Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 13–14 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 16.6% | 15.8–17.5% | 15.5–17.8% | 15.3–18.0% | 14.9–18.5% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 24 | 24–26 | 24–26 | 22–27 | 22–27 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 11 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 9 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–13 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 8–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 7 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 3 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 5% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 24 | 73% | 95% | Median |
| 25 | 3% | 22% | |
| 26 | 14% | 19% | |
| 27 | 4% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 15 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 16% | 95% | |
| 17 | 13% | 79% | Last Result |
| 18 | 66% | 66% | Median |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 12 | 9% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 4% | 90% | |
| 14 | 74% | 86% | Median |
| 15 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 16 | 12% | 12% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 34% | |
| 13 | 9% | 10% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 13% | 98% | |
| 12 | 8% | 85% | |
| 13 | 65% | 77% | Median |
| 14 | 12% | 12% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 59% | 100% | Median |
| 10 | 2% | 41% | |
| 11 | 29% | 39% | |
| 12 | 6% | 10% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 21% | 98.6% | |
| 11 | 63% | 77% | Median |
| 12 | 10% | 15% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 10% | 92% | |
| 9 | 73% | 82% | Median |
| 10 | 9% | 9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 86% | 94% | Median |
| 8 | 8% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 88% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 8% | 9% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 26% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 8% | 74% | |
| 8 | 61% | 65% | Median |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 59% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 2% | 41% | |
| 5 | 34% | 39% | |
| 6 | 5% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 15% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 81% | 85% | Median |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 18% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 76% | 82% | Median |
| 5 | 5% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 33% | 100% | |
| 3 | 66% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 72% | 73% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 85% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | |
| 1 | 71% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 13% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 66 | 0% | 62–66 | 62–67 | 62–67 | 60–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 64 | 0% | 63–67 | 60–67 | 60–67 | 59–68 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij | 70 | 60 | 0% | 58–60 | 58–61 | 56–63 | 56–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 56 | 0% | 56–58 | 56–59 | 55–60 | 55–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 52 | 0% | 52–55 | 52–55 | 51–55 | 51–57 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 53 | 0% | 51–53 | 51–54 | 50–55 | 47–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 53 | 0% | 50–55 | 49–55 | 49–55 | 48–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 51 | 0% | 49–53 | 48–53 | 48–53 | 46–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 49 | 0% | 47–50 | 47–50 | 46–50 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 45 | 0% | 44–49 | 42–49 | 42–49 | 41–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 44 | 0% | 44–45 | 41–46 | 41–46 | 41–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 39 | 0% | 39–43 | 39–43 | 38–43 | 38–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 38 | 0% | 38–42 | 38–42 | 37–43 | 37–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 35 | 0% | 35–40 | 35–40 | 34–40 | 34–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 37 | 0% | 36–38 | 35–39 | 35–39 | 35–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 34 | 0% | 34–38 | 34–39 | 33–39 | 33–39 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 34 | 0% | 32–34 | 32–35 | 30–35 | 29–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 31 | 0% | 31–33 | 29–34 | 28–34 | 28–35 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 28 | 0% | 24–28 | 24–28 | 24–30 | 24–30 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 21 | 0% | 20–23 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 17–23 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 20 | 0% | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 8% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 65 | 12% | 89% | |
| 66 | 70% | 78% | Median |
| 67 | 6% | 7% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 63 | 13% | 94% | |
| 64 | 60% | 82% | Median |
| 65 | 2% | 22% | |
| 66 | 3% | 20% | |
| 67 | 14% | 16% | |
| 68 | 2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 6% | 95% | |
| 59 | 16% | 89% | |
| 60 | 68% | 73% | Median |
| 61 | 2% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0% | 3% | |
| 63 | 3% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 72% | 95% | Median |
| 57 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 58 | 17% | 22% | |
| 59 | 2% | 5% | |
| 60 | 4% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 71% | 95% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 24% | |
| 54 | 4% | 21% | |
| 55 | 15% | 17% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 10% | 96% | |
| 52 | 12% | 86% | |
| 53 | 68% | 73% | Median |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 50 | 4% | 94% | |
| 51 | 9% | 90% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 53 | 64% | 80% | Median |
| 54 | 2% | 16% | |
| 55 | 13% | 15% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 5% | 94% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 51 | 64% | 88% | Median |
| 52 | 12% | 25% | |
| 53 | 12% | 12% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 14% | 95% | |
| 48 | 5% | 81% | |
| 49 | 59% | 77% | Median |
| 50 | 16% | 18% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 94% | |
| 44 | 7% | 94% | |
| 45 | 68% | 86% | Median |
| 46 | 1.1% | 18% | |
| 47 | 3% | 17% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 49 | 13% | 13% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 6% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 44 | 75% | 94% | Median |
| 45 | 11% | 18% | |
| 46 | 6% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 5% | 100% | |
| 39 | 59% | 95% | Median |
| 40 | 10% | 37% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 26% | |
| 42 | 8% | 26% | |
| 43 | 16% | 18% | |
| 44 | 0% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 5% | 100% | |
| 38 | 59% | 95% | Median |
| 39 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 40 | 10% | 37% | |
| 41 | 16% | 26% | |
| 42 | 7% | 10% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 5% | 100% | |
| 35 | 60% | 95% | Median |
| 36 | 9% | 36% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 38 | 7% | 26% | |
| 39 | 2% | 18% | |
| 40 | 14% | 16% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 5% | 100% | |
| 36 | 5% | 95% | |
| 37 | 73% | 90% | Median |
| 38 | 9% | 17% | |
| 39 | 7% | 8% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 5% | 100% | |
| 34 | 59% | 95% | Median |
| 35 | 1.1% | 37% | |
| 36 | 9% | 36% | |
| 37 | 4% | 26% | |
| 38 | 16% | 22% | |
| 39 | 6% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 8% | 97% | |
| 33 | 8% | 89% | |
| 34 | 72% | 81% | Median |
| 35 | 9% | 9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 5% | 100% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 31 | 68% | 94% | Median |
| 32 | 8% | 26% | |
| 33 | 13% | 18% | |
| 34 | 4% | 6% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 2% | 87% | |
| 26 | 11% | 85% | |
| 27 | 10% | 73% | |
| 28 | 60% | 64% | Median |
| 29 | 0.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 30 | 3% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 11% | 94% | |
| 21 | 69% | 83% | Median |
| 22 | 2% | 14% | |
| 23 | 12% | 12% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 14% | 98% | |
| 19 | 7% | 84% | |
| 20 | 63% | 77% | Median |
| 21 | 13% | 14% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13–14 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.42%