Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 22–24 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 26.6% 25.0–28.3% 24.5–28.9% 24.1–29.3% 23.4–30.1%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 11.3% 10.2–12.6% 9.9–13.0% 9.6–13.3% 9.1–13.9%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 11.3% 10.2–12.6% 9.9–13.0% 9.6–13.3% 9.1–13.9%
Democraten 66 12.2% 10.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.6–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.5%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 8.7% 7.7–9.8% 7.4–10.2% 7.2–10.5% 6.7–11.0%
GroenLinks 9.1% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.5–9.7% 6.1–10.3%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 6.6% 5.8–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.2% 4.9–8.8%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.7% 4.0–5.6% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.1% 3.3–6.6%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.7%
50Plus 3.1% 2.7% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.6–4.1%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.4%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
DENK 2.1% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%
Volt Europa 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 39 38–41 38–43 38–43 37–45
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 17 14–19 14–20 14–20 14–21
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 18 16–21 14–21 14–21 14–21
Democraten 66 19 13 12–17 12–17 12–17 12–18
Partij van de Arbeid 9 13 12–14 12–14 12–15 11–16
GroenLinks 14 11 11–13 10–13 10–13 9–15
Socialistische Partij 14 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 7–13
ChristenUnie 5 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Partij voor de Dieren 5 6 4–8 4–8 4–8 4–9
50Plus 4 5 4–6 4–6 3–6 3–6
Forum voor Democratie 2 3 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–4
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
DENK 3 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–4
Juiste Antwoord 2021 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Volt Europa 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 1.2% 99.5%  
38 45% 98%  
39 3% 53% Median
40 3% 50%  
41 41% 47%  
42 0.5% 6%  
43 4% 6%  
44 0.2% 2%  
45 1.2% 1.4%  
46 0% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 18% 99.9%  
15 0.6% 82%  
16 7% 81%  
17 50% 74% Median
18 2% 24%  
19 14% 22%  
20 7% 8% Last Result
21 1.1% 1.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 5% 99.9%  
15 3% 95%  
16 3% 92%  
17 5% 89%  
18 54% 84% Median
19 16% 29% Last Result
20 2% 13%  
21 11% 12%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 12% 99.8%  
13 38% 88% Median
14 2% 49%  
15 3% 47%  
16 34% 45%  
17 10% 10%  
18 0.5% 0.8%  
19 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.3% 99.8%  
12 38% 98.5%  
13 45% 61% Median
14 13% 16%  
15 0.9% 3%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.8%  
10 6% 99.5%  
11 49% 93% Median
12 25% 45%  
13 19% 20%  
14 0.5% 1.2% Last Result
15 0.4% 0.6%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.2% 100%  
8 1.0% 98.8%  
9 41% 98%  
10 24% 56% Median
11 30% 33%  
12 0.6% 2%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
15 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.2% 100% Last Result
6 18% 98.8%  
7 38% 81% Median
8 20% 43%  
9 22% 23%  
10 1.0% 1.0%  
11 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 16% 99.9%  
5 23% 84% Last Result
6 39% 61% Median
7 2% 23%  
8 19% 21%  
9 1.4% 1.4%  
10 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.4% 100%  
3 3% 99.6%  
4 43% 97% Last Result
5 18% 54% Median
6 36% 36%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 27% 97% Last Result
3 69% 70% Median
4 0.5% 0.8%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 21% 99.6%  
2 78% 79% Median
3 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 36% 99.8%  
2 46% 64% Median
3 17% 18% Last Result
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 88% 90% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Volt Europa

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 77% 96% Median
2 19% 19%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 92 100% 91–95 91–96 90–96 87–97
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 90 100% 90–93 90–95 88–95 87–95
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 79 97% 79–82 78–83 75–83 74–83
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 81 82% 75–83 75–83 75–83 75–84
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie 74 79 78% 73–81 73–81 73–81 73–83
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 80 76 52% 71–78 71–78 71–78 69–79
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid 72 76 56% 70–78 70–78 70–78 70–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 72 1.5% 71–74 71–75 68–75 67–77
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 72 0.7% 68–73 68–73 67–73 65–76
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 67 0.1% 64–70 64–71 64–73 64–73
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 66 0.1% 65–70 63–70 63–70 61–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie 58 65 0% 63–68 62–68 61–68 59–69
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 66 66 0% 62–67 62–67 62–67 58–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 62 0% 60–64 59–64 58–64 57–66
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 61 0% 59–62 58–62 57–63 55–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 59 0% 56–59 55–59 54–60 54–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 53 0% 50–54 50–56 50–56 49–58
