Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 4–5 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 18.0% | 17.1–18.9% | 16.8–19.2% | 16.6–19.4% | 16.2–19.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 25 | 24–29 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 24–31 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 21 | 20–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–23 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 11–16 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 8 | 6–8 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–11 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 36% | 100% | |
| 25 | 37% | 64% | Median |
| 26 | 2% | 27% | |
| 27 | 11% | 25% | |
| 28 | 2% | 14% | |
| 29 | 9% | 12% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 19 | 8% | 98.5% | |
| 20 | 16% | 90% | |
| 21 | 39% | 74% | Median |
| 22 | 34% | 35% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 13 | 8% | 98% | |
| 14 | 19% | 90% | |
| 15 | 52% | 71% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 20% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 11 | 36% | 99.4% | |
| 12 | 21% | 64% | Median |
| 13 | 40% | 43% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 27% | 98.8% | |
| 10 | 64% | 72% | Median |
| 11 | 8% | 8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 29% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 10 | 70% | 70% | Median |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 74% | 99.7% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 25% | 25% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 53% | 99.8% | Median |
| 9 | 19% | 47% | |
| 10 | 27% | 28% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 16% | 100% | |
| 7 | 14% | 84% | |
| 8 | 62% | 70% | Median |
| 9 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 10 | 6% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 62% | 94% | Median |
| 9 | 30% | 32% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 20% | 100% | |
| 5 | 11% | 80% | Last Result |
| 6 | 51% | 69% | Median |
| 7 | 17% | 18% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 19% | 100% | |
| 5 | 45% | 81% | Median |
| 6 | 26% | 36% | |
| 7 | 10% | 10% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 36% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 4 | 64% | 64% | Median |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 4 | 85% | 90% | Median |
| 5 | 5% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 32% | 100% | |
| 3 | 67% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | |
| 1 | 88% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | |
| 1 | 75% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 30% | 31% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 69 | 0% | 68–73 | 68–73 | 68–73 | 67–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 69 | 0% | 68–71 | 68–71 | 68–72 | 68–73 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 64 | 0% | 61–64 | 61–65 | 61–65 | 58–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 59 | 0% | 59–62 | 59–62 | 59–63 | 58–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 56 | 0% | 54–60 | 54–60 | 54–61 | 54–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 56 | 0% | 54–58 | 54–58 | 54–59 | 54–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 53 | 0% | 53–56 | 53–56 | 53–58 | 52–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 52 | 0% | 50–57 | 50–57 | 50–57 | 50–58 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 54 | 0% | 51–54 | 51–55 | 51–55 | 49–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 47 | 0% | 46–50 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 42 | 0% | 40–47 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 40–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 41 | 0% | 40–46 | 40–46 | 40–47 | 40–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 41 | 0% | 39–46 | 39–46 | 39–47 | 39–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 38 | 0% | 36–44 | 36–44 | 36–44 | 36–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 37 | 0% | 35–43 | 35–43 | 35–43 | 35–45 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 38 | 0% | 36–40 | 36–40 | 36–40 | 34–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 34 | 0% | 33–38 | 33–38 | 33–39 | 33–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 32 | 0% | 31–37 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 31–38 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 29 | 0% | 27–30 | 27–30 | 26–30 | 25–30 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 22 | 0% | 22–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–25 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 17 | 0% | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 23% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 37% | 76% | |
| 70 | 17% | 39% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 21% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 73 | 10% | 11% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 37% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 38% | 63% | Median |
| 70 | 12% | 25% | |
| 71 | 9% | 14% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 13% | 98% | |
| 62 | 25% | 85% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 60% | |
| 64 | 51% | 60% | Median |
| 65 | 8% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 58% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 16% | 41% | Median |
| 61 | 11% | 24% | |
| 62 | 9% | 13% | |
| 63 | 2% | 4% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 16% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 56 | 40% | 84% | |
| 57 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 58 | 20% | 39% | |
| 59 | 8% | 19% | |
| 60 | 9% | 11% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 37% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 56 | 18% | 53% | |
| 57 | 22% | 36% | |
| 58 | 10% | 14% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 54% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 45% | Median |
| 55 | 23% | 43% | |
| 56 | 16% | 20% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 58 | 3% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 15% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 52 | 40% | 84% | |
| 53 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 54 | 1.2% | 39% | |
| 55 | 20% | 38% | |
| 56 | 7% | 18% | |
| 57 | 9% | 10% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 10% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 6% | 89% | |
| 53 | 23% | 83% | |
| 54 | 51% | 60% | Median |
| 55 | 9% | 9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 19% | 100% | |
| 47 | 39% | 81% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 42% | Median |
| 49 | 23% | 41% | |
| 50 | 8% | 18% | |
| 51 | 9% | 10% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 15% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 42 | 36% | 84% | |
| 43 | 22% | 48% | Median |
| 44 | 5% | 26% | |
| 45 | 7% | 21% | |
| 46 | 2% | 14% | |
| 47 | 9% | 12% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 15% | 100% | |
| 41 | 36% | 85% | |
| 42 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 43 | 24% | 47% | |
| 44 | 3% | 23% | |
| 45 | 9% | 20% | |
| 46 | 7% | 11% | |
| 47 | 3% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 15% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 41 | 36% | 84% | |
| 42 | 20% | 48% | Median |
| 43 | 4% | 28% | |
| 44 | 3% | 23% | |
| 45 | 8% | 21% | |
| 46 | 10% | 12% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 48 | 2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 15% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 38 | 36% | 84% | |
| 39 | 3% | 48% | Median |
| 40 | 25% | 46% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 42 | 8% | 20% | |
| 43 | 2% | 12% | |
| 44 | 8% | 10% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 15% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 37 | 36% | 85% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 48% | Median |
| 39 | 24% | 47% | |
| 40 | 3% | 23% | |
| 41 | 2% | 21% | |
| 42 | 8% | 19% | |
| 43 | 8% | 10% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 2% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 12% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 21% | 87% | |
| 38 | 46% | 67% | Median |
| 39 | 1.3% | 21% | |
| 40 | 19% | 20% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 36% | 100% | |
| 34 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 35 | 23% | 49% | |
| 36 | 11% | 26% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 38 | 10% | 14% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 15% | 100% | |
| 32 | 36% | 85% | |
| 33 | 23% | 49% | Median |
| 34 | 4% | 26% | |
| 35 | 2% | 22% | |
| 36 | 8% | 19% | |
| 37 | 8% | 11% | |
| 38 | 3% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 10% | 97% | |
| 28 | 25% | 87% | |
| 29 | 42% | 63% | Median |
| 30 | 20% | 20% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 41% | 90% | |
| 23 | 36% | 50% | Median |
| 24 | 6% | 14% | |
| 25 | 7% | 8% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15% | 100% | |
| 16 | 14% | 85% | |
| 17 | 41% | 71% | Median |
| 18 | 23% | 30% | |
| 19 | 7% | 7% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–5 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.04%