Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 22–24 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 28.5% | 26.8–30.4% | 26.3–30.9% | 25.9–31.4% | 25.1–32.2% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.1–11.7% | 7.6–12.3% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.1–10.4% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.6–11.1% | 7.1–11.7% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.5% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.4% | 6.6–11.1% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 7.7% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.5–9.2% | 6.3–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–8.9% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.5–5.5% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.1–3.3% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.9–2.9% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 44 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–19 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 10–17 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–16 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 3–8 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–5 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 28% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 71% | |
| 42 | 3% | 70% | |
| 43 | 14% | 67% | |
| 44 | 13% | 53% | Median | 
| 45 | 27% | 40% | |
| 46 | 3% | 13% | |
| 47 | 4% | 11% | |
| 48 | 3% | 6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 16% | 97% | |
| 14 | 22% | 81% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 36% | 59% | Median | 
| 16 | 17% | 23% | |
| 17 | 5% | 6% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 12 | 17% | 96% | |
| 13 | 20% | 79% | |
| 14 | 12% | 59% | Median | 
| 15 | 45% | 47% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 11 | 19% | 99.3% | |
| 12 | 23% | 80% | |
| 13 | 44% | 57% | Median | 
| 14 | 7% | 14% | |
| 15 | 4% | 6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 12% | 98.8% | |
| 12 | 16% | 87% | |
| 13 | 11% | 71% | |
| 14 | 37% | 60% | Median | 
| 15 | 20% | 23% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 3% | 98% | |
| 11 | 15% | 95% | |
| 12 | 34% | 80% | Median | 
| 13 | 11% | 46% | |
| 14 | 34% | 34% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 38% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 23% | 61% | Median | 
| 10 | 16% | 38% | |
| 11 | 19% | 22% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 17% | 93% | |
| 9 | 15% | 76% | |
| 10 | 53% | 61% | Median | 
| 11 | 6% | 8% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 11% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 5% | 88% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 67% | 83% | Median | 
| 7 | 13% | 17% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 4 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 43% | 96% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 46% | 53% | Median | 
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 34% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 48% | 65% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 15% | 17% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 67% | 79% | Median | 
| 4 | 12% | 12% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 70% | 97% | Median | 
| 3 | 26% | 27% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 88 | 100% | 84–91 | 84–91 | 84–92 | 82–94 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 85 | 100% | 83–90 | 83–90 | 83–90 | 80–92 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 85 | 100% | 84–87 | 82–88 | 80–89 | 80–90 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 82 | 100% | 80–84 | 79–85 | 78–87 | 77–87 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 75 | 45% | 73–78 | 71–78 | 70–79 | 69–81 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 73 | 7% | 69–75 | 69–76 | 69–78 | 68–79 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 72 | 3% | 70–75 | 68–75 | 67–77 | 66–78 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 72 | 5% | 70–75 | 69–75 | 67–76 | 67–77 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 70 | 0.8% | 67–75 | 66–75 | 66–75 | 64–76 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 70 | 0.8% | 68–73 | 67–73 | 66–74 | 65–76 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 69 | 0.1% | 67–72 | 65–72 | 65–74 | 63–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 66 | 0.1% | 63–69 | 63–71 | 63–72 | 62–73 | 
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 68 | 0% | 63–69 | 63–69 | 62–72 | 61–73 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 66 | 0% | 62–69 | 62–71 | 62–72 | 61–73 | 
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 58 | 0% | 54–59 | 53–61 | 53–62 | 51–62 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 56 | 0% | 55–60 | 54–61 | 53–61 | 52–63 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 56 | 0% | 54–60 | 54–61 | 52–61 | 51–63 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 47 | 37 | 0% | 34–39 | 34–39 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 34 | 0% | 30–36 | 29–36 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 27 | 0% | 24–30 | 23–30 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 23 | 0% | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–28 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 84 | 25% | 98% | |
| 85 | 7% | 73% | |
| 86 | 11% | 67% | |
