Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 8–12 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 28.6% 26.7–30.6% 26.2–31.1% 25.8–31.6% 24.9–32.6%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 14.0% 12.6–15.6% 12.3–16.0% 11.9–16.4% 11.3–17.2%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 11.3% 10.1–12.8% 9.7–13.2% 9.4–13.5% 8.8–14.3%
Democraten 66 12.2% 8.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.3–10.4% 7.0–10.7% 6.6–11.4%
GroenLinks 9.1% 7.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.6–9.6% 6.4–9.9% 5.9–10.5%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 7.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.0–8.9% 5.8–9.2% 5.3–9.8%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.8% 5.4–8.1% 5.2–8.4% 4.8–9.0%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.0% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.0%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.5–4.3%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.5–4.3%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–2.9% 1.2–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
50Plus 3.1% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.6%
DENK 2.1% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.6%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 44 43–46 43–46 41–46 39–48
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 22 19–23 18–23 18–23 17–26
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 20 17–20 17–20 15–20 13–21
Democraten 66 19 13 12–15 12–15 12–15 10–17
GroenLinks 14 11 10–11 10–12 10–13 10–14
Socialistische Partij 14 10 10–11 9–12 8–12 8–14
Partij van de Arbeid 9 9 8–10 8–11 8–12 7–13
ChristenUnie 5 5 5–6 5–9 5–9 4–9
Partij voor de Dieren 5 4 4–5 3–5 3–5 2–6
Forum voor Democratie 2 4 3–4 2–4 2–4 2–5
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 3 3–4 2–4 1–4 1–4
50Plus 4 2 2–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
DENK 3 2 2–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Juiste Antwoord 2021 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–3 0–3

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0.4% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.5%  
40 0.7% 99.3%  
41 2% 98.6%  
42 1.2% 97%  
43 9% 96%  
44 66% 87% Median
45 9% 21%  
46 9% 11%  
47 1.3% 2%  
48 0.5% 0.9%  
49 0.3% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.5% 100%  
18 8% 99.5%  
19 36% 91%  
20 3% 55% Last Result
21 2% 53%  
22 8% 51% Median
23 40% 43%  
24 0.8% 2%  
25 0.2% 1.3%  
26 1.1% 1.1%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.5% 100%  
14 2% 99.5%  
15 2% 98%  
16 0.8% 96%  
17 16% 95%  
18 12% 79%  
19 0.7% 67% Last Result
20 66% 67% Median
21 0.7% 1.0%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9%  
11 0.9% 99.4%  
12 11% 98.5%  
13 41% 88% Median
14 10% 46%  
15 35% 37%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.6% 0.6%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 39% 99.8%  
11 52% 61% Median
12 5% 9%  
13 2% 4%  
14 0.9% 1.3% Last Result
15 0.1% 0.4%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 5% 99.9%  
9 3% 95%  
10 81% 93% Median
11 4% 11%  
12 5% 7%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 1.2% 99.9%  
8 48% 98.8%  
9 5% 50% Last Result, Median
10 40% 46%  
11 2% 6%  
12 2% 3%  
13 1.2% 1.4%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.2% 100%  
4 2% 99.8%  
5 68% 98% Last Result, Median
6 21% 30%  
7 3% 10%  
8 1.3% 7%  
9 5% 5%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.8% 100%  
3 6% 99.2%  
4 77% 94% Median
5 16% 17% Last Result
6 0.5% 0.8%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 8% 99.9% Last Result
3 40% 92%  
4 49% 51% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 5% 97%  
3 76% 92% Last Result, Median
4 16% 16%  
5 0.2% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 9% 100%  
2 47% 91% Median
3 44% 44%  
4 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 9% 99.7%  
2 80% 91% Median
