Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 12–13 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 23.3% | 22.3–24.3% | 22.0–24.6% | 21.8–24.8% | 21.3–25.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 15.9% | 15.1–16.8% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.3–17.7% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.8–9.5% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.0% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.8–9.5% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.0% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Code Oranje | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Volt Europa | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 37 | 35–37 | 35–37 | 35–37 | 35–39 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 24 | 24–25 | 24–25 | 24–25 | 23–26 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Code Oranje | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Volt Europa | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 25% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 75% | |
| 37 | 73% | 74% | Median |
| 38 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 73% | 98.7% | Median |
| 25 | 23% | 25% | |
| 26 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 17 | 0.5% | 27% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 26% | |
| 19 | 25% | 25% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 23% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 77% | |
| 14 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 23% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 76% | |
| 14 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 9 | 26% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 73% | 97% | Median |
| 10 | 24% | 24% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 7 | 26% | 26% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 98% | 99.9% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 98.6% | 98.6% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 98.6% | 98.6% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 25% | 25% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 76% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 24% | 24% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Code Oranje
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Code Oranje page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 87 | 100% | 85–87 | 85–87 | 85–89 | 85–91 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 84 | 100% | 84–86 | 84–86 | 84–86 | 84–87 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 83 | 100% | 82–83 | 82–83 | 82–84 | 82–87 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 81 | 100% | 81–83 | 81–83 | 81–83 | 81–84 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 77 | 100% | 77–79 | 77–79 | 77–80 | 77–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 73 | 2% | 73 | 73 | 73–75 | 73–78 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 69 | 0% | 69 | 69 | 69 | 68–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 67 | 0% | 66–67 | 66–67 | 66–68 | 66–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 67 | 0% | 66–67 | 66–67 | 66–68 | 66–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 65 | 0% | 59–65 | 59–65 | 59–65 | 59–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 60 | 0% | 60–62 | 60–62 | 60–62 | 60–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 60 | 0% | 60–61 | 60–61 | 60–61 | 60–62 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 66 | 60 | 0% | 59–60 | 59–60 | 59–61 | 59–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 57 | 0% | 57–59 | 57–59 | 57–59 | 57–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 57 | 0% | 57–58 | 57–58 | 57–58 | 57–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 53 | 0% | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 51 | 0% | 47–51 | 47–51 | 47–51 | 47–52 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 44 | 0% | 43–44 | 43–44 | 43–45 | 43–47 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 36 | 0% | 36–38 | 36–38 | 36–38 | 36–40 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 30 | 0% | 30–31 | 30–31 | 30–32 | 30–33 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 30 | 0% | 30–31 | 30–31 | 30–31 | 30–33 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 24% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 76% | |
| 87 | 73% | 76% | Median |
| 88 | 0% | 3% | |
| 89 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 85 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 86 | 24% | 25% | |
| 87 | 2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 23% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 73% | 76% | Median |
| 84 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 82 | 0% | 27% | |
| 83 | 25% | 27% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 78 | 0.1% | 27% | |
| 79 | 24% | 27% | |
| 80 | 3% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 73 | 97% | 99.6% | Median |
| 74 | 0% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 2% | Last Result, Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 69 | 98% | 99.5% | Median |
| 70 | 0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 24% | 100% | |
| 67 | 73% | 76% | Median |
| 68 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 23% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 73% | 76% | Median |
| 68 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 23% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 61 | 0% | 77% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 63 | 2% | 76% | |
| 64 | 0% | 74% | |
| 65 | 73% | 74% | Median |
| 66 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 61 | 2% | 26% | Last Result |
| 62 | 25% | 25% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 60 | 73% | 99.6% | Median |
| 61 | 25% | 26% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 59 | 23% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 73% | 76% | Median |
| 61 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 58 | 2% | 26% | Last Result |
| 59 | 23% | 25% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 57 | 73% | 99.6% | Median |
| 58 | 25% | 26% | |
| 59 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 53 | 73% | 99.6% | Median |
| 54 | 25% | 26% | |
| 55 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 23% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 49 | 2% | 76% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 74% | |
| 51 | 73% | 74% | Median |
| 52 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 23% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 74% | 77% | Median |
| 45 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 2% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 74% | 99.9% | Median |
| 37 | 0% | 26% | |
| 38 | 25% | 26% | |
| 39 | 0% | 2% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 31 | 24% | 27% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 74% | 99.9% | Median |
| 31 | 25% | 26% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 12–13 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.59%