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 47 46 0% 44–47 44–47 42–48 41–51
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 38 0% 37–43 36–43 35–43 34–43
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 33 0% 31–35 30–35 29–35 28–36
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 31 0% 29–35 27–35 27–35 25–35

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 1.0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.0%  
89 0.4% 98.9%  
90 2% 98.5% Median
91 16% 97%  
92 39% 81%  
93 31% 42%  
94 0.5% 12%  
95 6% 11%  
96 4% 5%  
97 0.3% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0.2% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 2% 99.8%  
88 2% 98% Median
89 0.4% 96%  
90 48% 96% Last Result
91 2% 49%  
92 18% 46%  
93 22% 28%  
94 0.7% 6%  
95 5% 5%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.9% 99.9%  
75 2% 99.0%  
76 0.7% 97% Last Result, Majority
77 0.7% 97% Median
78 1.3% 96%  
79 63% 95%  
80 1.0% 31%  
81 19% 30%  
82 2% 11%  
83 9% 9%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 18% 99.6%  
76 0.5% 82% Majority
77 19% 81% Last Result
78 5% 62%  
79 2% 58% Median
80 2% 55%  
81 40% 53%  
82 0.8% 13%  
83 12% 13%  
84 0.2% 0.7%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 18% 99.7%  
74 0.3% 82% Last Result
75 3% 81%  
76 21% 78% Majority
77 1.1% 57% Median
78 2% 56%  
79 40% 54%  
80 0.4% 14%  
81 12% 13%  
82 0.5% 1.0%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.4% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 0.6% 99.4%  
71 37% 98.7%  
72 7% 62% Median
73 0.4% 55%  
74 0.1% 55%  
75 3% 55%  
76 19% 52% Majority
77 13% 33%  
78 20% 20%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
81 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 18% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 82%  
72 1.2% 81% Last Result
73 1.3% 80%  
74 22% 79% Median
75 2% 57%  
76 38% 56% Majority
77 4% 18%  
78 12% 14%  
79 1.0% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.0%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 2% 100%  
68 1.2% 98%  
69 0.4% 97%  
70 1.3% 96% Median
71 14% 95% Last Result
72 54% 81%  
73 15% 28%  
74 5% 13%  
75 6% 8%  
76 0.7% 1.5% Majority
77 0.5% 0.8%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100% Last Result
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.9% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 98.9%  
67 2% 98.8%  
68 18% 97%  
69 15% 79%  
70 13% 64% Median
71 0.8% 51%  
72 37% 51%  
73 12% 14%  
74 1.4% 2%  
75 0.2% 0.9%  
76 0.3% 0.7% Majority
77 0% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.3% 0.3%  
80 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100% Last Result
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 11% 99.7%  
65 2% 88% Median
66 34% 87%  
67 37% 53%  
68 3% 16%  
69 2% 13%  
70 5% 11%  
71 1.0% 6%  
72 0.7% 5%  
73 4% 4%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.7%  
61 2% 99.6% Last Result
62 0.1% 98%  
63 3% 98%  
64 1.4% 94%  
65 37% 93%  
66 6% 56%  
67 0.5% 50% Median
68 11% 49%  
69 1.5% 38%  
70 36% 36%  
71 0.2% 0.5%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9% Last Result
59 2% 99.8%  
60 0.2% 98%  
61 1.0% 98%  
62 3% 97%  
63 23% 93%  
64 19% 70%  
65 1.4% 51% Median
66 12% 49%  
67 0.3% 38%  
68 37% 37%  
69 0.3% 0.7%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.7% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.2%  
60 0.9% 99.1%  
61 0.5% 98%  
62 37% 98% Median
63 6% 61%  
64 0.7% 55%  
65 3% 55%  
66 30% 51% Last Result
67 19% 21%  
68 1.4% 2%  
69 0.3% 0.7%  
70 0.3% 0.5%  
71 0.2% 0.2%  
72 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 2% 99.7% Last Result
58 1.0% 98%  
59 2% 97%  
60 16% 95%  
61 24% 79%  
62 5% 55% Median
63 0.5% 50%  
64 48% 49%  
65 0.6% 2%  
66 0.5% 0.9%  
67 0.1% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0% 99.9% Last Result
55 2% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 98%  
57 3% 98%  
58 0.3% 95%  
59 39% 95%  
60 6% 56% Median
61 1.0% 50%  
62 47% 49%  
63 1.2% 3%  
64 0.9% 1.3%  
65 0.1% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9% Last Result
53 0% 99.8%  
54 4% 99.8%  
55 1.1% 96%  
56 19% 95%  
57 19% 75% Median
58 5% 56%  
59 48% 51%  
60 0.7% 3%  
61 1.0% 2%  
62 0.8% 1.1%  
63 0% 0.3%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100% Last Result
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.6%  
50 33% 99.5%  
51 3% 66%  
52 13% 64% Median
53 6% 51%  
54 36% 45%  
55 3% 9%  
56 4% 6%  
57 0.5% 2%  
58 0.9% 1.3%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.4% 99.9%  
41 0.5% 99.5%  
42 2% 99.1%  
43 2% 97%  
44 41% 95% Median
45 1.2% 54%  
46 23% 53%  
47 26% 30% Last Result
48 2% 4%  
49 1.5% 2%  
50 0.3% 0.8%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
34 1.4% 99.6%  
35 3% 98%  
36 5% 96%  
37 19% 91%  
38 36% 72% Median
39 22% 36%  
40 1.4% 13%  
41 0.5% 12%  
42 0.1% 12%  
43 11% 11%  
44 0% 0.3%  
45 0.3% 0.3%  
46 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.8%  
29 1.4% 98%  
30 1.5% 96%  
31 41% 95% Median
32 0.7% 54%  
33 12% 53%  
34 23% 40%  
35 16% 18%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.1% 0.3%  
38 0% 0.1% Last Result
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 1.0% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.0%  
27 4% 98.8%  
28 2% 95% Last Result
29 7% 93%  
30 19% 86%  
31 51% 68% Median
32 3% 16%  
33 2% 14%  
34 0.3% 12%  
35 11% 12%  
36 0% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.3%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations