Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 9 August 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
26.4% |
24.9–28.0% |
24.5–28.5% |
24.1–28.9% |
23.4–29.6% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
11.3% |
10.2–12.5% |
9.9–12.8% |
9.7–13.1% |
9.2–13.7% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.6% |
8.6–10.7% |
8.3–11.0% |
8.1–11.3% |
7.7–11.8% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
9.4% |
8.5–10.5% |
8.2–10.8% |
8.0–11.1% |
7.5–11.6% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.6% |
7.7–9.6% |
7.4–10.0% |
7.2–10.2% |
6.8–10.7% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.2% |
7.3–9.3% |
7.1–9.6% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.4–10.3% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
7.6% |
6.8–8.6% |
6.5–8.9% |
6.3–9.2% |
5.9–9.7% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.5% |
5.7–7.5% |
5.5–7.7% |
5.3–8.0% |
4.9–8.4% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.6% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.8–5.7% |
3.6–5.9% |
3.3–6.3% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.4% |
2.1–3.6% |
2.0–3.8% |
1.8–4.1% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.7% |
2.2–3.4% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.7–4.1% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.5% |
DENK |
2.1% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.2–1.4% |
Partij voor de Toekomst |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.2–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
40 |
2% |
97% |
|
41 |
91% |
96% |
Median |
42 |
3% |
5% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
92% |
98% |
Median |
17 |
4% |
6% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
14 |
1.5% |
98% |
Last Result |
15 |
93% |
97% |
Median |
16 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
17 |
2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
13 |
94% |
97% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
93% |
96% |
Median |
14 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
13 |
3% |
96% |
|
14 |
2% |
94% |
|
15 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
10 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
12 |
93% |
96% |
Median |
13 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
14 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
10 |
93% |
97% |
Median |
11 |
4% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
96% |
99.5% |
Median |
7 |
2% |
4% |
|
8 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
3 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
4 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
5 |
0.9% |
2% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
96% |
99.7% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
3% |
4% |
|
5 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
95% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Toekomst
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
93 |
100% |
93 |
93 |
91–95 |
87–96 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
91 |
100% |
91 |
91 |
90–92 |
83–94 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
85 |
100% |
85 |
85–86 |
85–88 |
82–90 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
82 |
100% |
82 |
82 |
81–85 |
79–87 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
78 |
98% |
78 |
78 |
76–79 |
71–81 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
75 |
4% |
75 |
75 |
73–77 |
71–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
73 |
2% |
73 |
73 |
72–75 |
67–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
72 |
2% |
72 |
72 |
72–75 |
67–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
72 |
0.2% |
72 |
72 |
69–73 |
65–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
70 |
0.1% |
70 |
70–71 |
70–72 |
64–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
70 |
0.4% |
70 |
70–71 |
70–72 |
67–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
70 |
0.1% |
70 |
70 |
68–72 |
64–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
69 |
0.1% |
69 |
69 |
68–71 |
64–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
69 |
0% |
69 |
68–69 |
65–69 |
62–70 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
65 |
0% |
65 |
65 |
63–66 |
61–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
57 |
0% |
57 |
57–58 |
56–59 |
52–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
54 |
0% |
54 |
54 |
54–55 |
49–58 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
44 |
0% |
44 |
43–44 |
42–44 |
40–47 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
35 |
0% |
35 |
35–37 |
35–38 |
33–40 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
29 |
0% |
29 |
29–30 |
29–32 |
27–33 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
31 |
0% |
31 |
30–31 |
28–31 |
27–32 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
98% |
Last Result |
91 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
92 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
93 |
92% |
96% |
Median |
94 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
95 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
96 |
2% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
90 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
91 |
94% |
97% |
Median |
92 |
2% |
3% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
94 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
98% |
|
85 |
93% |
98% |
Median |
86 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
89 |
2% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
82 |
93% |
97% |
Median |
83 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
86 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
98% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
78 |
94% |
97% |
Median |
79 |
2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
75 |
92% |
96% |
Median |
76 |
0.2% |
4% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
72 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
73 |
91% |
96% |
Median |
74 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
99.1% |
|
72 |
93% |
98% |
Median |
73 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
96% |
Last Result |
72 |
93% |
96% |
Median |
73 |
2% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
92% |
98.8% |
Median |
71 |
3% |
6% |
|
72 |
2% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
1.5% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
70 |
91% |
98% |
Median |
71 |
2% |
6% |
|
72 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
98.5% |
|
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
91% |
96% |
Median |
71 |
2% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
69 |
93% |
97% |
Median |
70 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
68 |
2% |
96% |
|
69 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
70 |
2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
65 |
92% |
97% |
Median |
66 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
67 |
2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.6% |
100% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
57 |
91% |
97% |
Median |
58 |
2% |
6% |
|
59 |
4% |
5% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
99.1% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
54 |
94% |
98% |
Median |
55 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
43 |
3% |
96% |
|
44 |
92% |
94% |
Median |
45 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.6% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
93% |
98% |
Median |
36 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
37 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
38 |
2% |
4% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
29 |
93% |
98% |
Median |
30 |
2% |
5% |
|
31 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
32 |
2% |
3% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
30 |
2% |
96% |
|
31 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
32 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9 August 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1339
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.91%