Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 26–29 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 17.1% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.9–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.3–12.9% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.6% | 9.1–14.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.4% | 9.0–14.1% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 10.1% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.7–11.8% | 8.4–12.2% | 7.9–12.8% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 24 | 22–30 | 22–30 | 22–31 | 21–32 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 18 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 14–22 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 19 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–23 | 14–25 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 16 | 14–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–19 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 10 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–13 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 6 | 4–8 | 4–10 | 4–10 | 4–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 3–8 | 3–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 3 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–7 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 0–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 23 | 21% | 90% | |
| 24 | 27% | 69% | Median |
| 25 | 8% | 42% | |
| 26 | 8% | 35% | |
| 27 | 10% | 27% | |
| 28 | 3% | 17% | |
| 29 | 2% | 14% | |
| 30 | 9% | 12% | |
| 31 | 3% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 16 | 31% | 96% | |
| 17 | 7% | 65% | Last Result |
| 18 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 19 | 28% | 39% | |
| 20 | 3% | 11% | |
| 21 | 5% | 9% | |
| 22 | 4% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 17% | 97% | |
| 16 | 4% | 80% | |
| 17 | 13% | 76% | |
| 18 | 5% | 63% | |
| 19 | 34% | 58% | Median |
| 20 | 18% | 24% | |
| 21 | 2% | 6% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 23 | 3% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 97% | |
| 13 | 3% | 95% | |
| 14 | 12% | 92% | |
| 15 | 28% | 80% | |
| 16 | 36% | 52% | Median |
| 17 | 11% | 16% | |
| 18 | 2% | 5% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 8% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 33% | 92% | |
| 10 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 11 | 10% | 36% | |
| 12 | 4% | 26% | |
| 13 | 15% | 22% | |
| 14 | 5% | 7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 12% | 98% | |
| 8 | 10% | 85% | |
| 9 | 34% | 75% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 41% | |
| 11 | 21% | 23% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 7% | 92% | |
| 8 | 21% | 86% | |
| 9 | 34% | 65% | Median |
| 10 | 27% | 31% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 7 | 11% | 95% | |
| 8 | 6% | 84% | |
| 9 | 53% | 78% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 25% | |
| 11 | 4% | 6% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 12% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 22% | 87% | |
| 8 | 49% | 65% | Median |
| 9 | 7% | 16% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 9% | |
| 11 | 6% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 23% | 100% | |
| 5 | 19% | 77% | |
| 6 | 17% | 58% | Median |
| 7 | 17% | 41% | |
| 8 | 16% | 24% | |
| 9 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 18% | 96% | |
| 5 | 29% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 31% | 50% | |
| 7 | 7% | 19% | |
| 8 | 12% | 12% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 35% | 100% | |
| 3 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 4 | 12% | 47% | |
| 5 | 26% | 35% | |
| 6 | 8% | 9% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 32% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 19% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 30% | 48% | |
| 5 | 6% | 17% | |
| 6 | 11% | 12% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 39% | 93% | Last Result |
| 4 | 47% | 54% | Median |
| 5 | 3% | 6% | |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 50% | 91% | Median |
| 3 | 38% | 41% | Last Result |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | |
| 1 | 58% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 8% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | |
| 1 | 81% | 85% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 68 | 1.3% | 64–71 | 64–71 | 62–73 | 62–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 87 | 66 | 0% | 63–67 | 62–69 | 59–71 | 59–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 60 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–64 | 52–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 57 | 0% | 55–60 | 54–62 | 53–63 | 50–64 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 56 | 0% | 52–61 | 52–61 | 50–63 | 48–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 56 | 0% | 50–59 | 50–59 | 49–60 | 49–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 52 | 0% | 48–54 | 47–57 | 47–58 | 46–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 53 | 0% | 48–56 | 47–56 | 47–57 | 45–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 51 | 0% | 47–55 | 47–56 | 47–56 | 46–59 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 61 | 52 | 0% | 44–55 | 44–55 | 43–55 | 41–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 42 | 0% | 38–47 | 37–47 | 37–47 | 36–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 58 | 42 | 0% | 38–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 37–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 41 | 0% | 37–46 | 36–46 | 36–46 | 35–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 40 | 0% | 34–41 | 34–42 | 34–42 | 33–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 39 | 0% | 34–40 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 32–44 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 48 | 36 | 0% | 30–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 32 | 0% | 30–37 | 29–39 | 28–39 | 28–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 34 | 0% | 31–38 | 31–38 | 31–38 | 29–40 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 28 | 0% | 23–29 | 23–30 | 22–32 | 21–32 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 29 | 22 | 0% | 19–24 | 18–26 | 18–28 | 17–28 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 24 | 17 | 0% | 14–19 | 13–20 | 13–20 | 12–22 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 64 | 7% | 96% | |
