Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 22–24 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
26.6% |
25.0–28.3% |
24.5–28.9% |
24.1–29.3% |
23.4–30.1% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
11.3% |
10.2–12.6% |
9.9–13.0% |
9.6–13.3% |
9.1–13.9% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
11.3% |
10.2–12.6% |
9.9–13.0% |
9.6–13.3% |
9.1–13.9% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.2% |
8.6–11.6% |
8.4–11.9% |
7.9–12.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.7% |
7.7–9.8% |
7.4–10.2% |
7.2–10.5% |
6.7–11.0% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.1% |
6.7–9.4% |
6.5–9.7% |
6.1–10.3% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.6% |
5.8–7.7% |
5.5–8.0% |
5.3–8.2% |
4.9–8.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.7% |
4.0–5.6% |
3.8–5.9% |
3.6–6.1% |
3.3–6.6% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.8% |
3.1–5.1% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.7–5.7% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.9–3.8% |
1.6–4.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.5–2.9% |
1.4–3.0% |
1.2–3.4% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.7–2.5% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.7–2.5% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.3–1.6% |
Volt Europa |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.3–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
45% |
98% |
|
39 |
3% |
53% |
Median |
40 |
3% |
50% |
|
41 |
41% |
47% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
43 |
4% |
6% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
45 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
18% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
82% |
|
16 |
7% |
81% |
|
17 |
50% |
74% |
Median |
18 |
2% |
24% |
|
19 |
14% |
22% |
|
20 |
7% |
8% |
Last Result |
21 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
3% |
95% |
|
16 |
3% |
92% |
|
17 |
5% |
89% |
|
18 |
54% |
84% |
Median |
19 |
16% |
29% |
Last Result |
20 |
2% |
13% |
|
21 |
11% |
12% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
12% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
38% |
88% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
49% |
|
15 |
3% |
47% |
|
16 |
34% |
45% |
|
17 |
10% |
10% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
38% |
98.5% |
|
13 |
45% |
61% |
Median |
14 |
13% |
16% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
49% |
93% |
Median |
12 |
25% |
45% |
|
13 |
19% |
20% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
9 |
41% |
98% |
|
10 |
24% |
56% |
Median |
11 |
30% |
33% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
1.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
18% |
98.8% |
|
7 |
38% |
81% |
Median |
8 |
20% |
43% |
|
9 |
22% |
23% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
16% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
23% |
84% |
Last Result |
6 |
39% |
61% |
Median |
7 |
2% |
23% |
|
8 |
19% |
21% |
|
9 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
4 |
43% |
97% |
Last Result |
5 |
18% |
54% |
Median |
6 |
36% |
36% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
27% |
97% |
Last Result |
3 |
69% |
70% |
Median |
4 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
21% |
99.6% |
|
2 |
78% |
79% |
Median |
3 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
36% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
46% |
64% |
Median |
3 |
17% |
18% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
88% |
90% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
77% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
19% |
19% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
92 |
100% |
91–95 |
91–96 |
90–96 |
87–97 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
90 |
100% |
90–93 |
90–95 |
88–95 |
87–95 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
79 |
97% |
79–82 |
78–83 |
75–83 |
74–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
81 |
82% |
75–83 |
75–83 |
75–83 |
75–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
79 |
78% |
73–81 |
73–81 |
73–81 |
73–83 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
76 |
52% |
71–78 |
71–78 |
71–78 |
69–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
76 |
56% |
70–78 |
70–78 |
70–78 |
70–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
72 |
1.5% |
71–74 |
71–75 |
68–75 |
67–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
72 |
0.7% |
68–73 |
68–73 |
67–73 |
65–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
67 |
0.1% |
64–70 |
64–71 |
64–73 |
64–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
66 |
0.1% |
65–70 |
63–70 |
63–70 |
61–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie |
58 |
65 |
0% |
63–68 |
62–68 |
61–68 |
59–69 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
66 |
66 |
0% |
62–67 |
62–67 |
62–67 |
58–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
62 |
0% |
60–64 |
59–64 |
58–64 |
57–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
61 |
0% |
59–62 |
58–62 |
57–63 |
55–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
59 |
0% |
56–59 |
55–59 |
54–60 |
54–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
53 |
0% |
50–54 |
50–56 |
50–56 |
49–58 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
46 |
0% |
44–47 |
44–47 |
42–48 |
41–51 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
38 |
0% |
37–43 |
36–43 |
35–43 |
34–43 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
33 |
0% |
31–35 |
30–35 |
29–35 |
28–36 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
31 |
0% |
29–35 |
27–35 |
27–35 |
25–35 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
