Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 31 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.1–24.6% 21.8–24.9% 21.4–25.3%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 12.6% 11.9–13.4% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.1–14.3%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
GroenLinks 9.1% 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
Democraten 66 12.2% 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.7% 4.2–5.2% 4.1–5.3% 4.0–5.5% 3.7–5.8%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
50Plus 3.1% 0.7% 0.5–0.9% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.2%
DENK 2.1% 0.7% 0.5–0.9% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.2%
Partij voor de Toekomst 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–0.9% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 35 35–38 34–38 34–38 34–38
Partij van de Arbeid 9 18 18–20 17–21 17–21 17–21
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 18 17–19 17–20 17–20 16–21
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 17 15–17 14–17 14–18 14–18
GroenLinks 14 13 11–13 10–13 10–13 10–14
Forum voor Democratie 2 11 11–12 10–13 10–13 10–13
Democraten 66 19 9 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
Socialistische Partij 14 10 10–11 10–11 9–11 8–12
ChristenUnie 5 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Partij voor de Dieren 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–7 4–7
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
50Plus 4 1 1 1 1 0–1
DENK 3 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partij voor de Toekomst 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
34 6% 99.8%  
35 69% 94% Median
36 2% 25%  
37 12% 22%  
38 10% 11%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 8% 100%  
18 68% 92% Median
19 3% 25%  
20 15% 21%  
21 6% 6%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.5% 100%  
17 10% 99.5%  
18 67% 90% Median
19 17% 23%  
20 5% 6% Last Result
21 0.8% 0.8%  
22 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 5% 99.9%  
15 7% 95%  
16 18% 88%  
17 68% 70% Median
18 2% 3%  
19 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 6% 100%  
11 16% 94%  
12 16% 78%  
13 62% 62% Median
14 0.7% 0.9% Last Result
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 10% 99.9%  
11 71% 90% Median
12 11% 19%  
13 9% 9%  
14 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.3% 100%  
9 73% 98.7% Median
10 8% 26%  
11 17% 18%  
12 0.6% 0.6%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.4% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.5%  
10 79% 97% Median
11 17% 19%  
12 0.9% 1.2%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0% Last Result

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100% Last Result
6 24% 99.7%  
7 65% 76% Median
8 10% 10%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 23% 99.9%  
5 73% 77% Last Result, Median
6 1.2% 4%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 13% 99.9% Last Result
4 86% 87% Median
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100%  
1 98.7% 98.7% Median
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 91% 91% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0% Last Result

Partij voor de Toekomst

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100% Last Result
1 68% 68% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 85 86 100% 86–89 86–90 86–90 86–91
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 85 100% 84–87 84–89 84–89 82–89
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 81 100% 80–83 80–85 80–85 78–85
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 90 81 100% 79–81 77–83 77–83 77–83
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 80 74 11% 71–76 71–77 71–77 71–77
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 61 70 0% 70–72 69–73 69–73 69–73
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 70 0% 69–72 69–73 69–73 67–74
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 68 0% 68–70 67–71 67–71 66–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus 61 68 0% 67–69 66–71 66–71 66–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 67 0% 66–68 65–70 65–70 65–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 64 0% 64–65 63–67 63–67 62–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 61 62 0% 62–66 62–67 62–67 62–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 63 0% 63–65 62–66 62–66 61–66
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 66 64 0% 61–66 60–66 60–66 60–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 61 0% 61–63 60–63 60–64 60–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 53 0% 53–55 53–58 53–58 53–58
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 52 0% 52–53 50–53 50–53 50–54
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 47 44 0% 43–47 43–48 42–48 42–48
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 33 42 0% 40–43 39–44 39–44 39–44
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 28 35 0% 34–37 33–37 31–37 31–37
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 26 0% 25–27 24–28 24–28 24–28

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.2% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
86 67% 99.7% Median
87 6% 33%  
88 12% 27%  
89 10% 15%  
90 5% 5%  
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.3% 0.3%  
93 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100% Last Result
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.6% 99.8%  
83 0.3% 99.2%  
84 16% 98.9%  
85 60% 83% Median
86 13% 23%  
87 1.4% 10%  
88 0.9% 9%  
89 8% 8%  
90 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100% Last Result
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100% Majority
77 0% 100%  
78 0.7% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.3%  
80 10% 99.1%  
81 65% 89% Median
82 9% 24%  
83 6% 15%  
84 0.9% 9%  
85 8% 8%  
86 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 5% 100%  
78 0.2% 94%  
79 8% 94%  
80 1.1% 86%  
81 79% 85% Median
82 0.8% 6%  
83 5% 6%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 11% 99.9%  
72 6% 89%  
73 5% 83%  
74 66% 77% Median
75 0.4% 12%  
76 2% 11% Majority
77 10% 10%  
78 0.2% 0.2%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100% Last Result
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 6% 99.8%  
70 61% 94% Median
71 16% 33%  
72 10% 17%  
73 7% 7%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.5% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.4%  
69 15% 98.8%  
70 64% 84% Median
71 2% 20%  
72 12% 18% Last Result
73 5% 6%  
74 1.0% 1.0%  
75 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.4% 99.7%  
67 6% 99.4%  
68 70% 94% Median
69 11% 24%  
70 8% 13%  
71 5% 6%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100% Last Result
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 7% 99.6%  
67 6% 93%  
68 72% 87% Median
69 5% 15%  
70 2% 9%  
71 8% 8%  
72 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 7% 99.7%  
66 6% 93%  
67 72% 87% Median
68 6% 15%  
69 1.5% 10%  
70 8% 8%  
71 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100% Last Result
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 1.4% 99.7%  
63 6% 98%  
64 76% 92% Median
65 6% 16%  
66 2% 10%  
67 8% 8%  
68 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100% Last Result
62 58% 99.9% Median
63 2% 42%  
64 9% 39%  
65 9% 30%  
66 14% 21%  
67 6% 7%  
68 0.6% 0.7%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100% Last Result
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 1.2% 99.8%  
62 6% 98.6%  
63 76% 92% Median
64 6% 16%  
65 2% 10%  
66 8% 8%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 8% 100%  
61 3% 92%  
62 6% 89%  
63 6% 83%  
64 65% 78% Median
65 1.1% 12%  
66 10% 11% Last Result
67 0.6% 0.8%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 6% 99.7%  
61 60% 94% Median
62 16% 34%  
63 15% 18%  
64 3% 4%  
65 0.5% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100% Last Result
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 59% 99.7% Median
54 4% 41%  
55 29% 37%  
56 1.3% 7%  
57 0.4% 6%  
58 6% 6%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 6% 99.8%  
51 1.0% 93%  
52 73% 92% Last Result, Median
53 18% 20%  
54 1.5% 2%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 5% 100%  
43 9% 95%  
44 67% 87% Median
45 2% 19%  
46 2% 17%  
47 6% 15% Last Result
48 9% 9%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 8% 100%  
40 9% 92%  
41 1.2% 83%  
42 59% 82% Median
43 16% 23%  
44 6% 7%  
45 0.2% 0.3%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 5% 100%  
32 0.1% 95%  
33 4% 95%  
34 9% 92%  
35 64% 82% Median
36 1.1% 18%  
37 17% 17%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.2% 100%  
24 6% 99.8%  
25 14% 94%  
26 66% 80% Median
27 4% 14%  
28 9% 10%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations