Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 23–26 October 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
27.1% |
25.4–28.9% |
24.9–29.4% |
24.5–29.9% |
23.7–30.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.6% |
11.4–14.1% |
11.1–14.4% |
10.8–14.8% |
10.2–15.5% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.8% |
9.7–12.2% |
9.4–12.5% |
9.1–12.9% |
8.6–13.5% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.1% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.7% |
7.5–11.0% |
7.1–11.6% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.3–10.7% |
6.8–11.3% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.7% |
7.2–10.0% |
6.9–10.3% |
6.5–10.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.3% |
5.2–7.7% |
5.0–7.9% |
4.6–8.5% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.5–4.7% |
2.2–5.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.5–3.3% |
1.2–3.6% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
39 |
10% |
97% |
|
40 |
4% |
87% |
|
41 |
58% |
83% |
Median |
42 |
3% |
25% |
|
43 |
4% |
22% |
|
44 |
11% |
19% |
|
45 |
7% |
8% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
17 |
3% |
98% |
|
18 |
57% |
95% |
Median |
19 |
20% |
38% |
|
20 |
9% |
19% |
Last Result |
21 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
22 |
7% |
8% |
|
23 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
12% |
99.6% |
|
14 |
6% |
88% |
|
15 |
9% |
82% |
|
16 |
6% |
72% |
|
17 |
2% |
66% |
|
18 |
62% |
64% |
Median |
19 |
1.4% |
2% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
57% |
98% |
Median |
13 |
19% |
41% |
|
14 |
13% |
22% |
Last Result |
15 |
8% |
9% |
|
16 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
8% |
98% |
|
13 |
5% |
90% |
|
14 |
72% |
86% |
Median |
15 |
12% |
14% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
18% |
99.0% |
|
12 |
13% |
81% |
|
13 |
6% |
67% |
|
14 |
3% |
62% |
|
15 |
56% |
58% |
Median |
16 |
2% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
7% |
98% |
|
9 |
73% |
91% |
Median |
10 |
4% |
18% |
|
11 |
4% |
14% |
|
12 |
9% |
9% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
5% |
98% |
Last Result |
6 |
65% |
93% |
Median |
7 |
5% |
28% |
|
8 |
20% |
22% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
2% |
100% |
|
4 |
66% |
98% |
Median |
5 |
15% |
32% |
Last Result |
6 |
15% |
17% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
23% |
98% |
|
5 |
70% |
75% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
5% |
|
7 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
10% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
79% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
9% |
11% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
13% |
97% |
|
2 |
82% |
84% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
85% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
12% |
13% |
|
3 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
91 |
100% |
89–93 |
88–94 |
87–96 |
86–97 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
94 |
100% |
89–94 |
88–94 |
87–94 |
85–97 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
85 |
100% |
83–86 |
82–88 |
80–88 |
79–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
82 |
99.3% |
80–83 |
78–85 |
77–86 |
75–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
77 |
90% |
76–79 |
74–81 |
72–82 |
71–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
79 |
93% |
76–80 |
75–81 |
73–81 |
72–83 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
74 |
5% |
69–75 |
69–75 |
68–77 |
67–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
73 |
0.8% |
70–73 |
68–73 |
67–74 |
65–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
74 |
0.8% |
68–74 |
68–74 |
66–74 |
65–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
70 |
0% |
65–70 |
65–71 |
64–71 |
63–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
69 |
0% |
65–69 |
64–69 |
63–69 |
62–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
67 |
0% |
64–67 |
62–67 |
62–68 |
60–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
66 |
0% |
62–66 |
60–66 |
60–66 |
59–69 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
65 |
0% |
60–65 |
60–66 |
58–66 |
57–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
64 |
0% |
60–64 |
59–64 |
58–65 |
57–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
59 |
0% |
56–59 |
54–60 |
54–61 |
53–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
56 |
0% |
50–56 |
50–57 |
50–57 |
49–60 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
47 |
0% |
39–47 |
38–47 |
38–47 |
38–47 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
39 |
0% |
32–39 |
32–39 |
32–39 |
31–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
32 |
0% |
27–32 |
27–33 |
26–33 |
25–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
33 |
0% |
26–33 |
24–33 |
24–33 |
24–34 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
86 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
2% |
98% |
|
88 |
2% |
96% |
|
89 |
6% |
94% |
|
90 |
2% |
88% |
Last Result |
91 |
61% |
86% |
Median |
92 |
3% |
24% |
|
93 |
15% |
22% |
|
94 |
2% |
7% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
96 |
3% |
4% |
|
