Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 21–27 August 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
23.7% |
22.1–25.5% |
21.6–26.0% |
21.2–26.4% |
20.5–27.2% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
11.6% |
10.4–13.0% |
10.1–13.4% |
9.8–13.7% |
9.3–14.4% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.8% |
9.6–12.1% |
9.3–12.5% |
9.0–12.8% |
8.5–13.5% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
9.5% |
8.5–10.8% |
8.2–11.2% |
7.9–11.5% |
7.4–12.1% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.6–10.5% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
8.7% |
7.7–9.9% |
7.4–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.7–11.2% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.1% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.6–8.7% |
5.2–9.3% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
6.2% |
5.4–7.3% |
5.1–7.6% |
4.9–7.9% |
4.5–8.4% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.8% |
4.1–5.8% |
3.9–6.1% |
3.7–6.3% |
3.4–6.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.6% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.8–5.1% |
2.5–5.6% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.3% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.8–2.0% |
0.7–2.1% |
0.6–2.4% |
DENK |
2.1% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
20% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
34 |
7% |
79% |
|
35 |
8% |
72% |
|
36 |
44% |
64% |
Median |
37 |
7% |
20% |
|
38 |
2% |
13% |
|
39 |
8% |
11% |
|
40 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
41 |
2% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
5% |
98% |
|
16 |
3% |
93% |
|
17 |
12% |
89% |
|
18 |
39% |
77% |
Median |
19 |
27% |
38% |
|
20 |
6% |
11% |
Last Result |
21 |
3% |
5% |
|
22 |
2% |
2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
15 |
19% |
93% |
|
16 |
12% |
75% |
|
17 |
4% |
63% |
|
18 |
2% |
58% |
|
19 |
8% |
56% |
Last Result, Median |
20 |
48% |
48% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
13 |
7% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
62% |
92% |
Median |
15 |
8% |
30% |
|
16 |
5% |
21% |
|
17 |
16% |
17% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
12 |
10% |
98% |
|
13 |
34% |
88% |
|
14 |
47% |
54% |
Median |
15 |
4% |
6% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
12% |
97% |
|
12 |
5% |
85% |
|
13 |
65% |
80% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
15% |
Last Result |
15 |
9% |
13% |
|
16 |
2% |
4% |
|
17 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
9 |
8% |
98% |
|
10 |
41% |
90% |
Median |
11 |
11% |
49% |
|
12 |
36% |
38% |
|
13 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
7 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
50% |
98% |
Median |
9 |
15% |
48% |
|
10 |
26% |
33% |
|
11 |
2% |
7% |
|
12 |
4% |
5% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
44% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
6 |
29% |
56% |
Median |
7 |
6% |
27% |
|
8 |
10% |
21% |
|
9 |
6% |
11% |
|
10 |
4% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
4 |
12% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
56% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
22% |
32% |
|
7 |
9% |
10% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
19% |
99.1% |
|
3 |
58% |
80% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
21% |
22% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
68% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
28% |
30% |
|
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
65% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
34% |
35% |
|
2 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
88 |
100% |
85–91 |
83–92 |
83–93 |
81–95 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
89 |
100% |
86–89 |
85–90 |
84–92 |
82–94 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
85 |
99.5% |
80–86 |
79–87 |
78–88 |
75–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
82 |
98% |
78–82 |
77–84 |
76–85 |
73–86 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
76 |
66% |
72–78 |
71–80 |
71–80 |
68–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
75 |
19% |
72–76 |
72–78 |
71–79 |
69–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
72 |
2% |
68–74 |
67–75 |
66–75 |
64–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
68 |
0% |
66–70 |
65–71 |
64–72 |
62–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
68 |
0% |
64–68 |
63–70 |
63–70 |
61–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
66 |
0% |
63–70 |
62–70 |
62–70 |
61–72 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
66 |
66 |
0% |
61–67 |
61–68 |
61–70 |
58–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
67 |
0% |
62–67 |
62–68 |
61–69 |
58–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
64 |
0% |
61–65 |
61–67 |
60–68 |
59–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
64 |
0% |
60–67 |
60–67 |
60–68 |
59–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
63 |
0% |
59–64 |
59–65 |
59–66 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
53 |
0% |
51–56 |
49–56 |
49–57 |
48–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
50 |
0% |
46–52 |
46–53 |
46–54 |
45–55 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
47 |
0% |
43–48 |
42–48 |
41–48 |
39–49 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
39 |
0% |
34–39 |
34–40 |
34–41 |
32–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
34 |
0% |
29–34 |
29–34 |
28–34 |
27–36 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
32 |
0% |
28–34 |
27–34 |
27–34 |
26–34 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
83 |
4% |
98% |
|
84 |
1.5% |
94% |
|
85 |
7% |
