Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 13–14 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
16.6% |
15.8–17.5% |
15.5–17.8% |
15.3–18.0% |
14.9–18.5% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
10.6% |
9.9–11.4% |
9.7–11.6% |
9.6–11.8% |
9.3–12.2% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
8.7% |
8.0–9.4% |
7.8–9.6% |
7.7–9.7% |
7.4–10.1% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
8.0% |
7.4–8.7% |
7.2–8.9% |
7.1–9.0% |
6.8–9.4% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.0% |
7.4–8.7% |
7.2–8.9% |
7.1–9.0% |
6.8–9.4% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
7.3% |
6.8–8.0% |
6.6–8.2% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.2–8.6% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
7.3% |
6.8–8.0% |
6.6–8.2% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.2–8.6% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.1% |
4.6–6.2% |
4.4–6.5% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–2.0% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–2.0% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
5% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
24 |
73% |
95% |
Median |
25 |
3% |
22% |
|
26 |
14% |
19% |
|
27 |
4% |
5% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
15 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
16 |
16% |
95% |
|
17 |
13% |
79% |
Last Result |
18 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
12 |
9% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
4% |
90% |
|
14 |
74% |
86% |
Median |
15 |
0.6% |
12% |
|
16 |
12% |
12% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
66% |
100% |
Median |
12 |
24% |
34% |
|
13 |
9% |
10% |
|
14 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
2% |
100% |
|
11 |
13% |
98% |
|
12 |
8% |
85% |
|
13 |
65% |
77% |
Median |
14 |
12% |
12% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
59% |
100% |
Median |
10 |
2% |
41% |
|
11 |
29% |
39% |
|
12 |
6% |
10% |
|
13 |
4% |
4% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
10 |
21% |
98.6% |
|
11 |
63% |
77% |
Median |
12 |
10% |
15% |
|
13 |
5% |
5% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
10% |
92% |
|
9 |
73% |
82% |
Median |
10 |
9% |
9% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
5% |
98.8% |
|
7 |
86% |
94% |
Median |
8 |
8% |
8% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
6 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
8 |
8% |
9% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
26% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
8% |
74% |
|
8 |
61% |
65% |
Median |
9 |
4% |
4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
59% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
2% |
41% |
|
5 |
34% |
39% |
|
6 |
5% |
5% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
15% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
4 |
81% |
85% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
18% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
4 |
76% |
82% |
Median |
5 |
5% |
5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
33% |
100% |
|
3 |
66% |
67% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
27% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
72% |
73% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
14% |
100% |
|
2 |
85% |
86% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
|
1 |
71% |
84% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
13% |
13% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
66 |
0% |
62–66 |
62–67 |
62–67 |
60–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
64 |
0% |
63–67 |
60–67 |
60–67 |
59–68 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij |
70 |
60 |
0% |
58–60 |
58–61 |
56–63 |
56–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
56 |
0% |
56–58 |
56–59 |
55–60 |
55–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
52 |
0% |
52–55 |
52–55 |
51–55 |
51–57 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
53 |
0% |
51–53 |
51–54 |
50–55 |
47–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
53 |
0% |
50–55 |
49–55 |
49–55 |
48–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
51 |
0% |
49–53 |
48–53 |
48–53 |
46–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
49 |
0% |
47–50 |
47–50 |
46–50 |
46–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
45 |
0% |
44–49 |
42–49 |
42–49 |
41–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
44 |
0% |
44–45 |
41–46 |
41–46 |
41–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
39 |
0% |
39–43 |
39–43 |
38–43 |
38–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
38 |
0% |
38–42 |
38–42 |
37–43 |
37–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
35 |
0% |
35–40 |
35–40 |
34–40 |
34–41 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
