Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 14–17 January 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
17.1% |
16.1–18.2% |
15.8–18.4% |
15.6–18.7% |
15.1–19.2% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
11.3% |
10.5–12.3% |
10.3–12.5% |
10.1–12.7% |
9.7–13.2% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
9.7% |
9.0–10.6% |
8.7–10.8% |
8.6–11.0% |
8.2–11.5% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
7.1% |
6.5–7.9% |
6.3–8.1% |
6.1–8.3% |
5.8–8.7% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
6.4% |
5.8–7.1% |
5.6–7.3% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.2–7.9% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
6.3% |
5.7–7.0% |
5.5–7.2% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.1–7.8% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
5.9% |
5.3–6.6% |
5.2–6.8% |
5.0–7.0% |
4.7–7.3% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
5.4% |
4.8–6.1% |
4.7–6.3% |
4.6–6.4% |
4.3–6.8% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
5.2% |
4.7–5.9% |
4.5–6.1% |
4.4–6.3% |
4.1–6.6% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.1% |
4.6–5.8% |
4.4–5.9% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.0–6.4% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
5.1% |
4.6–5.8% |
4.4–5.9% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.0–6.4% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.5–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.4% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.8% |
2.4–3.3% |
2.3–3.5% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.9% |
DENK |
2.0% |
1.6% |
1.3–2.0% |
1.2–2.1% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.0–2.4% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–1.9% |
0.8–2.1% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–1.9% |
0.8–2.1% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
25 |
1.2% |
99.3% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
29 |
19% |
97% |
|
30 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
19% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
81% |
|
17 |
0.8% |
80% |
|
18 |
79% |
80% |
Median |
19 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
15 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
19% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.3% |
81% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
80% |
|
12 |
78% |
79% |
Median |
13 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
21% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
79% |
|
11 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
12 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
78% |
99.4% |
Median |
10 |
20% |
21% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
78% |
100% |
Median |
8 |
0.6% |
22% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
21% |
Last Result |
10 |
21% |
21% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
8 |
78% |
99.4% |
Median |
9 |
21% |
21% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
79% |
100% |
Median |
7 |
0.2% |
21% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
20% |
|
9 |
20% |
20% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
97% |
99.9% |
Median |
8 |
2% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
21% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
79% |
|
9 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
10 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
6 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
7 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
20% |
100% |
|
5 |
79% |
80% |
Median |
6 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
4 |
98% |
99.5% |
Median |
5 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
21% |
22% |
|
3 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98.9% |
99.0% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
2% |
22% |
|
3 |
20% |
20% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
79% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
21% |
21% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
72 |
0% |
68–72 |
68–72 |
68–72 |
66–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
67 |
0% |
67–69 |
67–69 |
67–69 |
63–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
59 |
0% |
59–60 |
59–60 |
58–60 |
55–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
60 |
0% |
59–60 |
59–60 |
57–60 |
53–60 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
56 |
0% |
56 |
56 |
56–57 |
56–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
55 |
0% |
55–56 |
55–56 |
54–56 |
50–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
55 |
0% |
54–55 |
54–55 |
53–55 |
50–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
54 |
0% |
53–54 |
53–54 |
52–54 |
49–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
50 |
0% |
50–52 |
50–52 |
49–52 |
44–52 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
49 |
0% |
49 |
49 |
49 |
48–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
47 |
0% |
47–48 |
47–48 |
45–48 |
42–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
43 |
0% |
43–48 |
43–48 |
43–48 |
41–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
45 |
0% |
45–46 |
45–46 |
43–46 |
41–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
43 |
0% |
43–44 |
43–44 |
41–44 |
38–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
41 |
0% |
41–42 |
41–42 |
39–42 |
37–42 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
37 |
0% |
37–39 |
37–39 |
35–39 |
32–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
36 |
0% |
36–38 |
36–38 |
35–38 |
31–38 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
31 |
0% |
31–34 |
31–34 |
31–34 |
31–35 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
19 |
0% |
19–25 |
19–25 |
19–25 |
19–25 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
24 |
0% |
24 |
24 |
24 |
24–26 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
13 |
0% |
13–19 |
13–19 |
13–19 |
13–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
68 |
19% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
78% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
78% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
78% |
|
72 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
67 |
78% |
98% |
Median |
68 |
0.2% |
19% |
|
69 |
19% |
19% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
57 |
0% |
98% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
59 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
60 |
19% |
19% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
58 |
0% |
97% |
|
59 |
19% |
97% |
|
60 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
56 |
97% |
99.7% |
Median |
57 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
55 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
56 |
19% |
19% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
54 |
19% |
97% |
|
55 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
56 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
2% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
53 |
19% |
97% |
|
54 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
50 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
51 |
0.3% |
20% |
|
52 |
19% |
19% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
97% |
99.2% |
Median |
50 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
47 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
48 |
19% |
19% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
43 |
78% |
98% |
Median |
44 |
0.1% |
20% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
20% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
19% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
19% |
|
48 |
19% |
19% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
45 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
46 |
19% |
19% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
43 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
44 |
19% |
19% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
41 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
42 |
19% |
19% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
98.8% |
|
36 |
0% |
97% |
|
37 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
38 |
0.1% |
20% |
|
39 |
19% |
19% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
36 |
78% |
97% |
Median |
37 |
0.1% |
19% |
|
38 |
19% |
19% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
78% |
100% |
Median |
32 |
0.3% |
22% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
22% |
|
34 |
20% |
21% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
19 |
78% |
99.8% |
Median |
20 |
1.0% |
22% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
21% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
20% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
20% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
20% |
|
25 |
19% |
20% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
24 |
98% |
99.6% |
Median |
25 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
78% |
100% |
Median |
14 |
0.1% |
22% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
22% |
|
16 |
2% |
22% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
20% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
20% |
|
19 |
19% |
19% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–17 January 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2230
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.95%