Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 27–30 June 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 26.4% | 24.7–28.2% | 24.2–28.7% | 23.8–29.1% | 23.0–30.0% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.6–12.0% | 9.3–12.4% | 9.0–12.7% | 8.5–13.4% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.3–11.7% | 9.0–12.1% | 8.7–12.4% | 8.2–13.1% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.8–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.1–10.5% | 6.6–11.1% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.2% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.7–8.2% | 5.5–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 5.9% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 42 | 37–44 | 37–47 | 36–47 | 35–47 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 15 | 14–19 | 14–21 | 14–21 | 12–21 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 16 | 13–17 | 12–19 | 12–20 | 12–21 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–19 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 11 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–14 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 3–9 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 
| DENK | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–4 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 37 | 9% | 95% | |
| 38 | 12% | 86% | |
| 39 | 5% | 75% | |
| 40 | 3% | 70% | |
| 41 | 13% | 67% | |
| 42 | 33% | 53% | Median | 
| 43 | 2% | 20% | |
| 44 | 10% | 18% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 47 | 7% | 7% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 12% | 98% | |
| 15 | 42% | 86% | Median | 
| 16 | 8% | 44% | |
| 17 | 12% | 36% | |
| 18 | 14% | 25% | |
| 19 | 3% | 11% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 2% | 8% | |
| 21 | 6% | 6% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 5% | 91% | |
| 14 | 19% | 86% | |
| 15 | 10% | 67% | |
| 16 | 46% | 58% | Median | 
| 17 | 4% | 11% | |
| 18 | 2% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 5% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 15% | 97% | |
| 13 | 15% | 82% | |
| 14 | 9% | 67% | |
| 15 | 49% | 58% | Median | 
| 16 | 6% | 9% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 8% | 97% | |
| 12 | 16% | 90% | |
| 13 | 14% | 74% | |
| 14 | 52% | 60% | Last Result, Median | 
| 15 | 4% | 8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 99.5% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 37% | 98% | |
| 11 | 18% | 61% | Median | 
| 12 | 29% | 43% | |
| 13 | 9% | 14% | |
| 14 | 3% | 6% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 13% | 93% | |
| 10 | 11% | 80% | |
| 11 | 53% | 69% | Median | 
| 12 | 14% | 16% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.8% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 22% | 98% | |
| 8 | 40% | 76% | Median | 
| 9 | 19% | 36% | |
| 10 | 12% | 17% | |
| 11 | 2% | 5% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 34% | 97% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 19% | 63% | Median | 
| 7 | 29% | 44% | |
| 8 | 11% | 15% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 7% | 98% | |
| 5 | 57% | 91% | Last Result, Median | 
| 6 | 21% | 34% | |
| 7 | 9% | 13% | |
| 8 | 4% | 5% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 22% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 11% | 78% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 54% | 67% | Median | 
| 5 | 4% | 13% | |
| 6 | 9% | 9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 64% | 99.0% | Median | 
| 2 | 25% | 35% | |
| 3 | 9% | 10% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 48% | 97% | Median | 
| 2 | 16% | 50% | |