37 |
0% |
36–38 |
35–39 |
35–39 |
35–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
34 |
0% |
34–38 |
34–39 |
33–39 |
33–39 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
34 |
0% |
32–34 |
32–35 |
30–35 |
29–35 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
31 |
0% |
31–33 |
29–34 |
28–34 |
28–35 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
28 |
0% |
24–28 |
24–28 |
24–30 |
24–30 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
21 |
0% |
20–23 |
19–23 |
19–23 |
17–23 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
20 |
0% |
18–21 |
18–21 |
18–21 |
17–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
62 |
8% |
98% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
90% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
89% |
|
65 |
12% |
89% |
|
66 |
70% |
78% |
Median |
67 |
6% |
7% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
63 |
13% |
94% |
|
64 |
60% |
82% |
Median |
65 |
2% |
22% |
|
66 |
3% |
20% |
|
67 |
14% |
16% |
|
68 |
2% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
58 |
6% |
95% |
|
59 |
16% |
89% |
|
60 |
68% |
73% |
Median |
61 |
2% |
5% |
|
62 |
0% |
3% |
|
63 |
3% |
3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
72% |
95% |
Median |
57 |
1.2% |
23% |
|
58 |
17% |
22% |
|
59 |
2% |
5% |
|
60 |
4% |
4% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
71% |
95% |
Median |
53 |
3% |
24% |
|
54 |
4% |
21% |
|
55 |
15% |
17% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
57 |
2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
50 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
51 |
10% |
96% |
|
52 |
12% |
86% |
|
53 |
68% |
73% |
Median |
54 |
2% |
5% |
|
55 |
3% |
3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
4% |
94% |
|
51 |
9% |
90% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
81% |
|
53 |
64% |
80% |
Median |
54 |
2% |
16% |
|
55 |
13% |
15% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
57 |
2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
49 |
5% |
94% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
89% |
|
51 |
64% |
88% |
Median |
52 |
12% |
25% |
|
53 |
12% |
12% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
14% |
95% |
|
48 |
5% |
81% |
|
49 |
59% |
77% |
Median |
50 |
16% |
18% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
53 |
2% |
2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
43 |
0% |
94% |
|
44 |
7% |
94% |
|
45 |
68% |
86% |
Median |
46 |
1.1% |
18% |
|
47 |
3% |
17% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
49 |
13% |
13% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
6% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
44 |
75% |
94% |
Median |
45 |
11% |
18% |
|
46 |
6% |
7% |
|
47 |
2% |
2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
5% |
100% |
|
39 |
59% |
95% |
Median |
40 |
10% |
37% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
26% |
|
42 |
8% |
26% |
|
43 |
16% |
18% |
|
44 |
0% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
46 |
2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
5% |
100% |
|
38 |
59% |
95% |
Median |
39 |
0.1% |
37% |
|
40 |
10% |
37% |
|
41 |
16% |
26% |
|
42 |
7% |
10% |
|
43 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
44 |
2% |
2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
5% |
100% |
|
35 |
60% |
95% |
Median |
36 |
9% |
36% |
|
37 |
1.3% |
27% |
|
38 |
7% |
26% |
|
39 |
2% |
18% |
|
40 |
14% |
16% |
|
41 |
2% |
2% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
5% |
100% |
|
36 |
5% |
95% |
|
37 |
73% |
90% |
Median |
38 |
9% |
17% |
|
39 |
7% |
8% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
5% |
100% |
|
34 |
59% |
95% |
Median |
35 |
1.1% |
37% |
|
36 |
9% |
36% |
|
37 |
4% |
26% |
|
38 |
16% |
22% |
|
39 |
6% |
6% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
2% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
32 |
8% |
97% |
|
33 |
8% |
89% |
|
34 |
72% |
81% |
Median |
35 |
9% |
9% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
5% |
100% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
31 |
68% |
94% |
Median |
32 |
8% |
26% |
|
33 |
13% |
18% |
|
34 |
4% |
6% |
|
35 |
2% |
2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
13% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
2% |
87% |
|
26 |
11% |
85% |
|
27 |
10% |
73% |
|
28 |
60% |
64% |
Median |
29 |
0.1% |
3% |
Last Result |
30 |
3% |
3% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
19 |
4% |
98% |
|
20 |
11% |
94% |
|
21 |
69% |
83% |
Median |
22 |
2% |
14% |
|
23 |
12% |
12% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
14% |
98% |
|
19 |
7% |
84% |
|
20 |
63% |
77% |
Median |
21 |
13% |
14% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13–14 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.42%