Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 15–18 July 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 14.0% | 13.0–15.0% | 12.7–15.3% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 11.5% | 10.6–12.5% | 10.3–12.7% | 10.1–13.0% | 9.7–13.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 8.7% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.2–10.5% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8–8.3% | 6.6–8.5% | 6.4–8.7% | 6.1–9.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.7–7.2% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.4–7.6% | 5.1–8.0% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6–7.1% | 5.5–7.3% | 5.3–7.5% | 5.0–7.8% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.6–7.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.8% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.8–6.9% | 4.5–7.3% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.2% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1–4.2% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.7% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4–3.4% | 2.3–3.5% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–3.9% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.7% | 1.7–2.8% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 21 | 21–22 | 21–22 | 19–23 | 18–25 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 18 | 18–19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 17 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 15 | 13–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 8–13 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–12 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 7 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 20 | 2% | 97% | |
| 21 | 74% | 95% | Median |
| 22 | 19% | 21% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 18 | 81% | 95% | Median |
| 19 | 12% | 14% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 97% | |
| 15 | 7% | 95% | |
| 16 | 8% | 88% | |
| 17 | 78% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 18 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 11 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 13 | 8% | 92% | |
| 14 | 18% | 85% | |
| 15 | 66% | 67% | Median |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 14% | 98.9% | |
| 11 | 12% | 85% | |
| 12 | 5% | 73% | |
| 13 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 75% | 95% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 21% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 10% | 98% | Last Result |
| 10 | 72% | 88% | Median |
| 11 | 13% | 17% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 84% | 99.1% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 15% | Last Result |
| 10 | 9% | 12% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 66% | 99.9% | Median |
| 8 | 10% | 34% | |
| 9 | 19% | 25% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 67% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 18% | 33% | |
| 6 | 9% | 15% | |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 72% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 8% | 28% | Last Result |
| 6 | 18% | 20% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 85% | 99.1% | Median |
| 5 | 12% | 14% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 18% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 4% | 82% | |
| 5 | 76% | 79% | Median |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 88% | |
| 4 | 74% | 81% | Median |
| 5 | 7% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16% | 100% | |
| 3 | 82% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 16% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 2 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 76% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 15% | 19% | |
| 3 | 5% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 77% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 19% | 19% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 57 | 0% | 56–57 | 55–57 | 55–58 | 52–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 54 | 0% | 54–58 | 53–58 | 53–58 | 52–58 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 54 | 0% | 53–54 | 53–55 | 52–57 | 49–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 77 | 51 | 0% | 49–51 | 49–53 | 48–53 | 47–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 46 | 0% | 46–47 | 45–48 | 44–48 | 41–50 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 46 | 0% | 45–46 | 44–46 | 43–47 | 41–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 44 | 0% | 44–47 | 44–47 | 43–47 | 42–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 46 | 0% | 44–47 | 42–47 | 41–47 | 41–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 42 | 0% | 42–44 | 41–44 | 40–44 | 38–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 40 | 0% | 40–41 | 38–42 | 38–42 | 37–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 61 | 35 | 0% | 34–37 | 34–40 | 34–40 | 33–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 35 | 0% | 35–38 | 35–38 | 35–39 | 34–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 60 | 34 | 0% | 32–37 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 31–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 30 | 0% | 30–33 | 30–35 | 30–35 | 29–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 31 | 0% | 30–33 | 30–33 | 30–34 | 28–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 29 | 0% | 29–32 | 29–32 | 28–33 | 27–36 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 29 | 0% | 28–30 | 27–30 | 26–30 | 25–33 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 25 | 0% | 25–28 | 25–28 | 25–29 | 24–32 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 18 | 0% | 18–22 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 19 | 0% | 18–19 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 14 | 0% | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 4% | 98% | |
| 56 | 6% | 94% | |
| 57 | 85% | 88% | Median |
| 58 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 67% | 93% | Median |
| 55 | 4% | 26% | |
| 56 | 6% | 22% | |
| 57 | 3% | 16% | |
| 58 | 12% | 13% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 8% | 97% | |
| 54 | 82% | 89% | Median |
| 55 | 4% | 8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 13% | 97% | |
| 50 | 5% | 84% | |
| 51 | 69% | 79% | Median |
| 52 | 4% | 10% | |
| 53 | 5% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 45 | 3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 80% | 93% | Median |
| 47 | 7% | 14% | |
| 48 | 4% | 7% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 5% | 96% | |
| 45 | 10% | 91% | |
| 46 | 78% | 81% | Median |
| 47 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 44 | 72% | 97% | Median |
| 45 | 2% | 25% | |
| 46 | 7% | 23% | |
| 47 | 14% | 15% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 2% | 95% | |
| 44 | 7% | 93% | |
| 45 | 7% | 86% | |
| 46 | 67% | 79% | Median |
| 47 | 12% | 12% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 42 | 72% | 95% | Median |
| 43 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 44 | 19% | 21% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 92% | |
| 40 | 68% | 90% | Median |
| 41 | 16% | 22% | |
| 42 | 5% | 6% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 16% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 67% | 83% | Median |
| 36 | 2% | 16% | |
| 37 | 5% | 14% | |
| 38 | 4% | 10% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 40 | 4% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 66% | 98% | Median |
| 36 | 7% | 32% | |
| 37 | 5% | 25% | |
| 38 | 16% | 20% | |
| 39 | 3% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 12% | 98.7% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 34 | 70% | 86% | Median |
| 35 | 3% | 16% | |
| 36 | 3% | 13% | |
| 37 | 9% | 10% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 67% | 98% | Median |
| 31 | 16% | 31% | |
| 32 | 4% | 15% | |
| 33 | 4% | 12% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 35 | 5% | 6% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 30 | 9% | 98% | |
| 31 | 68% | 89% | Median |
| 32 | 4% | 20% | |
| 33 | 13% | 16% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 29 | 78% | 97% | Median |
| 30 | 2% | 20% | |
| 31 | 6% | 18% | |
| 32 | 9% | 12% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 2% | 95% | |
| 28 | 3% | 93% | |
| 29 | 72% | 90% | Median |
| 30 | 17% | 18% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 67% | 98% | Median |
| 26 | 1.3% | 31% | |
| 27 | 19% | 30% | |
| 28 | 8% | 11% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 18 | 66% | 99.3% | Median |
| 19 | 2% | 33% | |
| 20 | 6% | 32% | |
| 21 | 9% | 25% | |
| 22 | 13% | 17% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 4% | 97% | |
| 18 | 4% | 94% | |
| 19 | 83% | 89% | Median |
| 20 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 21 | 4% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 67% | 98.7% | Median |
| 15 | 6% | 32% | |
| 16 | 21% | 25% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15–18 July 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1953
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.60%