Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 27–30 March 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
22.3% |
20.7–24.1% |
20.2–24.6% |
19.8–25.0% |
19.1–25.8% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.3% |
8.5–11.6% |
8.3–12.0% |
7.8–12.6% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.5% |
8.4–10.8% |
8.1–11.1% |
7.8–11.4% |
7.3–12.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.4% |
8.3–10.7% |
8.0–11.0% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–12.0% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.5% |
7.9–10.9% |
7.6–11.2% |
7.1–11.9% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.7–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.3% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
5.0–8.0% |
4.6–8.6% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.2–6.6% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.3% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.8% |
2.9–6.3% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.3% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.8% |
2.9–6.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.6% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
5% |
98% |
|
32 |
3% |
94% |
|
33 |
4% |
91% |
Last Result |
34 |
6% |
87% |
|
35 |
64% |
81% |
Median |
36 |
11% |
17% |
|
37 |
4% |
5% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
6% |
99.3% |
|
14 |
10% |
93% |
|
15 |
10% |
84% |
|
16 |
64% |
74% |
Median |
17 |
4% |
10% |
|
18 |
3% |
6% |
|
19 |
3% |
3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
13 |
15% |
96% |
|
14 |
17% |
81% |
|
15 |
5% |
65% |
|
16 |
59% |
59% |
Median |
17 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
11% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
4% |
89% |
|
14 |
67% |
85% |
Median |
15 |
4% |
18% |
|
16 |
12% |
14% |
|
17 |
2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
4% |
96% |
|
13 |
5% |
92% |
|
14 |
9% |
87% |
Last Result |
15 |
20% |
78% |
|
16 |
57% |
59% |
Median |
17 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
4% |
96% |
|
12 |
65% |
92% |
Median |
13 |
7% |
26% |
|
14 |
12% |
19% |
|
15 |
6% |
7% |
|
16 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
9 |
6% |
98% |
|
10 |
68% |
92% |
Median |
11 |
14% |
24% |
|
12 |
7% |
9% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
8 |
64% |
93% |
Median |
9 |
17% |
29% |
|
10 |
7% |
12% |
|
11 |
3% |
5% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
25% |
94% |
|
7 |
7% |
69% |
|
8 |
61% |
62% |
Median |
9 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
57% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
24% |
41% |
|
7 |
14% |
17% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
61% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
12% |
37% |
|
7 |
18% |
25% |
|
8 |
7% |
7% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
77% |
99.8% |
Median |
3 |
14% |
22% |
Last Result |
4 |
8% |
9% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
|
2 |
62% |
93% |
Median |
3 |
23% |
30% |
Last Result |
4 |
7% |
7% |
|
5 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
82 |
99.5% |
80–84 |
78–85 |
77–85 |
76–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
82 |
99.7% |
80–84 |
78–85 |
77–85 |
76–87 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
77 |
93% |
76–80 |
74–81 |
73–81 |
71–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
75 |
14% |
73–77 |
71–78 |
70–78 |
68–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
69 |
0.7% |
68–73 |
68–75 |
67–75 |
65–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
67 |
0.1% |
66–71 |
65–71 |
64–72 |
62–73 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
71 |
0% |
66–71 |
65–71 |
64–72 |
62–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
66 |
0% |
66–70 |
64–71 |
64–71 |
62–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
65 |
0% |
62–66 |
60–68 |
60–69 |
59–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
65 |
0% |
61–65 |
60–65 |
59–66 |
58–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
61 |
0% |
60–64 |
59–65 |
58–66 |
56–67 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
63 |
0% |
59–64 |
58–64 |
57–66 |
55–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
61 |
0% |
60–63 |
59–64 |
58–64 |
55–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
63 |
0% |
59–63 |
59–64 |
57–64 |
56–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
59 |
0% |
58–61 |
57–62 |
55–63 |
53–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
49 |
0% |
47–51 |
46–51 |
46–51 |
43–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
51 |
0% |
47–51 |
46–51 |
45–51 |
44–53 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
42 |
0% |
39–43 |
38–44 |
37–45 |
36–46 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
35 |
0% |
31–36 |
31–37 |
31–38 |
30–40 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
30 |
0% |
25–30 |
25–31 |
25–32 |
25–33 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
26 |
0% |
26–29 |
25–29 |
24–30 |
23–31 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
