Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 18–21 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 26.9% | 25.1–28.7% | 24.7–29.2% | 24.3–29.6% | 23.5–30.5% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.9–17.5% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 13.4% | 12.2–14.9% | 11.8–15.3% | 11.5–15.6% | 10.9–16.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.8% | 6.8–10.1% | 6.3–10.7% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.7% | 6.7–10.0% | 6.2–10.6% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.7–8.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.3–5.3% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.1–3.3% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.8–2.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 43 | 38–45 | 38–45 | 37–45 | 35–46 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 21 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 20 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–25 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 13 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 9–16 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–15 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 3–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 3–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 1–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 11% | 97% | |
| 39 | 5% | 85% | |
| 40 | 5% | 80% | |
| 41 | 6% | 75% | |
| 42 | 11% | 69% | |
| 43 | 24% | 58% | Median |
| 44 | 2% | 34% | |
| 45 | 31% | 32% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 17% | 97% | Last Result |
| 21 | 36% | 81% | Median |
| 22 | 28% | 45% | |
| 23 | 10% | 17% | |
| 24 | 4% | 7% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 39% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 4% | 60% | Last Result |
| 20 | 28% | 56% | Median |
| 21 | 17% | 28% | |
| 22 | 4% | 11% | |
| 23 | 5% | 7% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 11 | 6% | 98% | |
| 12 | 15% | 92% | |
| 13 | 63% | 77% | Median |
| 14 | 9% | 15% | |
| 15 | 5% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 46% | 95% | Median |
| 12 | 17% | 50% | |
| 13 | 5% | 32% | |
| 14 | 13% | 28% | |
| 15 | 14% | 15% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 10% | 97% | |
| 10 | 22% | 86% | |
| 11 | 12% | 64% | |
| 12 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 13 | 44% | 44% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 10% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 14% | 90% | |
| 9 | 25% | 76% | |
| 10 | 43% | 51% | Median |
| 11 | 4% | 8% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 25% | 97% | Last Result |
| 6 | 35% | 72% | Median |
| 7 | 18% | 37% | |
| 8 | 18% | 19% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11% | 100% | |
| 4 | 35% | 89% | |
| 5 | 29% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 19% | 25% | |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 3 | 83% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 11% | 13% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 64% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 31% | 34% | Last Result |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 30% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 50% | 70% | Median |
| 3 | 19% | 20% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 65% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 30% | 31% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 91 | 100% | 90–94 | 90–95 | 88–98 | 86–98 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 92 | 100% | 87–93 | 86–95 | 85–96 | 84–96 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 89 | 100% | 86–90 | 86–91 | 85–93 | 83–94 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 87 | 100% | 84–88 | 83–89 | 82–90 | 80–92 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 84 | 99.8% | 81–85 | 80–86 | 80–87 | 77–89 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 80 | 97% | 76–82 | 76–84 | 75–87 | 74–87 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 76 | 51% | 71–76 | 71–78 | 71–80 | 69–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 74 | 19% | 72–77 | 71–78 | 70–78 | 68–79 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 69 | 4% | 68–73 | 67–75 | 67–76 | 65–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 69 | 0.1% | 65–71 | 65–71 | 64–72 | 62–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 68 | 0% | 63–69 | 63–70 | 63–71 | 61–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 68 | 0% | 65–69 | 64–69 | 62–71 | 60–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 67 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–69 | 61–69 | 60–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 66 | 0% | 61–66 | 61–68 | 60–68 | 59–69 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 66 | 60 | 0% | 59–65 | 58–65 | 58–65 | 55–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 63 | 0% | 58–63 | 58–65 | 58–65 | 56–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 55 | 0% | 52–57 | 50–57 | 50–57 | 47–58 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 44 | 0% | 42–48 | 42–49 | 42–51 | 40–51 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 37 | 0% | 33–40 | 33–41 | 33–43 | 33–43 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 31 | 0% | 29–36 | 29–36 | 29–38 | 29–38 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 33 | 0% | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 28–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 90 | 16% | 95% | |
