Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 5–8 March 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
22.6% |
21.5–23.6% |
21.2–23.9% |
21.0–24.2% |
20.5–24.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
11.8% |
11.0–12.7% |
10.8–12.9% |
10.6–13.1% |
10.2–13.5% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
10.0% |
9.3–10.8% |
9.1–11.1% |
8.9–11.2% |
8.6–11.6% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.9% |
9.2–10.7% |
9.0–11.0% |
8.8–11.2% |
8.5–11.6% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.5% |
7.9–9.3% |
7.7–9.5% |
7.5–9.7% |
7.2–10.1% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
7.3% |
6.7–8.0% |
6.5–8.2% |
6.4–8.4% |
6.1–8.8% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.4% |
5.9–7.1% |
5.7–7.3% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.8% |
3.3–4.3% |
3.2–4.5% |
3.1–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.5% |
3.1–4.0% |
2.9–4.2% |
2.9–4.3% |
2.7–4.5% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
2.9% |
2.5–3.4% |
2.4–3.5% |
2.3–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.5% |
2.1–2.9% |
2.0–3.1% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.4% |
Volt Europa |
0.0% |
2.3% |
2.0–2.7% |
1.9–2.9% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.9% |
1.6–2.3% |
1.5–2.4% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
1.8% |
1.5–2.2% |
1.4–2.3% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.6% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
0.0% |
1.6% |
1.3–2.0% |
1.2–2.1% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.3% |
Bij1 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.4–0.7% |
0.3–0.8% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
Code Oranje |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.3–0.6% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.8% |
Piratenpartij |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
5% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
34 |
66% |
95% |
Median |
35 |
18% |
29% |
|
36 |
3% |
11% |
|
37 |
6% |
8% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
16 |
60% |
99.7% |
Median |
17 |
10% |
39% |
|
18 |
11% |
29% |
|
19 |
16% |
18% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
13 |
7% |
99.0% |
|
14 |
5% |
92% |
|
15 |
61% |
87% |
Median |
16 |
18% |
26% |
|
17 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
18 |
7% |
7% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
19% |
99.2% |
|
15 |
22% |
81% |
|
16 |
4% |
59% |
|
17 |
55% |
55% |
Median |
18 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
4% |
100% |
|
12 |
8% |
96% |
|
13 |
54% |
88% |
Median |
14 |
15% |
34% |
|
15 |
19% |
19% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
10 |
50% |
99.4% |
Median |
11 |
38% |
49% |
|
12 |
7% |
11% |
|
13 |
2% |
4% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
18% |
97% |
|
10 |
17% |
79% |
|
11 |
58% |
62% |
Median |
12 |
4% |
4% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
5% |
100% |
|
5 |
28% |
95% |
Last Result |
6 |
67% |
67% |
Median |
7 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
80% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
14% |
16% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
4 |
82% |
99.1% |
Median |
5 |
16% |
17% |
|
6 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
|
3 |
13% |
91% |
Last Result |
4 |
28% |
78% |
Median |
5 |
49% |
49% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
3% |
100% |
|
3 |
39% |
97% |
|
4 |
58% |
58% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
|
3 |
67% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
22% |
23% |
|
5 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
72% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
26% |
26% |
|
4 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
7% |
100% |
|
2 |
34% |
93% |
|
3 |
55% |
59% |
Median |
4 |
4% |
4% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
18% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
82% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
77% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
23% |
23% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Code Oranje
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Code Oranje page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Piratenpartij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
85 |
100% |
81–87 |
81–87 |
79–87 |
79–88 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
82 |
100% |
78–84 |
77–85 |
77–86 |
77–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
76 |
63% |
74–77 |
74–77 |
73–80 |
72–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
71 |
3% |
70–73 |
70–75 |
70–76 |
68–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
72 |
0.2% |
67–73 |
66–73 |
66–74 |
66–74 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
72 |
0.1% |
68–72 |
68–73 |
68–73 |
67–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
67 |
0% |
66–70 |
66–70 |
65–71 |
64–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
66 |
0% |
62–68 |
61–68 |
61–68 |
61–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
62 |
0% |
62–66 |
61–67 |
59–67 |
59–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
64 |
0% |
62–65 |
61–65 |
60–65 |
60–69 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
66 |
61 |
0% |
58–63 |
57–63 |
57–63 |
56–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
62 |
0% |
59–62 |
59–62 |
59–62 |
58–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
60 |
0% |
57–60 |
56–60 |
56–61 |
55–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
57 |
0% |
55–58 |
55–58 |
55–59 |
54–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
