Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 25–27 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 20.6% | 19.1–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.3–23.2% | 17.5–24.0% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.7–14.0% | 10.4–14.3% | 9.8–15.0% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.5% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.2–11.8% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.2% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.5–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.4% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.1% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.9% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 32 | 29–36 | 29–36 | 27–36 | 27–37 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 16 | 16–21 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 15–24 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–18 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–12 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 4–6 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 3–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 29 | 15% | 96% | |
| 30 | 20% | 81% | |
| 31 | 10% | 61% | |
| 32 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 33 | 2% | 47% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 45% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.5% | 44% | |
| 36 | 42% | 44% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 53% | 99.5% | Median |
| 17 | 22% | 47% | |
| 18 | 4% | 24% | |
| 19 | 3% | 21% | |
| 20 | 7% | 18% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 24 | 9% | 9% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 25% | 96% | |
| 13 | 3% | 72% | |
| 14 | 12% | 69% | |
| 15 | 48% | 56% | Median |
| 16 | 6% | 8% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 9 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 10 | 16% | 94% | |
| 11 | 50% | 78% | Median |
| 12 | 10% | 28% | |
| 13 | 17% | 18% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 37% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 11% | 63% | |
| 10 | 25% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 27% | |
| 12 | 22% | 22% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 18% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 44% | 81% | Median |
| 9 | 16% | 37% | |
| 10 | 19% | 21% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 18% | 94% | |
| 9 | 36% | 76% | Median |
| 10 | 9% | 40% | |
| 11 | 8% | 31% | |
| 12 | 22% | 23% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 12% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 88% | |
| 8 | 48% | 86% | Median |
| 9 | 28% | 38% | |
| 10 | 10% | 10% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 28% | 97% | |
| 6 | 11% | 69% | |
| 7 | 49% | 59% | Median |
| 8 | 9% | 10% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 18% | 98% | |
| 6 | 23% | 80% | |
| 7 | 38% | 57% | Median |
| 8 | 19% | 19% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 29% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 22% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 2% | 48% | |
| 7 | 38% | 46% | |
| 8 | 8% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 43% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 4 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 5 | 38% | 39% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 64% | 91% | Median |
| 5 | 11% | 26% | |
| 6 | 9% | 15% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 8 | 7% | 7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 49% | 93% | Median |
| 4 | 38% | 44% | |
| 5 | 2% | 6% | |
| 6 | 3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 32% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 4 | 64% | 68% | Median |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 86% | 91% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | |
| 1 | 52% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 75 | 25% | 69–77 | 69–78 | 69–79 | 69–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 76 | 57% | 70–78 | 70–78 | 69–79 | 69–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 61 | 0% | 58–66 | 58–66 | 55–70 | 55–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 65 | 0% | 60–67 | 60–67 | 59–69 | 59–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 57 | 0% | 54–62 | 54–62 | 52–66 | 52–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 63 | 0% | 57–64 | 56–65 | 56–65 | 56–65 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 58 | 0% | 57–63 | 57–64 | 57–64 | 56–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 60 | 0% | 55–61 | 55–61 | 54–64 | 54–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 54 | 0% | 51–59 | 51–59 | 48–62 | 48–64 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 52 | 0% | 50–57 | 50–59 | 50–59 | 49–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 53 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–55 | 44–55 | 44–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 49 | 0% | 45–51 | 45–53 | 42–53 | 42–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 48 | 0% | 44–51 | 44–52 | 41–53 | 41–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 45 | 0% | 41–47 | 41–49 | 39–50 | 39–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 44 | 0% | 40–47 | 40–48 | 38–49 | 38–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 43 | 0% | 39–47 | 39–48 | 37–48 | 37–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 41 | 0% | 37–44 | 37–44 | 34–46 | 34–46 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 36 | 0% | 35–41 | 35–43 | 35–43 | 32–43 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 25 | 0% | 24–29 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 26 | 0% | 23–27 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 21–29 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 19 | 0% | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 15–23 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 18% | 89% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 72% | Median |
| 72 | 1.1% | 71% | |
| 73 | 2% | 70% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 68% | |
| 75 | 42% | 67% | |
| 76 | 2% | 25% | Majority |
| 77 | 18% | 23% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 5% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 7% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 89% | Median |
| 73 | 18% | 88% | |
| 74 | 8% | 70% | |
| 75 | 5% | 62% | |
