Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 20–23 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 21.9% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.1% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.8–25.4% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.2–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.6–13.4% | 9.0–14.1% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.1–13.0% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.5% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.8% | 6.8–10.1% | 6.3–10.7% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.5–5.5% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% | 
| Partij voor de Toekomst | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 32 | 31–34 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 28–38 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 17 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–21 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 12 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–19 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 12 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–7 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 | 
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 
| Partij voor de Toekomst | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 26% | 99.0% | |
| 32 | 56% | 73% | Median | 
| 33 | 2% | 18% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 10% | 16% | |
| 35 | 2% | 6% | |
| 36 | 3% | 5% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 17 | 81% | 95% | Median | 
| 18 | 2% | 14% | |
| 19 | 2% | 12% | |
| 20 | 9% | 10% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 15 | 56% | 88% | Median | 
| 16 | 27% | 32% | |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 1.1% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 56% | 98% | Median | 
| 13 | 2% | 42% | |
| 14 | 12% | 40% | |
| 15 | 25% | 27% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 11 | 3% | 91% | |
| 12 | 6% | 88% | |
| 13 | 27% | 82% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 54% | |
| 15 | 53% | 54% | Median | 
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8% | 100% | |
| 9 | 24% | 92% | |
| 10 | 5% | 68% | |
| 11 | 3% | 63% | |
| 12 | 56% | 60% | Median | 
| 13 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 27% | 96% | |
| 9 | 13% | 70% | |
| 10 | 54% | 56% | Median | 
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 33% | 97% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 63% | 65% | Median | 
| 7 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 59% | 94% | Last Result, Median | 
| 6 | 35% | 36% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 63% | 98% | Median | 
| 5 | 32% | 35% | |
| 6 | 2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 99.0% | Median | 
| 3 | 6% | 9% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 30% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 68% | 69% | Median | 
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Median | 
| 1 | 39% | 45% | |
| 2 | 6% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Toekomst
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 1 | 93% | 94% | Median | 
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 77 | 92% | 76–79 | 75–83 | 75–86 | 75–86 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 80 | 99.6% | 79–81 | 77–82 | 77–83 | 76–85 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 70 | 3% | 70–75 | 70–75 | 70–77 | 69–79 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 68 | 1.3% | 68–73 | 68–73 | 67–75 | 67–76 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 65 | 0.1% | 65–68 | 65–71 | 65–72 | 63–73 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 70 | 0% | 65–70 | 60–70 | 60–70 | 60–72 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 64 | 0% | 64–68 | 64–68 | 63–69 | 62–72 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 59 | 0% | 59–62 | 59–65 | 59–66 | 59–68 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 62 | 0% | 59–62 | 58–63 | 58–63 | 57–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 59 | 0% | 58–59 | 58–61 | 56–62 | 55–63 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 53 | 0% | 53–57 | 53–59 | 53–61 | 53–64 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 66 | 60 | 0% | 56–60 | 51–61 | 51–61 | 51–63 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 53 | 0% | 53–56 | 53–58 | 53–59 | 52–62 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 51 | 0% | 51–54 | 51–57 | 51–58 | 50–61 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 51 | 0% | 51–53 | 51–56 | 50–56 | 49–59 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 47 | 0% | 47–49 | 47–51 | 46–52 | 45–55 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 47 | 0% | 44–47 | 44–47 | 43–48 | 42–50 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 42 | 0% | 39–44 | 38–44 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 36 | 0% | 32–36 | 29–36 | 29–36 | 29–38 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 27 | 0% | 27–31 | 27–31 | 27–33 | 25–34 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 30 | 0% | 26–30 | 24–30 | 24–30 | 24–33 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 8% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 25% | 92% | Majority | 
| 77 | 54% | 67% | Median | 
| 78 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 79 | 4% | 12% | |
| 80 | 2% | 8% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 86 | 3% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.6% | Majority | 
| 77 | 8% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 79 | 4% | 91% | |
| 80 | 77% | 87% | Median | 
| 81 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 82 | 4% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 0.9% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 55% | 99.4% | Median | 
| 71 | 25% | 45% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 73 | 4% | 19% | |
| 74 | 2% | 15% | |
| 75 | 11% | 14% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 3% | Majority | 
| 77 | 1.0% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 53% | 97% | Median | 
| 69 | 24% | 44% | |
| 70 | 2% | 20% | |
| 71 | 3% | 18% | |
| 72 | 3% | 14% | |
| 73 | 9% | 12% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 1.3% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 53% | 99.4% | Median | 
| 66 | 3% | 46% | |
| 67 | 34% | 44% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 69 | 2% | 10% | |
| 70 | 2% | 8% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 72 | 4% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result, Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 8% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 66 | 24% | 89% | |
| 67 | 2% | 65% | |
| 68 | 5% | 63% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 58% | |
| 70 | 56% | 57% | Median | 
| 71 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 77% | 97% | Median | 
| 65 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 66 | 2% | 19% | |
| 67 | 2% | 17% | |
| 68 | 11% | 14% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 1.0% | Last Result | 
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 53% | 99.6% | Median | 
| 60 | 2% | 46% | |
| 61 | 2% | 44% | |
| 62 | 32% | 42% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 66 | 3% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 8% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 60 | 25% | 90% | |
| 61 | 4% | 65% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 55% | 61% | Median | 
| 63 | 4% | 6% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 58 | 8% | 96% | |
| 59 | 78% | 88% | Median | 
| 60 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 61 | 4% | 8% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 3% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 54% | 99.9% | Median | 
| 54 | 0.9% | 46% | |
| 55 | 25% | 45% | |
| 56 | 9% | 19% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 58 | 4% | 9% | |
| 59 | 3% | 6% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 8% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 92% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 57 | 2% | 90% | |
| 58 | 25% | 88% | |
| 59 | 4% | 63% | |
| 60 | 53% | 59% | Median | 
| 61 | 4% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 53% | 98% | Median | 
| 54 | 24% | 44% | |
| 55 | 9% | 20% | |
| 56 | 4% | 11% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 7% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 3% | 6% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 53% | 98% | Median | 
| 52 | 2% | 46% | |
| 53 | 25% | 43% | |
| 54 | 9% | 18% | |
| 55 | 3% | 9% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 57 | 3% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 54% | 97% | Median | 
| 52 | 25% | 43% | |
| 53 | 12% | 19% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 7% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 56 | 3% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 47 | 76% | 97% | Median | 
| 48 | 9% | 20% | |
| 49 | 5% | 11% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 52 | 3% | 5% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.6% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 44 | 34% | 97% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 63% | |
| 46 | 3% | 62% | |
| 47 | 56% | 59% | Median | 
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 9% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 41 | 5% | 89% | |
| 42 | 55% | 83% | Median | 
| 43 | 1.3% | 29% | |
| 44 | 24% | 27% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 8% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 92% | |
| 32 | 3% | 90% | |
| 33 | 4% | 87% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 24% | 84% | |
| 35 | 4% | 59% | |
| 36 | 54% | 56% | Median | 
| 37 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 53% | 98% | Median | 
| 28 | 10% | 45% | |
| 29 | 4% | 35% | |
| 30 | 4% | 32% | |
| 31 | 25% | 28% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 33 | 2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 26 | 2% | 91% | |
| 27 | 5% | 89% | |
| 28 | 2% | 84% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 27% | 82% | |
| 30 | 54% | 56% | Median | 
| 31 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
 - Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
 - Fieldwork period: 20–23 November 2020
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1048
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 2.77%