Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 15–16 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 23.3% | 22.3–24.3% | 22.1–24.6% | 21.8–24.9% | 21.4–25.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 16.6% | 15.8–17.5% | 15.5–17.8% | 15.3–18.0% | 14.9–18.5% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35–39 | 34–39 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 25 | 25–26 | 25–26 | 25–26 | 23–28 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–19 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 9 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9–10 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6–8 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 35 | 95% | 99.4% | Median |
| 36 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 67% | 98.8% | Median |
| 26 | 30% | 31% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 28% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 71% | |
| 17 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 18 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 29% | 97% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 68% | |
| 16 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 10 | 0.5% | 30% | |
| 11 | 30% | 30% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 10 | 98.8% | 99.1% | Median |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 10 | 30% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 8 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 71% | 98.8% | Median |
| 8 | 0.3% | 28% | |
| 9 | 28% | 28% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 30% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 69% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 30% | 30% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 69% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 31% | 31% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30% | 100% | |
| 1 | 70% | 70% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 84 | 100% | 82–84 | 82–84 | 82–86 | 82–89 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 86 | 100% | 81–86 | 81–86 | 81–86 | 81–89 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 84 | 100% | 82–84 | 82–84 | 82–84 | 82–88 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 81 | 100% | 80–81 | 80–81 | 80–84 | 80–86 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 77 | 100% | 76–77 | 76–77 | 76–81 | 76–82 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 75 | 2% | 71–75 | 71–75 | 71–75 | 71–78 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 70 | 0% | 67–70 | 67–70 | 66–70 | 65–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 68 | 0% | 64–68 | 64–68 | 64–68 | 64–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 63 | 0% | 60–63 | 60–63 | 60–65 | 60–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 62 | 0% | 59–62 | 59–62 | 59–62 | 58–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 60 | 0% | 56–60 | 56–60 | 56–62 | 56–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 59 | 0% | 56–59 | 56–59 | 56–61 | 56–63 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 60 | 0% | 57–60 | 57–60 | 57–60 | 55–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 57 | 0% | 54–57 | 54–57 | 54–60 | 54–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 56 | 0% | 54–56 | 54–56 | 54–59 | 54–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 52 | 0% | 50–52 | 50–52 | 50–55 | 50–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 46 | 0% | 45–46 | 45–46 | 45–48 | 44–50 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 44 | 0% | 39–44 | 39–44 | 39–44 | 39–44 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 35 | 0% | 32–35 | 32–35 | 32–35 | 32–36 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 33 | 0% | 29–33 | 29–33 | 29–33 | 29–33 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 28 | 0% | 25–28 | 25–28 | 25–28 | 25–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 28% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 72% | |
| 84 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 85 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 86 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 89 | 2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 81 | 28% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 85 | 2% | 71% | Last Result |
| 86 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 87 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 28% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 72% | |
| 84 | 67% | 70% | Median |
| 85 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 28% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 82 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 86 | 2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 28% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 67% | 72% | Median |
| 78 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 28% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 74 | 2% | 71% | |
| 75 | 67% | 70% | Median |
| 76 | 0.6% | 2% | Last Result, Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 67 | 29% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 68% | |
| 70 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 64 | 28% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 68 | 69% | 71% | Median |
| 69 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 28% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 71% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.3% | 71% | |
| 63 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 64 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 29% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 71% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 70% | Last Result |
| 62 | 68% | 70% | Median |
| 63 | 2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 28% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 72% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 60 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 61 | 0.8% | 4% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 28% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 72% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.3% | 71% | |
| 59 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 60 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 63 | 2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 29% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 68% | |
| 60 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 28% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 57 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 58 | 0.6% | 4% | Last Result |
| 59 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 61 | 2% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 28% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 71% | |
| 56 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 57 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 50 | 28% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 52 | 67% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 53 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 45 | 28% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 47 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 29% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 71% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 69% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 44 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 28% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 3% | 72% | Last Result |
| 34 | 1.0% | 69% | |
| 35 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 36 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 30% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 70% | |
| 31 | 2% | 69% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 68% | |
| 33 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 28% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 71% | |
| 27 | 2% | 70% | |
| 28 | 67% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15–16 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.02%