3 11% 11% Last Result
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 43% 99.1%  
2 52% 56% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0.3% 0.4%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 93 100% 91–94 91–94 91–95 87–97
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 91 100% 88–94 88–94 87–94 84–97
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 90 100% 88–93 87–93 85–93 82–93
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 87 100% 85–90 84–90 83–90 80–90
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 83 99.9% 81–87 80–87 79–87 77–87
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 82 99.2% 80–84 79–84 78–84 75–86
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 77 80% 74–79 74–79 72–79 69–79
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 72 1.0% 70–74 69–74 68–74 66–77
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus 61 73 0.3% 69–73 68–73 66–73 64–74
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 67 0.4% 67–70 64–71 64–72 64–74
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 70 0% 68–71 66–71 65–71 62–72
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 70 0% 66–70 66–70 64–70 61–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 65 0% 65–70 64–70 64–70 61–75
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 67 0% 64–68 63–68 63–68 60–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 64 0% 61–64 60–64 59–64 56–67
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 57 0% 56–60 54–60 54–62 53–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 53 0% 52–56 51–56 50–58 47–60
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 47 41 0% 39–45 37–45 37–45 33–45
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 33 0% 31–35 31–35 31–36 28–38
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 33 0% 29–35 29–35 29–35 25–35
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 28 0% 26–30 25–30 25–30 21–31

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.3% 99.8%  
88 0.2% 99.5%  
89 0.9% 99.3%  
90 0.9% 98% Last Result
91 10% 98%  
92 0.3% 87%  
93 49% 87% Median
94 35% 38%  
95 2% 4%  
96 0.3% 1.4%  
97 0.5% 1.0%  
98 0.5% 0.5%  
99 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.2% 100%  
84 0.6% 99.8%  
85 0.3% 99.2% Last Result
86 0.2% 98.9%  
87 2% 98.7%  
88 7% 97%  
89 1.0% 89%  
90 37% 89%  
91 8% 51% Median
92 2% 43%  
93 8% 41%  
94 32% 33%  
95 0.4% 1.2%  
96 0.1% 0.8%  
97 0.6% 0.7%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100% Last Result
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.3% 100%  
82 1.0% 99.7%  
83 0.2% 98.6%  
84 0.3% 98%  
85 0.6% 98%  
86 2% 97%  
87 5% 95%  
88 2% 91%  
89 9% 89%  
90 37% 80%  
91 5% 43%  
92 0.5% 37%  
93 36% 37% Median
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100% Last Result
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100% Majority
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.4% 100%  
80 1.1% 99.6%  
81 0.3% 98.5%  
82 0.4% 98%  
83 0.5% 98%  
84 5% 97%  
85 10% 93%  
86 9% 82%  
87 30% 74%  
88 5% 43%  
89 2% 38%  
90 36% 37% Median
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9% Majority
77 1.5% 99.8%  
78 0.3% 98%  
79 0.6% 98%  
80 4% 97%  
81 9% 93%  
82 3% 84%  
83 31% 80%  
84 11% 50%  
85 2% 39%  
86 0.5% 37% Median
87 36% 36%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.6% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 99.2% Last Result, Majority
77 0.9% 98.7%  
78 0.8% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 7% 95%  
81 1.3% 88%  
82 43% 86% Median
83 13% 44%  
84 30% 31%  
85 0.2% 1.1%  
86 0.5% 0.8%  
87 0.3% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.5% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.2%  
71 1.3% 98.8% Last Result
72 0.5% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 13% 95%  
75 2% 82%  
76 5% 80% Majority
77 45% 76% Median
78 0.3% 31%  
79 30% 30%  
80 0.1% 0.5%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100% Last Result
