Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 22–25 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
26.0% |
24.3–27.8% |
23.9–28.3% |
23.5–28.8% |
22.7–29.7% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
13.1% |
11.8–14.5% |
11.5–15.0% |
11.2–15.3% |
10.6–16.0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.7% |
11.5–14.1% |
11.1–14.5% |
10.8–14.9% |
10.3–15.6% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
10.1% |
9.0–11.4% |
8.7–11.8% |
8.5–12.1% |
7.9–12.8% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
7.8% |
6.9–9.0% |
6.6–9.4% |
6.4–9.6% |
5.9–10.2% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
7.7% |
6.7–8.8% |
6.4–9.1% |
6.2–9.4% |
5.8–10.0% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.6% |
4.9–7.9% |
4.5–8.4% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.4% |
3.7–5.3% |
3.5–5.6% |
3.3–5.8% |
3.0–6.3% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.7% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.8–2.8% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.8–2.8% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
0.0% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.7–2.6% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
1.1% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.7–1.7% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
7% |
99.1% |
|
37 |
18% |
92% |
|
38 |
17% |
74% |
|
39 |
5% |
57% |
|
40 |
28% |
52% |
Median |
41 |
2% |
24% |
|
42 |
4% |
22% |
|
43 |
2% |
17% |
|
44 |
3% |
16% |
|
45 |
9% |
13% |
|
46 |
4% |
4% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
25% |
99.3% |
|
18 |
4% |
74% |
|
19 |
10% |
70% |
Last Result |
20 |
20% |
60% |
Median |
21 |
19% |
40% |
|
22 |
19% |
21% |
|
23 |
2% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
14% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
7% |
86% |
|
19 |
7% |
79% |
|
20 |
22% |
72% |
Last Result |
21 |
41% |
51% |
Median |
22 |
3% |
9% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
24 |
6% |
7% |
|
25 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
4% |
100% |
|
13 |
19% |
96% |
|
14 |
28% |
77% |
Median |
15 |
33% |
49% |
|
16 |
6% |
16% |
|
17 |
7% |
10% |
|
18 |
2% |
4% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
Last Result |
20 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
29% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
14% |
71% |
|
12 |
11% |
57% |
Median |
13 |
20% |
47% |
|
14 |
3% |
27% |
Last Result |
15 |
23% |
24% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
6% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
10 |
2% |
94% |
|
11 |
29% |
92% |
|
12 |
38% |
62% |
Median |
13 |
16% |
25% |
|
14 |
5% |
9% |
|
15 |
3% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
6% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
19% |
94% |
|
9 |
34% |
75% |
Median |
10 |
35% |
41% |
|
11 |
5% |
7% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
5 |
40% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
6 |
13% |
59% |
Median |
7 |
23% |
46% |
|
8 |
6% |
23% |
|
9 |
17% |
17% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
33% |
93% |
Last Result |
6 |
39% |
60% |
Median |
7 |
17% |
21% |
|
8 |
4% |
4% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
|
2 |
33% |
95% |
Last Result |
3 |
17% |
62% |
Median |
4 |
44% |
45% |
|
5 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
|
2 |
70% |
95% |
Median |
3 |
24% |
24% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
11% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
62% |
89% |
Median |
3 |
26% |
26% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
33% |
98.6% |
|
2 |
58% |
66% |
Median |
3 |
8% |
8% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
70% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
25% |
25% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
91 |
100% |
87–97 |
87–98 |
87–98 |
87–98 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
92 |
100% |
89–97 |
89–97 |
89–97 |
87–97 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
84 |
100% |
83–88 |
81–88 |
81–88 |
79–90 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
79 |
99.3% |
76–84 |
76–87 |
76–87 |
75–87 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
82 |
99.7% |
80–86 |
79–86 |
78–86 |
76–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
79 |
98% |
78–84 |
77–84 |
76–85 |
73–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
73 |
25% |
71–80 |
71–82 |
71–82 |
70–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
70 |
13% |
69–78 |
69–78 |
68–79 |
65–79 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
74 |
9% |
71–75 |
71–76 |
70–77 |
68–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
65 |
0% |
64–69 |
63–72 |
63–72 |
61–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
66 |
0% |
61–71 |
61–71 |
61–72 |
61–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
63 |
0% |
63–68 |
63–71 |
61–71 |
60–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
62 |
0% |
62–67 |
61–70 |
61–70 |
58–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
61 |
0% |
60–66 |
60–69 |
59–69 |
57–69 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
64 |
0% |
62–66 |
61–67 |
60–68 |
59–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
58 |
0% |
57–65 |
57–67 |
57–67 |
54–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
52 |
0% |
48–56 |
48–56 |
47–60 |
45–60 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
45 |
0% |
43–49 |
43–50 |
43–51 |
41–51 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
37 |
0% |
35–40 |
34–41 |
32–42 |
32–42 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
34 |
0% |
31–37 |
31–38 |
31–38 |
31–40 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
32 |
0% |
29–34 |
29–34 |
26–35 |
26–37 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
17% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
83% |
|
89 |
22% |
82% |
|
90 |
5% |
60% |
|
91 |
11% |
55% |
|
92 |
2% |
45% |
Median |
93 |
19% |
43% |
|
94 |
4% |
24% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
20% |
|
96 |
8% |
19% |
|
97 |
2% |
12% |
|
98 |
9% |
9% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
89 |
17% |
98% |
|
90 |
21% |
81% |
Last Result |
91 |
5% |
60% |
|
92 |
26% |
55% |
Median |
93 |
3% |
29% |
|
94 |
7% |
26% |
|
95 |
7% |
19% |
|
96 |
2% |
12% |
|
97 |
10% |
11% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
|
81 |
4% |
98% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
83 |
23% |
94% |
|
84 |
25% |
71% |
|
85 |
19% |
46% |
|
86 |
4% |
27% |
Median |
87 |
9% |
23% |
|
88 |
13% |
14% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
76 |
16% |
99.3% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
22% |
83% |
|
78 |
6% |
61% |
|
79 |
8% |
55% |
|
80 |
16% |
47% |
Median |
81 |
1.0% |
31% |
|
82 |
12% |
30% |
|
83 |
3% |
18% |
|
84 |
5% |
15% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
10% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
87 |
9% |
9% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
75 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
Majority |
77 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
|
79 |
3% |
97% |
|
80 |
15% |
94% |
|
81 |
6% |
80% |
|
82 |
30% |
74% |
|
83 |
21% |
44% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
23% |
Median |
85 |
8% |
22% |
|
86 |
13% |
14% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
98% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
97% |
|
78 |
41% |
95% |
|
79 |
27% |
54% |
|
80 |
4% |
26% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
22% |
Median |
82 |
7% |
22% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
15% |
|
84 |
9% |
13% |
|
85 |
4% |
4% |
|
86 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
71 |
38% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
72 |
1.0% |
61% |
|
73 |
22% |
60% |
|
74 |
8% |
38% |
Median |
75 |
5% |
30% |
|
76 |
4% |
25% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
21% |
|
78 |
5% |
15% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
82 |
9% |
9% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
1.5% |
98.8% |
|
69 |
42% |
97% |
|
70 |
14% |
55% |
|
71 |
15% |
42% |
|
72 |
5% |
27% |
Median |
73 |
4% |
22% |
|
74 |
1.3% |
18% |
|
75 |
4% |
17% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
13% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
78 |
9% |
13% |
|
79 |
4% |
4% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
23% |
95% |
|
72 |
2% |
72% |
|
73 |
11% |
70% |
Median |
74 |
40% |
59% |
|
75 |
10% |
18% |
|
76 |
6% |
9% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
78 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
62 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
63 |
3% |
98% |
|
64 |
30% |
95% |
|
65 |
35% |
64% |
|
66 |
4% |
30% |
Median |
67 |
5% |
25% |
|
68 |
2% |
20% |
|
69 |
8% |
18% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
72 |
9% |
9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
17% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
83% |
|
63 |
7% |
81% |
|
64 |
2% |
74% |
|
65 |
1.5% |
71% |
|
66 |
38% |
70% |
Median |
67 |
3% |
31% |
|
68 |
4% |
29% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
24% |
|
70 |
6% |
23% |
|
71 |
13% |
17% |
|
72 |
4% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
62 |
2% |
97% |
|
63 |
47% |
96% |
|
64 |
21% |
49% |
|
65 |
2% |
28% |
Median |
66 |
6% |
26% |
|
67 |
7% |
20% |
|
68 |
4% |
14% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
71 |
9% |
9% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
59 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
61 |
3% |
98% |
|
62 |
45% |
95% |
|
63 |
19% |
50% |
|
64 |
8% |
31% |
Median |
65 |
3% |
23% |
|
66 |
5% |
20% |
|
67 |
5% |
15% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
70 |
9% |
9% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
98.7% |
|
60 |
17% |
97% |
|
61 |
31% |
81% |
|
62 |
19% |
49% |
|
63 |
5% |
30% |
Median |
64 |
9% |
25% |
|
65 |
2% |
15% |
|
66 |
4% |
14% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
69 |
9% |
9% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
61 |
4% |
96% |
|
62 |
5% |
93% |
|
63 |
26% |
87% |
|
64 |
24% |
61% |
Median |
65 |
18% |
37% |
|
66 |
11% |
20% |
Last Result |
67 |
4% |
8% |
|
68 |
3% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
57 |
22% |
98% |
|
58 |
41% |
76% |
|
59 |
3% |
35% |
|
60 |
9% |
32% |
Median |
61 |
8% |
23% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
15% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
14% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
65 |
4% |
13% |
|
66 |
0% |
9% |
|
67 |
9% |
9% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
47 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
48 |
23% |
97% |
|
49 |
3% |
73% |
|
50 |
2% |
71% |
|
51 |
18% |
69% |
|
52 |
25% |
50% |
Median |
53 |
4% |
26% |
|
54 |
5% |
22% |
|
55 |
2% |
17% |
|
56 |
10% |
15% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
58 |
0% |
4% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
60 |
4% |
4% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
25% |
99.2% |
|
44 |
4% |
74% |
|
45 |
21% |
70% |
|
46 |
3% |
50% |
Median |
47 |
7% |
47% |
Last Result |
48 |
24% |
40% |
|
49 |
9% |
15% |
|
50 |
2% |
6% |
|
51 |
4% |
4% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
3% |
100% |
|
33 |
2% |
97% |
Last Result |
34 |
5% |
95% |
|
35 |
24% |
90% |
|
36 |
2% |
67% |
|
37 |
17% |
65% |
|
38 |
19% |
48% |
Median |
39 |
1.0% |
29% |
|
40 |
22% |
28% |
|
41 |
2% |
6% |
|
42 |
3% |
3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
26% |
99.6% |
|
32 |
4% |
74% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
70% |
|
34 |
21% |
68% |
Median |
35 |
19% |
48% |
|
36 |
6% |
29% |
|
37 |
17% |
23% |
|
38 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
39 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
3% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
97% |
Last Result |
29 |
25% |
96% |
|
30 |
6% |
71% |
|
31 |
3% |
66% |
|
32 |
21% |
63% |
Median |
33 |
29% |
41% |
|
34 |
9% |
12% |
|
35 |
3% |
4% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
37 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 22–25 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1045
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.31%