Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 15 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
23.3% |
22.3–24.3% |
22.0–24.6% |
21.8–24.8% |
21.3–25.3% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
15.9% |
15.1–16.8% |
14.9–17.1% |
14.7–17.3% |
14.3–17.7% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
8.6% |
8.0–9.3% |
7.8–9.5% |
7.7–9.7% |
7.4–10.0% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
8.6% |
8.0–9.3% |
7.8–9.5% |
7.7–9.7% |
7.4–10.0% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.6% |
8.0–9.3% |
7.8–9.5% |
7.7–9.7% |
7.4–10.0% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.0% |
7.4–8.6% |
7.2–8.8% |
7.0–9.0% |
6.8–9.3% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
7.3% |
6.7–8.0% |
6.6–8.1% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.1–8.6% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.0% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.3–6.4% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Code Oranje |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Partij voor de Toekomst |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
34 |
33% |
98.7% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
65% |
|
36 |
21% |
64% |
Median |
37 |
18% |
43% |
|
38 |
15% |
25% |
|
39 |
10% |
10% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
23 |
16% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
49% |
84% |
Median |
25 |
28% |
35% |
|
26 |
6% |
7% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
24% |
97% |
|
13 |
21% |
73% |
|
14 |
34% |
52% |
Median |
15 |
18% |
18% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
30% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
52% |
70% |
Median |
14 |
18% |
18% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
17% |
100% |
|
12 |
5% |
83% |
|
13 |
75% |
78% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
4% |
100% |
|
11 |
11% |
96% |
|
12 |
17% |
85% |
|
13 |
33% |
67% |
Median |
14 |
34% |
34% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
11 |
78% |
96% |
Median |
12 |
3% |
18% |
|
13 |
14% |
14% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
4% |
100% |
|
7 |
33% |
96% |
|
8 |
61% |
63% |
Median |
9 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
14% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
5% |
86% |
|
7 |
63% |
80% |
Median |
8 |
8% |
17% |
|
9 |
9% |
9% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
46% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
35% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
18% |
18% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
32% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
4 |
33% |
67% |
Median |
5 |
34% |
34% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
29% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
70% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
62% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
38% |
38% |
|
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Code Oranje
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Code Oranje page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
74% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
25% |
26% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Toekomst
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
85 |
100% |
84–88 |
84–88 |
83–88 |
82–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
82 |
100% |
81–83 |
80–83 |
80–84 |
77–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
82 |
100% |
80–84 |
80–84 |
80–84 |
77–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
81 |
100% |
80–84 |
80–84 |
79–84 |
79–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
74 |
16% |
72–76 |
72–76 |
72–76 |
70–78 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
71 |
0% |
68–72 |
67–72 |
66–72 |
65–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
69 |
0% |
69–71 |
67–71 |
66–71 |
64–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
61 |
0% |
61–64 |
61–64 |
60–64 |
59–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
62 |
0% |
62–64 |
60–64 |
59–64 |
56–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
61 |
0% |
60–64 |
60–64 |
59–64 |
58–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
61 |
0% |
61–63 |
60–63 |
59–63 |
58–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
61 |
0% |
60–63 |
59–63 |
59–63 |
57–64 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
60 |
0% |
55–61 |
55–61 |
55–61 |
55–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
58 |
0% |