93% |
|
86 |
29% |
86% |
|
87 |
7% |
58% |
|
88 |
34% |
51% |
Median |
89 |
4% |
17% |
|
90 |
2% |
13% |
Last Result |
91 |
4% |
11% |
|
92 |
2% |
6% |
|
93 |
4% |
5% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
95 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
84 |
1.4% |
98.8% |
|
85 |
6% |
97% |
Last Result |
86 |
17% |
91% |
|
87 |
19% |
74% |
|
88 |
5% |
55% |
|
89 |
41% |
50% |
Median |
90 |
5% |
9% |
|
91 |
2% |
5% |
|
92 |
2% |
3% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
94 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
78 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
79 |
6% |
97% |
|
80 |
4% |
91% |
|
81 |
12% |
87% |
|
82 |
10% |
75% |
|
83 |
4% |
65% |
|
84 |
1.4% |
61% |
Median |
85 |
38% |
59% |
|
86 |
16% |
22% |
|
87 |
3% |
6% |
|
88 |
2% |
3% |
|
89 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
75 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
76 |
2% |
98% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
95% |
|
78 |
14% |
90% |
|
79 |
8% |
76% |
|
80 |
6% |
68% |
|
81 |
3% |
62% |
Median |
82 |
52% |
59% |
|
83 |
2% |
7% |
|
84 |
2% |
5% |
|
85 |
2% |
3% |
|
86 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
71 |
7% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
91% |
|
73 |
7% |
89% |
|
74 |
11% |
82% |
|
75 |
5% |
71% |
|
76 |
23% |
66% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
3% |
43% |
|
78 |
34% |
40% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
80 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
71 |
2% |
98% |
|
72 |
9% |
97% |
|
73 |
28% |
88% |
|
74 |
6% |
60% |
|
75 |
35% |
54% |
Median |
76 |
9% |
19% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
1.2% |
10% |
|
78 |
6% |
9% |
|
79 |
2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
98.5% |
|
67 |
2% |
97% |
|
68 |
5% |
95% |
|
69 |
11% |
90% |
|
70 |
14% |
79% |
|
71 |
6% |
65% |
|
72 |
18% |
59% |
Last Result |
73 |
2% |
41% |
Median |
74 |
33% |
39% |
|
75 |
3% |
6% |
|
76 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
65 |
3% |
97% |
|
66 |
11% |
94% |
|
67 |
22% |
83% |
|
68 |
20% |
61% |
|
69 |
3% |
41% |
Median |
70 |
33% |
38% |
|
71 |
2% |
5% |
Last Result |
72 |
3% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
5% |
98% |
|
64 |
16% |
93% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
77% |
|
66 |
13% |
76% |
|
67 |
6% |
63% |
Median |
68 |
49% |
57% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
70 |
5% |
7% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
62 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
63 |
5% |
94% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
65 |
15% |
88% |
|
66 |
29% |
73% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
44% |
|
68 |
4% |
43% |
|
69 |
4% |
39% |
Median |
70 |
33% |
35% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
61 |
8% |
98% |
|
62 |
2% |
90% |
|
63 |
2% |
88% |
|
64 |
19% |
86% |
|
65 |
6% |
67% |
|
66 |
51% |
61% |
Last Result, Median |
67 |
2% |
10% |
|
68 |
3% |
8% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
70 |
4% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
58 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
62 |
19% |
97% |
|
63 |
3% |
78% |
|
64 |
5% |
75% |
|
65 |
6% |
71% |
|
66 |
8% |
64% |
Median |
67 |
49% |
56% |
|
68 |
4% |
7% |
|
69 |
2% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
59 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
61 |
19% |
96% |
|
62 |
2% |
77% |
|
63 |
6% |
76% |
|
64 |
27% |
70% |
Median |
65 |
34% |
43% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
67 |
4% |
7% |
|
68 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
19% |
99.0% |
|
61 |
5% |
80% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
76% |
|
63 |
4% |
72% |
|
64 |
40% |
68% |
Median |
65 |
5% |
28% |
|
66 |
3% |
23% |
|
67 |
17% |
20% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
69 |
2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
59 |
17% |
98% |
|
60 |
5% |
81% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
76% |
|
62 |
8% |
75% |
|
63 |
24% |
67% |
Median |
64 |
35% |
43% |
|
65 |
5% |
7% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
68 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
1.5% |
93% |
|
51 |
16% |
92% |
|
52 |
4% |
76% |
Last Result |
53 |
27% |
72% |
|
54 |
5% |
45% |
|
55 |
3% |
40% |
Median |
56 |
35% |
37% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
58 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
18% |
98.8% |
|
47 |
14% |
81% |
|
48 |
3% |
67% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
64% |
|
50 |
46% |
62% |
Median |
51 |
2% |
17% |
|
52 |
9% |
15% |
|
53 |
3% |
6% |
|
54 |
2% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
2% |
98% |
|
42 |
6% |
96% |
|
43 |
5% |
91% |
|
44 |
9% |
85% |
|
45 |
11% |
76% |
|
46 |
14% |
66% |
|
47 |
17% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
48 |
34% |
34% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
34 |
15% |
98% |
|
35 |
5% |
83% |
|
36 |
7% |
78% |
|
37 |
10% |
71% |
|
38 |
4% |
61% |
|
39 |
50% |
57% |
Median |
40 |
3% |
7% |
|
41 |
5% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
29 |
8% |
96% |
|
30 |
8% |
88% |
|
31 |
2% |
80% |
|
32 |
19% |
77% |
|
33 |
7% |
58% |
Median |
34 |
50% |
51% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
6% |
98% |
|
28 |
11% |
92% |
Last Result |
29 |
13% |
81% |
|
30 |
5% |
69% |
|
31 |
10% |
64% |
|
32 |
4% |
54% |
|
33 |
17% |
49% |
Median |
34 |
32% |
33% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 21–27 August 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1058
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.43%