| 65 | 7% | 89% | |
| 66 | 4% | 83% | |
| 67 | 13% | 79% | Median |
| 68 | 30% | 66% | |
| 69 | 6% | 36% | |
| 70 | 20% | 30% | |
| 71 | 6% | 10% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 4% | 95% | |
| 63 | 10% | 91% | |
| 64 | 11% | 80% | |
| 65 | 19% | 69% | Median |
| 66 | 15% | 50% | |
| 67 | 26% | 35% | |
| 68 | 3% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 71 | 3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 54 | 14% | 94% | |
| 55 | 2% | 80% | |
| 56 | 2% | 78% | |
| 57 | 6% | 76% | Median |
| 58 | 6% | 70% | |
| 59 | 10% | 64% | |
| 60 | 28% | 54% | |
| 61 | 8% | 26% | |
| 62 | 11% | 18% | |
| 63 | 4% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 95% | |
| 55 | 7% | 92% | |
| 56 | 14% | 85% | |
| 57 | 23% | 71% | Median |
| 58 | 10% | 48% | |
| 59 | 27% | 38% | |
| 60 | 3% | 11% | |
| 61 | 2% | 8% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 63 | 3% | 5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 52 | 7% | 96% | |
| 53 | 5% | 89% | |
| 54 | 4% | 85% | |
| 55 | 2% | 80% | |
| 56 | 34% | 79% | |
| 57 | 7% | 45% | Median |
| 58 | 4% | 37% | |
| 59 | 9% | 33% | |
| 60 | 6% | 24% | |
| 61 | 14% | 18% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 49 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 13% | 95% | |
| 51 | 2% | 82% | |
| 52 | 2% | 80% | |
| 53 | 7% | 78% | |
| 54 | 6% | 71% | Median |
| 55 | 8% | 65% | |
| 56 | 13% | 57% | |
| 57 | 6% | 44% | |
| 58 | 27% | 37% | |
| 59 | 7% | 10% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 4% | 98% | |
| 48 | 4% | 94% | |
| 49 | 5% | 90% | |
| 50 | 8% | 85% | |
| 51 | 11% | 76% | |
| 52 | 16% | 65% | Median |
| 53 | 33% | 49% | |
| 54 | 7% | 17% | |
| 55 | 2% | 10% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 57 | 3% | 6% | |
| 58 | 3% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 13% | 94% | |
| 49 | 6% | 81% | |
| 50 | 11% | 75% | |
| 51 | 6% | 63% | Median |
| 52 | 3% | 57% | |
| 53 | 35% | 54% | |
| 54 | 8% | 20% | |
| 55 | 2% | 12% | |
| 56 | 7% | 10% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 9% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 3% | 90% | |
| 49 | 10% | 87% | |
| 50 | 6% | 77% | |
| 51 | 41% | 72% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 30% | |
| 53 | 5% | 17% | |
| 54 | 2% | 13% | |
| 55 | 4% | 11% | |
| 56 | 4% | 7% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 7% | 97% | |
| 45 | 4% | 89% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 84% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 49 | 14% | 82% | |
| 50 | 5% | 69% | |
| 51 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 52 | 29% | 53% | |
| 53 | 2% | 24% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 55 | 18% | 21% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 6% | 98% | |
| 38 | 4% | 93% | |
| 39 | 18% | 89% | |
| 40 | 4% | 71% | Median |
| 41 | 4% | 67% | |
| 42 | 34% | 63% | |
| 43 | 7% | 30% | |
| 44 | 7% | 23% | |
| 45 | 2% | 16% | |
| 46 | 3% | 14% | |
| 47 | 10% | 11% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 8% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 88% | |
| 40 | 18% | 86% | |
| 41 | 14% | 68% | Median |
| 42 | 24% | 55% | |
| 43 | 12% | 31% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 18% | |
| 45 | 11% | 17% | |
| 46 | 3% | 6% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 5% | 94% | |
| 38 | 13% | 89% | |
| 39 | 7% | 76% | Median |
| 40 | 4% | 68% | |
| 41 | 34% | 64% | |
| 42 | 7% | 31% | |
| 43 | 8% | 24% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 45 | 4% | 15% | |
| 46 | 9% | 10% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 9% | 98.5% | |
| 35 | 17% | 90% | |
| 36 | 2% | 73% | |
| 37 | 7% | 71% | Median |
| 38 | 7% | 65% | |
| 39 | 8% | 58% | |
| 40 | 34% | 50% | |
| 41 | 9% | 16% | |
| 42 | 5% | 7% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 9% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 15% | 91% | |
| 35 | 5% | 76% | |
| 36 | 5% | 71% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 66% | |
| 38 | 7% | 58% | |
| 39 | 33% | 51% | |
| 40 | 11% | 18% | |
| 41 | 4% | 7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 30 | 9% | 97% | |
| 31 | 6% | 88% | |
| 32 | 7% | 82% | |
| 33 | 6% | 75% | |
| 34 | 10% | 69% | |
| 35 | 7% | 59% | |
| 36 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 37 | 38% | 44% | |
| 38 | 3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 3% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 3% | 100% | |
| 29 | 5% | 97% | |
| 30 | 4% | 92% | |
| 31 | 15% | 88% | |
| 32 | 31% | 74% | Median |
| 33 | 10% | 43% | |
| 34 | 11% | 33% | |
| 35 | 4% | 21% | |
| 36 | 2% | 18% | |
| 37 | 9% | 16% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 39 | 5% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 31 | 14% | 98% | |
| 32 | 19% | 85% | |
| 33 | 8% | 66% | Median |
| 34 | 26% | 57% | |
| 35 | 10% | 31% | |
| 36 | 4% | 21% | |
| 37 | 6% | 17% | |
| 38 | 9% | 11% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 22 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 23 | 12% | 96% | |
| 24 | 10% | 84% | |
| 25 | 11% | 74% | |
| 26 | 2% | 62% | |
| 27 | 4% | 60% | |
| 28 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 29 | 41% | 48% | |
| 30 | 3% | 7% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 6% | 98% | |
| 19 | 9% | 92% | |
| 20 | 9% | 83% | |
| 21 | 11% | 74% | |
| 22 | 17% | 63% | Median |
| 23 | 8% | 46% | |
| 24 | 30% | 38% | |
| 25 | 2% | 9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 6% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 28 | 3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 6% | 95% | |
| 15 | 22% | 89% | |
| 16 | 14% | 68% | |
| 17 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 18 | 25% | 36% | |
| 19 | 4% | 11% | |
| 20 | 5% | 7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.38%