Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 22–25 April 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 21.1% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.1–23.3% | 18.7–23.8% | 18.0–24.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.7% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 37 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 28–37 | 28–37 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 14 | 14–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 15 | 13–16 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–18 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–10 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 5–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 5 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 3–5 | 3–7 | 3–8 | 3–9 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–7 | 3–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 2–6 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 30 | 13% | 95% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 82% | |
| 32 | 2% | 81% | |
| 33 | 5% | 80% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 74% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.3% | 73% | |
| 36 | 4% | 73% | |
| 37 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 13 | 3% | 94% | |
| 14 | 73% | 91% | Median |
| 15 | 17% | 18% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 8% | 95% | |
| 14 | 3% | 87% | |
| 15 | 73% | 84% | Median |
| 16 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 18 | 10% | 10% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 14% | 92% | |
| 11 | 4% | 78% | |
| 12 | 71% | 74% | Median |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 74% | 99.2% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 4% | 25% | |
| 11 | 15% | 21% | |
| 12 | 3% | 6% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 74% | 98% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 25% | |
| 10 | 15% | 22% | |
| 11 | 3% | 7% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 17% | 98% | |
| 8 | 71% | 80% | Median |
| 9 | 2% | 9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 4% | 98% | |
| 8 | 84% | 94% | Median |
| 9 | 5% | 10% | |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 5% | 30% | |
| 7 | 9% | 25% | |
| 8 | 13% | 17% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 3% | 97% | |
| 7 | 83% | 94% | Median |
| 8 | 7% | 11% | |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 14% | 97% | |
| 5 | 7% | 82% | Last Result |
| 6 | 73% | 76% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 6% | 90% | |
| 5 | 78% | 84% | Median |
| 6 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 15% | 96% | |
| 5 | 75% | 81% | Median |
| 6 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 7 | 5% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 98% | Last Result |
| 4 | 7% | 97% | |
| 5 | 6% | 90% | |
| 6 | 84% | 84% | Median |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 70% | 99.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 18% | 30% | |
| 5 | 7% | 12% | |
| 6 | 4% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 20% | 25% | Last Result |
| 2 | 5% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 21% | 25% | Last Result |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 78 | 70% | 68–78 | 67–78 | 65–78 | 65–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 75 | 2% | 69–75 | 67–75 | 65–75 | 65–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 70 | 0% | 62–70 | 62–70 | 60–70 | 58–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 66 | 0% | 58–66 | 57–66 | 56–66 | 55–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 64 | 0% | 56–64 | 56–64 | 55–64 | 53–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 61 | 0% | 55–61 | 54–61 | 51–61 | 51–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 60 | 0% | 53–60 | 52–60 | 52–60 | 49–60 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 55 | 0% | 55–58 | 51–58 | 50–60 | 50–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 59 | 0% | 52–59 | 52–59 | 51–59 | 49–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 56 | 0% | 48–56 | 48–56 | 47–56 | 46–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 56 | 0% | 47–56 | 47–56 | 46–56 | 46–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 54 | 0% | 48–54 | 48–55 | 46–55 | 46–57 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–50 | 44–50 | 44–52 | 44–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 50 | 0% | 42–50 | 42–50 | 42–50 | 42–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 50 | 0% | 42–50 | 41–50 | 41–50 | 41–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 46 | 0% | 41–46 | 39–46 | 39–48 | 39–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 45 | 0% | 37–45 | 37–45 | 37–45 | 36–45 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 32 | 0% | 32–36 | 31–36 | 30–36 | 29–39 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 23 | 0% | 22–23 | 22–28 | 20–28 | 20–30 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 23 | 0% | 22–25 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–27 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 17 | 0% | 17–19 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 16–23 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 67 | 4% | 96% | |
| 68 | 3% | 92% | |
| 69 | 11% | 89% | |
| 70 | 2% | 78% | |
| 71 | 2% | 76% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 73% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 73% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 71% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 70% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 70% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 69% | |