| 3 | 33% | 34% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 91 | 100% | 87–95 | 85–97 | 84–97 | 83–97 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 88 | 100% | 86–94 | 85–95 | 84–95 | 83–95 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 85 | 100% | 82–88 | 80–88 | 79–89 | 78–90 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 81 | 96% | 78–83 | 77–85 | 75–85 | 75–87 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 77 | 82% | 74–82 | 73–83 | 72–83 | 72–84 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 70 | 16% | 68–77 | 68–77 | 67–78 | 64–78 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 73 | 5% | 70–75 | 68–76 | 67–76 | 65–78 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 72 | 9% | 67–75 | 66–76 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 67 | 0.5% | 66–73 | 64–73 | 62–75 | 62–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 72 | 0.7% | 67–73 | 66–73 | 66–74 | 65–77 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 67 | 0% | 62–71 | 62–74 | 60–74 | 58–74 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 69 | 0.4% | 65–72 | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 68 | 0% | 64–70 | 63–70 | 62–72 | 61–73 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 65 | 0% | 62–69 | 61–69 | 61–70 | 59–72 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 60 | 0% | 58–65 | 57–66 | 57–66 | 54–68 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 57 | 0% | 53–60 | 52–61 | 52–61 | 50–63 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 52 | 0% | 49–56 | 48–59 | 48–59 | 45–59 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 40 | 0% | 39–46 | 39–47 | 38–47 | 37–49 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 33 | 0% | 30–39 | 30–39 | 30–39 | 30–41 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 30 | 0% | 27–34 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 25–36 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 27 | 0% | 25–31 | 25–33 | 24–33 | 24–34 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 85 | 3% | 97% | |
| 86 | 2% | 95% | |
| 87 | 4% | 93% | |
| 88 | 3% | 89% | |
| 89 | 10% | 86% | |
| 90 | 16% | 76% | Last Result | 
| 91 | 35% | 61% | |
| 92 | 5% | 26% | Median | 
| 93 | 4% | 21% | |
| 94 | 2% | 18% | |
| 95 | 7% | 15% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 97 | 8% | 8% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 3% | 98% | |
| 85 | 5% | 95% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 5% | 90% | |
| 87 | 34% | 86% | |
| 88 | 5% | 52% | |
| 89 | 15% | 47% | Median | 
| 90 | 7% | 32% | |
| 91 | 3% | 26% | |
| 92 | 9% | 22% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 94 | 3% | 12% | |
| 95 | 9% | 9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 3% | 96% | |
| 81 | 2% | 93% | |
| 82 | 12% | 91% | |
| 83 | 5% | 79% | |
| 84 | 13% | 75% | |
| 85 | 38% | 61% | Median | 
| 86 | 8% | 23% | |
| 87 | 3% | 16% | |
| 88 | 10% | 12% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 96% | Majority | 
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 10% | 93% | |
| 79 | 5% | 83% | |
| 80 | 6% | 78% | |
| 81 | 35% | 72% | Median | 
| 82 | 23% | 37% | |
| 83 | 7% | 14% | |
| 84 | 2% | 7% | |
| 85 | 3% | 5% | |
| 86 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 5% | 96% | |
| 74 | 4% | 91% | |
| 75 | 5% | 87% | |
| 76 | 3% | 82% | Last Result, Majority | 
| 77 | 45% | 79% | |
| 78 | 4% | 34% | Median | 
| 79 | 7% | 30% | |
| 80 | 4% | 23% | |
| 81 | 8% | 18% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 83 | 8% | 9% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 68 | 7% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 90% | |
| 70 | 37% | 86% | |
| 71 | 10% | 49% | |
| 72 | 5% | 39% | Median | 
| 73 | 7% | 34% | |
| 74 | 5% | 27% | |
| 75 | 5% | 21% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 16% | Majority | 
| 77 | 11% | 15% | |
| 78 | 3% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 95% | |
| 69 | 2% | 93% | |
| 70 | 4% | 90% | |
| 71 | 14% | 86% | |
| 72 | 8% | 73% | Last Result | 
| 73 | 42% | 65% | Median | 
| 74 | 3% | 22% | |
| 75 | 15% | 20% | |
| 76 | 3% | 5% | Majority | 
