Opinion Poll by Kantar, 27–31 January 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–24.0% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.0–14.5% | 10.7–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.4–12.2% | 7.9–12.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.7% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 30 | 29–33 | 29–33 | 27–33 | 24–38 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 20 | 18–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 14–24 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 8 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–13 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 8 | 6–10 | 6–12 | 6–13 | 6–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–13 | 6–13 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 6 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 5–12 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 6 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 2–8 | 2–8 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–7 | 3–8 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 1–5 | 1–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–5 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 29 | 41% | 96% | |
| 30 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 31 | 6% | 40% | |
| 32 | 11% | 34% | |
| 33 | 21% | 23% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 16 | 4% | 98% | |
| 17 | 2% | 95% | |
| 18 | 4% | 92% | |
| 19 | 5% | 88% | |
| 20 | 45% | 83% | Median |
| 21 | 10% | 37% | |
| 22 | 22% | 28% | |
| 23 | 5% | 5% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 28% | 95% | |
| 15 | 7% | 67% | |
| 16 | 52% | 60% | Median |
| 17 | 4% | 8% | Last Result |
| 18 | 4% | 5% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 10 | 9% | 93% | |
| 11 | 8% | 84% | |
| 12 | 6% | 76% | |
| 13 | 3% | 70% | |
| 14 | 38% | 66% | Median |
| 15 | 28% | 28% | Last Result |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 47% | 93% | Median |
| 9 | 30% | 46% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 16% | |
| 11 | 2% | 10% | |
| 12 | 6% | 8% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 38% | 97% | |
| 8 | 20% | 59% | Median |
| 9 | 26% | 39% | |
| 10 | 5% | 13% | |
| 11 | 7% | 9% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 27% | 89% | |
| 8 | 42% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 7% | 20% | |
| 10 | 5% | 13% | |
| 11 | 4% | 9% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 6% | 93% | |
| 8 | 70% | 87% | Median |
| 9 | 7% | 17% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 11% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 64% | 93% | Median |
| 7 | 7% | 30% | |
| 8 | 11% | 23% | |
| 9 | 6% | 11% | |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 36% | 95% | |
| 6 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 7 | 4% | 48% | |
| 8 | 7% | 44% | Last Result |
| 9 | 37% | 37% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 74% | 97% | Median |
| 6 | 12% | 23% | |
| 7 | 9% | 11% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 4 | 26% | 96% | |
| 5 | 12% | 71% | Last Result |
| 6 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 7 | 14% | 49% | |
| 8 | 36% | 36% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 31% | 96% | |
| 5 | 46% | 66% | Median |
| 6 | 15% | 20% | Last Result |
| 7 | 3% | 5% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 31% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 46% | 69% | Median |
| 3 | 9% | 22% | Last Result |
| 4 | 5% | 13% | |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 49% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 20% | 51% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 32% | Last Result |
| 4 | 22% | 23% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 15% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 2 | 40% | 84% | Median |
| 3 | 42% | 44% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 54% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 33% | 35% | |
| 3 | 2% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 87 | 79 | 78% | 74–83 | 73–83 | 71–83 | 69–83 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 86 | 79 | 80% | 74–81 | 71–81 | 70–81 | 67–81 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 71 | 0% | 64–74 | 63–74 | 61–74 | 60–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 68 | 0% | 64–70 | 62–71 | 61–71 | 58–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 63 | 0% | 59–70 | 58–70 | 56–70 | 55–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 67 | 0% | 62–68 | 60–68 | 59–68 | 57–69 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 65 | 0% | 61–66 | 58–66 | 57–66 | 55–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 58 | 0% | 57–64 | 56–64 | 56–66 | 52–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 59 | 0% | 56–62 | 54–62 | 53–62 | 52–64 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 61 | 57 | 0% | 51–58 | 50–58 | 49–59 | 46–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 58 | 51 | 0% | 49–57 | 49–57 | 48–57 | 45–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 56 | 0% | 51–57 | 48–57 | 47–57 | 45–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 55 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–55 | 46–55 | 43–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 54 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–55 | 45–55 | 43–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 52 | 0% | 46–53 | 44–53 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 43 | 0% | 40–48 | 39–48 | 38–48 | 36–49 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 48 | 42 | 0% | 37–46 | 37–46 | 36–46 | 34–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 39 | 0% | 37–42 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 33–49 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 34 | 0% | 30–37 | 27–37 | 26–37 | 24–37 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 29 | 28 | 0% | 24–30 | 22–30 | 22–30 | 21–32 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 24 | 22 | 0% | 19–24 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 17–26 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 8% | 93% | |