90 |
2% |
98.5% |
Median |
91 |
16% |
97% |
|
92 |
39% |
81% |
|
93 |
31% |
42% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
95 |
6% |
11% |
|
96 |
4% |
5% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
2% |
98% |
Median |
89 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
90 |
48% |
96% |
Last Result |
91 |
2% |
49% |
|
92 |
18% |
46% |
|
93 |
22% |
28% |
|
94 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
95 |
5% |
5% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
97% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0.7% |
97% |
Median |
78 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
79 |
63% |
95% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
31% |
|
81 |
19% |
30% |
|
82 |
2% |
11% |
|
83 |
9% |
9% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
18% |
99.6% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
82% |
Majority |
77 |
19% |
81% |
Last Result |
78 |
5% |
62% |
|
79 |
2% |
58% |
Median |
80 |
2% |
55% |
|
81 |
40% |
53% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
13% |
|
83 |
12% |
13% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
18% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
82% |
Last Result |
75 |
3% |
81% |
|
76 |
21% |
78% |
Majority |
77 |
1.1% |
57% |
Median |
78 |
2% |
56% |
|
79 |
40% |
54% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
14% |
|
81 |
12% |
13% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
37% |
98.7% |
|
72 |
7% |
62% |
Median |
73 |
0.4% |
55% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
55% |
|
75 |
3% |
55% |
|
76 |
19% |
52% |
Majority |
77 |
13% |
33% |
|
78 |
20% |
20% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
18% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
82% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
81% |
Last Result |
73 |
1.3% |
80% |
|
74 |
22% |
79% |
Median |
75 |
2% |
57% |
|
76 |
38% |
56% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
18% |
|
78 |
12% |
14% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
2% |
100% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
96% |
Median |
71 |
14% |
95% |
Last Result |
72 |
54% |
81% |
|
73 |
15% |
28% |
|
74 |
5% |
13% |
|
75 |
6% |
8% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
Majority |
77 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
67 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
68 |
18% |
97% |
|
69 |
15% |
79% |
|
70 |
13% |
64% |
Median |
71 |
0.8% |
51% |
|
72 |
37% |
51% |
|
73 |
12% |
14% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
11% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
2% |
88% |
Median |
66 |
34% |
87% |
|
67 |
37% |
53% |
|
68 |
3% |
16% |
|
69 |
2% |
13% |
|
70 |
5% |
11% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
73 |
4% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
63 |
3% |
98% |
|
64 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
65 |
37% |
93% |
|
66 |
6% |
56% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
50% |
Median |
68 |
11% |
49% |
|
69 |
1.5% |
38% |
|
70 |
36% |
36% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
59 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
62 |
3% |
97% |
|
63 |
23% |
93% |
|
64 |
19% |
70% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
51% |
Median |
66 |
12% |
49% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
38% |
|
68 |
37% |
37% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
62 |
37% |
98% |
Median |
63 |
6% |
61% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
55% |
|
65 |
3% |
55% |
|
66 |
30% |
51% |
Last Result |
67 |
19% |
21% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
58 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
97% |
|
60 |
16% |
95% |
|
61 |
24% |
79% |
|
62 |
5% |
55% |
Median |
63 |
0.5% |
50% |
|
64 |
48% |
49% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
55 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
57 |
3% |
98% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
59 |
39% |
95% |
|
60 |
6% |
56% |
Median |
61 |
1.0% |
50% |
|
62 |
47% |
49% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
56 |
19% |
95% |
|
57 |
19% |
75% |
Median |
58 |
5% |
56% |
|
59 |
48% |
51% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
33% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
3% |
66% |
|
52 |
13% |
64% |
Median |
53 |
6% |
51% |
|
54 |
36% |
45% |
|
55 |
3% |
9% |
|
56 |
4% |
6% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
2% |
97% |
|
44 |
41% |
95% |
Median |
45 |
1.2% |
54% |
|
46 |
23% |
53% |
|
47 |
26% |
30% |
Last Result |
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
34 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
3% |
98% |
|
36 |
5% |
96% |
|
37 |
19% |
91% |
|
38 |
36% |
72% |
Median |
39 |
22% |
36% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
13% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
12% |
|
43 |
11% |
11% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
30 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
31 |
41% |
95% |
Median |
32 |
0.7% |
54% |
|
33 |
12% |
53% |
|
34 |
23% |
40% |
|
35 |
16% |
18% |
|
36 |
2% |
2% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
27 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
28 |
2% |
95% |
Last Result |
29 |
7% |
93% |
|
30 |
19% |
86% |
|
31 |
51% |
68% |
Median |
32 |
3% |
16% |
|
33 |
2% |
14% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
35 |
11% |
12% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–24 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1131
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.51%