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.7% 99.8%  
67 1.4% 99.1%  
68 1.2% 98%  
69 5% 96%  
70 12% 91%  
71 0.7% 79%  
72 37% 79%  
73 9% 42% Median
74 30% 32%  
75 1.2% 2%  
76 0.3% 1.0% Majority
77 0.2% 0.7%  
78 0.2% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100% Last Result
62 0.3% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 1.1% 99.6%  
65 0.8% 98%  
66 0.6% 98%  
67 2% 97%  
68 1.3% 95%  
69 6% 94%  
70 5% 88%  
71 8% 83%  
72 0.4% 75%  
73 74% 74% Median
74 0.1% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.3% Majority
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 7% 99.7%  
65 0.5% 93%  
66 2% 92%  
67 49% 91%  
68 0.4% 42% Median
69 1.0% 41%  
70 31% 40%  
71 7% 10%  
72 0.7% 3%  
73 0.2% 2%  
74 1.3% 2%  
75 0.1% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.4% Majority
77 0.3% 0.3%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.3% 100%  
61 0% 99.7%  
62 1.1% 99.6%  
63 0.4% 98.5%  
64 0.6% 98%  
65 2% 98%  
66 1.2% 95%  
67 2% 94%  
68 16% 92%  
69 0.6% 76%  
70 37% 75%  
71 38% 39% Median
72 0.7% 1.0%  
73 0% 0.4%  
74 0% 0.3%  
75 0.3% 0.3%  
76 0% 0% Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100% Last Result
59 0% 100%  
60 0.4% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.6%  
62 1.1% 99.4%  
63 0.3% 98%  
64 2% 98%  
65 1.5% 97%  
66 6% 95%  
67 13% 90%  
68 2% 77%  
69 8% 75%  
70 66% 67% Median
71 0.4% 0.8%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
62 0.5% 99.1%  
63 0.4% 98.6%  
64 5% 98%  
65 43% 93%  
66 0.4% 49% Median
67 6% 49%  
68 0.7% 43%  
69 31% 43%  
70 9% 12%  
71 1.5% 2%  
72 0.2% 1.0%  
73 0.1% 0.7%  
74 0% 0.6%  
75 0.6% 0.6%  
76 0% 0% Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100% Last Result
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0.4% 100%  
59 0% 99.6%  
60 1.2% 99.5%  
61 0.4% 98%  
62 0.2% 98%  
63 3% 98%  
64 8% 95%  
65 9% 87%  
66 2% 78%  
67 44% 75%  
68 30% 31% Median
69 0.5% 1.1%  
70 0.2% 0.5%  
71 0.3% 0.4%  
72 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100% Last Result
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.5% 99.8%  
57 1.2% 99.4%  
58 0.6% 98%  
59 2% 98%  
60 1.2% 95%  
61 9% 94%  
62 8% 85%  
63 9% 77%  
64 67% 68% Median
65 0.3% 1.2%  
66 0.4% 1.0%  
67 0.3% 0.5%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.5% 99.8%  
54 8% 99.4%  
55 0.7% 92%  
56 0.9% 91%  
57 44% 90%  
58 2% 46% Median
59 9% 44%  
60 32% 35%  
61 0.6% 4%  
62 1.2% 3%  
63 2% 2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1% Last Result
67 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100% Last Result
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0.6% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.3%  
49 1.5% 99.2%  
50 0.4% 98%  
51 4% 97%  
52 41% 93%  
53 7% 52% Median
54 30% 45%  
55 3% 15%  
56 8% 11%  
57 0.7% 3%  
58 1.4% 3%  
59 0.6% 1.1%  
60 0.2% 0.5%  
61 0.3% 0.3%  
62 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.5% 100%  
34 0% 99.5%  
35 0.4% 99.4%  
36 0.3% 99.1%  
37 7% 98.8%  
38 0.9% 92%  
39 5% 91%  
40 3% 86%  
41 45% 83%  
42 6% 38% Median
43 0.7% 32%  
44 0.6% 31%  
45 30% 31%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.4% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.6%  
29 0.4% 99.3%  
30 0.9% 99.0%  
31 9% 98%  
32 2% 89%  
33 48% 88% Last Result
34 0.7% 40% Median
35 36% 39%  
36 1.2% 3%  
37 0.5% 2%  
38 0.9% 1.1%  
39 0% 0.2%  
40 0.2% 0.2%  
41 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.6% 100%  
26 0.7% 99.3%  
27 0.3% 98.6%  
28 0.8% 98%  
29 9% 98%  
30 3% 88%  
31 13% 86%  
32 0.6% 73%  
33 41% 72% Median
34 0.2% 31%  
35 31% 31%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.6% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.4%  
23 0.1% 99.3%  
24 0.4% 99.2%  
25 8% 98.8%  
26 8% 91%  
27 12% 84%  
28 40% 72% Last Result
29 0.5% 32% Median
30 31% 32%  
31 0.5% 1.0%  
32 0.3% 0.4%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations