Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 26 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 20.0% 19.1–20.9% 18.8–21.2% 18.6–21.4% 18.1–21.9%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
Democraten 66 12.2% 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
GroenLinks 9.1% 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
50Plus 3.1% 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
DENK 2.1% 1.3% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 30 30–31 29–31 29–32 27–33
Partij van de Arbeid 9 19 18–20 17–21 17–21 16–21
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 15 15–17 15–19 15–19 15–19
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 15 14–16 14–16 14–16 13–17
Forum voor Democratie 2 13 12–13 11–13 11–13 11–14
Democraten 66 19 11 10–11 10–12 10–12 10–13
GroenLinks 14 12 11–12 11–12 10–12 9–12
Socialistische Partij 14 9 9 8–9 8–10 8–10
ChristenUnie 5 8 7–8 7–8 7–9 6–9
50Plus 4 8 8–9 7–10 7–10 7–10
Partij voor de Dieren 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 4 4 4 3–5 3–5
DENK 3 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.7% 100%  
28 0.6% 99.3%  
29 5% 98.7%  
30 78% 94% Median
31 12% 15%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
34 0.4% 0.5%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 1.1% 100%  
17 7% 98.9%  
18 8% 92%  
19 73% 83% Median
20 3% 11%  
21 7% 7%  
22 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 72% 100% Median
16 8% 28%  
17 13% 20%  
18 2% 7%  
19 5% 5%  
20 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
21 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 1.1% 100%  
14 9% 98.9%  
15 78% 90% Median
16 11% 12%  
17 1.1% 1.2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.4% 100%  
11 9% 99.6%  
12 7% 91%  
13 83% 84% Median
14 0.7% 1.1%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 13% 99.7%  
11 82% 87% Median
12 4% 5%  
13 0.5% 0.5%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 2% 100%  
10 2% 98%  
11 23% 96%  
12 73% 73% Median
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 9% 99.6%  
9 86% 90% Median
10 4% 5%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0% Last Result

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 0.5% 100%  
7 17% 99.5%  
8 78% 83% Median
9 5% 5%  
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.4% 100%  
7 5% 99.6%  
8 79% 94% Median
9 8% 15%  
10 7% 7%  
11 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 21% 99.9%  
5 77% 79% Last Result, Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.3% 100%  
3 5% 99.7% Last Result
4 91% 95% Median
5 4% 4%  
6 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 80% 100% Median
2 20% 20%  
3 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 85 83 100% 82–83 81–83 81–84 79–86
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 77 99.7% 77–79 77–81 77–82 76–82
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 73 7% 73–75 73–77 73–78 71–78
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 76 77% 74–76 73–76 73–77 72–79
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 80 74 0.1% 71–74 70–74 70–74 70–75
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 70 0% 70–71 69–72 67–72 67–73
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 66 0% 66–67 65–68 64–68 62–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 64 0% 63–64 62–66 62–67 60–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 61 64 0% 63–65 63–66 62–66 61–67
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 66 65 0% 63–65 61–65 61–65 61–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 60 0% 60–62 60–65 60–65 60–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 62 0% 60–63 60–63 60–63 58–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 61 60 0% 59–61 58–62 58–62 57–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 58 0% 56–59 56–59 56–60 54–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 56 0% 55–57 55–57 55–58 52–60
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 49 0% 48–50 48–52 46–52 46–52
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 45 0% 45–46 45–46 44–47 42–49
