Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 5–6 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 14.0% | 13.2–14.8% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 21 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 19–24 | 19–25 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 18 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–21 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 15 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 13 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 13 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 13 | 12–13 | 12–15 | 12–17 | 11–17 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 3 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 17% | 97% | |
| 21 | 65% | 80% | Median |
| 22 | 11% | 15% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 24 | 3% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 64% | 98% | Median |
| 19 | 20% | 34% | |
| 20 | 12% | 14% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 79% | 96% | Median |
| 16 | 3% | 17% | |
| 17 | 12% | 14% | Last Result |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 6% | 98% | |
| 13 | 80% | 93% | Median |
| 14 | 6% | 13% | |
| 15 | 3% | 7% | |
| 16 | 5% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 3% | 97% | |
| 13 | 69% | 93% | Median |
| 14 | 18% | 24% | |
| 15 | 5% | 7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 18% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 71% | 81% | Median |
| 14 | 4% | 9% | |
| 15 | 2% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 3% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 7 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 23% | 95% | |
| 9 | 7% | 72% | |
| 10 | 65% | 65% | Median |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 4% | 100% | |
| 7 | 13% | 96% | |
| 8 | 9% | 83% | |
| 9 | 73% | 74% | Median |
| 10 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 26% | 97% | |
| 8 | 70% | 71% | Median |
| 9 | 1.4% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 74% | 99.9% | Median |
| 7 | 23% | 26% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 5% | 97% | |
| 6 | 75% | 92% | Median |
| 7 | 15% | 18% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 24% | 98% | |
| 5 | 70% | 73% | Median |
| 6 | 2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 13% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 4 | 18% | 86% | |
| 5 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 71% | 96% | Median |
| 4 | 14% | 26% | |
| 5 | 11% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 19% | 100% | |
| 3 | 79% | 81% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 74% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 22% | 26% | |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | |
| 1 | 79% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 67% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 29% | 33% | |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 86 | 59 | 0% | 59–61 | 59–64 | 59–64 | 58–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 87 | 59 | 0% | 59–62 | 58–63 | 57–64 | 57–64 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 70 | 59 | 0% | 59–62 | 59–62 | 58–63 | 55–63 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 51 | 0% | 51–54 | 51–55 | 51–55 | 49–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 50 | 0% | 50–51 | 49–52 | 48–53 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 47 | 0% | 45–50 | 45–51 | 45–52 | 44–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 78 | 46 | 0% | 46–48 | 45–51 | 45–51 | 45–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 45 | 0% | 45–47 | 45–48 | 45–49 | 44–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 42 | 0% | 42–44 | 41–45 | 41–45 | 41–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 40 | 0% | 39–42 | 39–44 | 39–44 | 37–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 40 | 0% | 39–42 | 38–42 | 38–43 | 38–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 34 | 0% | 32–35 | 32–37 | 32–39 | 32–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 36 | 0% | 34–37 | 33–37 | 33–38 | 32–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 35 | 0% | 34–36 | 33–37 | 33–37 | 32–39 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 32 | 0% | 32–34 | 31–34 | 30–35 | 30–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 31 | 0% | 30–33 | 30–34 | 29–34 | 29–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 30 | 0% | 30–32 | 29–33 | 29–34 | 29–34 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 27 | 0% | 26–28 | 26–29 | 25–30 | 25–31 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 29 | 25 | 0% | 25–27 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 24–29 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 19 | 0% | 19–20 | 18–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 19 | 0% | 19–20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 66% | 98.8% | Median |
| 60 | 9% | 33% | |
| 61 | 15% | 24% | |
| 62 | 3% | 9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 64 | 4% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 59 | 73% | 95% | Median |
| 60 | 5% | 22% | |
| 61 | 5% | 17% | |
| 62 | 4% | 12% | |
| 63 | 4% | 8% | |
| 64 | 4% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 59 | 67% | 97% | Median |
| 60 | 16% | 29% | |
| 61 | 2% | 13% | |
| 62 | 8% | 11% | |
| 63 | 3% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 64% | 98% | Median |
| 52 | 6% | 34% | |
| 53 | 17% | 28% | |
| 54 | 4% | 11% | |
| 55 | 6% | 7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 70% | 93% | Median |
| 51 | 17% | 23% | |
| 52 | 4% | 7% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 16% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 3% | 84% | |
| 47 | 65% | 81% | Median |
| 48 | 2% | 15% | |
| 49 | 2% | 13% | |
| 50 | 2% | 11% | |
| 51 | 6% | 9% | |
| 52 | 3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 63% | 91% | Median |
| 47 | 15% | 29% | |
| 48 | 5% | 14% | |
| 49 | 2% | 9% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 51 | 5% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 66% | 98.5% | Median |
| 46 | 7% | 32% | |
| 47 | 17% | 26% | |
| 48 | 4% | 8% | |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 76% | 95% | Median |
| 43 | 6% | 19% | |
| 44 | 5% | 13% | |
| 45 | 7% | 8% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 9% | 98% | |
| 40 | 76% | 90% | Median |
| 41 | 3% | 14% | |
| 42 | 4% | 11% | |
| 43 | 2% | 7% | |
| 44 | 4% | 5% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 12% | 93% | |
| 40 | 63% | 81% | Median |
| 41 | 6% | 18% | |
| 42 | 8% | 12% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 17% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 34 | 68% | 82% | Median |
| 35 | 6% | 14% | |
| 36 | 2% | 8% | |
| 37 | 3% | 6% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 39 | 3% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 12% | 93% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 81% | |
| 36 | 64% | 80% | Median |
| 37 | 13% | 16% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 9% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 10% | 91% | |
| 35 | 64% | 81% | Median |
| 36 | 12% | 17% | |
| 37 | 4% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 5% | 97% | |
| 32 | 76% | 93% | Median |
| 33 | 3% | 17% | |
| 34 | 9% | 14% | |
| 35 | 5% | 5% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 12% | 95% | |
| 31 | 65% | 84% | Median |
| 32 | 1.5% | 18% | |
| 33 | 11% | 17% | |
| 34 | 4% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 71% | 93% | Median |
| 31 | 4% | 22% | |
| 32 | 12% | 18% | |
| 33 | 2% | 6% | |
| 34 | 4% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 8% | 97% | |
| 27 | 77% | 89% | Median |
| 28 | 5% | 12% | |
| 29 | 2% | 6% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 64% | 93% | Median |
| 26 | 19% | 29% | |
| 27 | 6% | 11% | |
| 28 | 3% | 5% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 2% | 96% | |
| 19 | 71% | 93% | Median |
| 20 | 13% | 23% | |
| 21 | 5% | 10% | |
| 22 | 5% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 80% | 91% | Median |
| 20 | 4% | 11% | |
| 21 | 6% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–6 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.55%