56–59 |
56–59 |
55–59 |
54–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
57 |
0% |
56–59 |
56–59 |
55–59 |
53–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
48 |
0% |
47–52 |
47–52 |
47–52 |
45–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
50 |
0% |
48–51 |
48–51 |
47–51 |
45–53 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
39 |
0% |
36–41 |
36–41 |
36–41 |
35–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
33 |
0% |
31–34 |
31–34 |
30–35 |
30–35 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
27 |
0% |
24–28 |
24–28 |
24–28 |
24–28 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
27 |
0% |
23–28 |
23–28 |
23–28 |
22–29 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
83 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
84 |
15% |
97% |
|
85 |
50% |
82% |
|
86 |
16% |
32% |
Median |
87 |
5% |
16% |
|
88 |
10% |
11% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.5% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
80 |
3% |
98% |
|
81 |
19% |
94% |
|
82 |
34% |
75% |
|
83 |
38% |
41% |
Median |
84 |
2% |
4% |
|
85 |
2% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
80 |
19% |
98% |
|
81 |
2% |
79% |
|
82 |
51% |
77% |
|
83 |
15% |
25% |
Median |
84 |
10% |
11% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
80 |
36% |
97% |
|
81 |
17% |
62% |
|
82 |
28% |
45% |
Median |
83 |
0.8% |
16% |
|
84 |
14% |
15% |
|
85 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
72 |
35% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
73 |
13% |
64% |
|
74 |
5% |
51% |
Median |
75 |
30% |
46% |
|
76 |
14% |
16% |
Majority |
77 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
67 |
2% |
95% |
|
68 |
24% |
93% |
|
69 |
17% |
69% |
|
70 |
2% |
53% |
|
71 |
15% |
51% |
Median |
72 |
35% |
36% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
98.5% |
|
67 |
3% |
97% |
|
68 |
2% |
95% |
|
69 |
66% |
93% |
|
70 |
15% |
27% |
Median |
71 |
11% |
12% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
61 |
50% |
97% |
Last Result |
62 |
5% |
47% |
|
63 |
16% |
42% |
Median |
64 |
24% |
26% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
99.1% |
|
59 |
3% |
98% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
61 |
2% |
94% |
|
62 |
57% |
92% |
|
63 |
19% |
35% |
Median |
64 |
16% |
16% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
3% |
98% |
|
60 |
16% |
95% |
|
61 |
38% |
79% |
Last Result |
62 |
17% |
42% |
Median |
63 |
11% |
25% |
|
64 |
14% |
15% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
60 |
5% |
97% |
|
61 |
47% |
92% |
Last Result |
62 |
34% |
46% |
Median |
63 |
10% |
12% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
59 |
3% |
98% |
|
60 |
16% |
95% |
|
61 |
51% |
79% |
|
62 |
16% |
28% |
Median |
63 |
10% |
11% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
17% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
2% |
83% |
|
57 |
14% |
81% |
|
58 |
15% |
67% |
|
59 |
2% |
52% |
|
60 |
15% |
51% |
Median |
61 |
35% |
35% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
56 |
37% |
97% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
60% |
|
58 |
30% |
59% |
Last Result, Median |
59 |
27% |
29% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
55 |
2% |
98% |
|
56 |
36% |
95% |
|
57 |
16% |
60% |
|
58 |
31% |
43% |
Median |
59 |
11% |
12% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
34% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
21% |
65% |
|
49 |
17% |
44% |
Median |
50 |
1.1% |
27% |
|
51 |
14% |
26% |
|
52 |
11% |
11% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
46 |
1.3% |
99.2% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
48 |
33% |
97% |
|
49 |
5% |
64% |
|
50 |
29% |
58% |
Median |
51 |
28% |
29% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
25% |
99.0% |
|
37 |
7% |
74% |
|
38 |
14% |
67% |
|
39 |
4% |
52% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
49% |
Median |
41 |
48% |
48% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
3% |
100% |
|
31 |
15% |
97% |
|
32 |
15% |
82% |
|
33 |
17% |
67% |
Last Result |
34 |
47% |
49% |
Median |
35 |
3% |
3% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
19% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
25% |
81% |
|
26 |
4% |
57% |
|
27 |
36% |
52% |
Median |
28 |
15% |
16% |
Last Result |
29 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
23 |
13% |
99.2% |
|
24 |
3% |
86% |
|
25 |
27% |
83% |
|
26 |
4% |
56% |
|
27 |
3% |
51% |
Median |
28 |
47% |
48% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.52%