Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 27–30 March 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 22.3% | 20.7–24.1% | 20.2–24.6% | 19.8–25.0% | 19.1–25.8% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.6% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.1% | 7.8–11.4% | 7.3–12.1% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–12.0% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.5% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.1–11.9% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.7–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 35 | 33–36 | 31–37 | 31–37 | 30–40 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 16 | 14–16 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 12 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 10 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 8 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 5% | 98% | |
| 32 | 3% | 94% | |
| 33 | 4% | 91% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 6% | 87% | |
| 35 | 64% | 81% | Median | 
| 36 | 11% | 17% | |
| 37 | 4% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 10% | 93% | |
| 15 | 10% | 84% | |
| 16 | 64% | 74% | Median | 
| 17 | 4% | 10% | |
| 18 | 3% | 6% | |
| 19 | 3% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 15% | 96% | |
| 14 | 17% | 81% | |
| 15 | 5% | 65% | |
| 16 | 59% | 59% | Median | 
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 11% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 4% | 89% | |
| 14 | 67% | 85% | Median | 
| 15 | 4% | 18% | |
| 16 | 12% | 14% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 4% | 96% | |
| 13 | 5% | 92% | |
| 14 | 9% | 87% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 20% | 78% | |
| 16 | 57% | 59% | Median | 
| 17 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 4% | 96% | |
| 12 | 65% | 92% | Median | 
| 13 | 7% | 26% | |
| 14 | 12% | 19% | |
| 15 | 6% | 7% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 6% | 98% | |
| 10 | 68% | 92% | Median | 
| 11 | 14% | 24% | |
| 12 | 7% | 9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 64% | 93% | Median | 
| 9 | 17% | 29% | |
| 10 | 7% | 12% | |
| 11 | 3% | 5% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 25% | 94% | |
| 7 | 7% | 69% | |
| 8 | 61% | 62% | Median | 
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 57% | 98% | Last Result, Median | 
| 6 | 24% | 41% | |
| 7 | 14% | 17% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 61% | 98% | Last Result, Median | 
| 6 | 12% | 37% | |
| 7 | 18% | 25% | |
| 8 | 7% | 7% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 77% | 99.8% | Median | 
| 3 | 14% | 22% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 8% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 62% | 93% | Median | 
| 3 | 23% | 30% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 82 | 99.5% | 80–84 | 78–85 | 77–85 | 76–86 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 82 | 99.7% | 80–84 | 78–85 | 77–85 | 76–87 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 77 | 93% | 76–80 | 74–81 | 73–81 | 71–82 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 75 | 14% | 73–77 | 71–78 | 70–78 | 68–80 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 69 | 0.7% | 68–73 | 68–75 | 67–75 | 65–76 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 67 | 0.1% | 66–71 | 65–71 | 64–72 | 62–73 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 71 | 0% | 66–71 | 65–71 | 64–72 | 62–74 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 66 | 0% | 66–70 | 64–71 | 64–71 | 62–72 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 65 | 0% | 62–66 | 60–68 | 60–69 | 59–69 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 65 | 0% | 61–65 | 60–65 | 59–66 | 58–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 61 | 0% | 60–64 | 59–65 | 58–66 | 56–67 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 63 | 0% | 59–64 | 58–64 | 57–66 | 55–68 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 61 | 0% | 60–63 | 59–64 | 58–64 | 55–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 63 | 0% | 59–63 | 59–64 | 57–64 | 56–65 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 59 | 0% | 58–61 | 57–62 | 55–63 | 53–65 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 49 | 0% | 47–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 43–54 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 51 | 0% | 47–51 | 46–51 | 45–51 | 44–53 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 42 | 0% | 39–43 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 35 | 0% | 31–36 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 30–40 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 30 | 0% | 25–30 | 25–31 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 26 | 0% | 26–29 | 25–29 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Majority | 