| 76 | 9% | 57% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 47% | |
| 78 | 37% | 41% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 4% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0% | 96% | |
| 58 | 9% | 96% | |
| 59 | 18% | 87% | |
| 60 | 8% | 69% | |
| 61 | 14% | 61% | |
| 62 | 2% | 47% | Median |
| 63 | 2% | 46% | |
| 64 | 4% | 43% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 39% | |
| 66 | 35% | 39% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 3% | |
| 70 | 3% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 24% | 96% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 72% | Median |
| 62 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 63 | 9% | 71% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 62% | |
| 65 | 15% | 60% | |
| 66 | 4% | 46% | |
| 67 | 38% | 42% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 69 | 3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 54 | 8% | 95% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 87% | |
| 56 | 18% | 86% | |
| 57 | 20% | 68% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 47% | Median |
| 59 | 3% | 47% | |
| 60 | 4% | 43% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 62 | 36% | 39% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 67 | 2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 8% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 5% | 92% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 59 | 27% | 87% | Median |
| 60 | 1.2% | 60% | |
| 61 | 2% | 59% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 56% | |
| 63 | 36% | 56% | |
| 64 | 11% | 21% | |
| 65 | 9% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 36% | 98.8% | Median |
| 58 | 29% | 63% | |
| 59 | 12% | 34% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 61 | 3% | 22% | |
| 62 | 8% | 18% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 64 | 9% | 10% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 14% | 96% | |
| 56 | 18% | 82% | Median |
| 57 | 1.1% | 64% | |
| 58 | 2% | 63% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 60% | |
| 60 | 43% | 59% | |
| 61 | 12% | 17% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 5% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 96% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 51 | 9% | 96% | |
| 52 | 20% | 87% | |
| 53 | 17% | 67% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 50% | |
| 55 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 56 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 57 | 4% | 41% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 38% | |
| 59 | 34% | 38% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 3% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 2% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 42% | 99.0% | Median |
| 51 | 4% | 57% | |
| 52 | 4% | 52% | |
| 53 | 27% | 48% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 22% | |
| 55 | 7% | 20% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 57 | 3% | 13% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 59 | 8% | 8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 48 | 15% | 95% | |
| 49 | 8% | 80% | |
| 50 | 4% | 72% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 68% | Median |
| 52 | 2% | 67% | |
| 53 | 21% | 65% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 44% | |
| 55 | 41% | 43% | |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 3% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 97% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 45 | 8% | 96% | |
| 46 | 7% | 88% | |
| 47 | 8% | 81% | |
| 48 | 20% | 73% | Median |
| 49 | 7% | 53% | |
| 50 | 4% | 46% | |
| 51 | 36% | 42% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 53 | 5% | 6% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 3% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 44 | 8% | 96% | |
| 45 | 7% | 88% | |
| 46 | 8% | 82% | |
| 47 | 19% | 74% | Median |
| 48 | 5% | 54% | |
| 49 | 7% | 49% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 42% | |
| 51 | 34% | 41% | |
| 52 | 4% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 3% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 41 | 8% | 96% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 43 | 14% | 88% | |
| 44 | 3% | 73% | Median |
| 45 | 24% | 71% | |
| 46 | 4% | 46% | |
| 47 | 35% | 42% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 49 | 3% | 6% | |
| 50 | 3% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 3% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 8% | 96% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 42 | 15% | 88% | |
| 43 | 3% | 73% | Median |
| 44 | 21% | 71% | |
| 45 | 7% | 49% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 47 | 35% | 41% | |
| 48 | 2% | 6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 39 | 7% | 96% | |
| 40 | 11% | 89% | |
| 41 | 4% | 78% | |
| 42 | 7% | 74% | |
| 43 | 19% | 66% | Last Result, Median |
| 44 | 4% | 48% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 44% | |
| 46 | 3% | 43% | |
| 47 | 34% | 40% | |
| 48 | 6% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 3% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 37 | 9% | 96% | |
| 38 | 14% | 87% | |
| 39 | 2% | 74% | |
| 40 | 20% | 72% | Median |
| 41 | 4% | 52% | |
| 42 | 4% | 48% | |
| 43 | 6% | 44% | |
| 44 | 35% | 38% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 3% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 35 | 45% | 98% | Median |
| 36 | 13% | 53% | |
| 37 | 4% | 40% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 36% | |
| 39 | 21% | 35% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 41 | 4% | 13% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 43 | 9% | 9% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 48% | 99.1% | Median |
| 25 | 1.3% | 51% | |
| 26 | 25% | 50% | |
| 27 | 7% | 25% | |
| 28 | 2% | 18% | |
| 29 | 6% | 16% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 32 | 8% | 9% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 9% | 93% | |
| 24 | 18% | 85% | Median |
| 25 | 1.5% | 66% | |
| 26 | 46% | 65% | |
| 27 | 18% | 19% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 8% | 98% | |
| 18 | 8% | 90% | |
| 19 | 56% | 82% | Median |
| 20 | 3% | 26% | |
| 21 | 5% | 23% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 23 | 17% | 18% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 25–27 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1048
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.73%