Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 25–27 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
20.6% |
19.1–22.3% |
18.6–22.8% |
18.3–23.2% |
17.5–24.0% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
12.2% |
11.0–13.6% |
10.7–14.0% |
10.4–14.3% |
9.8–15.0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.5% |
7.9–10.9% |
7.6–11.2% |
7.2–11.8% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.1% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.6–8.7% |
5.2–9.2% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.8–8.8% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.2% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
5.2% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.1–6.8% |
3.7–7.3% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.6% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.8% |
3.5–6.0% |
3.1–6.5% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.4% |
DENK |
2.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.7% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.2% |
1.8–4.6% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.7% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.2% |
1.8–4.6% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.5% |
2.1–3.8% |
1.9–3.9% |
1.7–4.4% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.6–4.1% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.4–1.9% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
29 |
15% |
96% |
|
30 |
20% |
81% |
|
31 |
10% |
61% |
|
32 |
4% |
51% |
Median |
33 |
2% |
47% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
45% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.5% |
44% |
|
36 |
42% |
44% |
|
37 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
53% |
99.5% |
Median |
17 |
22% |
47% |
|
18 |
4% |
24% |
|
19 |
3% |
21% |
|
20 |
7% |
18% |
|
21 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
24 |
9% |
9% |
Last Result |
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
25% |
96% |
|
13 |
3% |
72% |
|
14 |
12% |
69% |
|
15 |
48% |
56% |
Median |
16 |
6% |
8% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
2% |
Last Result |
18 |
2% |
2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
9 |
3% |
97% |
Last Result |
10 |
16% |
94% |
|
11 |
50% |
78% |
Median |
12 |
10% |
28% |
|
13 |
17% |
18% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
37% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
9 |
11% |
63% |
|
10 |
25% |
52% |
Median |
11 |
5% |
27% |
|
12 |
22% |
22% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
18% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
44% |
81% |
Median |
9 |
16% |
37% |
|
10 |
19% |
21% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
6% |
99.6% |
|
8 |
18% |
94% |
|
9 |
36% |
76% |
Median |
10 |
9% |
40% |
|
11 |
8% |
31% |
|
12 |
22% |
23% |
|
13 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
12% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
88% |
|
8 |
48% |
86% |
Median |
9 |
28% |
38% |
|
10 |
10% |
10% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
28% |
97% |
|
6 |
11% |
69% |
|
7 |
49% |
59% |
Median |
8 |
9% |
10% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
18% |
98% |
|
6 |
23% |
80% |
|
7 |
38% |
57% |
Median |
8 |
19% |
19% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
29% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
22% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
2% |
48% |
|
7 |
38% |
46% |
|
8 |
8% |
8% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
43% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
4 |
18% |
57% |
Median |
5 |
38% |
39% |
|
6 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
9% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
4 |
64% |
91% |
Median |
5 |
11% |
26% |
|
6 |
9% |
15% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
8 |
7% |
7% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
7% |
100% |
|
3 |
49% |
93% |
Median |
4 |
38% |
44% |
|
5 |
2% |
6% |
|
6 |
3% |
4% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
32% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
4 |
64% |
68% |
Median |
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
|
1 |
86% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
44% |
100% |
|
1 |
52% |
56% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
75 |
25% |
69–77 |
69–78 |
69–79 |
69–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
76 |
57% |
70–78 |
70–78 |
69–79 |
69–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
61 |
0% |
58–66 |
58–66 |
55–70 |
55–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
65 |
0% |
60–67 |
60–67 |
59–69 |
59–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
57 |
0% |
54–62 |
54–62 |
52–66 |
52–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
63 |
0% |
57–64 |
56–65 |
56–65 |
56–65 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
58 |
0% |
57–63 |
57–64 |
57–64 |
56–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
60 |
0% |
55–61 |
55–61 |
54–64 |
54–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
54 |
0% |
51–59 |
51–59 |
48–62 |
48–64 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
52 |
0% |
50–57 |
50–59 |
50–59 |
49–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
53 |
0% |
48–55 |
48–55 |
44–55 |
44–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
49 |
0% |
45–51 |
45–53 |
42–53 |
42–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
48 |
0% |
44–51 |
44–52 |
41–53 |
41–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
45 |
0% |
41–47 |
41–49 |
39–50 |
39–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
44 |
0% |
40–47 |
40–48 |
38–49 |
38–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
43 |
0% |
39–47 |
39–48 |
37–48 |
37–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
41 |
0% |
37–44 |
37–44 |
34–46 |
34–46 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
36 |
0% |
35–41 |
35–43 |
35–43 |
32–43 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
25 |
0% |
24–29 |
24–32 |
24–32 |
23–33 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
26 |
0% |
23–27 |
22–27 |
22–27 |
21–29 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
19 |
0% |
18–23 |
17–23 |
17–23 |
15–23 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
11% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
18% |
89% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
72% |
Median |
72 |
1.1% |
71% |
|
73 |
2% |
70% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
68% |
|
75 |
42% |
67% |
|
76 |
2% |
25% |
Majority |
77 |
18% |
23% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
79 |
5% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
7% |
96% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
90% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
89% |
Median |
73 |
18% |
88% |
|
74 |
8% |
70% |
|
75 |
5% |
62% |
|
76 |
9% |
57% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
47% |
|
78 |
37% |
41% |
|
79 |
3% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
4% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
96% |
|
57 |
0% |
96% |
|
58 |
9% |
96% |
|
59 |
18% |
87% |
|
60 |
8% |
69% |
|
61 |
14% |
61% |
|
62 |
2% |
47% |
Median |
63 |
2% |
46% |
|
64 |
4% |
43% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
39% |
|
66 |
35% |
39% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
69 |
0% |
3% |
|
70 |
3% |
3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
24% |
96% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
72% |
Median |
62 |
0.5% |
72% |
|
63 |
9% |
71% |
|
64 |
1.5% |
62% |
|
65 |
15% |
60% |
|
66 |
4% |
46% |
|
67 |
38% |
42% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
69 |
3% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
54 |
8% |
95% |
|
55 |
1.5% |
87% |
|
56 |
18% |
86% |
|
57 |
20% |
68% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
47% |
Median |
59 |
3% |
47% |
|
60 |
4% |
43% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
39% |
|
62 |
36% |
39% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
67 |
2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
56 |
8% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
5% |
92% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
87% |
|
59 |
27% |
87% |
Median |
60 |
1.2% |
60% |
|
61 |
2% |
59% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
56% |
|
63 |
36% |
56% |
|
64 |
11% |
21% |
|
65 |
9% |
9% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
36% |
98.8% |
Median |
58 |
29% |
63% |
|
59 |
12% |
34% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
22% |
|
61 |
3% |
22% |
|
62 |
8% |
18% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
10% |
|
64 |
9% |
10% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
14% |
96% |
|
56 |
18% |
82% |
Median |
57 |
1.1% |
64% |
|
58 |
2% |
63% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
60% |
|
60 |
43% |
59% |
|
61 |
12% |
17% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
63 |
2% |
5% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
65 |
2% |
2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0% |
96% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
51 |
9% |
96% |
|
52 |
20% |
87% |
|
53 |
17% |
67% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
50% |
|
55 |
7% |
50% |
Median |
56 |
0.8% |
42% |
|
57 |
4% |
41% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
38% |
|
59 |
34% |
38% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
61 |
0% |
3% |
|
62 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
63 |
0% |
2% |
|
64 |
2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
42% |
99.0% |
Median |
51 |
4% |
57% |
|
52 |
4% |
52% |
|
53 |
27% |
48% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
22% |
|
55 |
7% |
20% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
14% |
|
57 |
3% |
13% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
59 |
8% |
8% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
4% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
48 |
15% |
95% |
|
49 |
8% |
80% |
|
50 |
4% |
72% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
68% |
Median |
52 |
2% |
67% |
|
53 |
21% |
65% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
44% |
|
55 |
41% |
43% |
|
56 |
2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
3% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
97% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
45 |
8% |
96% |
|
46 |
7% |
88% |
|
47 |
8% |
81% |
|
48 |
20% |
73% |
Median |
49 |
7% |
53% |
|
50 |
4% |
46% |
|
51 |
36% |
42% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
53 |
5% |
6% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
1.5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
3% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
44 |
8% |
96% |
|
45 |
7% |
88% |
|
46 |
8% |
82% |
|
47 |
19% |
74% |
Median |
48 |
5% |
54% |
|
49 |
7% |
49% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
42% |
|
51 |
34% |
41% |
|
52 |
4% |
6% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
3% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
41 |
8% |
96% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
88% |
|
43 |
14% |
88% |
|
44 |
3% |
73% |
Median |
45 |
24% |
71% |
|
46 |
4% |
46% |
|
47 |
35% |
42% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
49 |
3% |
6% |
|
50 |
3% |
3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
3% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
40 |
8% |
96% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
89% |
|
42 |
15% |
88% |
|
43 |
3% |
73% |
Median |
44 |
21% |
71% |
|
45 |
7% |
49% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
42% |
|
47 |
35% |
41% |
|
48 |
2% |
6% |
|
49 |
3% |
4% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
39 |
7% |
96% |
|
40 |
11% |
89% |
|
41 |
4% |
78% |
|
42 |
7% |
74% |
|
43 |
19% |
66% |
Last Result, Median |
44 |
4% |
48% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
44% |
|
46 |
3% |
43% |
|
47 |
34% |
40% |
|
48 |
6% |
6% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
3% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
37 |
9% |
96% |
|
38 |
14% |
87% |
|
39 |
2% |
74% |
|
40 |
20% |
72% |
Median |
41 |
4% |
52% |
|
42 |
4% |
48% |
|
43 |
6% |
44% |
|
44 |
35% |
38% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
46 |
3% |
3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
35 |
45% |
98% |
Median |
36 |
13% |
53% |
|
37 |
4% |
40% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
36% |
|
39 |
21% |
35% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
41 |
4% |
13% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
43 |
9% |
9% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
48% |
99.1% |
Median |
25 |
1.3% |
51% |
|
26 |
25% |
50% |
|
27 |
7% |
25% |
|
28 |
2% |
18% |
|
29 |
6% |
16% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
32 |
8% |
9% |
|
33 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
23 |
9% |
93% |
|
24 |
18% |
85% |
Median |
25 |
1.5% |
66% |
|
26 |
46% |
65% |
|
27 |
18% |
19% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
30 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
17 |
8% |
98% |
|
18 |
8% |
90% |
|
19 |
56% |
82% |
Median |
20 |
3% |
26% |
|
21 |
5% |
23% |
|
22 |
1.4% |
19% |
|
23 |
17% |
18% |
|
24 |
0% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
25 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 25–27 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1048
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.73%