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 47 45 0% 45 42–45 42–46 42–47
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 33 42 0% 41–42 40–42 40–43 38–43
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 28 34 0% 33–35 32–35 32–35 31–36
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 26 0% 25–27 24–27 24–28 23–28

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.9% 100%  
80 0.9% 99.1%  
81 5% 98%  
82 7% 93%  
83 84% 87% Median
84 0.6% 3%  
85 0.4% 2% Last Result
86 2% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.2% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 99.7% Majority
77 81% 99.2% Last Result, Median
78 4% 18%  
79 7% 14%  
80 2% 7%  
81 1.3% 5%  
82 4% 4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.5% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.4%  
73 81% 99.3% Median
74 4% 18% Last Result
75 7% 15%  
76 1.1% 7% Majority
77 2% 6%  
78 4% 4%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.3% 100%  
72 2% 99.7%  
73 8% 98%  
74 3% 91%  
75 10% 87%  
76 72% 77% Median, Majority
77 4% 5%  
78 0.6% 1.4%  
79 0.8% 0.9%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 5% 99.6%  
71 9% 95%  
72 8% 86%  
73 2% 78%  
74 73% 76% Median
75 2% 2%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100% Last Result
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 4% 99.7%  
68 0.7% 96%  
69 0.8% 95%  
70 83% 94% Median
71 5% 11%  
72 6% 6%  
73 0.3% 0.6%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100% Last Result
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.5% 100%  
63 2% 99.5%  
64 3% 98%  
65 3% 95%  
66 79% 92% Median
67 6% 13%  
68 6% 7%  
69 0.6% 0.7%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.3% 100%  
60 0.6% 99.7%  
61 0.7% 99.1%  
62 8% 98%  
63 3% 91%  
64 81% 88% Median
65 1.2% 7%  
66 3% 6%  
67 1.1% 3%  
68 1.3% 1.4%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 2% 99.9% Last Result
62 3% 98%  
63 6% 95%  
64 77% 89% Median
65 3% 12%  
66 9% 9%  
67 0.2% 0.7%  
68 0.4% 0.4%  
69 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 5% 99.6%  
62 2% 95%  
63 15% 93%  
64 2% 78%  
65 76% 76% Median
66 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.3% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.7%  
60 71% 99.6% Median
61 4% 28%  
62 15% 24%  
63 2% 9%  
64 2% 7%  
65 5% 6%  
66 0.3% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.2% 100% Last Result
58 0.7% 99.8%  
59 1.4% 99.1%  
60 10% 98%  
61 0.7% 88%  
62 74% 87% Median
63 12% 13%  
64 0.7% 1.3%  
65 0.4% 0.6%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 0.8% 99.8%  
58 7% 99.0%  
59 6% 92%  
60 74% 85% Median
61 2% 11% Last Result
62 8% 8%  
63 0.4% 0.6%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 1.1% 100% Last Result
55 0.9% 98.9%  
56 8% 98%  
57 5% 90%  
58 72% 85% Median
59 11% 13%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.5% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.9% 100%  
53 0% 99.1%  
54 1.1% 99.1%  
55 8% 98%  
56 77% 90% Median
57 8% 12%  
58 2% 4%  
59 2% 2%  
60 0.4% 0.5%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100% Last Result
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0.3% 100%  
46 3% 99.7%  
47 1.0% 96%  
48 11% 95%  
49 74% 84% Median
50 2% 10%  
51 0.3% 8%  
52 7% 8%  
53 0.3% 0.3%  
54 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 1.4% 99.7%  
43 0.4% 98%  
44 0.7% 98%  
45 83% 97% Median
46 11% 14%  
47 0.7% 3%  
48 2% 2%  
49 0.6% 0.7%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.4% 100%  
42 5% 99.5%  
43 1.2% 95%  
44 1.5% 94%  
45 88% 92% Median
46 1.4% 4%  
47 2% 2% Last Result
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.2% 100%  
38 1.0% 99.8%  
39 0.3% 98.8%  
40 5% 98.5%  
41 8% 93%  
42 81% 85% Median
43 4% 4%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.8% 99.8%  
32 6% 98.9%  
33 4% 93%  
34 79% 89% Median
35 8% 10%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.6% 100%  
24 8% 99.4%  
25 5% 91%  
26 72% 86% Median
27 10% 14%  
28 3% 4%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations