Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 24–26 April 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
24.7% |
23.0–26.5% |
22.5–27.0% |
22.1–27.4% |
21.3–28.3% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.7% |
8.6–11.0% |
8.3–11.4% |
8.1–11.7% |
7.6–12.4% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.3% |
8.3–10.6% |
8.0–11.0% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–11.9% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
9.0% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.4–11.0% |
7.0–11.6% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
8.7% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.1–10.5% |
6.6–11.2% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
7.8% |
6.8–8.9% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.8–10.2% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.3–6.6% |
4.1–6.9% |
3.7–7.4% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.7–7.3% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.5–7.0% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.3–5.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.7% |
1.2–2.3% |
1.1–2.5% |
1.0–2.7% |
0.9–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
34 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
35 |
3% |
97% |
|
36 |
7% |
95% |
|
37 |
48% |
88% |
Median |
38 |
2% |
40% |
|
39 |
5% |
38% |
|
40 |
2% |
33% |
|
41 |
2% |
31% |
|
42 |
29% |
29% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
26% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
5% |
73% |
|
14 |
6% |
68% |
|
15 |
9% |
63% |
|
16 |
4% |
53% |
Median |
17 |
4% |
49% |
|
18 |
45% |
45% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
10% |
98% |
|
13 |
5% |
89% |
|
14 |
49% |
84% |
Median |
15 |
30% |
35% |
|
16 |
3% |
5% |
|
17 |
2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
12 |
34% |
96% |
|
13 |
46% |
62% |
Median |
14 |
7% |
16% |
|
15 |
5% |
10% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
17 |
4% |
4% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
85% |
98% |
Median |
13 |
4% |
13% |
|
14 |
2% |
9% |
Last Result |
15 |
3% |
7% |
|
16 |
4% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
33% |
93% |
|
12 |
50% |
60% |
Median |
13 |
8% |
11% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
46% |
97% |
|
10 |
7% |
51% |
Median |
11 |
13% |
43% |
|
12 |
29% |
30% |
|
13 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
6 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
7 |
7% |
98% |
|
8 |
42% |
90% |
Median |
9 |
46% |
48% |
|
10 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
6 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
7 |
14% |
96% |
|
8 |
73% |
82% |
Median |
9 |
5% |
8% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
4% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
6 |
3% |
95% |
|
7 |
76% |
93% |
Median |
8 |
12% |
16% |
|
9 |
3% |
5% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
4 |
10% |
99.2% |
|
5 |
79% |
89% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
2% |
9% |
|
7 |
5% |
7% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
55% |
99.1% |
Median |
3 |
37% |
44% |
Last Result |
4 |
6% |
7% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
41% |
97% |
|
3 |
53% |
56% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
87 |
100% |
84–88 |
83–88 |
82–89 |
79–91 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
82 |
100% |
82–87 |
80–87 |
80–88 |
79–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
76 |
53% |
75–84 |
75–84 |
74–84 |
73–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
74 |
39% |
73–81 |
73–81 |
72–81 |
70–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
70 |
31% |
70–80 |
69–80 |
69–80 |
67–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
68 |
27% |
68–77 |
67–77 |
66–77 |
64–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
70 |
0.7% |
69–75 |
68–75 |
66–75 |
65–76 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
71 |
0.2% |
65–72 |
65–72 |
64–73 |
63–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
63 |
0% |
62–72 |
62–72 |
61–72 |
59–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
69 |
0% |
65–69 |
64–69 |
62–71 |
61–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
64 |
0% |
63–69 |
62–69 |
62–69 |
60–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
60 |
0% |
60–69 |
59–69 |
58–69 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
63 |
0% |
62–68 |
61–68 |
58–68 |
57–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
66 |
0% |
64–67 |
61–67 |
61–67 |
57–70 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
63 |
0% |
57–63 |
57–64 |
56–65 |
56–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
51 |
0% |
50–57 |
49–57 |
48–57 |
46–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
54 |
0% |
52–55 |
50–55 |
48–57 |
46–58 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
43 |
0% |
38–44 |
37–44 |
37–45 |
36–45 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
38 |
0% |
34–39 |
34–39 |
34–41 |
32–43 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
30 |
0% |
27–32 |
26–32 |
26–33 |
25–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
26 |
0% |
25–26 |
22–27 |
22–29 |
22–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
82 |
3% |
98% |
|
83 |
5% |
95% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
85 |
2% |
89% |
Last Result |
86 |
8% |
87% |
Median |
87 |
32% |
80% |
|
88 |
43% |
48% |
|
89 |
2% |
5% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
91 |
2% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
4% |
98% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
82 |
48% |
93% |
Median |
83 |
4% |
45% |
|
84 |
4% |
41% |
|
85 |
5% |
37% |
|
86 |
3% |
32% |
|
87 |
27% |
29% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
89 |
2% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
2% |
98% |
|
75 |
44% |
97% |
|
76 |
5% |
53% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
2% |
48% |
Last Result |
78 |
8% |
45% |
|
79 |
3% |
37% |
|
80 |
3% |
35% |
|
81 |
2% |
32% |
|
82 |
4% |
30% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
27% |
|
84 |
26% |
26% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
98% |
|
73 |
43% |
95% |
|
74 |
6% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
75 |
7% |
46% |
|
76 |
3% |
39% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
37% |
|
78 |
4% |
32% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
28% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
27% |
|
81 |
26% |
26% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
69 |
4% |
98% |
|
70 |
47% |
94% |
|
71 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
72 |
4% |
41% |
|
73 |
2% |
37% |
|
74 |
1.3% |
34% |
|
75 |
2% |
33% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
31% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
31% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
27% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
27% |
|
80 |
26% |
26% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
66 |
2% |
98% |
|
67 |
5% |
96% |
|
68 |
47% |
91% |
|
69 |
6% |
43% |
Median |
70 |
2% |
37% |
|
71 |
2% |
35% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
33% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
32% |
|
74 |
4% |
31% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
27% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
27% |
Majority |
77 |
26% |
27% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
68 |
4% |
97% |
|
69 |
4% |
93% |
|
70 |
48% |
89% |
Median |
71 |
5% |
42% |
|
72 |
5% |
37% |
|
73 |
2% |
32% |
|
74 |
3% |
30% |
|
75 |
26% |
27% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
65 |
26% |
96% |
|
66 |
6% |
70% |
|
67 |
4% |
65% |
|
68 |
3% |
61% |
|
69 |
2% |
58% |
Median |
70 |
2% |
56% |
|
71 |
5% |
54% |
|
72 |
46% |
49% |
|
73 |
3% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
61 |
2% |
98% |
|
62 |
45% |
96% |
|
63 |
4% |
50% |
Median |
64 |
6% |
46% |
|
65 |
5% |
40% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
35% |
|
67 |
2% |
34% |
|
68 |
4% |
32% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
28% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
27% |
|
71 |
0% |
26% |
|
72 |
26% |
26% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
98% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
64 |
2% |
95% |
|
65 |
4% |
93% |
|
66 |
7% |
89% |
|
67 |
2% |
81% |
Median |
68 |
2% |
79% |
|
69 |
73% |
77% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
71 |
3% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
62 |
5% |
98% |
|
63 |
4% |
93% |
|
64 |
48% |
89% |
Median |
65 |
1.2% |
41% |
|
66 |
5% |
40% |
|
67 |
2% |
34% |
|
68 |
5% |
32% |
|
69 |
27% |
28% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
97% |
|
60 |
48% |
95% |
|
61 |
5% |
46% |
Median |
62 |
6% |
42% |
|
63 |
2% |
36% |
|
64 |
3% |
34% |
|
65 |
4% |
31% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
28% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
27% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
27% |
|
69 |
26% |
26% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
60 |
2% |
97% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
62 |
6% |
95% |
|
63 |
48% |
88% |
Median |
64 |
8% |
40% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
32% |
|
66 |
2% |
31% |
|
67 |
2% |
29% |
|
68 |
26% |
27% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
61 |
3% |
98% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
95% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
64 |
6% |
92% |
|
65 |
29% |
86% |
Median |
66 |
8% |
57% |
|
67 |
46% |
49% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
26% |
97% |
|
58 |
4% |
70% |
|
59 |
6% |
67% |
|
60 |
1.1% |
61% |
|
61 |
3% |
60% |
Median |
62 |
3% |
57% |
|
63 |
47% |
54% |
|
64 |
3% |
7% |
|
65 |
2% |
4% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
2% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
3% |
98% |
|
49 |
5% |
95% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
51 |
52% |
89% |
Median |
52 |
1.5% |
37% |
Last Result |
53 |
2% |
36% |
|
54 |
4% |
34% |
|
55 |
2% |
30% |
|
56 |
1.5% |
28% |
|
57 |
26% |
26% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
49 |
2% |
97% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
51 |
2% |
95% |
|
52 |
6% |
93% |
|
53 |
9% |
87% |
Median |
54 |
28% |
78% |
|
55 |
45% |
50% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
57 |
3% |
4% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
29% |
95% |
|
39 |
5% |
66% |
|
40 |
2% |
60% |
|
41 |
5% |
58% |
|
42 |
2% |
54% |
Median |
43 |
4% |
51% |
|
44 |
43% |
47% |
|
45 |
4% |
4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
34 |
38% |
98% |
|
35 |
3% |
61% |
|
36 |
4% |
58% |
|
37 |
1.2% |
53% |
Median |
38 |
4% |
52% |
|
39 |
45% |
48% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
41 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
26 |
4% |
98% |
|
27 |
30% |
94% |
|
28 |
5% |
63% |
Last Result |
29 |
5% |
58% |
|
30 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
31 |
0.9% |
48% |
|
32 |
44% |
47% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
34 |
2% |
2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
24 |
2% |
94% |
|
25 |
6% |
92% |
|
26 |
78% |
86% |
Median |
27 |
4% |
8% |
|
28 |
2% |
4% |
|
29 |
2% |
3% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 24–26 April 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1017
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.45%