Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 18–19 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 15.3% | 14.5–16.2% | 14.3–16.4% | 14.1–16.6% | 13.7–17.1% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 23 | 23–24 | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 21 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 17–22 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 11 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–10 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 3% | 100% | |
| 22 | 3% | 97% | |
| 23 | 63% | 94% | Median |
| 24 | 30% | 31% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 19 | 20% | 98.5% | |
| 20 | 4% | 78% | |
| 21 | 72% | 74% | Median |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 10% | 100% | |
| 14 | 4% | 90% | |
| 15 | 23% | 86% | |
| 16 | 3% | 63% | |
| 17 | 60% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 58% | 100% | Median |
| 12 | 4% | 42% | |
| 13 | 4% | 38% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 33% | |
| 15 | 14% | 33% | |
| 16 | 19% | 19% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 23% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 73% | 77% | Median |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 33% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 10 | 66% | 67% | Median |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 77% | 99.6% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 22% | 23% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 5% | 100% | |
| 9 | 73% | 95% | Median |
| 10 | 23% | 23% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 30% | 100% | |
| 7 | 4% | 70% | |
| 8 | 64% | 66% | Median |
| 9 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 32% | 98% | |
| 7 | 60% | 66% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 64% | 99.8% | Median |
| 7 | 31% | 36% | |
| 8 | 4% | 5% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 63% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 25% | 37% | |
| 7 | 11% | 11% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 20% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 21% | 80% | Last Result |
| 6 | 59% | 59% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 4 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 81% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 19% | Last Result |
| 4 | 12% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18% | 100% | |
| 1 | 82% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 21% | 21% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 65 | 0% | 63–66 | 62–66 | 60–66 | 59–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 64 | 0% | 63–65 | 63–65 | 59–65 | 59–65 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 61 | 0% | 58–61 | 58–61 | 58–61 | 55–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 56 | 0% | 54–56 | 54–56 | 53–56 | 51–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 55 | 0% | 54–56 | 53–56 | 50–56 | 50–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 53 | 0% | 53–54 | 52–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 52 | 0% | 50–52 | 50–52 | 50–52 | 47–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 49 | 0% | 49–52 | 49–52 | 46–52 | 46–52 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–51 | 49–51 | 48–51 | 46–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 45 | 0% | 44–45 | 43–45 | 42–46 | 42–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 40 | 0% | 40–41 | 39–41 | 39–41 | 37–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 39 | 0% | 39–41 | 39–41 | 38–41 | 36–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 37 | 0% | 37–40 | 37–40 | 35–40 | 35–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 36 | 0% | 36–37 | 35–37 | 35–37 | 33–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 57 | 35 | 0% | 35–37 | 35–37 | 35–37 | 32–38 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 35 | 0% | 35–37 | 34–37 | 34–37 | 33–37 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 32 | 0% | 32–34 | 32–34 | 30–34 | 30–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 28 | 0% | 28–31 | 28–31 | 26–31 | 26–31 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 26 | 0% | 25–28 | 25–28 | 25–28 | 23–28 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 20 | 0% | 20–21 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 14 | 0% | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 19% | 94% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 74% | |
| 65 | 62% | 74% | Median |
| 66 | 11% | 11% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 3% | 100% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 63 | 6% | 96% | |
| 64 | 78% | 90% | Median |
| 65 | 11% | 12% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 23% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 76% | |
| 60 | 11% | 74% | |
| 61 | 63% | 63% | Median |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 10% | 97% | |
| 55 | 27% | 87% | |
| 56 | 59% | 60% | Median |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 4% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 96% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 24% | 94% | |
| 55 | 59% | 70% | Median |
| 56 | 11% | 11% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 53 | 82% | 95% | Median |
| 54 | 12% | 13% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 50 | 10% | 98% | |
| 51 | 26% | 87% | |
| 52 | 60% | 61% | Median |
| 53 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 49 | 80% | 95% | Median |
| 50 | 5% | 16% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 52 | 11% | 11% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 20% | 95% | |
| 50 | 3% | 76% | |
| 51 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 4% | 95% | |
| 44 | 11% | 91% | |
| 45 | 78% | 81% | Median |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 5% | 98% | |
| 40 | 59% | 93% | Median |
| 41 | 34% | 35% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 61% | 96% | Median |
| 40 | 19% | 35% | |
| 41 | 14% | 15% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 3% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 37 | 60% | 97% | Median |
| 38 | 3% | 36% | |
| 39 | 2% | 33% | |
| 40 | 31% | 31% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 60% | 95% | Median |
| 37 | 33% | 35% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 35 | 62% | 98% | Median |
| 36 | 20% | 35% | |
| 37 | 14% | 15% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 34 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 35 | 78% | 95% | Median |
| 36 | 4% | 17% | |
| 37 | 12% | 13% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 3% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 32 | 64% | 96% | Median |
| 33 | 12% | 32% | |
| 34 | 20% | 21% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 3% | 100% | |
| 27 | 2% | 97% | |
| 28 | 59% | 95% | Median |
| 29 | 5% | 36% | |
| 30 | 20% | 32% | |
| 31 | 11% | 12% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 25 | 23% | 98% | |
| 26 | 59% | 76% | Median |
| 27 | 6% | 17% | |
| 28 | 10% | 11% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 5% | 97% | |
| 20 | 71% | 91% | Median |
| 21 | 20% | 21% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 61% | 99.9% | Median |
| 15 | 7% | 39% | |
| 16 | 31% | 32% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 18–19 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.93%