Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 22–24 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
28.5% |
26.8–30.4% |
26.3–30.9% |
25.9–31.4% |
25.1–32.2% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.7% |
8.6–11.0% |
8.3–11.4% |
8.1–11.7% |
7.6–12.3% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.2% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.6–11.1% |
7.1–11.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.6–10.5% |
7.4–10.9% |
6.9–11.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.6% |
7.6–9.8% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.0–10.4% |
6.6–11.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
7.7% |
6.8–8.9% |
6.5–9.2% |
6.3–9.5% |
5.8–10.1% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.8% |
5.5–8.1% |
5.3–8.4% |
4.9–8.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.2% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.7% |
4.4–8.3% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.5–5.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.6% |
1.3–2.8% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.1–3.3% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.3% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.9–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
40 |
28% |
99.1% |
|
41 |
1.1% |
71% |
|
42 |
3% |
70% |
|
43 |
14% |
67% |
|
44 |
13% |
53% |
Median |
45 |
27% |
40% |
|
46 |
3% |
13% |
|
47 |
4% |
11% |
|
48 |
3% |
6% |
|
49 |
3% |
4% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
12 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
16% |
97% |
|
14 |
22% |
81% |
Last Result |
15 |
36% |
59% |
Median |
16 |
17% |
23% |
|
17 |
5% |
6% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
17% |
96% |
|
13 |
20% |
79% |
|
14 |
12% |
59% |
Median |
15 |
45% |
47% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
17 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
11 |
19% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
23% |
80% |
|
13 |
44% |
57% |
Median |
14 |
7% |
14% |
|
15 |
4% |
6% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
12% |
98.8% |
|
12 |
16% |
87% |
|
13 |
11% |
71% |
|
14 |
37% |
60% |
Median |
15 |
20% |
23% |
|
16 |
3% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
3% |
98% |
|
11 |
15% |
95% |
|
12 |
34% |
80% |
Median |
13 |
11% |
46% |
|
14 |
34% |
34% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
8 |
38% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
23% |
61% |
Median |
10 |
16% |
38% |
|
11 |
19% |
22% |
|
12 |
3% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
17% |
93% |
|
9 |
15% |
76% |
|
10 |
53% |
61% |
Median |
11 |
6% |
8% |
|
12 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
11% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
5% |
88% |
Last Result |
6 |
67% |
83% |
Median |
7 |
13% |
17% |
|
8 |
3% |
4% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
4 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
5 |
43% |
96% |
Last Result |
6 |
46% |
53% |
Median |
7 |
6% |
7% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
2 |
34% |
99.2% |
|
3 |
48% |
65% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
15% |
17% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
20% |
98.7% |
|
3 |
67% |
79% |
Median |
4 |
12% |
12% |
Last Result |
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
70% |
97% |
Median |
3 |
26% |
27% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
88 |
100% |
84–91 |
84–91 |
84–92 |
82–94 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
85 |
100% |
83–90 |
83–90 |
83–90 |
80–92 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
85 |
100% |
84–87 |
82–88 |
80–89 |
80–90 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
82 |
100% |
80–84 |
79–85 |
78–87 |
77–87 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
75 |
45% |
73–78 |
71–78 |
70–79 |
69–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
73 |
7% |
69–75 |
69–76 |
69–78 |
68–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
72 |
3% |
70–75 |
68–75 |
67–77 |
66–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
72 |
5% |
70–75 |
69–75 |
67–76 |
67–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
70 |
0.8% |
67–75 |
66–75 |
66–75 |
64–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
70 |
0.8% |
68–73 |
67–73 |
66–74 |
65–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
69 |
0.1% |
67–72 |
65–72 |
65–74 |
63–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
66 |
0.1% |
63–69 |
63–71 |
63–72 |
62–73 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
68 |
0% |
63–69 |
63–69 |
62–72 |
61–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
66 |
0% |
62–69 |
62–71 |
62–72 |
61–73 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
58 |
0% |
54–59 |
53–61 |
53–62 |
51–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
56 |
0% |
55–60 |
54–61 |
53–61 |
52–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
56 |
0% |
54–60 |
54–61 |
52–61 |
51–63 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
37 |
0% |
34–39 |
34–39 |
33–40 |
32–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
34 |
0% |
30–36 |
29–36 |
29–36 |
28–36 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
27 |
0% |
24–30 |
23–30 |
23–30 |
22–30 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
23 |
0% |
21–25 |
21–25 |
21–25 |