78 |
4% |
97% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
80 |
7% |
91% |
|
81 |
3% |
85% |
|
82 |
57% |
82% |
Median |
83 |
12% |
25% |
|
84 |
3% |
13% |
|
85 |
9% |
10% |
|
86 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
78 |
3% |
97% |
|
79 |
3% |
94% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
81 |
11% |
89% |
|
82 |
63% |
79% |
Median |
83 |
6% |
16% |
|
84 |
3% |
10% |
|
85 |
5% |
7% |
Last Result |
86 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
74 |
3% |
97% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
76 |
18% |
93% |
Majority |
77 |
57% |
75% |
Last Result, Median |
78 |
3% |
18% |
|
79 |
2% |
15% |
|
80 |
6% |
13% |
|
81 |
6% |
6% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
2% |
98% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
73 |
6% |
93% |
|
74 |
18% |
87% |
Last Result |
75 |
55% |
69% |
Median |
76 |
1.0% |
14% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
14% |
|
78 |
6% |
9% |
|
79 |
2% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
2% |
98% |
|
68 |
12% |
97% |
|
69 |
55% |
85% |
Median |
70 |
4% |
29% |
|
71 |
9% |
25% |
|
72 |
5% |
17% |
|
73 |
2% |
11% |
|
74 |
3% |
9% |
|
75 |
6% |
7% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
1.5% |
98.7% |
|
65 |
3% |
97% |
|
66 |
12% |
94% |
|
67 |
57% |
82% |
Median |
68 |
3% |
25% |
|
69 |
8% |
22% |
|
70 |
3% |
14% |
|
71 |
7% |
11% |
|
72 |
3% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
65 |
6% |
97% |
|
66 |
10% |
91% |
|
67 |
3% |
81% |
|
68 |
6% |
78% |
|
69 |
11% |
72% |
|
70 |
2% |
61% |
|
71 |
54% |
59% |
Median |
72 |
3% |
5% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
5% |
98% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
66 |
56% |
92% |
Median |
67 |
6% |
36% |
|
68 |
12% |
30% |
|
69 |
7% |
18% |
|
70 |
5% |
11% |
|
71 |
5% |
6% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
3% |
98% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
62 |
5% |
93% |
|
63 |
6% |
89% |
|
64 |
14% |
83% |
|
65 |
56% |
69% |
Median |
66 |
6% |
12% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
68 |
3% |
6% |
|
69 |
3% |
3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
5% |
97% |
|
61 |
9% |
92% |
Last Result |
62 |
5% |
83% |
|
63 |
10% |
77% |
|
64 |
2% |
67% |
|
65 |
61% |
65% |
Median |
66 |
2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
58 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
97% |
|
60 |
10% |
95% |
|
61 |
60% |
84% |
Median |
62 |
8% |
24% |
|
63 |
4% |
16% |
|
64 |
2% |
12% |
|
65 |
6% |
10% |
|
66 |
3% |
4% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
59 |
6% |
95% |
|
60 |
10% |
88% |
|
61 |
5% |
78% |
|
62 |
5% |
73% |
|
63 |
57% |
68% |
Median |
64 |
6% |
11% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
66 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
|
58 |
2% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
96% |
|
60 |
5% |
94% |
|
61 |
58% |
89% |
Median |
62 |
16% |
31% |
|
63 |
7% |
14% |
|
64 |
6% |
7% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
59 |
8% |
95% |
|
60 |
5% |
87% |
|
61 |
6% |
82% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
76% |
|
63 |
65% |
73% |
Median |
64 |
6% |
8% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
55 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
57 |
4% |
96% |
|
58 |
12% |
92% |
|
59 |
60% |
80% |
Median |
60 |
7% |
20% |
|
61 |
6% |
13% |
|
62 |
3% |
7% |
|
63 |
4% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
46 |
4% |
98% |
|
47 |
6% |
94% |
|
48 |
11% |
88% |
|
49 |
60% |
77% |
Median |
50 |
7% |
17% |
|
51 |
9% |
10% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
2% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
2% |
98% |
|
46 |
6% |
97% |
|
47 |
5% |
91% |
|
48 |
3% |
86% |
|
49 |
22% |
83% |
|
50 |
2% |
61% |
|
51 |
57% |
58% |
Median |
52 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
38 |
4% |
97% |
|
39 |
9% |
93% |
|
40 |
6% |
84% |
|
41 |
6% |
78% |
|
42 |
57% |
71% |
Median |
43 |
9% |
15% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
45 |
4% |
5% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
12% |
99.0% |
|
32 |
2% |
87% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
85% |
Last Result |
34 |
3% |
84% |
|
35 |
65% |
81% |
Median |
36 |
8% |
16% |
|
37 |
5% |
8% |
|
38 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
39 |
2% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
12% |
99.5% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
87% |
|
27 |
3% |
86% |
|
28 |
10% |
83% |
Last Result |
29 |
7% |
73% |
|
30 |
59% |
66% |
Median |
31 |
3% |
7% |
|
32 |
2% |
3% |
|
33 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
25 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
26 |
68% |
94% |
Median |
27 |
7% |
25% |
|
28 |
7% |
19% |
|
29 |
7% |
12% |
|
30 |
4% |
4% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 27–30 March 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1013
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.12%