Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 4–5 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
18.0% |
17.1–18.9% |
16.8–19.2% |
16.6–19.4% |
16.2–19.8% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
13.3% |
12.5–14.1% |
12.3–14.4% |
12.1–14.6% |
11.8–15.0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
9.3% |
8.7–10.1% |
8.5–10.3% |
8.3–10.4% |
8.0–10.8% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
8.0% |
7.4–8.7% |
7.2–8.9% |
7.1–9.0% |
6.8–9.4% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.6% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.2–6.9% |
5.0–7.2% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.6% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.2–6.9% |
5.0–7.2% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.6% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.2–6.9% |
5.0–7.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.6% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.2–6.9% |
5.0–7.2% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.1% |
4.6–6.2% |
4.4–6.5% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.1% |
4.6–6.2% |
4.4–6.5% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.6–4.5% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.0% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
36% |
100% |
|
25 |
37% |
64% |
Median |
26 |
2% |
27% |
|
27 |
11% |
25% |
|
28 |
2% |
14% |
|
29 |
9% |
12% |
|
30 |
3% |
4% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
19 |
8% |
98.5% |
|
20 |
16% |
90% |
|
21 |
39% |
74% |
Median |
22 |
34% |
35% |
|
23 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
8% |
98% |
|
14 |
19% |
90% |
|
15 |
52% |
71% |
Median |
16 |
20% |
20% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
11 |
36% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
21% |
64% |
Median |
13 |
40% |
43% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
9 |
27% |
98.8% |
|
10 |
64% |
72% |
Median |
11 |
8% |
8% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
29% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
10 |
70% |
70% |
Median |
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
74% |
99.7% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
25% |
25% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
53% |
99.8% |
Median |
9 |
19% |
47% |
|
10 |
27% |
28% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
16% |
100% |
|
7 |
14% |
84% |
|
8 |
62% |
70% |
Median |
9 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
10 |
6% |
6% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
62% |
94% |
Median |
9 |
30% |
32% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
20% |
100% |
|
5 |
11% |
80% |
Last Result |
6 |
51% |
69% |
Median |
7 |
17% |
18% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
19% |
100% |
|
5 |
45% |
81% |
Median |
6 |
26% |
36% |
|
7 |
10% |
10% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
36% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
4 |
64% |
64% |
Median |
5 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
3 |
9% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
4 |
85% |
90% |
Median |
5 |
5% |
5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
32% |
100% |
|
3 |
67% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
12% |
100% |
|
1 |
88% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
22% |
100% |
|
1 |
75% |
78% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
69% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
30% |
31% |
|
2 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
69 |
0% |
68–73 |
68–73 |
68–73 |
67–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
69 |
0% |
68–71 |
68–71 |
68–72 |
68–73 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
70 |
64 |
0% |
61–64 |
61–65 |
61–65 |
58–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
59 |
0% |
59–62 |
59–62 |
59–63 |
58–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
56 |
0% |
54–60 |
54–60 |
54–61 |
54–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
56 |
0% |
54–58 |
54–58 |
54–59 |
54–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
53 |
0% |
53–56 |
53–56 |
53–58 |
52–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
52 |
0% |
50–57 |
50–57 |
50–57 |
50–58 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
54 |
0% |
51–54 |
51–55 |
51–55 |
49–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
47 |
0% |
46–50 |
46–51 |
46–51 |
46–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
42 |
0% |
40–47 |
40–47 |
40–48 |
40–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
41 |
0% |
40–46 |
40–46 |
40–47 |
40–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
41 |
0% |
39–46 |
39–46 |
39–47 |
39–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
38 |
0% |
36–44 |
36–44 |
36–44 |
36–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
37 |
0% |
35–43 |
35–43 |
35–43 |
35–45 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
38 |
0% |
36–40 |
36–40 |
36–40 |