| 75 | 7% | 85% | |
| 76 | 3% | 78% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 76% | |
| 78 | 2% | 74% | Median |
| 79 | 39% | 72% | |
| 80 | 2% | 33% | |
| 81 | 10% | 31% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 21% | |
| 83 | 20% | 20% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 93% | |
| 75 | 7% | 88% | |
| 76 | 6% | 80% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 74% | |
| 78 | 2% | 72% | Median |
| 79 | 47% | 69% | |
| 80 | 2% | 22% | |
| 81 | 20% | 20% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 63 | 5% | 96% | |
| 64 | 2% | 92% | |
| 65 | 2% | 90% | |
| 66 | 4% | 88% | |
| 67 | 11% | 84% | |
| 68 | 3% | 73% | |
| 69 | 3% | 70% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 67% | Median |
| 71 | 37% | 66% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 29% | |
| 73 | 9% | 29% | |
| 74 | 20% | 20% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 2% | 95% | |
| 64 | 5% | 93% | |
| 65 | 7% | 88% | |
| 66 | 8% | 82% | |
| 67 | 4% | 74% | |
| 68 | 23% | 70% | Median |
| 69 | 0.7% | 46% | |
| 70 | 36% | 46% | |
| 71 | 10% | 10% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 58 | 2% | 96% | |
| 59 | 5% | 94% | |
| 60 | 6% | 89% | |
| 61 | 3% | 84% | |
| 62 | 8% | 81% | |
| 63 | 38% | 73% | |
| 64 | 2% | 35% | Median |
| 65 | 4% | 33% | |
| 66 | 9% | 30% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 69 | 0% | 20% | |
| 70 | 20% | 20% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 2% | 93% | |
| 62 | 4% | 92% | |
| 63 | 8% | 88% | |
| 64 | 10% | 79% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 66 | 10% | 69% | Median |
| 67 | 22% | 59% | |
| 68 | 36% | 37% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 60 | 4% | 94% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 62 | 2% | 89% | |
| 63 | 11% | 87% | |
| 64 | 3% | 76% | Median |
| 65 | 33% | 73% | |
| 66 | 38% | 41% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 56 | 4% | 98% | |
| 57 | 41% | 94% | |
| 58 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 59 | 16% | 49% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 33% | |
| 61 | 2% | 32% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 30% | |
| 63 | 4% | 29% | |
| 64 | 21% | 26% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 66 | 4% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 56 | 10% | 92% | |
| 57 | 7% | 83% | |
| 58 | 5% | 76% | |
| 59 | 38% | 71% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 33% | Median |
| 61 | 10% | 33% | |
| 62 | 22% | 23% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 5% | 96% | |
| 51 | 3% | 91% | |
| 52 | 2% | 89% | |
| 53 | 2% | 86% | |
| 54 | 3% | 84% | |
| 55 | 4% | 82% | |
| 56 | 3% | 78% | Median |
| 57 | 33% | 75% | |
| 58 | 39% | 42% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 9% | 96% | |
| 50 | 4% | 86% | |
| 51 | 39% | 82% | |
| 52 | 4% | 44% | Median |
| 53 | 11% | 40% | |
| 54 | 5% | 29% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 57 | 21% | 22% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 50 | 3% | 94% | |
| 51 | 5% | 91% | |
| 52 | 12% | 86% | |
| 53 | 4% | 74% | |
| 54 | 3% | 71% | Median |
| 55 | 0.4% | 68% | |
| 56 | 21% | 67% | |
| 57 | 45% | 46% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 4% | 95% | |
| 48 | 6% | 92% | |
| 49 | 5% | 86% | |
| 50 | 3% | 81% | |
| 51 | 7% | 78% | |
| 52 | 9% | 70% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 61% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 58% | |
| 55 | 55% | 57% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 48 | 6% | 95% | |
| 49 | 3% | 89% | |
| 50 | 3% | 86% | |
| 51 | 12% | 83% | |
| 52 | 4% | 71% | Median |
| 53 | 0.4% | 68% | |
| 54 | 57% | 67% | |
| 55 | 9% | 10% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 4% | 97% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 46 | 4% | 93% | |
| 47 | 4% | 89% | |
| 48 | 7% | 85% | |
| 49 | 5% | 79% | |
| 50 | 13% | 73% | Median |
| 51 | 4% | 60% | |
| 52 | 35% | 57% | |
| 53 | 20% | 21% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 39 | 4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 7% | 93% | |
| 41 | 3% | 86% | |
| 42 | 10% | 83% | |
| 43 | 38% | 73% | |
| 44 | 4% | 36% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 32% | |
| 46 | 2% | 23% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 48 | 20% | 21% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 7% | 96% | |
| 38 | 3% | 89% | |
| 39 | 6% | 86% | |
| 40 | 5% | 81% | |
| 41 | 4% | 76% | |
| 42 | 38% | 73% | Median |
| 43 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 44 | 9% | 34% | |
| 45 | 2% | 25% | |
| 46 | 23% | 23% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 36% | 97% | |
| 38 | 9% | 61% | Median |
| 39 | 16% | 52% | |
| 40 | 4% | 36% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 42 | 22% | 31% | |
| 43 | 6% | 10% | Last Result |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 29 | 3% | 94% | |
| 30 | 15% | 91% | |
| 31 | 3% | 76% | |
| 32 | 3% | 73% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 70% | |
| 34 | 39% | 69% | Median |
| 35 | 2% | 30% | |
| 36 | 8% | 28% | |
| 37 | 20% | 20% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 24 | 5% | 93% | |
| 25 | 11% | 89% | |
| 26 | 4% | 78% | |
| 27 | 3% | 74% | |
| 28 | 21% | 71% | Median |
| 29 | 3% | 49% | Last Result |
| 30 | 45% | 47% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 3% | 94% | |
| 19 | 6% | 91% | |
| 20 | 2% | 85% | |
| 21 | 6% | 83% | |
| 22 | 40% | 76% | Median |
| 23 | 14% | 36% | |
| 24 | 20% | 22% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 27–31 January 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.08%