Opinion Poll by Kantar, 25–27 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 18.9% | 17.5–20.5% | 17.0–21.0% | 16.7–21.4% | 16.0–22.2% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.4–12.0% | 7.9–12.6% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 7.0–11.5% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.3% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.3% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.3% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.4–8.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.1% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 26 | 26–30 | 26–31 | 24–32 | 24–33 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 15 | 14–15 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 11–19 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 13 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 9 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 14 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 8–17 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 6–13 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 7–8 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–9 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–9 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–9 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 2–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 2–7 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 3% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 26 | 73% | 95% | Median |
| 27 | 3% | 23% | |
| 28 | 6% | 19% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 30 | 3% | 12% | |
| 31 | 6% | 9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 13 | 7% | 98% | |
| 14 | 4% | 90% | |
| 15 | 76% | 86% | Median |
| 16 | 3% | 10% | |
| 17 | 1.5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 18 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 19 | 4% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 5% | 96% | |
| 12 | 4% | 91% | |
| 13 | 69% | 86% | Median |
| 14 | 10% | 18% | |
| 15 | 3% | 8% | |
| 16 | 4% | 5% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 72% | 99.9% | Median |
| 10 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 11 | 4% | 27% | |
| 12 | 7% | 22% | |
| 13 | 3% | 16% | |
| 14 | 9% | 12% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 12 | 20% | 95% | |
| 13 | 4% | 74% | |
| 14 | 70% | 71% | Median |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 7% | 98% | |
| 11 | 4% | 91% | |
| 12 | 10% | 87% | |
| 13 | 2% | 76% | |
| 14 | 6% | 75% | |
| 15 | 66% | 69% | Median |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 3% | 98% | |
| 9 | 79% | 95% | Median |
| 10 | 9% | 16% | |
| 11 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 13 | 6% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 7 | 13% | 93% | |
| 8 | 72% | 80% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 7% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 13% | 94% | |
| 6 | 5% | 81% | |
| 7 | 74% | 76% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 9% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 6 | 21% | 90% | |
| 7 | 69% | 70% | Median |
| 8 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 7% | 98% | |
| 6 | 81% | 91% | Median |
| 7 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 8 | 3% | 9% | |
| 9 | 6% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 7% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 5% | 92% | |
| 6 | 84% | 87% | Median |
| 7 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 9% | 97% | |
| 5 | 79% | 88% | Median |
| 6 | 9% | 10% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 6% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 78% | 93% | Median |
| 5 | 5% | 15% | |
| 6 | 3% | 10% | |
| 7 | 7% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 81% | 92% | Median |
| 5 | 4% | 11% | |
| 6 | 3% | 7% | |
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 88% | 99.0% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 9% | 11% | |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 80% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 14% | 14% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 64 | 0.2% | 64–70 | 64–71 | 64–75 | 64–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 65 | 0.2% | 65–71 | 64–72 | 64–74 | 62–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 59 | 0% | 59–64 | 58–65 | 58–66 | 56–68 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij | 70 | 59 | 0% | 57–61 | 55–62 | 55–63 | 55–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 51 | 0% | 51–59 | 51–60 | 50–61 | 50–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 54 | 0% | 54–60 | 53–60 | 53–60 | 51–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 67 | 48 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–56 | 48–60 | 48–61 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 52 | 0% | 51–54 | 51–56 | 50–57 | 48–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 50 | 0% | 50–55 | 49–56 | 49–56 | 46–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 48 | 0% | 48–54 | 48–55 | 47–55 | 47–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 44 | 0% | 44–54 | 44–54 | 44–55 | 44–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 45 | 0% | 45–50 | 44–52 | 43–55 | 43–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 44 | 0% | 44–49 | 43–51 | 42–53 | 41–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 40 | 0% | 40–46 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 38–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 39 | 0% | 39–45 | 38–47 | 37–47 | 36–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 39 | 0% | 39–42 | 39–43 | 38–45 | 38–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 35 | 0% | 35–40 | 34–41 | 33–41 | 33–41 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 31 | 0% | 31–36 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 31–40 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 29 | 0% | 27–31 | 26–33 | 25–33 | 25–33 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 22 | 0% | 21–25 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–27 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 18 | 0% | 18–23 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 18–25 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 65% | 99.9% | Median |
