Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 12–15 March 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
21.0% |
20.0–22.0% |
19.8–22.3% |
19.5–22.6% |
19.1–23.1% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.5% |
11.7–13.3% |
11.5–13.5% |
11.3–13.8% |
10.9–14.2% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
11.8% |
11.1–12.6% |
10.8–12.9% |
10.7–13.1% |
10.3–13.5% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.2% |
9.5–11.0% |
9.3–11.2% |
9.1–11.4% |
8.8–11.8% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
7.4% |
6.8–8.1% |
6.6–8.3% |
6.5–8.4% |
6.2–8.8% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
7.2% |
6.6–7.8% |
6.4–8.0% |
6.3–8.2% |
6.0–8.5% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.8% |
6.2–7.5% |
6.1–7.6% |
5.9–7.8% |
5.7–8.1% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.9% |
3.5–4.4% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.2–4.7% |
3.0–5.0% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.2% |
2.8–3.7% |
2.7–3.8% |
2.6–3.9% |
2.4–4.2% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
3.2% |
2.8–3.7% |
2.7–3.8% |
2.6–3.9% |
2.4–4.2% |
Volt Europa |
0.0% |
3.2% |
2.8–3.7% |
2.7–3.8% |
2.6–3.9% |
2.4–4.2% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.4% |
2.0–2.8% |
2.0–2.9% |
1.9–3.0% |
1.7–3.2% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.5–2.2% |
1.4–2.3% |
1.4–2.4% |
1.2–2.6% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.0–1.7% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.9–2.0% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
1.0% |
0.8–1.3% |
0.7–1.4% |
0.7–1.4% |
0.6–1.6% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.7–1.2% |
0.6–1.2% |
0.6–1.3% |
0.5–1.5% |
Bij1 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
Code Oranje |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
Piratenpartij |
0.3% |
0.1% |
0.1–0.2% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
10% |
93% |
|
32 |
3% |
83% |
|
33 |
70% |
80% |
Last Result, Median |
34 |
2% |
10% |
|
35 |
3% |
8% |
|
36 |
3% |
5% |
|
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
2% |
92% |
|
19 |
63% |
89% |
Median |
20 |
11% |
26% |
Last Result |
21 |
5% |
16% |
|
22 |
10% |
10% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
66% |
98.9% |
Median |
18 |
9% |
33% |
|
19 |
18% |
23% |
Last Result |
20 |
3% |
6% |
|
21 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
10% |
100% |
|
14 |
1.2% |
90% |
|
15 |
65% |
89% |
Median |
16 |
10% |
24% |
|
17 |
6% |
14% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
19 |
8% |
8% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
2% |
98% |
|
11 |
89% |
96% |
Median |
12 |
5% |
7% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
14% |
97% |
|
11 |
5% |
84% |
|
12 |
70% |
79% |
Median |
13 |
9% |
9% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
8% |
100% |
|
9 |
7% |
92% |
|
10 |
14% |
85% |
|
11 |
63% |
71% |
Median |
12 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
13 |
7% |
7% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
5 |
13% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
6 |
85% |
86% |
Median |
7 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
9% |
100% |
|
4 |
13% |
91% |
|
5 |
74% |
78% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
4 |
17% |
99.2% |
|
5 |
77% |
82% |
Median |
6 |
5% |
5% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
20% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
78% |
80% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
8% |
100% |
|
3 |
87% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
5% |
5% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
3 |
18% |
19% |
|
4 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
71% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
28% |
29% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
25% |
96% |
|
2 |
71% |
71% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
19% |
19% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
21% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
78% |
79% |
Median |
2 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Code Oranje
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Code Oranje page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.2% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Piratenpartij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
83 |
100% |
83–86 |
79–87 |
79–87 |
78–87 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
82 |
100% |
82–85 |
78–85 |
78–87 |
78–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
75 |
19% |
74–79 |
71–79 |
71–80 |
70–83 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
72 |
10% |
70–75 |
69–77 |
68–77 |
68–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
72 |
11% |
71–76 |
69–76 |
69–76 |
67–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
71 |
4% |
71–74 |
68–74 |
67–76 |
67–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
67 |
0% |
67–71 |
63–71 |
63–72 |
63–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
65 |
0% |
65–68 |
62–69 |
62–71 |
62–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
61 |
0% |
60–63 |
60–65 |
60–67 |
58–67 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
66 |
61 |
0% |
60–65 |
60–67 |
58–67 |
58–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
59 |
0% |
58–61 |
55–62 |
54–63 |
54–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
58 |
0% |
56–59 |
53–59 |
52–60 |
52–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
56 |
0% |
55–57 |
52–58 |
51–59 |
51–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
55 |
0% |
53–56 |
50–56 |
50–58 |
50–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
53 |
0% |
52–54 |
49–54 |
49–57 |
49–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
48 |
0% |
47–50 |
44–50 |
43–52 |
43–54 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
43 |
0% |
43–48 |
43–48 |
43–48 |
42–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
44 |
0% |
42–45 |
41–46 |
41–47 |
41–47 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
32 |
0% |
32–37 |
32–37 |
32–37 |
31–38 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
32 |
0% |
31–35 |
29–36 |
29–36 |
29–36 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
26 |
0% |
25–29 |
24–30 |
24–30 |
