Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 24–27 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
19.2% |
17.6–20.8% |
17.2–21.3% |
16.9–21.7% |
16.2–22.5% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.3% |
8.6–11.7% |
8.3–12.0% |
7.8–12.7% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.3% |
8.6–11.7% |
8.3–12.0% |
7.8–12.7% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
7.7% |
6.7–8.9% |
6.4–9.2% |
6.2–9.5% |
5.8–10.1% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
7.2% |
6.2–8.3% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.8–8.9% |
5.3–9.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.6% |
4.9–7.9% |
4.5–8.4% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.8% |
5.0–6.9% |
4.8–7.2% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.2–8.0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.1% |
4.5–7.3% |
4.1–7.9% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.2–6.6% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.7–7.3% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.7% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.3–5.3% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.0% |
2.4–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.0% |
2.4–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
2.0–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.6–4.2% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
25 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
26 |
3% |
92% |
|
27 |
10% |
89% |
|
28 |
5% |
80% |
|
29 |
18% |
75% |
|
30 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
31 |
30% |
47% |
|
32 |
8% |
16% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
34 |
7% |
8% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
15 |
35% |
97% |
|
16 |
37% |
61% |
Median |
17 |
11% |
24% |
Last Result |
18 |
4% |
14% |
|
19 |
8% |
10% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
39% |
99.7% |
|
14 |
2% |
61% |
|
15 |
26% |
59% |
Median |
16 |
10% |
34% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
24% |
|
18 |
0.9% |
23% |
|
19 |
22% |
22% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
10 |
16% |
98.7% |
|
11 |
44% |
82% |
Median |
12 |
17% |
39% |
|
13 |
19% |
21% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
8 |
19% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
9 |
3% |
81% |
|
10 |
16% |
77% |
|
11 |
5% |
61% |
|
12 |
38% |
56% |
Median |
13 |
16% |
19% |
|
14 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
24% |
92% |
|
9 |
16% |
68% |
Last Result |
10 |
29% |
51% |
Median |
11 |
13% |
22% |
|
12 |
9% |
9% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
20% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
30% |
79% |
Median |
9 |
18% |
49% |
Last Result |
10 |
28% |
31% |
|
11 |
3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
20% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
3% |
80% |
|
8 |
33% |
78% |
Median |
9 |
29% |
45% |
|
10 |
13% |
16% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
12% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
7 |
16% |
87% |
|
8 |
50% |
71% |
Median |
9 |
10% |
21% |
|
10 |
9% |
11% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
23% |
99.3% |
|
5 |
23% |
76% |
|
6 |
36% |
53% |
Median |
7 |
1.4% |
17% |
|
8 |
16% |
16% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
9% |
100% |
|
4 |
1.2% |
91% |
|
5 |
44% |
90% |
Median |
6 |
29% |
46% |
|
7 |
12% |
16% |
|
8 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
13% |
98.6% |
|
4 |
25% |
85% |
|
5 |
19% |
60% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
33% |
41% |
|
7 |
7% |
8% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
4% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
4 |
38% |
96% |
|
5 |
48% |
58% |
Median |
6 |
10% |
10% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
32% |
100% |
|
3 |
13% |
68% |
Last Result |
4 |
17% |
55% |
Median |
5 |
18% |
38% |
|
6 |
1.4% |
20% |
|
7 |
19% |
19% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
25% |
100% |
|
3 |
19% |
75% |
Last Result |
4 |
37% |
55% |
Median |
5 |
18% |
19% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
|
1 |
23% |
66% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
43% |
43% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
45% |
45% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
69 |
0.3% |
67–71 |
65–71 |
64–72 |
62–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
68 |
0% |
64–71 |
64–71 |
64–71 |
62–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
64 |
0% |
61–68 |
60–68 |
60–68 |
57–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
60 |
0% |
56–62 |
56–62 |
56–63 |
53–67 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
70 |
58 |
0% |
53–62 |
53–63 |
53–63 |
53–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
57 |
0% |
56–62 |
55–62 |
54–62 |
52–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
54 |
0% |
50–60 |
50–61 |
49–61 |
49–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
54 |
0% |
51–59 |
51–59 |
51–59 |
47–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
53 |
0% |
49–56 |
49–56 |
49–56 |
48–61 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
48 |
0% |
46–52 |
46–55 |
45–55 |
44–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
49 |
0% |
46–50 |
43–50 |
43–53 |
43–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
49 |
0% |
46–50 |
43–50 |
43–52 |
42–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
47 |
0% |
45–50 |
44–51 |
44–51 |
42–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
44 |
0% |
42–46 |
39–46 |
39–48 |
38–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
44 |
0% |
41–46 |
39–46 |
39–47 |
37–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
38 |
0% |
36–42 |
36–45 |
36–45 |
34–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
37 |
0% |
36–40 |
34–40 |
34–40 |
32–47 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
32 |
0% |
29–38 |
29–38 |
29–38 |
29–39 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
23 |
0% |
21–27 |
21–29 |
21–29 |
20–31 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
22 |
0% |