97 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
86 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
88 |
4% |
97% |
|
89 |
13% |
94% |
|
90 |
12% |
80% |
|
91 |
2% |
68% |
|
92 |
6% |
66% |
|
93 |
4% |
60% |
|
94 |
54% |
56% |
Median |
95 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
97 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
80 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
82 |
3% |
96% |
|
83 |
8% |
93% |
|
84 |
16% |
85% |
|
85 |
54% |
68% |
Median |
86 |
5% |
14% |
|
87 |
2% |
8% |
|
88 |
6% |
7% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
75 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
78 |
2% |
97% |
|
79 |
2% |
95% |
|
80 |
12% |
93% |
|
81 |
12% |
81% |
|
82 |
58% |
69% |
Median |
83 |
4% |
12% |
|
84 |
2% |
7% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
86 |
4% |
5% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
2% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
73 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
74 |
2% |
95% |
|
75 |
3% |
93% |
|
76 |
20% |
90% |
Majority |
77 |
56% |
70% |
Median |
78 |
4% |
14% |
|
79 |
4% |
10% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
82 |
4% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
75 |
3% |
96% |
|
76 |
4% |
93% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
4% |
88% |
|
78 |
10% |
85% |
|
79 |
63% |
74% |
Median |
80 |
5% |
11% |
|
81 |
3% |
5% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
69 |
18% |
97% |
|
70 |
4% |
79% |
|
71 |
4% |
76% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
72% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
71% |
|
74 |
54% |
69% |
Median |
75 |
10% |
15% |
|
76 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
77 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
68 |
4% |
97% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
70 |
2% |
92% |
|
71 |
16% |
90% |
Last Result |
72 |
13% |
74% |
|
73 |
58% |
61% |
Median |
74 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
68 |
19% |
96% |
|
69 |
6% |
76% |
|
70 |
2% |
71% |
|
71 |
4% |
68% |
|
72 |
6% |
64% |
|
73 |
2% |
58% |
|
74 |
54% |
56% |
Median |
75 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
Majority |
77 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
65 |
8% |
97% |
|
66 |
2% |
89% |
|
67 |
4% |
87% |
|
68 |
2% |
82% |
|
69 |
21% |
80% |
|
70 |
54% |
59% |
Median |
71 |
4% |
6% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
64 |
2% |
95% |
|
65 |
4% |
94% |
|
66 |
12% |
89% |
|
67 |
13% |
77% |
|
68 |
7% |
64% |
|
69 |
55% |
57% |
Median |
70 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
62 |
4% |
98% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
64 |
11% |
92% |
|
65 |
12% |
81% |
|
66 |
9% |
69% |
|
67 |
57% |
59% |
Median |
68 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
59 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
61 |
4% |
95% |
|
62 |
2% |
91% |
|
63 |
15% |
90% |
|
64 |
11% |
75% |
|
65 |
2% |
63% |
|
66 |
59% |
61% |
Median |
67 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
60 |
15% |
96% |
|
61 |
6% |
81% |
|
62 |
2% |
76% |
|
63 |
12% |
74% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
62% |
|
65 |
55% |
61% |
Median |
66 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
1.5% |
98.6% |
|
59 |
3% |
97% |
|
60 |
5% |
94% |
|
61 |
9% |
90% |
|
62 |
14% |
81% |
|
63 |
5% |
67% |
|
64 |
59% |
62% |
Median |
65 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
53 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
3% |
98% |
|
55 |
3% |
94% |
|
56 |
4% |
92% |
|
57 |
19% |
88% |
|
58 |
5% |
69% |
|
59 |
57% |
64% |
Median |
60 |
5% |
7% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
10% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
52 |
2% |
88% |
|
53 |
2% |
87% |
|
54 |
4% |
85% |
|
55 |
15% |
81% |
|
56 |
56% |
66% |
Median |
57 |
8% |
10% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
9% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
5% |
90% |
|
40 |
7% |
85% |
|
41 |
3% |
78% |
|
42 |
2% |
75% |
|
43 |
7% |
73% |
|
44 |
8% |
66% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
58% |
|
46 |
2% |
57% |
|
47 |
55% |
55% |
Last Result, Median |
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
32 |
12% |
99.4% |
|
33 |
4% |
87% |
Last Result |
34 |
6% |
84% |
|
35 |
14% |
78% |
|
36 |
3% |
64% |
|
37 |
3% |
61% |
|
38 |
3% |
58% |
|
39 |
53% |
55% |
Median |
40 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
27 |
15% |
97% |
|
28 |
6% |
81% |
|
29 |
2% |
75% |
|
30 |
5% |
73% |
|
31 |
3% |
68% |
|
32 |
55% |
64% |
Median |
33 |
8% |
9% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
9% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
91% |
|
26 |
5% |
90% |
|
27 |
7% |
85% |
|
28 |
8% |
79% |
Last Result |
29 |
10% |
70% |
|
30 |
2% |
60% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
58% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
57% |
|
33 |
54% |
55% |
Median |
34 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 October 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1052
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.39%