| 78 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 68 | 4% | 95% | |
| 69 | 3% | 90% | |
| 70 | 10% | 87% | |
| 71 | 3% | 76% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 72% | |
| 75 | 69% | 71% | Median |
| 76 | 0.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 10% | 96% | |
| 63 | 4% | 85% | |
| 64 | 6% | 81% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 75% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 74% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 73% | |
| 68 | 3% | 72% | |
| 69 | 0% | 69% | |
| 70 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 2% | 91% | |
| 59 | 14% | 89% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 74% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 74% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 73% | |
| 64 | 2% | 71% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 70% | |
| 66 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 56 | 10% | 97% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 59 | 9% | 85% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 76% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 75% | |
| 62 | 4% | 74% | |
| 63 | 0% | 70% | |
| 64 | 69% | 70% | Median |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 54 | 4% | 95% | |
| 55 | 2% | 91% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 57 | 4% | 89% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 59 | 10% | 84% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 74% | |
| 61 | 72% | 73% | Median |
| 62 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 7% | 98% | |
| 53 | 4% | 91% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 55 | 10% | 87% | |
| 56 | 4% | 77% | |
| 57 | 3% | 73% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 70% | |
| 60 | 69% | 70% | Median |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 3% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 55 | 71% | 91% | Median |
| 56 | 3% | 20% | |
| 57 | 4% | 18% | |
| 58 | 10% | 13% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 14% | 96% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 82% | |
| 55 | 4% | 81% | |
| 56 | 3% | 77% | |
| 57 | 4% | 74% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 70% | |
| 59 | 69% | 70% | Median |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 48 | 10% | 97% | |
| 49 | 4% | 87% | |
| 50 | 3% | 83% | |
| 51 | 4% | 81% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 53 | 3% | 76% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 55 | 3% | 72% | |
| 56 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 10% | 97% | |
| 48 | 4% | 88% | |
| 49 | 4% | 83% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 79% | |
| 51 | 3% | 77% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 75% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 54 | 4% | 73% | |
| 55 | 0% | 69% | |
| 56 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 48 | 10% | 96% | |
| 49 | 2% | 86% | |
| 50 | 2% | 84% | |
| 51 | 5% | 81% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 77% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 76% | |
| 54 | 70% | 75% | Median |
| 55 | 3% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 94% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 47 | 2% | 92% | |
| 48 | 2% | 90% | |
| 49 | 2% | 88% | |
| 50 | 82% | 86% | Median |
| 51 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 45 | 4% | 86% | |
| 46 | 4% | 82% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 78% | |
| 48 | 3% | 77% | |
| 49 | 4% | 74% | |
| 50 | 69% | 71% | Median |
| 51 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 10% | 100% | |
| 42 | 2% | 90% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 44 | 9% | 87% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 78% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 47 | 2% | 77% | |
| 48 | 5% | 75% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 71% | |
| 50 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 41 | 10% | 92% | |
| 42 | 3% | 82% | |
| 43 | 2% | 79% | Last Result |
| 44 | 2% | 77% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 75% | |
| 46 | 71% | 75% | Median |
| 47 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 3% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 37 | 12% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 39 | 3% | 86% | |
| 40 | 5% | 83% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 78% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 43 | 4% | 75% | |
| 44 | 2% | 72% | |
| 45 | 69% | 70% | Median |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 31 | 6% | 96% | |
| 32 | 73% | 91% | Median |
| 33 | 0.7% | 17% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 35 | 4% | 16% | |
| 36 | 11% | 12% | |
| 37 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 4% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 22 | 15% | 96% | |
| 23 | 72% | 81% | Median |
| 24 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 28 | 4% | 6% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 30 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 21 | 2% | 92% | |
| 22 | 4% | 90% | |
| 23 | 72% | 87% | Median |
| 24 | 4% | 15% | |
| 25 | 10% | 11% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 6% | 100% | |
| 17 | 71% | 94% | Median |
| 18 | 12% | 23% | |
| 19 | 3% | 11% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 23 | 6% | 6% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 22–25 April 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1013
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.67%