20–25 |
20–28 |
20–28 |
19–28 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
18 |
0% |
15–20 |
14–21 |
14–21 |
14–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
65 |
3% |
96% |
|
66 |
2% |
93% |
|
67 |
7% |
91% |
|
68 |
8% |
83% |
|
69 |
35% |
76% |
|
70 |
18% |
41% |
Median |
71 |
21% |
23% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.3% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
20% |
99.0% |
|
65 |
3% |
79% |
|
66 |
2% |
77% |
|
67 |
21% |
75% |
|
68 |
15% |
54% |
Median |
69 |
22% |
39% |
|
70 |
6% |
17% |
|
71 |
10% |
11% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
7% |
98.7% |
|
61 |
9% |
91% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
82% |
|
63 |
8% |
81% |
|
64 |
35% |
74% |
Median |
65 |
20% |
38% |
|
66 |
7% |
18% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
11% |
|
68 |
8% |
10% |
|
69 |
0% |
2% |
|
70 |
0% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
72 |
2% |
2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
56 |
15% |
98% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
83% |
|
58 |
6% |
81% |
|
59 |
18% |
76% |
Median |
60 |
30% |
58% |
|
61 |
13% |
28% |
|
62 |
11% |
14% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
64 |
0% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
66 |
0% |
2% |
|
67 |
2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
15% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
3% |
85% |
|
55 |
2% |
82% |
|
56 |
28% |
81% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
53% |
|
58 |
29% |
52% |
Median |
59 |
5% |
24% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
19% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
18% |
|
62 |
9% |
18% |
|
63 |
7% |
8% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
55 |
3% |
96% |
|
56 |
25% |
93% |
|
57 |
20% |
68% |
|
58 |
8% |
48% |
Median |
59 |
12% |
40% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
27% |
|
61 |
16% |
27% |
|
62 |
9% |
11% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
16% |
97% |
|
51 |
2% |
81% |
|
52 |
11% |
79% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
68% |
|
54 |
19% |
68% |
|
55 |
18% |
48% |
Median |
56 |
7% |
30% |
|
57 |
9% |
23% |
|
58 |
2% |
14% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
60 |
7% |
12% |
|
61 |
5% |
5% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
51 |
16% |
98% |
|
52 |
2% |
82% |
|
53 |
30% |
80% |
|
54 |
5% |
50% |
Median |
55 |
33% |
45% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
12% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
11% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
59 |
8% |
10% |
|
60 |
2% |
2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
10% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
16% |
90% |
|
51 |
2% |
74% |
|
52 |
3% |
72% |
|
53 |
22% |
69% |
Median |
54 |
8% |
47% |
|
55 |
15% |
39% |
|
56 |
23% |
24% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
46 |
18% |
97% |
|
47 |
7% |
78% |
|
48 |
34% |
71% |
|
49 |
11% |
37% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
26% |
Median |
51 |
7% |
25% |
|
52 |
10% |
18% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
55 |
7% |
8% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
46 |
4% |
92% |
|
47 |
9% |
88% |
|
48 |
8% |
79% |
Median |
49 |
42% |
71% |
|
50 |
25% |
29% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
53 |
2% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
7% |
99.4% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
46 |
12% |
91% |
|
47 |
8% |
79% |
|
48 |
17% |
72% |
Median |
49 |
36% |
55% |
|
50 |
15% |
19% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
52 |
2% |
3% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
44 |
8% |
99.0% |
|
45 |
17% |
91% |
|
46 |
22% |
74% |
|
47 |
9% |
52% |
|
48 |
5% |
43% |
Median |
49 |
10% |
38% |
|
50 |
19% |
28% |
|
51 |
7% |
9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
7% |
99.4% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
42 |
12% |
91% |
|
43 |
14% |
80% |
Median |
44 |
16% |
66% |
|
45 |
38% |
50% |
|
46 |
8% |
12% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
48 |
2% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
39 |
7% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
41 |
8% |
92% |
|
42 |
9% |
83% |
|
43 |
24% |
74% |
Median |
44 |
13% |
50% |
|
45 |
27% |
38% |
|
46 |
8% |
11% |
|
47 |
2% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
36 |
12% |
98.8% |
|
37 |
27% |
87% |
|
38 |
10% |
60% |
|
39 |
9% |
50% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
41% |
Median |
41 |
25% |
40% |
|
42 |
7% |
15% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
8% |
Last Result |
44 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
45 |
7% |
7% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
34 |
7% |
99.3% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
36 |
12% |
91% |
|
37 |
33% |
79% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
46% |
Median |
39 |
9% |
45% |
|
40 |
35% |
36% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
15% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
31 |
8% |
84% |
|
32 |
28% |
76% |
|
33 |
21% |
48% |
Median |
34 |
1.2% |
26% |
|
35 |
2% |
25% |
|
36 |
13% |
23% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
38 |
9% |
10% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
21 |
22% |
99.3% |
|
22 |
19% |
77% |
|
23 |
13% |
58% |
Median |
24 |
20% |
45% |
|
25 |
14% |
25% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
29 |
9% |
10% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
27% |
99.2% |
|
21 |
4% |
72% |
|
22 |
19% |
68% |
|
23 |
26% |
50% |
Median |
24 |
2% |
23% |
|
25 |
13% |
21% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
28 |
7% |
7% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
8% |
92% |
|
16 |
16% |
84% |
|
17 |
14% |
68% |
|
18 |
11% |
54% |
Median |
19 |
30% |
43% |
|
20 |
5% |
14% |
|
21 |
8% |
9% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 24–27 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1028
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.70%