| 91 | 40% | 79% | |
| 92 | 3% | 39% | Median |
| 93 | 25% | 36% | |
| 94 | 3% | 11% | |
| 95 | 4% | 8% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 97 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 98 | 3% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 4% | 93% | |
| 88 | 7% | 90% | |
| 89 | 18% | 82% | |
| 90 | 2% | 65% | Last Result |
| 91 | 3% | 63% | |
| 92 | 25% | 60% | |
| 93 | 28% | 35% | Median |
| 94 | 2% | 7% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 96 | 4% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98% | |
| 86 | 12% | 96% | |
| 87 | 2% | 84% | |
| 88 | 3% | 82% | |
| 89 | 49% | 79% | Median |
| 90 | 21% | 30% | |
| 91 | 6% | 9% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 93 | 2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 83 | 3% | 97% | |
| 84 | 12% | 94% | |
| 85 | 2% | 83% | |
| 86 | 24% | 81% | |
| 87 | 30% | 56% | Median |
| 88 | 17% | 27% | |
| 89 | 7% | 10% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 7% | 98% | |
| 81 | 9% | 91% | |
| 82 | 2% | 82% | |
| 83 | 25% | 80% | |
| 84 | 28% | 55% | Median |
| 85 | 20% | 27% | |
| 86 | 4% | 7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 76 | 13% | 97% | Last Result, Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 84% | |
| 78 | 14% | 82% | |
| 79 | 11% | 68% | |
| 80 | 33% | 57% | |
| 81 | 2% | 24% | Median |
| 82 | 17% | 22% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 11% | 98% | Last Result |
| 72 | 5% | 87% | |
| 73 | 6% | 82% | |
| 74 | 13% | 76% | |
| 75 | 13% | 63% | |
| 76 | 42% | 51% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 9% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 80 | 4% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 71 | 4% | 97% | |
| 72 | 9% | 93% | |
| 73 | 15% | 84% | |
| 74 | 42% | 69% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 27% | |
| 76 | 6% | 19% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 13% | |
| 78 | 9% | 10% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 10% | 94% | |
| 69 | 44% | 84% | |
| 70 | 2% | 40% | |
| 71 | 6% | 38% | Median |
| 72 | 16% | 32% | |
| 73 | 8% | 16% | |
| 74 | 2% | 8% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 65 | 8% | 96% | |
| 66 | 2% | 89% | |
| 67 | 7% | 87% | |
| 68 | 12% | 80% | |
| 69 | 45% | 68% | Median |
| 70 | 6% | 23% | |
| 71 | 13% | 17% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 9% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 65 | 5% | 88% | |
| 66 | 5% | 83% | |
| 67 | 13% | 79% | |
| 68 | 47% | 65% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 18% | |
| 70 | 5% | 8% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 64 | 5% | 95% | |
| 65 | 12% | 91% | |
| 66 | 7% | 79% | |
| 67 | 19% | 72% | Median |
| 68 | 11% | 53% | |
| 69 | 37% | 42% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 71 | 3% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 63 | 8% | 96% | |
| 64 | 3% | 88% | |
| 65 | 15% | 85% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 69% | |
| 67 | 49% | 68% | Median |
| 68 | 13% | 19% | |
| 69 | 5% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 61 | 8% | 97% | |
| 62 | 2% | 89% | |
| 63 | 6% | 87% | |
| 64 | 13% | 81% | |
| 65 | 7% | 68% | |
| 66 | 52% | 61% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 9% | |
| 68 | 4% | 6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 58 | 5% | 98% | |
| 59 | 29% | 93% | |
| 60 | 18% | 65% | |
| 61 | 10% | 47% | Median |
| 62 | 17% | 36% | |
| 63 | 3% | 19% | |
| 64 | 4% | 17% | |
| 65 | 10% | 12% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 10% | 98% | |
| 59 | 4% | 88% | |
| 60 | 3% | 84% | |
| 61 | 16% | 81% | |
| 62 | 4% | 64% | |
| 63 | 53% | 61% | Median |
| 64 | 2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 6% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 50 | 4% | 98% | |
| 51 | 3% | 94% | |
| 52 | 11% | 90% | |
| 53 | 3% | 79% | |
| 54 | 20% | 77% | Median |
| 55 | 14% | 56% | |
| 56 | 31% | 42% | |
| 57 | 10% | 11% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 29% | 98% | |
| 43 | 12% | 70% | |
| 44 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 45 | 5% | 43% | |
| 46 | 8% | 38% | |
| 47 | 12% | 30% | Last Result |
| 48 | 11% | 18% | |
| 49 | 3% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 51 | 4% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 27% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 34 | 2% | 73% | |
| 35 | 10% | 71% | |
| 36 | 3% | 60% | Median |
| 37 | 16% | 58% | |
| 38 | 13% | 42% | |
| 39 | 19% | 29% | |
| 40 | 4% | 11% | |
| 41 | 3% | 7% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 43 | 3% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 29 | 29% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 10% | 71% | |
| 31 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 32 | 3% | 40% | |
| 33 | 5% | 37% | |
| 34 | 14% | 33% | |
| 35 | 3% | 19% | |
| 36 | 12% | 16% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 38 | 3% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 31 | 40% | 96% | |
| 32 | 3% | 56% | |
| 33 | 35% | 53% | Median |
| 34 | 3% | 19% | |
| 35 | 6% | 15% | |
| 36 | 6% | 9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 18–21 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1050
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.92%