| 77 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 4% | 97% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 80 | 7% | 91% | |
| 81 | 3% | 85% | |
| 82 | 57% | 82% | Median | 
| 83 | 12% | 25% | |
| 84 | 3% | 13% | |
| 85 | 9% | 10% | |
| 86 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 99.7% | Majority | 
| 77 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 3% | 94% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 81 | 11% | 89% | |
| 82 | 63% | 79% | Median | 
| 83 | 6% | 16% | |
| 84 | 3% | 10% | |
| 85 | 5% | 7% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 97% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 76 | 18% | 93% | Majority | 
| 77 | 57% | 75% | Last Result, Median | 
| 78 | 3% | 18% | |
| 79 | 2% | 15% | |
| 80 | 6% | 13% | |
| 81 | 6% | 6% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 73 | 6% | 93% | |
| 74 | 18% | 87% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 55% | 69% | Median | 
| 76 | 1.0% | 14% | Majority | 
| 77 | 5% | 14% | |
| 78 | 6% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 12% | 97% | |
| 69 | 55% | 85% | Median | 
| 70 | 4% | 29% | |
| 71 | 9% | 25% | |
| 72 | 5% | 17% | |
| 73 | 2% | 11% | |
| 74 | 3% | 9% | |
| 75 | 6% | 7% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 12% | 94% | |
| 67 | 57% | 82% | Median | 
| 68 | 3% | 25% | |
| 69 | 8% | 22% | |
| 70 | 3% | 14% | |
| 71 | 7% | 11% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 6% | 97% | |
| 66 | 10% | 91% | |
| 67 | 3% | 81% | |
| 68 | 6% | 78% | |
| 69 | 11% | 72% | |
| 70 | 2% | 61% | |
| 71 | 54% | 59% | Median | 
| 72 | 3% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 5% | 98% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 66 | 56% | 92% | Median | 
| 67 | 6% | 36% | |
| 68 | 12% | 30% | |
| 69 | 7% | 18% | |
| 70 | 5% | 11% | |
| 71 | 5% | 6% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 62 | 5% | 93% | |
| 63 | 6% | 89% | |
| 64 | 14% | 83% | |
| 65 | 56% | 69% | Median | 
| 66 | 6% | 12% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 68 | 3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 73 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 5% | 97% | |
| 61 | 9% | 92% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 5% | 83% | |
| 63 | 10% | 77% | |
| 64 | 2% | 67% | |
| 65 | 61% | 65% | Median | 
| 66 | 2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.5% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 10% | 95% | |
| 61 | 60% | 84% | Median | 
| 62 | 8% | 24% | |
| 63 | 4% | 16% | |
| 64 | 2% | 12% | |
| 65 | 6% | 10% | |
| 66 | 3% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 6% | 95% | |
| 60 | 10% | 88% | |
| 61 | 5% | 78% | |
| 62 | 5% | 73% | |
| 63 | 57% | 68% | Median | 
| 64 | 6% | 11% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 66 | 3% | 4% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 5% | 94% | |
| 61 | 58% | 89% | Median | 
| 62 | 16% | 31% | |
| 63 | 7% | 14% | |
| 64 | 6% | 7% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 59 | 8% | 95% | |
| 60 | 5% | 87% | |
| 61 | 6% | 82% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 3% | 76% | |
| 63 | 65% | 73% | Median | 
| 64 | 6% | 8% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.3% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 4% | 96% | |
| 58 | 12% | 92% | |
| 59 | 60% | 80% | Median | 
| 60 | 7% | 20% | |
| 61 | 6% | 13% | |
| 62 | 3% | 7% | |
| 63 | 4% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 46 | 4% | 98% | |
| 47 | 6% | 94% | |
| 48 | 11% | 88% | |
| 49 | 60% | 77% | Median | 
| 50 | 7% | 17% | |
| 51 | 9% | 10% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 6% | 97% | |
| 47 | 5% | 91% | |
| 48 | 3% | 86% | |
| 49 | 22% | 83% | |
| 50 | 2% | 61% | |
| 51 | 57% | 58% | Median | 
| 52 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 4% | 97% | |
| 39 | 9% | 93% | |
| 40 | 6% | 84% | |
| 41 | 6% | 78% | |
| 42 | 57% | 71% | Median | 
| 43 | 9% | 15% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 45 | 4% | 5% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 12% | 99.0% | |
| 32 | 2% | 87% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 85% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 3% | 84% | |
| 35 | 65% | 81% | Median | 
| 36 | 8% | 16% | |
| 37 | 5% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 12% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 27 | 3% | 86% | |
| 28 | 10% | 83% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 7% | 73% | |
| 30 | 59% | 66% | Median | 
| 31 | 3% | 7% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 26 | 68% | 94% | Median | 
| 27 | 7% | 25% | |
| 28 | 7% | 19% | |
| 29 | 7% | 12% | |
| 30 | 4% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
 - Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
 - Fieldwork period: 27–30 March 2020
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1013
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 2.12%