Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 21–24 January 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
19.2% |
17.7–20.9% |
17.3–21.4% |
16.9–21.8% |
16.2–22.6% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
11.8% |
10.6–13.2% |
10.3–13.6% |
10.0–13.9% |
9.4–14.6% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
10.7% |
9.6–12.1% |
9.3–12.5% |
9.0–12.8% |
8.5–13.5% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
6.8% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.4–8.6% |
5.0–9.1% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.3% |
5.5–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
5.0–8.0% |
4.6–8.6% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.1% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.1% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.5% |
3.8–5.4% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.4–5.9% |
3.1–6.4% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.5–4.7% |
2.2–5.2% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
25 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
26 |
52% |
97% |
Median |
27 |
1.1% |
45% |
|
28 |
27% |
44% |
|
29 |
5% |
16% |
|
30 |
2% |
11% |
|
31 |
3% |
10% |
|
32 |
6% |
7% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
3% |
98% |
|
16 |
2% |
95% |
|
17 |
47% |
93% |
Median |
18 |
6% |
47% |
|
19 |
5% |
40% |
|
20 |
34% |
35% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
6% |
96% |
|
15 |
27% |
90% |
|
16 |
49% |
63% |
Median |
17 |
0.7% |
14% |
Last Result |
18 |
4% |
13% |
|
19 |
2% |
10% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
21 |
7% |
7% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
9 |
26% |
98.6% |
|
10 |
58% |
72% |
Median |
11 |
10% |
15% |
|
12 |
2% |
5% |
|
13 |
3% |
3% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
2% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
8 |
46% |
97% |
|
9 |
11% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
22% |
40% |
|
11 |
9% |
18% |
|
12 |
9% |
9% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
53% |
99.8% |
Median |
8 |
29% |
47% |
|
9 |
8% |
19% |
|
10 |
8% |
10% |
|
11 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
18% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
9% |
81% |
|
10 |
46% |
72% |
Median |
11 |
24% |
25% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
9% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
10% |
90% |
|
7 |
54% |
80% |
Median |
8 |
2% |
26% |
|
9 |
2% |
23% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
21% |
|
11 |
21% |
21% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
6 |
10% |
95% |
|
7 |
55% |
84% |
Median |
8 |
24% |
29% |
|
9 |
5% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
5 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
6 |
8% |
94% |
|
7 |
34% |
86% |
|
8 |
48% |
51% |
Median |
9 |
0.9% |
4% |
Last Result |
10 |
3% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.5% |
100% |
|
5 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
6 |
44% |
95% |
|
7 |
3% |
51% |
Median |
8 |
48% |
48% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
5 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
82% |
96% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
14% |
|
8 |
5% |
6% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
23% |
100% |
|
4 |
15% |
77% |
|
5 |
3% |
62% |
Last Result |
6 |
11% |
59% |
Median |
7 |
2% |
47% |
|
8 |
46% |
46% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
31% |
96% |
Last Result |
4 |
12% |
65% |
|
5 |
50% |
54% |
Median |
6 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
7 |
4% |
4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
29% |
91% |
Last Result |
4 |
53% |
62% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
88% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
8% |
10% |
|
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
84% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
13% |
13% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
67 |
1.3% |
66–74 |
66–75 |
65–75 |
63–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
68 |
1.0% |
68–73 |
68–74 |
66–74 |
64–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
60 |
0% |
60–67 |
60–67 |
60–67 |
60–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
57 |
0% |
55–63 |
55–64 |
55–64 |
55–66 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
58 |
0% |
57–60 |
57–62 |
57–63 |
51–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
58 |
0% |
58–63 |
57–63 |
54–63 |
53–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
54 |
0% |
51–59 |
51–62 |
51–62 |
50–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
52 |
0% |
50–57 |
50–58 |
50–59 |
48–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
51 |
0% |
49–57 |
49–57 |
49–57 |
49–59 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
50 |
0% |
50–54 |
50–54 |
49–56 |
47–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
46 |
0% |
45–51 |
45–51 |
45–52 |
43–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
45 |
0% |
44–49 |
44–50 |
44–51 |
42–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
45 |
0% |
41–50 |
41–51 |
41–51 |
41–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
43 |
0% |
40–47 |
40–47 |
40–47 |
39–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
42 |
0% |
39–45 |
39–46 |
39–46 |
38–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
35 |
0% |
34–41 |
34–44 |
34–44 |
31–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
36 |
0% |
33–39 |
33–39 |
33–39 |
33–42 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
34 |
0% |
32–39 |
32–39 |
32–39 |
32–42 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
24 |
0% |
24–29 |
24–30 |
23–30 |
22–31 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
23 |
0% |
21–25 |
21–26 |
19–26 |
18–28 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
18 |
0% |
15–19 |
15–20 |
15–20 |
14–23 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
65 |
2% |
98.7% |
Median |
66 |
46% |
97% |
|
67 |
2% |
51% |
|
68 |
2% |
49% |
|
69 |
28% |
46% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
18% |
|
71 |
2% |
17% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
15% |
|
73 |
4% |
14% |
|
74 |
4% |
11% |
|
75 |
6% |
7% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
Majority |
77 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
2% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
98% |
Median |
67 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
68 |
66% |
96% |
|
69 |
2% |
29% |
|
70 |
8% |
27% |
|
71 |
4% |
19% |
|
72 |
3% |
15% |
|
73 |
5% |
13% |
|
74 |
6% |
7% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
71% |
99.5% |
Median |
61 |
0.6% |
29% |
|
62 |
2% |
28% |
|
63 |
7% |
26% |
|
64 |
2% |
20% |
|
65 |
5% |
18% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
67 |
10% |
12% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
45% |
99.9% |
Median |
56 |
2% |
54% |
|
57 |
22% |
53% |
|
58 |
7% |
30% |
|
59 |
6% |
23% |
|
60 |
2% |
17% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
15% |
|
62 |
3% |
13% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
10% |
|
64 |
8% |
9% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
57 |
26% |
98% |
Median |
58 |
46% |
72% |
|
59 |
6% |
25% |
|
60 |
13% |
19% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
62 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
63 |
4% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
2% |
100% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
56 |
2% |
97% |
Median |
57 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
58 |
46% |
95% |
|
59 |
22% |
48% |
|
60 |
7% |
26% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
19% |
|
62 |
8% |
18% |
|
63 |
8% |
10% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
45% |
98.8% |
|
52 |
2% |
54% |
Median |
53 |
1.4% |
52% |
|
54 |
2% |
51% |
|
55 |
11% |
49% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
38% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
37% |
|
58 |
25% |
36% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
11% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
62 |
8% |
9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
2% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
98% |
|
50 |
46% |
98% |
Median |
51 |
0.9% |
53% |
|
52 |
2% |
52% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
49% |
|
54 |
2% |
49% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
47% |
|
56 |
33% |
46% |
|
57 |
6% |
13% |
|
58 |
3% |
7% |
|
59 |
3% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
45% |
99.8% |
Median |
50 |
0.7% |
55% |
|
51 |
25% |
54% |
|
52 |
7% |
29% |
|
53 |
7% |
22% |
|
54 |
4% |
16% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
11% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
57 |
9% |
10% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
98% |
Median |
50 |
71% |
97% |
|
51 |
2% |
26% |
|
52 |
1.5% |
24% |
|
53 |
10% |
23% |
|
54 |
10% |
13% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
45 |
45% |
98% |
Median |
46 |
22% |
53% |
|
47 |
8% |
31% |
|
48 |
5% |
23% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
18% |
|
50 |
3% |
17% |
|
51 |
9% |
14% |
|
52 |
3% |
4% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
44 |
46% |
98% |
Median |
45 |
21% |
52% |
|
46 |
8% |
31% |
|
47 |
5% |
23% |
|
48 |
3% |
18% |
|
49 |
7% |
15% |
|
50 |
4% |
8% |
|
51 |
3% |
4% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
41 |
45% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
0% |
54% |
Median |
43 |
0.4% |
54% |
|
44 |
3% |
54% |
|
45 |
9% |
51% |
|
46 |
22% |
42% |
|
47 |
1.2% |
19% |
|
48 |
5% |
18% |
|
49 |
3% |
13% |
|
50 |
3% |
10% |
|
51 |
6% |
7% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
2% |
100% |
|
40 |
45% |
98% |
Median |
41 |
0.2% |
53% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
53% |
|
43 |
22% |
52% |
|
44 |
12% |
30% |
|
45 |
2% |
17% |
|
46 |
3% |
15% |
|
47 |
10% |
12% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
2% |
100% |
|
39 |
45% |
98% |
Median |
40 |
0.7% |
53% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
52% |
|
42 |
23% |
52% |
|
43 |
12% |
29% |
|
44 |
2% |
17% |
|
45 |
9% |
15% |
|
46 |
4% |
6% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
34 |
45% |
99.3% |
|
35 |
10% |
54% |
Median |
36 |
0.2% |
44% |
|
37 |
4% |
44% |
|
38 |
24% |
41% |
|
39 |
4% |
17% |
|
40 |
2% |
13% |
|
41 |
2% |
11% |
|
42 |
3% |
9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
6% |
Last Result |
44 |
6% |
6% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
47% |
99.5% |
Median |
34 |
0.4% |
52% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
52% |
|
36 |
30% |
51% |
|
37 |
4% |
21% |
|
38 |
5% |
17% |
|
39 |
10% |
12% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
46% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
2% |
54% |
Median |
34 |
2% |
51% |
|
35 |
5% |
50% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
45% |
|
37 |
6% |
44% |
|
38 |
22% |
38% |
|
39 |
14% |
16% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
3% |
98% |
|
24 |
45% |
95% |
Median |
25 |
7% |
50% |
|
26 |
2% |
43% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
41% |
|
28 |
29% |
40% |
|
29 |
3% |
11% |
|
30 |
8% |
9% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
19 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
21 |
22% |
96% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
74% |
Median |
23 |
57% |
74% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
17% |
|
25 |
8% |
16% |
|
26 |
7% |
8% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
30 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
15 |
47% |
99.4% |
|
16 |
1.2% |
52% |
Median |
17 |
0.7% |
51% |
|
18 |
23% |
50% |
|
19 |
18% |
27% |
|
20 |
7% |
9% |
|
21 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 21–24 January 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1024
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.90%