 | 67% | 92% | Median | 
| 52 | 4% | 25% | |
| 53 | 4% | 21% | |
| 54 | 2% | 17% | |
| 55 | 8% | 15% | |
| 56 | 3% | 7% | |
| 57 | 4% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 71% | 93% | Median | 
| 51 | 4% | 23% | |
| 52 | 2% | 19% | |
| 53 | 3% | 17% | |
| 54 | 7% | 14% | |
| 55 | 2% | 7% | |
| 56 | 4% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 5% | 96% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 39 | 2% | 90% | |
| 40 | 72% | 88% | Median | 
| 41 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 42 | 3% | 15% | |
| 43 | 5% | 13% | |
| 44 | 2% | 7% | |
| 45 | 6% | 6% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 37 | 4% | 95% | |
| 38 | 4% | 91% | |
| 39 | 69% | 87% | Median | 
| 40 | 3% | 17% | |
| 41 | 3% | 14% | |
| 42 | 6% | 12% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 44 | 5% | 5% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 6% | 96% | |
| 39 | 5% | 90% | |
| 40 | 71% | 84% | Median | 
| 41 | 5% | 14% | |
| 42 | 2% | 9% | |
| 43 | 4% | 7% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 7% | 95% | |
| 33 | 5% | 88% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 3% | 83% | |
| 35 | 2% | 80% | |
| 36 | 74% | 78% | Median | 
| 37 | 2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 5% | 98% | |
| 26 | 5% | 93% | |
| 27 | 7% | 89% | |
| 28 | 2% | 81% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 72% | 79% | Median | 
| 30 | 4% | 7% | |
| 31 | 3% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 5% | 96% | |
| 26 | 73% | 90% | Median | 
| 27 | 7% | 17% | |
| 28 | 5% | 11% | |
| 29 | 4% | 6% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
 - Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
 - Fieldwork period: 21–24 February 2020
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1031
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 2.42%