Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 26–27 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 13.4% | 12.6–14.2% | 12.4–14.5% | 12.2–14.7% | 11.9–15.1% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 12.7% | 12.0–13.5% | 11.8–13.8% | 11.6–14.0% | 11.2–14.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.7–12.2% | 10.5–12.4% | 10.3–12.6% | 10.0–13.0% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.1–9.4% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.1% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.3–8.9% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.3–8.9% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.4% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.8–5.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0–3.8% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.8–4.1% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 21 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 18–23 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 20 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–19 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 22% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 20 | 10% | 78% | |
| 21 | 21% | 68% | Median |
| 22 | 0.4% | 46% | |
| 23 | 46% | 46% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 9% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 19 | 29% | 90% | |
| 20 | 35% | 61% | Median |
| 21 | 26% | 26% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 19% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 19 | 79% | 80% | Median |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98% | |
| 13 | 38% | 95% | |
| 14 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 15 | 21% | 43% | |
| 16 | 22% | 22% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5% | 100% | |
| 11 | 5% | 95% | |
| 12 | 54% | 90% | Median |
| 13 | 24% | 36% | |
| 14 | 12% | 12% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 12 | 64% | 96% | Median |
| 13 | 27% | 32% | |
| 14 | 5% | 5% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 65% | 92% | Median |
| 10 | 27% | 27% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 23% | 100% | |
| 8 | 33% | 77% | Median |
| 9 | 39% | 44% | |
| 10 | 6% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 62% | 100% | Median |
| 7 | 26% | 38% | |
| 8 | 12% | 12% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 33% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 61% | 67% | Median |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 32% | 100% | |
| 5 | 48% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 17% | 20% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 58% | 87% | Median |
| 6 | 29% | 29% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 54% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 11% | 46% | |
| 5 | 35% | 35% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 40% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 59% | 60% | Median |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 85% | 98.7% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 12% | 14% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 34% | 34% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34% | 100% | |
| 1 | 66% | 66% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 57% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 43% | 43% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 58 | 0% | 57–61 | 55–63 | 55–63 | 55–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 56 | 0% | 55–61 | 55–61 | 55–61 | 54–62 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 57 | 0% | 52–59 | 52–60 | 52–60 | 52–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 53 | 0% | 49–56 | 49–56 | 49–56 | 49–56 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 50 | 0% | 46–53 | 46–53 | 46–53 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 50 | 0% | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 45 | 0% | 44–49 | 44–49 | 43–49 | 43–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 44 | 0% | 42–49 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 41–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 46 | 0% | 43–47 | 43–47 | 43–47 | 43–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 39 | 0% | 37–43 | 36–43 | 36–43 | 36–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 40 | 0% | 37–41 | 37–41 | 37–42 | 37–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 35 | 0% | 30–37 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 30–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 34 | 0% | 30–37 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 30–37 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 34 | 0% | 31–35 | 31–35 | 30–36 | 30–36 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 32 | 0% | 27–32 | 27–33 | 27–34 | 27–34 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 31 | 0% | 27–32 | 27–33 | 27–33 | 27–33 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 30 | 0% | 29–32 | 29–32 | 29–32 | 28–33 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 27 | 0% | 24–29 | 24–29 | 24–29 | 24–30 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 23 | 0% | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 18 | 0% | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 18 | 0% | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 57 | 33% | 93% | |
| 58 | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 59 | 24% | 38% | |
| 60 | 2% | 14% | |
| 61 | 3% | 12% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 63 | 9% | 9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 55 | 29% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 53% | 71% | Median |
| 57 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 58 | 3% | 17% | |
| 59 | 2% | 14% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 61 | 9% | 11% | |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 32% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 68% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 55 | 7% | 68% | Median |
| 56 | 3% | 60% | |
| 57 | 26% | 57% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 32% | |
| 59 | 22% | 31% | |
| 60 | 9% | 9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 22% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 51 | 3% | 78% | |
| 52 | 17% | 75% | |
| 53 | 23% | 58% | Median |
| 54 | 2% | 35% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 33% | |
| 56 | 32% | 32% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 32% | 100% | |
| 47 | 2% | 68% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 65% | |
| 49 | 8% | 65% | Median |
| 50 | 23% | 57% | |
| 51 | 3% | 34% | |
| 52 | 9% | 31% | |
| 53 | 22% | 22% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 24% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 48 | 8% | 75% | |
| 49 | 9% | 67% | |
| 50 | 25% | 58% | Median |
| 51 | 33% | 33% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 30% | 97% | |
| 45 | 21% | 68% | Median |
| 46 | 0.3% | 46% | |
| 47 | 35% | 46% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 49 | 11% | 11% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 22% | 95% | |
| 43 | 3% | 73% | |
| 44 | 53% | 71% | Median |
| 45 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 46 | 3% | 17% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 48 | 3% | 14% | |
| 49 | 11% | 11% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 25% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 3% | 75% | |
| 45 | 5% | 72% | |
| 46 | 32% | 67% | Median |
| 47 | 35% | 35% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 24% | 95% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 39 | 21% | 70% | Median |
| 40 | 35% | 49% | |
| 41 | 3% | 14% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 43 | 11% | 11% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 25% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 75% | |
| 39 | 21% | 72% | Median |
| 40 | 37% | 51% | |
| 41 | 9% | 14% | |
| 42 | 2% | 5% | |
| 43 | 2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 22% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 34 | 5% | 78% | Median |
| 35 | 32% | 72% | |
| 36 | 3% | 41% | |
| 37 | 37% | 38% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 22% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 33 | 5% | 78% | |
| 34 | 23% | 73% | Median |
| 35 | 12% | 49% | |
| 36 | 3% | 38% | |
| 37 | 35% | 35% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 3% | 100% | |
| 31 | 22% | 97% | |
| 32 | 2% | 75% | |
| 33 | 22% | 73% | Median |
| 34 | 5% | 51% | |
| 35 | 41% | 46% | |
| 36 | 4% | 5% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 22% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 30 | 7% | 78% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 71% | Median |
| 32 | 65% | 70% | |
| 33 | 2% | 5% | |
| 34 | 3% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 22% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 29 | 7% | 78% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 71% | |
| 31 | 24% | 70% | Median |
| 32 | 41% | 46% | |
| 33 | 5% | 5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 29 | 35% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 28% | 64% | Median |
| 31 | 3% | 36% | |
| 32 | 31% | 33% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 22% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 26 | 8% | 78% | |
| 27 | 24% | 70% | Median |
| 28 | 33% | 46% | |
| 29 | 11% | 13% | |
| 30 | 2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 33% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 67% | |
| 23 | 21% | 67% | Median |
| 24 | 35% | 46% | |
| 25 | 7% | 11% | |
| 26 | 3% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 5% | 100% | |
| 17 | 38% | 95% | |
| 18 | 21% | 57% | Median |
| 19 | 22% | 36% | |
| 20 | 11% | 14% | |
| 21 | 3% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 35% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 32% | 64% | Median |
| 19 | 25% | 32% | |
| 20 | 7% | 8% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26–27 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.71%