55 |
0% |
53–55 |
52–56 |
52–57 |
51–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
51 |
0% |
48–51 |
48–52 |
48–53 |
47–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
47 |
0% |
47–50 |
45–51 |
45–51 |
45–54 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
45 |
0% |
42–46 |
41–47 |
41–47 |
39–47 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
36 |
0% |
33–36 |
32–36 |
32–36 |
31–37 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
32 |
0% |
29–33 |
27–33 |
27–33 |
26–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
30 |
0% |
27–30 |
27–30 |
27–31 |
26–31 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
4% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
81 |
7% |
96% |
|
82 |
8% |
89% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
81% |
|
84 |
3% |
79% |
|
85 |
55% |
77% |
Last Result, Median |
86 |
2% |
22% |
|
87 |
19% |
19% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
7% |
100% |
|
78 |
4% |
93% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
81 |
7% |
88% |
|
82 |
57% |
82% |
Median |
83 |
10% |
24% |
|
84 |
9% |
14% |
|
85 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
86 |
4% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
73 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
13% |
96% |
|
75 |
21% |
83% |
Median |
76 |
53% |
63% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
10% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
79 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
81 |
2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
70 |
15% |
98% |
|
71 |
56% |
83% |
Median |
72 |
9% |
27% |
|
73 |
9% |
18% |
|
74 |
4% |
10% |
Last Result |
75 |
2% |
5% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
3% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
7% |
100% |
|
67 |
4% |
93% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
69 |
4% |
88% |
|
70 |
2% |
84% |
|
71 |
10% |
82% |
|
72 |
61% |
73% |
Median |
73 |
9% |
11% |
|
74 |
2% |
3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.2% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
12% |
98.7% |
|
69 |
5% |
86% |
|
70 |
6% |
81% |
|
71 |
7% |
75% |
|
72 |
59% |
68% |
Median |
73 |
7% |
10% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
65 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
12% |
95% |
|
67 |
60% |
83% |
Median |
68 |
12% |
24% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
70 |
7% |
10% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
2% |
Last Result |
73 |
2% |
2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
7% |
100% |
|
62 |
4% |
93% |
|
63 |
4% |
89% |
|
64 |
2% |
85% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
83% |
|
66 |
65% |
82% |
Median |
67 |
5% |
16% |
|
68 |
10% |
11% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
4% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
61 |
4% |
96% |
Last Result |
62 |
60% |
92% |
Median |
63 |
5% |
32% |
|
64 |
2% |
28% |
|
65 |
3% |
25% |
|
66 |
14% |
23% |
|
67 |
7% |
8% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
4% |
100% |
|
61 |
5% |
96% |
Last Result |
62 |
5% |
91% |
|
63 |
7% |
87% |
|
64 |
59% |
79% |
Median |
65 |
19% |
20% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
58 |
7% |
95% |
|
59 |
10% |
87% |
|
60 |
4% |
77% |
|
61 |
51% |
73% |
Median |
62 |
3% |
23% |
|
63 |
17% |
20% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
66 |
0% |
2% |
Last Result |
67 |
2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
17% |
98% |
|
60 |
17% |
80% |
|
61 |
10% |
64% |
Last Result, Median |
62 |
51% |
54% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
9% |
98.6% |
|
57 |
17% |
90% |
Last Result |
58 |
19% |
73% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
55% |
Median |
60 |
50% |
53% |
|
61 |
3% |
4% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
54 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
15% |
98.6% |
|
56 |
13% |
84% |
|
57 |
49% |
71% |
Median |
58 |
18% |
22% |
Last Result |
59 |
2% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
52 |
8% |
98.7% |
|
53 |
7% |
91% |
|
54 |
13% |
84% |
Last Result |
55 |
65% |
71% |
Median |
56 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
57 |
3% |
5% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
15% |
98.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
84% |
|
50 |
20% |
84% |
|
51 |
58% |
63% |
Median |
52 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
53 |
2% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
8% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
47 |
54% |
91% |
Median |
48 |
3% |
38% |
|
49 |
18% |
35% |
|
50 |
10% |
17% |
|
51 |
5% |
6% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
41 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
42 |
12% |
95% |
|
43 |
6% |
83% |
|
44 |
7% |
77% |
|
45 |
50% |
70% |
Median |
46 |
10% |
20% |
|
47 |
9% |
10% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
32 |
9% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
11% |
91% |
Last Result |
34 |
16% |
80% |
|
35 |
3% |
64% |
|
36 |
59% |
61% |
Median |
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
27 |
8% |
99.0% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
29 |
12% |
91% |
|
30 |
3% |
79% |
|
31 |
10% |
75% |
|
32 |
53% |
65% |
Median |
33 |
12% |
12% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
10% |
99.1% |
|
28 |
11% |
89% |
Last Result |
29 |
17% |
79% |
|
30 |
59% |
62% |
Median |
31 |
3% |
3% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–8 March 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2576
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.46%