Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 9 August 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 26.4% | 24.9–28.0% | 24.5–28.5% | 24.1–28.9% | 23.4–29.6% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.8% | 9.7–13.1% | 9.2–13.7% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6–10.7% | 8.3–11.0% | 8.1–11.3% | 7.7–11.8% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.5–10.5% | 8.2–10.8% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.5–11.6% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.7–9.6% | 7.4–10.0% | 7.2–10.2% | 6.8–10.7% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.3–9.3% | 7.1–9.6% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.4–10.3% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 7.6% | 6.8–8.6% | 6.5–8.9% | 6.3–9.2% | 5.9–9.7% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.7–7.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.3–8.0% | 4.9–8.4% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.3–6.3% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.1–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.8–4.1% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.7–4.1% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 
| Partij voor de Toekomst | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 39–42 | 37–44 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16–17 | 16–17 | 15–19 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14–16 | 12–17 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12–14 | 11–16 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–15 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2–6 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 
| DENK | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 
| Partij voor de Toekomst | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 97% | |
| 41 | 91% | 96% | Median | 
| 42 | 3% | 5% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 92% | 98% | Median | 
| 17 | 4% | 6% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.9% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 1.5% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 93% | 97% | Median | 
| 16 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 94% | 97% | Median | 
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 93% | 96% | Median | 
| 14 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 3% | 96% | |
| 14 | 2% | 94% | |
| 15 | 92% | 92% | Median | 
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 12 | 93% | 96% | Median | 
| 13 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 10 | 93% | 97% | Median | 
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 96% | 99.5% | Median | 
| 7 | 2% | 4% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 97% | 98% | Median | 
| 5 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 96% | 99.7% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 3% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 95% | 96% | Median | 
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Median | 
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij voor de Toekomst
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 1 | 94% | 95% | Median | 
| 2 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 93 | 100% | 93 | 93 | 91–95 | 87–96 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 91 | 100% | 91 | 91 | 90–92 | 83–94 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 85 | 100% | 85 | 85–86 | 85–88 | 82–90 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 82 | 100% | 82 | 82 | 81–85 | 79–87 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 78 | 98% | 78 | 78 | 76–79 | 71–81 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 75 | 4% | 75 | 75 | 73–77 | 71–78 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 73 | 2% | 73 | 73 | 72–75 | 67–78 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 72 | 2% | 72 | 72 | 72–75 | 67–77 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 72 | 0.2% | 72 | 72 | 69–73 | 65–74 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 70 | 0.1% | 70 | 70–71 | 70–72 | 64–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 70 | 0.4% | 70 | 70–71 | 70–72 | 67–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 70 | 0.1% | 70 | 70 | 68–72 | 64–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 69 | 0.1% | 69 | 69 | 68–71 | 64–74 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 69 | 0% | 69 | 68–69 | 65–69 | 62–70 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 65 | 0% | 65 | 65 | 63–66 | 61–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 57 | 0% | 57 | 57–58 | 56–59 | 52–62 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 54 | 0% | 54 | 54 | 54–55 | 49–58 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 47 | 44 | 0% | 44 | 43–44 | 42–44 | 40–47 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 35 | 0% | 35 | 35–37 | 35–38 | 33–40 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 29 | 0% | 29 | 29–30 | 29–32 | 27–33 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 31 | 0% | 31 | 30–31 | 28–31 | 27–32 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 91 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 93 | 92% | 96% | Median | 
| 94 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 2% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.4% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 91 | 94% | 97% | Median | 
| 92 | 2% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 98% | |
| 85 | 93% | 98% | Median | 
| 86 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 89 | 2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 100% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 82 | 93% | 97% | Median | 
| 83 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 86 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 98% | Last Result, Majority | 
| 77 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 78 | 94% | 97% | Median | 
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 75 | 92% | 96% | Median | 
| 76 | 0.2% | 4% | Majority | 
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result | 
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 73 | 91% | 96% | Median | 
| 74 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 93% | 98% | Median | 
| 73 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 2% | Majority | 
| 77 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 96% | Last Result | 
| 72 | 93% | 96% | Median | 
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 92% | 98.8% | Median | 
| 71 | 3% | 6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 70 | 91% | 98% | Median | 
| 71 | 2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 5% | Last Result | 
| 73 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 91% | 96% | Median | 
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 69 | 93% | 97% | Median | 
| 70 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 92% | 94% | Median | 
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 65 | 92% | 97% | Median | 
| 66 | 2% | 4% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 57 | 91% | 97% | Median | 
| 58 | 2% | 6% | |
| 59 | 4% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 94% | 98% | Median | 
| 55 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 43 | 3% | 96% | |
| 44 | 92% | 94% | Median | 
| 45 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 93% | 98% | Median | 
| 36 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 38 | 2% | 4% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 99.3% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 93% | 98% | Median | 
| 30 | 2% | 5% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 30 | 2% | 96% | |
| 31 | 94% | 94% | Median | 
| 32 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 9 August 2020
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1339
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 1.91%