| 77 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 5% | 96% | |
| 67 | 3% | 91% | |
| 68 | 4% | 88% | |
| 69 | 3% | 84% | |
| 70 | 7% | 81% | |
| 71 | 12% | 74% | Last Result | 
| 72 | 39% | 62% | Median | 
| 73 | 2% | 22% | |
| 74 | 10% | 21% | |
| 75 | 2% | 11% | |
| 76 | 8% | 9% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 2% | 92% | |
| 66 | 6% | 90% | |
| 67 | 37% | 84% | |
| 68 | 3% | 47% | Median | 
| 69 | 7% | 44% | |
| 70 | 15% | 38% | |
| 71 | 9% | 22% | |
| 72 | 3% | 14% | |
| 73 | 8% | 11% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 8% | 94% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 69 | 5% | 84% | |
| 70 | 4% | 79% | Median | 
| 71 | 18% | 76% | |
| 72 | 40% | 58% | |
| 73 | 14% | 18% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.7% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 97% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 10% | 97% | |
| 63 | 4% | 87% | |
| 64 | 6% | 82% | |
| 65 | 9% | 76% | |
| 66 | 5% | 67% | |
| 67 | 41% | 63% | |
| 68 | 8% | 22% | Median | 
| 69 | 3% | 14% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 9% | |
| 74 | 7% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 7% | 96% | |
| 66 | 4% | 89% | |
| 67 | 3% | 85% | |
| 68 | 7% | 82% | |
| 69 | 34% | 75% | Median | 
| 70 | 15% | 42% | |
| 71 | 10% | 27% | |
| 72 | 13% | 16% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 5% | 96% | |
| 64 | 5% | 92% | |
| 65 | 5% | 87% | |
| 66 | 5% | 82% | Median | 
| 67 | 16% | 77% | |
| 68 | 37% | 60% | |
| 69 | 12% | 23% | |
| 70 | 6% | 11% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 7% | 94% | |
| 63 | 2% | 87% | |
| 64 | 5% | 85% | |
| 65 | 36% | 80% | Median | 
| 66 | 16% | 44% | |
| 67 | 5% | 28% | |
| 68 | 12% | 23% | |
| 69 | 7% | 10% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 58 | 3% | 92% | |
| 59 | 35% | 89% | |
| 60 | 5% | 53% | |
| 61 | 3% | 49% | Median | 
| 62 | 15% | 45% | |
| 63 | 4% | 30% | |
| 64 | 5% | 27% | |
| 65 | 15% | 21% | |
| 66 | 4% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 5% | 98.6% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 4% | 93% | |
| 54 | 4% | 89% | |
| 55 | 5% | 85% | |
| 56 | 7% | 80% | |
| 57 | 33% | 73% | Median | 
| 58 | 7% | 40% | |
| 59 | 18% | 32% | |
| 60 | 5% | 15% | |
| 61 | 9% | 10% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 48 | 6% | 98% | |
| 49 | 10% | 92% | |
| 50 | 7% | 82% | |
| 51 | 6% | 75% | |
| 52 | 43% | 70% | |
| 53 | 2% | 26% | Median | 
| 54 | 4% | 24% | |
| 55 | 3% | 20% | |
| 56 | 7% | 17% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 59 | 8% | 9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 39 | 9% | 96% | |
| 40 | 39% | 87% | |
| 41 | 10% | 48% | Median | 
| 42 | 7% | 38% | |
| 43 | 6% | 31% | |
| 44 | 11% | 25% | |
| 45 | 4% | 15% | |
| 46 | 5% | 11% | |
| 47 | 4% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 31% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 3% | 69% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 66% | Median | 
| 33 | 19% | 64% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 7% | 45% | |
| 35 | 5% | 38% | |
| 36 | 15% | 34% | |
| 37 | 4% | 18% | |
| 38 | 4% | 15% | |
| 39 | 9% | 10% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 27 | 9% | 97% | |
| 28 | 6% | 88% | |
| 29 | 11% | 82% | |
| 30 | 39% | 71% | Median | 
| 31 | 8% | 33% | |
| 32 | 4% | 25% | |
| 33 | 9% | 21% | |
| 34 | 8% | 12% | |
| 35 | 3% | 4% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 32% | 97% | |
| 26 | 11% | 65% | Median | 
| 27 | 13% | 54% | |
| 28 | 7% | 40% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 14% | 33% | |
| 30 | 4% | 19% | |
| 31 | 7% | 15% | |
| 32 | 3% | 8% | |
| 33 | 5% | 6% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
 - Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
 - Fieldwork period: 27–30 June 2020
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1055
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 3.12%