Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 24–26 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 24.7% 23.0–26.5% 22.5–27.0% 22.1–27.4% 21.3–28.3%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.4% 8.1–11.7% 7.6–12.4%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 9.3% 8.3–10.6% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
GroenLinks 9.1% 8.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.2%
Democraten 66 12.2% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
50Plus 3.1% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
DENK 2.1% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 37 36–42 35–42 34–42 33–43
Partij van de Arbeid 9 16 12–18 12–18 12–18 11–18
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 14 12–15 12–16 12–16 11–17
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 13 12–14 12–15 11–17 11–17
GroenLinks 14 12 12–13 12–15 12–16 11–16
Democraten 66 19 12 11–13 10–13 10–14 9–15
Forum voor Democratie 2 10 9–12 9–12 8–12 8–13
Socialistische Partij 14 8 8–9 7–9 7–9 6–10
50Plus 4 8 7–8 7–9 6–10 6–11
ChristenUnie 5 7 7–8 6–8 5–9 5–10
Partij voor de Dieren 5 5 4–5 4–7 4–7 3–8
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 2 2–3 2–4 2–4 1–4
DENK 3 3 2–3 2–3 1–4 1–4

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.2% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.8%  
33 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
34 2% 99.3%  
35 3% 97%  
36 7% 95%  
37 48% 88% Median
38 2% 40%  
39 5% 38%  
40 2% 33%  
41 2% 31%  
42 29% 29%  
43 0.3% 0.5%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.8%  
12 26% 99.5%  
13 5% 73%  
14 6% 68%  
15 9% 63%  
16 4% 53% Median
17 4% 49%  
18 45% 45%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 10% 98%  
13 5% 89%  
14 49% 84% Median
15 30% 35%  
16 3% 5%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.4%  
19 0% 0.1% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 3% 99.5%  
12 34% 96%  
13 46% 62% Median
14 7% 16%  
15 5% 10%  
16 1.1% 5%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
21 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.7%  
12 85% 98% Median
13 4% 13%  
14 2% 9% Last Result
15 3% 7%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0.5% 99.9%  
10 6% 99.5%  
11 33% 93%  
12 50% 60% Median
13 8% 11%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.5% 0.8%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.4% 100%  
8 3% 99.6%  
9 46% 97%  
10 7% 51% Median
11 13% 43%  
12 29% 30%  
13 1.2% 1.4%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 2% 99.6%  
7 7% 98%  
8 42% 90% Median
9 46% 48%  
10 1.3% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0% Last Result

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.5% 100%  
6 3% 99.5%  
7 14% 96%  
8 73% 82% Median
9 5% 8%  
10 2% 3%  
11 1.2% 1.3%  
12 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 4% 99.8% Last Result
6 3% 95%  
7 76% 93% Median
8 12% 16%  
9 3% 5%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.5% 0.5%  
12 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.8% 100%  
4 10% 99.2%  
5 79% 89% Last Result, Median
6 2% 9%  
7 5% 7%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.9% 100%  
2 55% 99.1% Median
3 37% 44% Last Result
4 6% 7%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 41% 97%  
3 53% 56% Last Result, Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 85 87 100% 84–88 83–88 82–89 79–91
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 90 82 100% 82–87 80–87 80–88 79–89
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 76 53% 75–84 75–84 74–84 73–84
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie 74 74 39% 73–81 73–81 72–81 70–81
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 70 31% 70–80 69–80 69–80 67–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 68 27% 68–77 67–77 66–77 64–78
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 70 0.7% 69–75 68–75 66–75 65–76
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 80 71 0.2% 65–72 65–72 64–73 63–73
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 63 0% 62–72 62–72 61–72 59–72
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 61 69 0% 65–69 64–69 62–71 61–72
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid 72 64 0% 63–69 62–69 62–69 60–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 60 0% 60–69 59–69 58–69 56–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 63 0% 62–68 61–68 58–68 57–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 61 66 0% 64–67 61–67 61–67 57–70
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 66 63 0% 57–63 57–64 56–65 56–66
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 51 0% 50–57 49–57 48–57 46–57
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 54 0% 52–55 50–55 48–57 46–58
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 47 43 0% 38–44 37–44 37–45 36–45
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 33 38 0% 34–39 34–39 34–41 32–43
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 28 30 0% 27–32 26–32 26–33 25–34
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 26 0% 25–26 22–27 22–29 22–30