23–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
79 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
81 |
2% |
94% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
92% |
|
83 |
64% |
91% |
Median |
84 |
10% |
27% |
|
85 |
6% |
17% |
|
86 |
2% |
12% |
|
87 |
9% |
9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
5% |
100% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
82 |
63% |
93% |
Median |
83 |
2% |
30% |
|
84 |
2% |
28% |
|
85 |
23% |
26% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
88 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
89 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
74 |
11% |
93% |
|
75 |
63% |
83% |
Median |
76 |
0.9% |
19% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
19% |
Last Result |
78 |
1.3% |
12% |
|
79 |
8% |
11% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
81 |
0% |
2% |
|
82 |
0% |
2% |
|
83 |
2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
4% |
100% |
|
69 |
4% |
96% |
|
70 |
9% |
92% |
|
71 |
3% |
84% |
|
72 |
62% |
81% |
Median |
73 |
6% |
19% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
75 |
3% |
12% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
10% |
Majority |
77 |
10% |
10% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
69 |
5% |
98.7% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
71 |
11% |
93% |
|
72 |
63% |
82% |
Median |
73 |
1.0% |
19% |
|
74 |
4% |
18% |
Last Result |
75 |
4% |
14% |
|
76 |
9% |
11% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
2% |
|
78 |
0% |
2% |
|
79 |
2% |
2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
2% |
95% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
71 |
63% |
92% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
30% |
|
73 |
4% |
28% |
|
74 |
20% |
24% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
76 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
6% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
66 |
2% |
94% |
|
67 |
70% |
91% |
Median |
68 |
2% |
21% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
19% |
|
70 |
7% |
18% |
|
71 |
8% |
11% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
3% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
2% |
|
74 |
2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
65 |
62% |
93% |
Median |
66 |
1.5% |
30% |
|
67 |
3% |
29% |
|
68 |
18% |
25% |
|
69 |
3% |
8% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
71 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
60 |
13% |
98.5% |
|
61 |
64% |
85% |
Last Result, Median |
62 |
0.7% |
21% |
|
63 |
11% |
20% |
|
64 |
3% |
9% |
|
65 |
2% |
6% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
67 |
3% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
4% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
60 |
8% |
95% |
|
61 |
62% |
87% |
Median |
62 |
11% |
25% |
|
63 |
2% |
14% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
12% |
|
65 |
2% |
10% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
9% |
Last Result |
67 |
8% |
8% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
5% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
56 |
2% |
95% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
58 |
3% |
92% |
|
59 |
61% |
89% |
Median |
60 |
12% |
27% |
|
61 |
10% |
16% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
5% |
|
63 |
2% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
5% |
100% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
56 |
5% |
92% |
|
57 |
4% |
87% |
|
58 |
71% |
83% |
Median |
59 |
9% |
13% |
|
60 |
2% |
4% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
2% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
2% |
|
63 |
2% |
2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
5% |
100% |
|
52 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
54 |
2% |
93% |
|
55 |
3% |
90% |
|
56 |
66% |
88% |
Median |
57 |
17% |
22% |
Last Result |
58 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
59 |
2% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
61 |
0% |
2% |
|
62 |
0% |
2% |
|
63 |
2% |
2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
50 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
53 |
3% |
92% |
|
54 |
5% |
88% |
|
55 |
71% |
83% |
Median |
56 |
9% |
12% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
3% |
Last Result |
59 |
2% |
2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
51 |
2% |
93% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
53 |
68% |
89% |
Median |
54 |
17% |
22% |
Last Result |
55 |
2% |
5% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
58 |
0% |
2% |
|
59 |
2% |
2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
5% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
45 |
2% |
95% |
|
46 |
3% |
93% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
48 |
63% |
90% |
Median |
49 |
13% |
27% |
|
50 |
10% |
14% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
3% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
2% |
|
54 |
2% |
2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
70% |
98% |
Median |
44 |
4% |
29% |
|
45 |
3% |
24% |
|
46 |
9% |
21% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
12% |
Last Result |
48 |
9% |
11% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
50 |
2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
10% |
93% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.5% |
83% |
|
44 |
71% |
83% |
Median |
45 |
3% |
11% |
|
46 |
3% |
8% |
|
47 |
5% |
5% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
69% |
99.1% |
Median |
33 |
6% |
30% |
|
34 |
4% |
24% |
|
35 |
8% |
20% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
11% |
|
37 |
8% |
10% |
|
38 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
10% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
90% |
|
31 |
3% |
90% |
|
32 |
64% |
87% |
Median |
33 |
10% |
23% |
Last Result |
34 |
2% |
13% |
|
35 |
3% |
11% |
|
36 |
8% |
8% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
2% |
100% |
|
24 |
8% |
98% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
26 |
67% |
90% |
Median |
27 |
9% |
23% |
|
28 |
3% |
14% |
Last Result |
29 |
3% |
11% |
|
30 |
8% |
8% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 12–15 March 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2812
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.12%