| 65 | 2% | 35% | |
| 66 | 7% | 33% | |
| 67 | 3% | 26% | |
| 68 | 2% | 23% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 70 | 14% | 20% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 75 | 3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 67% | 92% | Median |
| 66 | 3% | 25% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 22% | |
| 68 | 7% | 21% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 71 | 6% | 12% | |
| 72 | 4% | 7% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 58 | 4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 67% | 94% | Median |
| 60 | 1.4% | 27% | |
| 61 | 5% | 26% | |
| 62 | 3% | 21% | |
| 63 | 2% | 18% | |
| 64 | 11% | 17% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 3% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 2% | 93% | |
| 57 | 2% | 91% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 59 | 76% | 88% | Median |
| 60 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 61 | 6% | 11% | |
| 62 | 2% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 65% | 97% | Median |
| 52 | 2% | 31% | |
| 53 | 4% | 29% | |
| 54 | 4% | 25% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 21% | |
| 56 | 6% | 20% | |
| 57 | 2% | 14% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 59 | 6% | 12% | |
| 60 | 3% | 6% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 53 | 4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 67% | 94% | Median |
| 55 | 3% | 27% | |
| 56 | 4% | 25% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 58 | 7% | 20% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 60 | 10% | 12% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 49 | 0.4% | 34% | |
| 50 | 3% | 33% | |
| 51 | 9% | 31% | |
| 52 | 4% | 21% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 54 | 6% | 16% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 56 | 6% | 10% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 6% | 95% | |
| 52 | 70% | 90% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 20% | |
| 54 | 8% | 17% | |
| 55 | 2% | 9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 4% | 98% | |
| 50 | 66% | 93% | Median |
| 51 | 2% | 27% | |
| 52 | 7% | 26% | |
| 53 | 5% | 19% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 55 | 5% | 14% | |
| 56 | 7% | 9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 66% | 96% | Median |
| 49 | 6% | 30% | |
| 50 | 6% | 24% | |
| 51 | 6% | 18% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 12% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 54 | 3% | 10% | |
| 55 | 6% | 7% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 68% | 99.9% | Median |
| 45 | 0% | 32% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 31% | |
| 47 | 7% | 30% | |
| 48 | 3% | 24% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 21% | |
| 50 | 6% | 20% | |
| 51 | 2% | 14% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 54 | 8% | 11% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 65% | 93% | Median |
| 46 | 2% | 28% | |
| 47 | 4% | 26% | |
| 48 | 4% | 23% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 18% | |
| 50 | 11% | 18% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 3% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 95% | |
| 44 | 68% | 93% | Median |
| 45 | 2% | 26% | |
| 46 | 3% | 24% | |
| 47 | 3% | 21% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 49 | 12% | 18% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 53 | 3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 4% | 100% | |
| 39 | 2% | 96% | |
| 40 | 66% | 94% | Median |
| 41 | 3% | 28% | |
| 42 | 2% | 25% | |
| 43 | 3% | 23% | |
| 44 | 5% | 19% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 14% | |
| 46 | 6% | 13% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 48 | 3% | 6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 2% | 96% | |
| 39 | 70% | 94% | Median |
| 40 | 0.4% | 24% | |
| 41 | 3% | 24% | |
| 42 | 2% | 21% | |
| 43 | 5% | 19% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 45 | 6% | 12% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 47 | 5% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 68% | 97% | Median |
| 40 | 9% | 29% | |
| 41 | 3% | 20% | |
| 42 | 11% | 17% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 6% | Last Result |
| 44 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 2% | 95% | |
| 35 | 68% | 93% | Median |
| 36 | 3% | 26% | |
| 37 | 2% | 22% | |
| 38 | 2% | 20% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 40 | 8% | 18% | |
| 41 | 9% | 10% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 65% | 99.7% | Median |
| 32 | 3% | 34% | |
| 33 | 3% | 32% | |
| 34 | 8% | 29% | |
| 35 | 3% | 20% | |
| 36 | 12% | 17% | |
| 37 | 3% | 5% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 25 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 4% | 95% | |
| 27 | 2% | 91% | |
| 28 | 7% | 89% | |
| 29 | 69% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 30 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 31 | 4% | 11% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 33 | 6% | 7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 8% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 5% | 91% | |
| 22 | 68% | 86% | Median |
| 23 | 4% | 18% | |
| 24 | 3% | 14% | Last Result |
| 25 | 4% | 11% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 27 | 6% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 65% | 99.8% | Median |
| 19 | 0.9% | 34% | |
| 20 | 6% | 33% | |
| 21 | 6% | 28% | |
| 22 | 9% | 21% | |
| 23 | 5% | 12% | |
| 24 | 6% | 7% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25–27 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1078
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.61%