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.2% 99.3%  
81 0.7% 99.1%  
82 3% 98%  
83 5% 95%  
84 1.1% 90%  
85 2% 89% Last Result
86 8% 87% Median
87 32% 80%  
88 43% 48%  
89 2% 5%  
90 0.4% 2%  
91 2% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 2% 99.7%  
80 4% 98%  
81 1.4% 94%  
82 48% 93% Median
83 4% 45%  
84 4% 41%  
85 5% 37%  
86 3% 32%  
87 27% 29%  
88 0.7% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 2% 99.8%  
74 2% 98%  
75 44% 97%  
76 5% 53% Median, Majority
77 2% 48% Last Result
78 8% 45%  
79 3% 37%  
80 3% 35%  
81 2% 32%  
82 4% 30%  
83 0.5% 27%  
84 26% 26%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 1.4% 99.7%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 2% 98%  
73 43% 95%  
74 6% 52% Last Result, Median
75 7% 46%  
76 3% 39% Majority
77 5% 37%  
78 4% 32%  
79 1.4% 28%  
80 0.4% 27%  
81 26% 26%  
82 0.3% 0.4%  
83 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100% Last Result
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 1.3% 99.8%  
68 0.7% 98%  
69 4% 98%  
70 47% 94%  
71 7% 48% Median
72 4% 41%  
73 2% 37%  
74 1.3% 34%  
75 2% 33%  
76 0.9% 31% Majority
77 3% 31%  
78 0.3% 27%  
79 0.4% 27%  
80 26% 26%  
81 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100% Last Result
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 1.2% 99.8%  
65 0.9% 98.5%  
66 2% 98%  
67 5% 96%  
68 47% 91%  
69 6% 43% Median
70 2% 37%  
71 2% 35%  
72 1.2% 33%  
73 0.4% 32%  
74 4% 31%  
75 0.2% 27%  
76 0.4% 27% Majority
77 26% 27%  
78 0.6% 0.7%  
79 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 1.0% 99.6%  
66 2% 98.6%  
67 0.1% 97%  
68 4% 97%  
69 4% 93%  
70 48% 89% Median
71 5% 42%  
72 5% 37%  
73 2% 32%  
74 3% 30%  
75 26% 27%  
76 0.3% 0.7% Last Result, Majority
77 0.4% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.6% 99.9%  
64 3% 99.3%  
65 26% 96%  
66 6% 70%  
67 4% 65%  
68 3% 61%  
69 2% 58% Median
70 2% 56%  
71 5% 54%  
72 46% 49%  
73 3% 4%  
74 0.3% 0.5%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.2% Majority
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100% Last Result
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 2% 99.7%  
60 0.3% 98%  
61 2% 98%  
62 45% 96%  
63 4% 50% Median
64 6% 46%  
65 5% 40%  
66 1.5% 35%  
67 2% 34%  
68 4% 32%  
69 0.6% 28%  
70 1.3% 27%  
71 0% 26%  
72 26% 26%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.3% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 2% 99.7% Last Result
62 2% 98%  
63 0.9% 96%  
64 2% 95%  
65 4% 93%  
66 7% 89%  
67 2% 81% Median
68 2% 79%  
69 73% 77%  
70 0.8% 4%  
71 3% 3%  
72 0.5% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.4% 99.9%  
61 1.0% 99.5%  
62 5% 98%  
63 4% 93%  
64 48% 89% Median
65 1.2% 41%  
66 5% 40%  
67 2% 34%  
68 5% 32%  
69 27% 28%  
70 0.1% 0.8%  
71 0.4% 0.7%  
72 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
73 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100% Last Result
55 0.3% 100%  
56 1.2% 99.7%  
57 0.9% 98%  
58 0.8% 98%  
59 2% 97%  
60 48% 95%  
61 5% 46% Median
62 6% 42%  
63 2% 36%  
64 3% 34%  
65 4% 31%  
66 0.6% 28%  
67 0.6% 27%  
68 0.9% 27%  
69 26% 26%  
70 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 0.6% 99.8%  
58 2% 99.2%  
59 0.6% 97%  
60 2% 97%  
61 0.6% 95%  
62 6% 95%  
63 48% 88% Median
64 8% 40%  
65 1.3% 32%  
66 2% 31%  
67 2% 29%  
68 26% 27%  
69 0.2% 0.4%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.5% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.4%  
59 0.7% 99.2%  
60 0.7% 98.5%  
61 3% 98% Last Result
62 2% 95%  
63 0.7% 92%  
64 6% 92%  
65 29% 86% Median
66 8% 57%  
67 46% 49%  
68 1.0% 2%  
69 0.8% 1.4%  
70 0.3% 0.6%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 3% 99.7%  
57 26% 97%  
58 4% 70%  
59 6% 67%  
60 1.1% 61%  
61 3% 60% Median
62 3% 57%  
63 47% 54%  
64 3% 7%  
65 2% 4%  
66 1.4% 2% Last Result
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.5% 100%  
47 1.1% 99.5%  
48 3% 98%  
49 5% 95%  
50 1.1% 90%  
51 52% 89% Median
52 1.5% 37% Last Result
53 2% 36%  
54 4% 34%  
55 2% 30%  
56 1.5% 28%  
57 26% 26%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100% Last Result
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0.4% 99.7%  
47 1.4% 99.3%  
48 0.7% 98%  
49 2% 97%  
50 0.5% 95%  
51 2% 95%  
52 6% 93%  
53 9% 87% Median
54 28% 78%  
55 45% 50%  
56 1.2% 5%  
57 3% 4%  
58 0.5% 0.7%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.6% 99.8%  
37 4% 99.1%  
38 29% 95%  
39 5% 66%  
40 2% 60%  
41 5% 58%  
42 2% 54% Median
43 4% 51%  
44 43% 47%  
45 4% 4%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
48 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0.5% 99.7%  
33 0.9% 99.2% Last Result
34 38% 98%  
35 3% 61%  
36 4% 58%  
37 1.2% 53% Median
38 4% 52%  
39 45% 48%  
40 0.2% 3%  
41 1.3% 3%  
42 0.5% 2%  
43 1.0% 1.0%  
44 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 2% 99.7%  
26 4% 98%  
27 30% 94%  
28 5% 63% Last Result
29 5% 58%  
30 5% 53% Median
31 0.9% 48%  
32 44% 47%  
33 0.6% 3%  
34 2% 2%  
35 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.9%  
22 5% 99.6%  
23 0.5% 95%  
24 2% 94%  
25 6% 92%  
26 78% 86% Median
27 4% 8%  
28 2% 4%  
29 2% 3%  
30 1.0% 1.1%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

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