Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 20–23 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
21.9% |
20.4–23.7% |
19.9–24.1% |
19.5–24.6% |
18.8–25.4% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
11.4% |
10.2–12.7% |
9.8–13.1% |
9.6–13.4% |
9.0–14.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.3% |
9.2–11.6% |
8.9–12.0% |
8.6–12.3% |
8.1–13.0% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.6–10.5% |
7.4–10.9% |
6.9–11.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.0–9.8% |
6.8–10.1% |
6.3–10.7% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.9–9.1% |
5.5–9.7% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.5–5.5% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.5–4.7% |
2.2–5.2% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.5–4.7% |
2.2–5.2% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.5% |
1.1–2.7% |
0.9–3.0% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.9% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.7–1.7% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.2% |
Partij voor de Toekomst |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
31 |
26% |
99.0% |
|
32 |
56% |
73% |
Median |
33 |
2% |
18% |
Last Result |
34 |
10% |
16% |
|
35 |
2% |
6% |
|
36 |
3% |
5% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
15 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
17 |
81% |
95% |
Median |
18 |
2% |
14% |
|
19 |
2% |
12% |
|
20 |
9% |
10% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
11% |
99.3% |
|
15 |
56% |
88% |
Median |
16 |
27% |
32% |
|
17 |
3% |
5% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
56% |
98% |
Median |
13 |
2% |
42% |
|
14 |
12% |
40% |
|
15 |
25% |
27% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
8% |
99.3% |
|
11 |
3% |
91% |
|
12 |
6% |
88% |
|
13 |
27% |
82% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
54% |
|
15 |
53% |
54% |
Median |
16 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
8% |
100% |
|
9 |
24% |
92% |
|
10 |
5% |
68% |
|
11 |
3% |
63% |
|
12 |
56% |
60% |
Median |
13 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
14 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
27% |
96% |
|
9 |
13% |
70% |
|
10 |
54% |
56% |
Median |
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
33% |
97% |
Last Result |
6 |
63% |
65% |
Median |
7 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
4 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
5 |
59% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
35% |
36% |
|
7 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
2% |
100% |
|
4 |
63% |
98% |
Median |
5 |
32% |
35% |
|
6 |
2% |
3% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
2 |
90% |
99.0% |
Median |
3 |
6% |
9% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
2% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
1 |
30% |
99.4% |
|
2 |
68% |
69% |
Median |
3 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
39% |
45% |
|
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Toekomst
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
77 |
92% |
76–79 |
75–83 |
75–86 |
75–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
80 |
99.6% |
79–81 |
77–82 |
77–83 |
76–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
70 |
3% |
70–75 |
70–75 |
70–77 |
69–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
68 |
1.3% |
68–73 |
68–73 |
67–75 |
67–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
65 |
0.1% |
65–68 |
65–71 |
65–72 |
63–73 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
70 |
0% |
65–70 |
60–70 |
60–70 |
60–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
64 |
0% |
64–68 |
64–68 |
63–69 |
62–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
59 |
0% |
59–62 |
59–65 |
59–66 |
59–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
62 |
0% |
59–62 |
58–63 |
58–63 |
57–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
59 |
0% |
58–59 |
58–61 |
56–62 |
55–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
53 |
0% |
53–57 |
53–59 |
53–61 |
53–64 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
66 |
60 |
0% |
56–60 |
51–61 |
51–61 |
51–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
53 |
0% |
53–56 |
53–58 |
53–59 |
52–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
51 |
0% |
51–54 |
51–57 |
51–58 |
50–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
51 |
0% |
51–53 |
51–56 |
50–56 |
49–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
47 |
0% |
47–49 |
47–51 |
46–52 |
45–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
47 |
0% |
44–47 |
44–47 |
43–48 |
42–50 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
42 |
0% |
39–44 |
38–44 |
38–45 |
38–46 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
36 |
0% |
32–36 |
29–36 |
29–36 |
29–38 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
27 |
0% |
27–31 |
27–31 |
27–33 |
25–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
30 |
0% |
26–30 |
24–30 |
24–30 |
24–33 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
8% |
99.6% |
|
76 |
25% |
92% |
Majority |
77 |
54% |
67% |
Median |
