Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 21–24 January 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.3–13.6% | 10.0–13.9% | 9.4–14.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6–12.1% | 9.3–12.5% | 9.0–12.8% | 8.5–13.5% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.6% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.1–6.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 26 | 26–30 | 26–32 | 25–32 | 24–32 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 17 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 16 | 15–18 | 14–21 | 13–21 | 13–21 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 7–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 7 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–13 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 7 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 4–11 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–10 | 4–10 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 3–8 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–7 | 2–7 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 26 | 52% | 97% | Median |
| 27 | 1.1% | 45% | |
| 28 | 27% | 44% | |
| 29 | 5% | 16% | |
| 30 | 2% | 11% | |
| 31 | 3% | 10% | |
| 32 | 6% | 7% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98% | |
| 16 | 2% | 95% | |
| 17 | 47% | 93% | Median |
| 18 | 6% | 47% | |
| 19 | 5% | 40% | |
| 20 | 34% | 35% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 6% | 96% | |
| 15 | 27% | 90% | |
| 16 | 49% | 63% | Median |
| 17 | 0.7% | 14% | Last Result |
| 18 | 4% | 13% | |
| 19 | 2% | 10% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 21 | 7% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 9 | 26% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 58% | 72% | Median |
| 11 | 10% | 15% | |
| 12 | 2% | 5% | |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 8 | 46% | 97% | |
| 9 | 11% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 22% | 40% | |
| 11 | 9% | 18% | |
| 12 | 9% | 9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 53% | 99.8% | Median |
| 8 | 29% | 47% | |
| 9 | 8% | 19% | |
| 10 | 8% | 10% | |
| 11 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 18% | 98.9% | |
| 9 | 9% | 81% | |
| 10 | 46% | 72% | Median |
| 11 | 24% | 25% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 5 | 9% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 10% | 90% | |
| 7 | 54% | 80% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 26% | |
| 9 | 2% | 23% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 11 | 21% | 21% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 10% | 95% | |
| 7 | 55% | 84% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 29% | |
| 9 | 5% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 8% | 94% | |
| 7 | 34% | 86% | |
| 8 | 48% | 51% | Median |
| 9 | 0.9% | 4% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 6 | 44% | 95% | |
| 7 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 8 | 48% | 48% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 82% | 96% | Median |
| 7 | 8% | 14% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 23% | 100% | |
| 4 | 15% | 77% | |
| 5 | 3% | 62% | Last Result |
| 6 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 47% | |
| 8 | 46% | 46% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 31% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 12% | 65% | |
| 5 | 50% | 54% | Median |
| 6 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 29% | 91% | Last Result |
| 4 | 53% | 62% | Median |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 88% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 8% | 10% | |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 84% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 13% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 67 | 1.3% | 66–74 | 66–75 | 65–75 | 63–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 68 | 1.0% | 68–73 | 68–74 | 66–74 | 64–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 60 | 0% | 60–67 | 60–67 | 60–67 | 60–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 57 | 0% | 55–63 | 55–64 | 55–64 | 55–66 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 58 | 0% | 57–60 | 57–62 | 57–63 | 51–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 58 | 0% | 58–63 | 57–63 | 54–63 | 53–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 54 | 0% | 51–59 | 51–62 | 51–62 | 50–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 52 | 0% | 50–57 | 50–58 | 50–59 | 48–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 51 | 0% | 49–57 | 49–57 | 49–57 | 49–59 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 50 | 0% | 50–54 | 50–54 | 49–56 | 47–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 46 | 0% | 45–51 | 45–51 | 45–52 | 43–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 45 | 0% | 44–49 | 44–50 | 44–51 | 42–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 45 | 0% | 41–50 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 41–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 43 | 0% | 40–47 | 40–47 | 40–47 | 39–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 42 | 0% | 39–45 | 39–46 | 39–46 | 38–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 35 | 0% | 34–41 | 34–44 | 34–44 | 31–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 36 | 0% | 33–39 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 33–42 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 34 | 0% | 32–39 | 32–39 | 32–39 | 32–42 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 24 | 0% | 24–29 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 22–31 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 23 | 0% | 21–25 | 21–26 | 19–26 | 18–28 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 18 | 0% | 15–19 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–23 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98.7% | Median |