| 87 | 5% | 56% | |
| 88 | 17% | 51% | Median | 
| 89 | 20% | 34% | |
| 90 | 3% | 14% | Last Result | 
| 91 | 8% | 11% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 83 | 29% | 98% | |
| 84 | 11% | 69% | |
| 85 | 17% | 58% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 5% | 41% | |
| 87 | 5% | 36% | Median | 
| 88 | 7% | 31% | |
| 89 | 2% | 25% | |
| 90 | 22% | 23% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 82 | 3% | 96% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 84 | 16% | 92% | |
| 85 | 45% | 76% | |
| 86 | 9% | 31% | Median | 
| 87 | 16% | 22% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 100% | Majority | 
| 77 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 3% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 95% | |
| 80 | 12% | 94% | |
| 81 | 7% | 82% | |
| 82 | 27% | 75% | |
| 83 | 25% | 48% | Median | 
| 84 | 15% | 24% | |
| 85 | 4% | 8% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 87 | 3% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 96% | |
| 72 | 2% | 95% | |
| 73 | 4% | 93% | |
| 74 | 9% | 88% | |
| 75 | 35% | 79% | |
| 76 | 7% | 45% | Median, Majority | 
| 77 | 26% | 38% | |
| 78 | 9% | 12% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 25% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 9% | 74% | |
| 71 | 2% | 65% | |
| 72 | 13% | 63% | |
| 73 | 12% | 50% | Median | 
| 74 | 3% | 38% | |
| 75 | 28% | 35% | |
| 76 | 2% | 7% | Last Result, Majority | 
| 77 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 78 | 4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 11% | 93% | |
| 71 | 2% | 82% | |
| 72 | 38% | 80% | |
| 73 | 4% | 42% | Median | 
| 74 | 5% | 38% | |
| 75 | 29% | 33% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 3% | Majority | 
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 69 | 2% | 96% | |
| 70 | 4% | 94% | |
| 71 | 14% | 90% | |
| 72 | 31% | 76% | |
| 73 | 5% | 45% | Median | 
| 74 | 24% | 40% | |
| 75 | 11% | 16% | |
| 76 | 3% | 5% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 92% | |
| 68 | 2% | 90% | |
| 69 | 33% | 88% | |
| 70 | 18% | 55% | |
| 71 | 5% | 37% | |
| 72 | 3% | 32% | Median | 
| 73 | 9% | 29% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 75 | 19% | 20% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 0.8% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 34% | 94% | |
| 69 | 9% | 60% | |
| 70 | 10% | 51% | |
| 71 | 22% | 42% | Median | 
| 72 | 8% | 19% | Last Result | 
| 73 | 8% | 11% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.8% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 67 | 8% | 94% | |
| 68 | 14% | 85% | |
| 69 | 26% | 71% | |
| 70 | 3% | 45% | Median | 
| 71 | 4% | 42% | |
| 72 | 34% | 37% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 25% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 11% | 74% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 63% | |
| 66 | 15% | 62% | |
| 67 | 2% | 47% | Median | 
| 68 | 10% | 45% | |
| 69 | 28% | 35% | |
| 70 | 2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 72 | 4% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 63 | 14% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 83% | |
| 65 | 23% | 79% | |
| 66 | 2% | 56% | |
| 67 | 3% | 54% | |
| 68 | 24% | 51% | Median | 
| 69 | 22% | 26% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.7% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 26% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 72% | |
| 65 | 14% | 71% | |
| 66 | 9% | 57% | |
| 67 | 12% | 48% | Median | 
| 68 | 6% | 36% | |
| 69 | 22% | 29% | |
| 70 | 2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 4% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 7% | 98% | |
| 54 | 8% | 91% | |
| 55 | 4% | 82% | |
| 56 | 8% | 78% | |
| 57 | 16% | 70% | |
| 58 | 28% | 54% | Median | 
| 59 | 19% | 26% | |
| 60 | 2% | 7% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.6% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 4% | 97% | |
| 55 | 30% | 93% | |
| 56 | 15% | 63% | |
| 57 | 4% | 49% | |
| 58 | 12% | 45% | Median | 
| 59 | 0.9% | 33% | |
| 60 | 26% | 32% | |
| 61 | 5% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 54 | 31% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 65% | |
| 56 | 14% | 63% | |
| 57 | 12% | 49% | |
| 58 | 3% | 37% | Median | 
| 59 | 5% | 34% | |
| 60 | 23% | 29% | |
| 61 | 5% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 15% | 97% | |
| 35 | 18% | 82% | |
| 36 | 4% | 64% | |
| 37 | 34% | 60% | Median | 
| 38 | 4% | 26% | |
| 39 | 19% | 22% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 6% | 98% | |
| 30 | 12% | 91% | |
| 31 | 9% | 79% | |
| 32 | 6% | 70% | |
| 33 | 12% | 64% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 4% | 52% | Median | 
| 35 | 28% | 47% | |
| 36 | 19% | 19% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 8% | 93% | |
| 25 | 10% | 85% | |
| 26 | 16% | 75% | |
| 27 | 10% | 59% | |
| 28 | 5% | 50% | Last Result, Median | 
| 29 | 25% | 45% | |
| 30 | 20% | 20% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 18% | 99.3% | |
| 22 | 7% | 81% | |
| 23 | 36% | 74% | Median | 
| 24 | 25% | 37% | |
| 25 | 10% | 13% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
 - Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
 - Fieldwork period: 22–24 May 2020
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1048
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 3.51%