Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 7–12 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 28.4% | 27.2–29.7% | 26.8–30.1% | 26.5–30.4% | 25.9–31.0% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.7–11.4% | 9.4–11.7% | 9.3–11.9% | 8.9–12.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 9.7% | 8.9–10.6% | 8.7–10.8% | 8.5–11.0% | 8.1–11.5% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.7–9.3% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.3–9.8% | 7.0–10.2% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 8.4% | 7.6–9.2% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.3–9.7% | 6.9–10.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 8.2% | 7.5–9.0% | 7.3–9.3% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.8–9.9% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.4–7.9% | 6.2–8.1% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.1–6.6% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3–5.5% | 4.1–5.7% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.7–6.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.7% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| Partij voor de Toekomst | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 44 | 44–45 | 44–45 | 44–45 | 42–47 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 16 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 13–17 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 14–15 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 13 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–14 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10–11 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 |
| Partij voor de Toekomst | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| DENK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 44 | 67% | 99.2% | Median |
| 45 | 31% | 32% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 15 | 31% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 17 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 68% | 99.8% | Median |
| 15 | 31% | 32% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 31% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 14 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 67% | 98.7% | Median |
| 14 | 31% | 32% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 98.7% | 99.0% | Median |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 31% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 32% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 67% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 32% | 33% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 99.2% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Toekomst
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 32% | 32% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 98.7% | 98.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 89 | 100% | 85–89 | 85–89 | 85–89 | 85–89 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 88 | 100% | 88 | 88 | 88 | 85–90 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 87 | 100% | 85–87 | 85–87 | 85–87 | 85–90 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 84 | 100% | 84 | 84 | 84 | 81–86 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 75 | 1.0% | 74–75 | 74–75 | 74–75 | 72–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 75 | 0.9% | 74–75 | 74–75 | 74–75 | 72–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 73 | 0.6% | 70–73 | 70–73 | 70–73 | 70–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 72 | 0.6% | 72 | 72 | 72 | 70–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 71 | 0% | 71 | 71 | 71 | 69–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 71 | 0% | 70–71 | 70–71 | 70–71 | 68–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 71 | 0% | 70–71 | 70–71 | 70–71 | 67–74 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 80 | 70 | 0% | 66–70 | 66–70 | 66–70 | 66–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 66 | 0% | 66–67 | 66–67 | 66–67 | 64–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 66 | 0% | 64–66 | 64–66 | 64–66 | 63–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 58 | 0% | 58–60 | 58–60 | 58–60 | 56–61 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 59 | 0% | 55–59 | 55–59 | 55–59 | 55–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 58 | 0% | 57–58 | 57–58 | 57–58 | 55–62 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 36 | 0% | 34–36 | 34–36 | 34–36 | 34–37 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 35 | 0% | 33–35 | 33–35 | 33–35 | 33–36 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 28 | 0% | 27–28 | 27–28 | 27–28 | 27–29 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 22 | 0% | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–23 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 31% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 69% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 89 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 88 | 98% | 98.5% | Median |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 31% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0.5% | 69% | |
| 87 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 88 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 31% | 99.4% | |
| 75 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 76 | 0.1% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 31% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 31% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 73 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 74 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Last Result, Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 98% | 98.6% | Median |
| 73 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 98% | 98.6% | Median |
| 72 | 0.1% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 32% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 31% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 31% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 70 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 67% | 99.3% | Median |
| 67 | 31% | 32% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 31% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 68% | |
| 66 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 67 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 67% | 99.3% | Median |
| 59 | 0.4% | 32% | |
| 60 | 31% | 32% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 31% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 68% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 68% | |
| 59 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 31% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 31% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 36 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 37 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 31% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.8% | 69% | |
| 35 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 32% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 67% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 29 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 31% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 69% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 69% | |
| 22 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 23 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–12 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2076
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.10%