| 66 | 46% | 97% | |
| 67 | 2% | 51% | |
| 68 | 2% | 49% | |
| 69 | 28% | 46% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 71 | 2% | 17% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 73 | 4% | 14% | |
| 74 | 4% | 11% | |
| 75 | 6% | 7% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 2% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | Median |
| 67 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 68 | 66% | 96% | |
| 69 | 2% | 29% | |
| 70 | 8% | 27% | |
| 71 | 4% | 19% | |
| 72 | 3% | 15% | |
| 73 | 5% | 13% | |
| 74 | 6% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 71% | 99.5% | Median |
| 61 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 62 | 2% | 28% | |
| 63 | 7% | 26% | |
| 64 | 2% | 20% | |
| 65 | 5% | 18% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 67 | 10% | 12% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 45% | 99.9% | Median |
| 56 | 2% | 54% | |
| 57 | 22% | 53% | |
| 58 | 7% | 30% | |
| 59 | 6% | 23% | |
| 60 | 2% | 17% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 62 | 3% | 13% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 64 | 8% | 9% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 57 | 26% | 98% | Median |
| 58 | 46% | 72% | |
| 59 | 6% | 25% | |
| 60 | 13% | 19% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 63 | 4% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | Median |
| 57 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 58 | 46% | 95% | |
| 59 | 22% | 48% | |
| 60 | 7% | 26% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 62 | 8% | 18% | |
| 63 | 8% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 45% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 54% | Median |
| 53 | 1.4% | 52% | |
| 54 | 2% | 51% | |
| 55 | 11% | 49% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 37% | |
| 58 | 25% | 36% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 62 | 8% | 9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 98% | |
| 50 | 46% | 98% | Median |
| 51 | 0.9% | 53% | |
| 52 | 2% | 52% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 49% | |
| 54 | 2% | 49% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 47% | |
| 56 | 33% | 46% | |
| 57 | 6% | 13% | |
| 58 | 3% | 7% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 45% | 99.8% | Median |
| 50 | 0.7% | 55% | |
| 51 | 25% | 54% | |
| 52 | 7% | 29% | |
| 53 | 7% | 22% | |
| 54 | 4% | 16% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 57 | 9% | 10% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 98% | Median |
| 50 | 71% | 97% | |
| 51 | 2% | 26% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 24% | |
| 53 | 10% | 23% | |
| 54 | 10% | 13% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 45% | 98% | Median |
| 46 | 22% | 53% | |
| 47 | 8% | 31% | |
| 48 | 5% | 23% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 50 | 3% | 17% | |
| 51 | 9% | 14% | |
| 52 | 3% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 46% | 98% | Median |
| 45 | 21% | 52% | |
| 46 | 8% | 31% | |
| 47 | 5% | 23% | |
| 48 | 3% | 18% | |
| 49 | 7% | 15% | |
| 50 | 4% | 8% | |
| 51 | 3% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 45% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 0% | 54% | Median |
| 43 | 0.4% | 54% | |
| 44 | 3% | 54% | |
| 45 | 9% | 51% | |
| 46 | 22% | 42% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 48 | 5% | 18% | |
| 49 | 3% | 13% | |
| 50 | 3% | 10% | |
| 51 | 6% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 45% | 98% | Median |
| 41 | 0.2% | 53% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 53% | |
| 43 | 22% | 52% | |
| 44 | 12% | 30% | |
| 45 | 2% | 17% | |
| 46 | 3% | 15% | |
| 47 | 10% | 12% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 45% | 98% | Median |
| 40 | 0.7% | 53% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 52% | |
| 42 | 23% | 52% | |
| 43 | 12% | 29% | |
| 44 | 2% | 17% | |
| 45 | 9% | 15% | |
| 46 | 4% | 6% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 45% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 36 | 0.2% | 44% | |
| 37 | 4% | 44% | |
| 38 | 24% | 41% | |
| 39 | 4% | 17% | |
| 40 | 2% | 13% | |
| 41 | 2% | 11% | |
| 42 | 3% | 9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 6% | Last Result |
| 44 | 6% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 47% | 99.5% | Median |
| 34 | 0.4% | 52% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 52% | |
| 36 | 30% | 51% | |
| 37 | 4% | 21% | |
| 38 | 5% | 17% | |
| 39 | 10% | 12% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 46% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 2% | 54% | Median |
| 34 | 2% | 51% | |
| 35 | 5% | 50% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 45% | |
| 37 | 6% | 44% | |
| 38 | 22% | 38% | |
| 39 | 14% | 16% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 3% | 98% | |
| 24 | 45% | 95% | Median |
| 25 | 7% | 50% | |
| 26 | 2% | 43% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 41% | |
| 28 | 29% | 40% | |
| 29 | 3% | 11% | |
| 30 | 8% | 9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 19 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 21 | 22% | 96% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 74% | Median |
| 23 | 57% | 74% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 25 | 8% | 16% | |
| 26 | 7% | 8% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 15 | 47% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 52% | Median |
| 17 | 0.7% | 51% | |
| 18 | 23% | 50% | |
| 19 | 18% | 27% | |
| 20 | 7% | 9% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 21–24 January 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1024
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.90%