Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 7–12 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
28.4% |
27.2–29.7% |
26.8–30.1% |
26.5–30.4% |
25.9–31.0% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.5% |
9.7–11.4% |
9.4–11.7% |
9.3–11.9% |
8.9–12.3% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.7% |
8.9–10.6% |
8.7–10.8% |
8.5–11.0% |
8.1–11.5% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
8.5% |
7.7–9.3% |
7.5–9.6% |
7.3–9.8% |
7.0–10.2% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
8.4% |
7.6–9.2% |
7.4–9.4% |
7.3–9.7% |
6.9–10.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
8.2% |
7.5–9.0% |
7.3–9.3% |
7.1–9.4% |
6.8–9.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
7.1% |
6.4–7.9% |
6.2–8.1% |
6.1–8.3% |
5.7–8.7% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
5.2% |
4.6–5.9% |
4.5–6.1% |
4.3–6.2% |
4.1–6.6% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.8% |
4.3–5.5% |
4.1–5.7% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.7–6.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.5% |
3.0–4.1% |
2.9–4.3% |
2.8–4.4% |
2.6–4.7% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
3.1% |
2.6–3.6% |
2.5–3.8% |
2.4–3.9% |
2.2–4.2% |
Partij voor de Toekomst |
0.0% |
1.1% |
0.9–1.5% |
0.8–1.6% |
0.7–1.7% |
0.6–1.9% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
DENK |
2.1% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
44 |
67% |
99.2% |
Median |
45 |
31% |
32% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
15 |
31% |
99.0% |
|
16 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
17 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
68% |
99.8% |
Median |
15 |
31% |
32% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
31% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
0.9% |
69% |
|
14 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
15 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
67% |
98.7% |
Median |
14 |
31% |
32% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
14 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
98.7% |
99.0% |
Median |
12 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
31% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
68% |
69% |
Median |
9 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
32% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
68% |
68% |
Median |
8 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
67% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
32% |
33% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
99.2% |
99.8% |
Median |
5 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Toekomst
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
68% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
32% |
32% |
|
3 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.7% |
98.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
89 |
100% |
85–89 |
85–89 |
85–89 |
85–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
88 |
100% |
88 |
88 |
88 |
85–90 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
87 |
100% |
85–87 |
85–87 |
85–87 |
85–90 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
84 |
100% |
84 |
84 |
84 |
81–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
75 |
1.0% |
74–75 |
74–75 |
74–75 |
72–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
75 |
0.9% |
74–75 |
74–75 |
74–75 |
72–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
73 |
0.6% |
70–73 |
70–73 |
70–73 |
70–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
72 |
0.6% |
72 |
72 |
72 |
70–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
71 |
0% |
71 |
71 |
71 |
69–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
71 |
0% |
70–71 |
70–71 |
70–71 |
68–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
71 |
0% |
70–71 |
70–71 |
70–71 |
67–74 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
80 |
70 |
0% |
66–70 |
66–70 |
66–70 |
66–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
66 |
0% |
66–67 |
66–67 |
66–67 |
64–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
66 |
0% |
64–66 |
64–66 |
64–66 |
63–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
58 |
0% |
58–60 |
58–60 |
58–60 |
56–61 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
59 |
0% |
55–59 |
55–59 |
55–59 |
55–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
58 |
0% |
57–58 |
57–58 |
57–58 |
55–62 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
36 |
0% |
34–36 |
34–36 |
34–36 |
34–37 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
35 |
0% |
33–35 |
33–35 |
33–35 |
33–36 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
28 |
0% |
27–28 |
27–28 |
27–28 |
27–29 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
22 |
0% |
19–22 |
19–22 |
19–22 |
19–23 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
31% |
99.9% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
69% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
69% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
69% |
|
89 |
68% |
68% |
Median |
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
88 |
98% |
98.5% |
Median |
89 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
31% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.5% |
69% |
|
87 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
88 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
84 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
85 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
86 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
31% |
99.4% |
|
75 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
76 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
74 |
31% |
98.8% |
|
75 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
76 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
31% |
99.5% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
69% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
69% |
|
73 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
74 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
72 |
98% |
98.6% |
Median |
73 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
98% |
98.6% |
Median |
72 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
32% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
72 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
31% |
98.6% |
|
71 |
67% |
67% |
Median |
72 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
31% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
69% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
68% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
68% |
|
70 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
71 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
67% |
99.3% |
Median |
67 |
31% |
32% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
31% |
99.3% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
68% |
|
66 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
67 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
67% |
99.3% |
Median |
59 |
0.4% |
32% |
|
60 |
31% |
32% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
31% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
69% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
68% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
68% |
|
59 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
60 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
31% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
59 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
31% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
69% |
|
36 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
37 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
31% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.8% |
69% |
|
35 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
36 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
32% |
99.6% |
|
28 |
67% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
29 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
31% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
69% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
69% |
|
22 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
23 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
24 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–12 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2076
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.10%