20–28 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
84 |
25% |
98% |
|
85 |
7% |
73% |
|
86 |
11% |
67% |
|
87 |
5% |
56% |
|
88 |
17% |
51% |
Median |
89 |
20% |
34% |
|
90 |
3% |
14% |
Last Result |
91 |
8% |
11% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
93 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
83 |
29% |
98% |
|
84 |
11% |
69% |
|
85 |
17% |
58% |
Last Result |
86 |
5% |
41% |
|
87 |
5% |
36% |
Median |
88 |
7% |
31% |
|
89 |
2% |
25% |
|
90 |
22% |
23% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
82 |
3% |
96% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
84 |
16% |
92% |
|
85 |
45% |
76% |
|
86 |
9% |
31% |
Median |
87 |
16% |
22% |
|
88 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
89 |
2% |
4% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
3% |
98% |
|
79 |
2% |
95% |
|
80 |
12% |
94% |
|
81 |
7% |
82% |
|
82 |
27% |
75% |
|
83 |
25% |
48% |
Median |
84 |
15% |
24% |
|
85 |
4% |
8% |
|
86 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
87 |
3% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
2% |
98% |
|
71 |
2% |
96% |
|
72 |
2% |
95% |
|
73 |
4% |
93% |
|
74 |
9% |
88% |
|
75 |
35% |
79% |
|
76 |
7% |
45% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
26% |
38% |
|
78 |
9% |
12% |
|
79 |
2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
25% |
98.8% |
|
70 |
9% |
74% |
|
71 |
2% |
65% |
|
72 |
13% |
63% |
|
73 |
12% |
50% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
38% |
|
75 |
28% |
35% |
|
76 |
2% |
7% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
78 |
4% |
4% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
2% |
96% |
|
69 |
2% |
95% |
|
70 |
11% |
93% |
|
71 |
2% |
82% |
|
72 |
38% |
80% |
|
73 |
4% |
42% |
Median |
74 |
5% |
38% |
|
75 |
29% |
33% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
3% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
69 |
2% |
96% |
|
70 |
4% |
94% |
|
71 |
14% |
90% |
|
72 |
31% |
76% |
|
73 |
5% |
45% |
Median |
74 |
24% |
40% |
|
75 |
11% |
16% |
|
76 |
3% |
5% |
Majority |
77 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
7% |
98.7% |
|
67 |
2% |
92% |
|
68 |
2% |
90% |
|
69 |
33% |
88% |
|
70 |
18% |
55% |
|
71 |
5% |
37% |
|
72 |
3% |
32% |
Median |
73 |
9% |
29% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
20% |
|
75 |
19% |
20% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
67 |
3% |
97% |
|
68 |
34% |
94% |
|
69 |
9% |
60% |
|
70 |
10% |
51% |
|
71 |
22% |
42% |
Median |
72 |
8% |
19% |
Last Result |
73 |
8% |
11% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
67 |
8% |
94% |
|
68 |
14% |
85% |
|
69 |
26% |
71% |
|
70 |
3% |
45% |
Median |
71 |
4% |
42% |
|
72 |
34% |
37% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
74 |
2% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
25% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
11% |
74% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
63% |
|
66 |
15% |
62% |
|
67 |
2% |
47% |
Median |
68 |
10% |
45% |
|
69 |
28% |
35% |
|
70 |
2% |
7% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
6% |
Last Result |
72 |
4% |
5% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
63 |
14% |
97% |
|
64 |
5% |
83% |
|
65 |
23% |
79% |
|
66 |
2% |
56% |
|
67 |
3% |
54% |
|
68 |
24% |
51% |
Median |
69 |
22% |
26% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
62 |
26% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
73% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
72% |
|
65 |
14% |
71% |
|
66 |
9% |
57% |
|
67 |
12% |
48% |
Median |
68 |
6% |
36% |
|
69 |
22% |
29% |
|
70 |
2% |
7% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
72 |
4% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
53 |
7% |
98% |
|
54 |
8% |
91% |
|
55 |
4% |
82% |
|
56 |
8% |
78% |
|
57 |
16% |
70% |
|
58 |
28% |
54% |
Median |
59 |
19% |
26% |
|
60 |
2% |
7% |
|
61 |
3% |
5% |
|
62 |
2% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
53 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
4% |
97% |
|
55 |
30% |
93% |
|
56 |
15% |
63% |
|
57 |
4% |
49% |
|
58 |
12% |
45% |
Median |
59 |
0.9% |
33% |
|
60 |
26% |
32% |
|
61 |
5% |
6% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
54 |
31% |
97% |
|
55 |
2% |
65% |
|
56 |
14% |
63% |
|
57 |
12% |
49% |
|
58 |
3% |
37% |
Median |
59 |
5% |
34% |
|
60 |
23% |
29% |
|
61 |
5% |
6% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
32 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
34 |
15% |
97% |
|
35 |
18% |
82% |
|
36 |
4% |
64% |
|
37 |
34% |
60% |
Median |
38 |
4% |
26% |
|
39 |
19% |
22% |
|
40 |
2% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
6% |
98% |
|
30 |
12% |
91% |
|
31 |
9% |
79% |
|
32 |
6% |
70% |
|
33 |
12% |
64% |
Last Result |
34 |
4% |
52% |
Median |
35 |
28% |
47% |
|
36 |
19% |
19% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
7% |
99.5% |
|
24 |
8% |
93% |
|
25 |
10% |
85% |
|
26 |
16% |
75% |
|
27 |
10% |
59% |
|
28 |
5% |
50% |
Last Result, Median |
29 |
25% |
45% |
|
30 |
20% |
20% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
21 |
18% |
99.3% |
|
22 |
7% |
81% |
|
23 |
36% |
74% |
Median |
24 |
25% |
37% |
|
25 |
10% |
13% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 22–24 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1048
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.51%