Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 11–14 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 16.8% | 15.9–17.9% | 15.6–18.2% | 15.3–18.4% | 14.9–18.9% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 11.9% | 11.1–12.8% | 10.9–13.1% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.8% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6–11.2% | 9.3–11.4% | 9.2–11.7% | 8.8–12.1% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2–7.6% | 6.0–7.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7–7.0% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.1–7.7% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.2–6.8% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.8–6.3% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.8–6.3% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6–5.7% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3–5.4% | 4.1–5.6% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.5% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.0% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.0–2.4% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.4% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 26–28 | 25–28 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 15–20 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15–16 | 14–17 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9–12 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9–10 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 28 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 20 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 15 | 96% | 99.1% | Median |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 98% | 99.2% | Median |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 10 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 95% | 99.1% | Median |
| 8 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 96% | 98.5% | Median |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98% | |
| 7 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 5% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 6 | 98% | 99.1% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 6 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 98.9% | 99.8% | Median |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 3% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.7% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 69 | 0% | 69 | 69 | 68–69 | 64–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 68 | 0% | 68 | 68 | 67–68 | 64–71 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 58 | 0% | 58 | 58 | 57–58 | 54–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 58 | 0% | 58 | 58 | 57–58 | 55–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 58 | 0% | 58 | 58 | 54–58 | 54–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 57 | 0% | 57 | 57 | 55–57 | 53–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 54 | 0% | 54 | 54 | 51–54 | 50–55 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 51 | 0% | 51 | 51 | 51–52 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 52 | 0% | 52 | 52 | 51–52 | 48–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 48 | 0% | 48 | 48 | 48 | 47–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 44 | 0% | 44 | 44 | 40–44 | 40–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 43 | 0% | 43 | 43 | 42–43 | 41–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 43 | 0% | 43 | 43 | 39–43 | 38–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 40 | 0% | 40 | 40 | 37–40 | 36–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 39 | 0% | 39 | 39 | 35–39 | 35–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 38 | 0% | 38 | 38 | 36–38 | 36–38 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 34 | 0% | 34 | 34 | 34–35 | 31–36 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 33 | 0% | 33 | 33 | 32–33 | 30–35 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 24 | 0% | 24 | 24 | 24–25 | 21–27 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 21 | 0% | 21 | 21 | 21–22 | 19–23 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 15 | 0% | 15 | 15 | 15–16 | 15–16 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 70 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 69 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 59 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 59 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 57 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 54 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 55 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 51 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 53 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 98% | 99.4% | Median |
| 49 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 44 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 45 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 44 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 43 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0% | 96% | |
| 40 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 41 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0% | 96% | |
| 39 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 38 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 34 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 96% | 98.8% | Median |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 95% | 99.1% | Median |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 96% | 99.9% | Median |
| 16 | 4% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–14 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2311
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.65%