34–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
34 |
0% |
33–38 |
33–38 |
33–39 |
33–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
32 |
0% |
31–37 |
31–37 |
31–38 |
31–38 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
29 |
0% |
27–30 |
27–30 |
26–30 |
25–30 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
22 |
0% |
22–24 |
21–25 |
21–25 |
21–25 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
17 |
0% |
15–18 |
15–19 |
15–19 |
15–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
23% |
99.2% |
|
69 |
37% |
76% |
|
70 |
17% |
39% |
Median |
71 |
9% |
21% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
13% |
|
73 |
10% |
11% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
37% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
38% |
63% |
Median |
70 |
12% |
25% |
|
71 |
9% |
14% |
|
72 |
3% |
4% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
61 |
13% |
98% |
|
62 |
25% |
85% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
60% |
|
64 |
51% |
60% |
Median |
65 |
8% |
9% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
58% |
99.1% |
|
60 |
16% |
41% |
Median |
61 |
11% |
24% |
|
62 |
9% |
13% |
|
63 |
2% |
4% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
16% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
84% |
|
56 |
40% |
84% |
|
57 |
5% |
44% |
Median |
58 |
20% |
39% |
|
59 |
8% |
19% |
|
60 |
9% |
11% |
|
61 |
2% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
37% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
10% |
63% |
Median |
56 |
18% |
53% |
|
57 |
22% |
36% |
|
58 |
10% |
14% |
|
59 |
2% |
4% |
|
60 |
2% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
54% |
98.8% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
45% |
Median |
55 |
23% |
43% |
|
56 |
16% |
20% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
58 |
3% |
3% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
15% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
52 |
40% |
84% |
|
53 |
5% |
44% |
Median |
54 |
1.2% |
39% |
|
55 |
20% |
38% |
|
56 |
7% |
18% |
|
57 |
9% |
10% |
|
58 |
2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
10% |
98.7% |
|
52 |
6% |
89% |
|
53 |
23% |
83% |
|
54 |
51% |
60% |
Median |
55 |
9% |
9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
19% |
100% |
|
47 |
39% |
81% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
42% |
Median |
49 |
23% |
41% |
|
50 |
8% |
18% |
|
51 |
9% |
10% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
15% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
85% |
|
42 |
36% |
84% |
|
43 |
22% |
48% |
Median |
44 |
5% |
26% |
|
45 |
7% |
21% |
|
46 |
2% |
14% |
|
47 |
9% |
12% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
49 |
2% |
2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
15% |
100% |
|
41 |
36% |
85% |
|
42 |
2% |
49% |
Median |
43 |
24% |
47% |
|
44 |
3% |
23% |
|
45 |
9% |
20% |
|
46 |
7% |
11% |
|
47 |
3% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
15% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
85% |
|
41 |
36% |
84% |
|
42 |
20% |
48% |
Median |
43 |
4% |
28% |
|
44 |
3% |
23% |
|
45 |
8% |
21% |
|
46 |
10% |
12% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
48 |
2% |
2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
15% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
38 |
36% |
84% |
|
39 |
3% |
48% |
Median |
40 |
25% |
46% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
21% |
|
42 |
8% |
20% |
|
43 |
2% |
12% |
|
44 |
8% |
10% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
15% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
85% |
|
37 |
36% |
85% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
48% |
Median |
39 |
24% |
47% |
|
40 |
3% |
23% |
|
41 |
2% |
21% |
|
42 |
8% |
19% |
|
43 |
8% |
10% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
45 |
2% |
2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
12% |
98.9% |
|
37 |
21% |
87% |
|
38 |
46% |
67% |
Median |
39 |
1.3% |
21% |
|
40 |
19% |
20% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
36% |
100% |
|
34 |
16% |
64% |
Median |
35 |
23% |
49% |
|
36 |
11% |
26% |
|
37 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
38 |
10% |
14% |
|
39 |
3% |
4% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
15% |
100% |
|
32 |
36% |
85% |
|
33 |
23% |
49% |
Median |
34 |
4% |
26% |
|
35 |
2% |
22% |
|
36 |
8% |
19% |
|
37 |
8% |
11% |
|
38 |
3% |
3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
26 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
27 |
10% |
97% |
|
28 |
25% |
87% |
|
29 |
42% |
63% |
Median |
30 |
20% |
20% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
41% |
90% |
|
23 |
36% |
50% |
Median |
24 |
6% |
14% |
|
25 |
7% |
8% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
15% |
100% |
|
16 |
14% |
85% |
|
17 |
41% |
71% |
Median |
18 |
23% |
30% |
|
19 |
7% |
7% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–5 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.04%