Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 8–11 April 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 17.6% | 16.6–18.7% | 16.3–19.0% | 16.1–19.3% | 15.6–19.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 11.0% | 10.2–11.9% | 9.9–12.1% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.4–12.8% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.5–9.5% | 7.3–9.7% | 7.0–10.1% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.6–9.6% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2–7.6% | 6.0–7.8% | 5.8–8.0% | 5.5–8.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 6.1% | 5.5–6.8% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 4.9–7.6% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 5.7% | 5.1–6.4% | 5.0–6.6% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.5–7.1% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9–6.1% | 4.7–6.3% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.3–6.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9–6.1% | 4.7–6.3% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.3–6.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.4% | 3.9–5.1% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.4–5.7% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.1% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.7% | 1.7–2.8% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.5–3.1% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 27 | 26–28 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 22–30 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 17 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–20 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 12 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 9–15 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–13 | 8–13 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 9 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 7 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 25 | 5% | 97% | |
| 26 | 17% | 92% | |
| 27 | 41% | 75% | Median |
| 28 | 29% | 34% | |
| 29 | 4% | 5% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 15 | 22% | 99.2% | |
| 16 | 19% | 77% | |
| 17 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 18 | 5% | 45% | |
| 19 | 26% | 40% | |
| 20 | 13% | 13% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 11 | 2% | 98% | |
| 12 | 55% | 96% | Median |
| 13 | 9% | 42% | |
| 14 | 15% | 33% | |
| 15 | 18% | 18% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 21% | 89% | |
| 12 | 22% | 67% | Median |
| 13 | 12% | 45% | |
| 14 | 30% | 33% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 22% | 100% | |
| 9 | 20% | 78% | Last Result |
| 10 | 37% | 57% | Median |
| 11 | 15% | 20% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 13% | 98% | |
| 9 | 45% | 86% | Median |
| 10 | 31% | 41% | |
| 11 | 9% | 10% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 8% | 100% | |
| 7 | 6% | 92% | |
| 8 | 22% | 86% | |
| 9 | 28% | 64% | Median |
| 10 | 30% | 36% | |
| 11 | 6% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 45% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 17% | 55% | Median |
| 9 | 31% | 38% | Last Result |
| 10 | 6% | 7% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 49% | 98% | Median |
| 8 | 12% | 49% | |
| 9 | 29% | 37% | |
| 10 | 8% | 8% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 22% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 33% | 78% | Median |
| 7 | 25% | 45% | |
| 8 | 18% | 19% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 24% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 6 | 31% | 76% | Median |
| 7 | 41% | 45% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 20% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 59% | 80% | Median |
| 5 | 20% | 22% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 57% | 89% | Median |
| 5 | 31% | 32% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 50% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 32% | 48% | |
| 5 | 16% | 16% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 45% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 42% | 48% | |
| 5 | 6% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 42% | 58% | Median |
| 3 | 16% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 24% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 74% | 76% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 75% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 23% | 23% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 70 | 0.4% | 68–73 | 66–73 | 65–73 | 63–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 66 | 0% | 65–69 | 64–70 | 61–71 | 61–72 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 61 | 0% | 58–63 | 56–64 | 56–65 | 55–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 57 | 0% | 56–58 | 54–59 | 52–61 | 51–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 54 | 0% | 52–57 | 51–57 | 50–58 | 48–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 54 | 0% | 49–56 | 49–57 | 49–57 | 49–57 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 53 | 0% | 50–54 | 49–55 | 48–56 | 48–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 51 | 0% | 49–53 | 47–53 | 46–54 | 46–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 51 | 0% | 45–52 | 45–52 | 45–53 | 45–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 46 | 0% | 42–48 | 41–48 | 41–48 | 41–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 43 | 0% | 41–45 | 41–45 | 40–47 | 38–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 44 | 0% | 40–45 | 40–46 | 40–47 | 39–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 42 | 0% | 39–43 | 39–43 | 39–44 | 37–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 39 | 0% | 37–42 | 36–42 | 36–42 | 34–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 37 | 0% | 35–38 | 35–39 | 34–41 | 32–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 38 | 0% | 35–39 | 34–39 | 34–40 | 33–42 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 33 | 0% | 31–36 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 30–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 34 | 0% | 31–35 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 29–38 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 24 | 0% | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 20–27 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 23 | 0% | 19–25 | 19–26 | 19–26 | 19–28 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 16 | 0% | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 14–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 94% | |
| 68 | 24% | 91% | Median |
| 69 | 5% | 67% | |
| 70 | 27% | 62% | |
| 71 | 12% | 36% | |
| 72 | 3% | 24% | |
| 73 | 18% | 21% | |
| 74 | 2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 3% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 96% | |
| 65 | 8% | 91% | |
| 66 | 46% | 83% | Median |
| 67 | 2% | 37% | |
| 68 | 19% | 35% | |
| 69 | 9% | 16% | |
| 70 | 3% | 7% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 56 | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 19% | 91% | |
| 59 | 2% | 72% | Median |
| 60 | 20% | 70% | |
| 61 | 7% | 50% | |
| 62 | 26% | 43% | |
| 63 | 11% | 17% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 28% | 91% | Median |
| 57 | 16% | 64% | |
| 58 | 41% | 48% | |
| 59 | 2% | 6% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 5% | 96% | |
| 52 | 19% | 91% | |
| 53 | 17% | 73% | |
| 54 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 55 | 32% | 49% | |
| 56 | 5% | 17% | |
| 57 | 10% | 12% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 51 | 2% | 88% | |
| 52 | 5% | 86% | Median |
| 53 | 26% | 81% | |
| 54 | 20% | 55% | |
| 55 | 5% | 35% | |
| 56 | 20% | 30% | |
| 57 | 9% | 10% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 3% | 100% | |
| 49 | 6% | 97% | |
| 50 | 5% | 91% | |
| 51 | 20% | 86% | Median |
| 52 | 2% | 66% | |
| 53 | 35% | 64% | |
| 54 | 23% | 29% | |
| 55 | 3% | 7% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 2% | 97% | |
| 48 | 2% | 95% | |
| 49 | 19% | 92% | |
| 50 | 14% | 74% | Median |
| 51 | 28% | 60% | |
| 52 | 9% | 32% | |
| 53 | 19% | 23% | |
| 54 | 2% | 4% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 10% | 100% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 47 | 4% | 89% | |
| 48 | 3% | 85% | |
| 49 | 4% | 82% | Median |
| 50 | 28% | 78% | |
| 51 | 20% | 50% | |
| 52 | 27% | 30% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 10% | 100% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 43 | 3% | 89% | |
| 44 | 3% | 85% | |
| 45 | 3% | 82% | Median |
| 46 | 41% | 79% | |
| 47 | 17% | 38% | |
| 48 | 19% | 21% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 24% | 97% | |
| 42 | 6% | 73% | Median |
| 43 | 20% | 67% | |
| 44 | 26% | 46% | |
| 45 | 17% | 20% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 12% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 8% | 87% | |
| 42 | 24% | 80% | |
| 43 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 44 | 28% | 51% | |
| 45 | 18% | 23% | |
| 46 | 2% | 6% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 39 | 18% | 98% | |
| 40 | 10% | 80% | Median |
| 41 | 4% | 70% | |
| 42 | 52% | 66% | |
| 43 | 9% | 14% | |
| 44 | 3% | 5% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 12% | 94% | |
| 38 | 12% | 82% | |
| 39 | 30% | 70% | Median |
| 40 | 4% | 40% | |
| 41 | 18% | 36% | |
| 42 | 17% | 19% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 17% | 95% | |
| 36 | 21% | 78% | |
| 37 | 36% | 57% | Median |
| 38 | 13% | 21% | |
| 39 | 4% | 8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 35 | 11% | 94% | |
| 36 | 5% | 83% | |
| 37 | 9% | 78% | Median |
| 38 | 30% | 69% | |
| 39 | 34% | 39% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 31 | 13% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 20% | 86% | |
| 33 | 20% | 66% | Median |
| 34 | 28% | 46% | |
| 35 | 4% | 18% | |
| 36 | 11% | 14% | |
| 37 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 15% | 98% | |
| 32 | 3% | 83% | |
| 33 | 21% | 80% | Median |
| 34 | 38% | 59% | |
| 35 | 17% | 21% | |
| 36 | 3% | 4% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 5% | 98% | |
| 22 | 27% | 94% | |
| 23 | 3% | 66% | Median |
| 24 | 19% | 63% | |
| 25 | 39% | 44% | |
| 26 | 3% | 6% | |
| 27 | 3% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 17% | 100% | |
| 20 | 16% | 83% | |
| 21 | 10% | 67% | |
| 22 | 4% | 57% | Median |
| 23 | 12% | 53% | |
| 24 | 20% | 41% | |
| 25 | 15% | 21% | |
| 26 | 4% | 6% | |
| 27 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 35% | 100% | |
| 15 | 7% | 65% | |
| 16 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 17 | 27% | 50% | |
| 18 | 17% | 22% | |
| 19 | 3% | 5% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 8–11 April 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2184
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.07%