78 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
79 |
4% |
12% |
|
80 |
2% |
8% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
86 |
3% |
3% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
Majority |
77 |
8% |
99.5% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
79 |
4% |
91% |
|
80 |
77% |
87% |
Median |
81 |
1.5% |
10% |
|
82 |
4% |
9% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
55% |
99.4% |
Median |
71 |
25% |
45% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
19% |
|
73 |
4% |
19% |
|
74 |
2% |
15% |
|
75 |
11% |
14% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
3% |
Majority |
77 |
1.0% |
3% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
53% |
97% |
Median |
69 |
24% |
44% |
|
70 |
2% |
20% |
|
71 |
3% |
18% |
|
72 |
3% |
14% |
|
73 |
9% |
12% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
75 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
53% |
99.4% |
Median |
66 |
3% |
46% |
|
67 |
34% |
44% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
69 |
2% |
10% |
|
70 |
2% |
8% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
72 |
4% |
5% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
8% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
92% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
66 |
24% |
89% |
|
67 |
2% |
65% |
|
68 |
5% |
63% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
58% |
|
70 |
56% |
57% |
Median |
71 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
64 |
77% |
97% |
Median |
65 |
0.6% |
20% |
|
66 |
2% |
19% |
|
67 |
2% |
17% |
|
68 |
11% |
14% |
|
69 |
2% |
4% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
53% |
99.6% |
Median |
60 |
2% |
46% |
|
61 |
2% |
44% |
|
62 |
32% |
42% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
9% |
|
64 |
2% |
8% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
66 |
3% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
8% |
98% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
90% |
|
60 |
25% |
90% |
|
61 |
4% |
65% |
Last Result |
62 |
55% |
61% |
Median |
63 |
4% |
6% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
58 |
8% |
96% |
|
59 |
78% |
88% |
Median |
60 |
1.4% |
10% |
|
61 |
4% |
8% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
5% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
54% |
99.9% |
Median |
54 |
0.9% |
46% |
|
55 |
25% |
45% |
|
56 |
9% |
19% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
58 |
4% |
9% |
|
59 |
3% |
6% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
3% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
8% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
92% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
92% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
91% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
90% |
|
57 |
2% |
90% |
|
58 |
25% |
88% |
|
59 |
4% |
63% |
|
60 |
53% |
59% |
Median |
61 |
4% |
6% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
53% |
98% |
Median |
54 |
24% |
44% |
|
55 |
9% |
20% |
|
56 |
4% |
11% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
7% |
Last Result |
58 |
3% |
6% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
2% |
100% |
|
51 |
53% |
98% |
Median |
52 |
2% |
46% |
|
53 |
25% |
43% |
|
54 |
9% |
18% |
|
55 |
3% |
9% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
57 |
3% |
6% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
3% |
Last Result |
59 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
2% |
100% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
51 |
54% |
97% |
Median |
52 |
25% |
43% |
|
53 |
12% |
19% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
7% |
Last Result |
55 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
56 |
3% |
5% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
47 |
76% |
97% |
Median |
48 |
9% |
20% |
|
49 |
5% |
11% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
52 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
43 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
44 |
34% |
97% |
|
45 |
1.1% |
63% |
|
46 |
3% |
62% |
|
47 |
56% |
59% |
Median |
48 |
2% |
3% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
9% |
99.5% |
|
39 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
41 |
5% |
89% |
|
42 |
55% |
83% |
Median |
43 |
1.3% |
29% |
|
44 |
24% |
27% |
|
45 |
2% |
4% |
|
46 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
8% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
31 |
1.5% |
92% |
|
32 |
3% |
90% |
|
33 |
4% |
87% |
Last Result |
34 |
24% |
84% |
|
35 |
4% |
59% |
|
36 |
54% |
56% |
Median |
37 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
27 |
53% |
98% |
Median |
28 |
10% |
45% |
|
29 |
4% |
35% |
|
30 |
4% |
32% |
|
31 |
25% |
28% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
33 |
2% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
26 |
2% |
91% |
|
27 |
5% |
89% |
|
28 |
2% |
84% |
Last Result |
29 |
27% |
82% |
|
30 |
54% |
56% |
Median |
31 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 20–23 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1048
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.77%