Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 26–29 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
17.1% |
15.6–18.7% |
15.2–19.1% |
14.9–19.5% |
14.2–20.3% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
11.5% |
10.3–12.9% |
10.0–13.3% |
9.7–13.6% |
9.1–14.3% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
11.3% |
10.1–12.7% |
9.8–13.1% |
9.5–13.4% |
9.0–14.1% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
10.1% |
9.0–11.4% |
8.7–11.8% |
8.4–12.2% |
7.9–12.8% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
7.1% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.9–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.4% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.4–8.3% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
5.8% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.1% |
4.5–7.4% |
4.1–7.9% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
5.8% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.1% |
4.5–7.4% |
4.1–7.9% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
5.5% |
4.6–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
4.2–7.1% |
3.9–7.6% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.8–6.0% |
3.6–6.3% |
3.3–6.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.1–5.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.7% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.7–2.8% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
9% |
98.8% |
|
23 |
21% |
90% |
|
24 |
27% |
69% |
Median |
25 |
8% |
42% |
|
26 |
8% |
35% |
|
27 |
10% |
27% |
|
28 |
3% |
17% |
|
29 |
2% |
14% |
|
30 |
9% |
12% |
|
31 |
3% |
3% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
14 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
15 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
16 |
31% |
96% |
|
17 |
7% |
65% |
Last Result |
18 |
18% |
58% |
Median |
19 |
28% |
39% |
|
20 |
3% |
11% |
|
21 |
5% |
9% |
|
22 |
4% |
4% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
17% |
97% |
|
16 |
4% |
80% |
|
17 |
13% |
76% |
|
18 |
5% |
63% |
|
19 |
34% |
58% |
Median |
20 |
18% |
24% |
|
21 |
2% |
6% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
23 |
3% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
25 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
97% |
|
13 |
3% |
95% |
|
14 |
12% |
92% |
|
15 |
28% |
80% |
|
16 |
36% |
52% |
Median |
17 |
11% |
16% |
|
18 |
2% |
5% |
|
19 |
2% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
8% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
9 |
33% |
92% |
|
10 |
23% |
59% |
Median |
11 |
10% |
36% |
|
12 |
4% |
26% |
|
13 |
15% |
22% |
|
14 |
5% |
7% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
12% |
98% |
|
8 |
10% |
85% |
|
9 |
34% |
75% |
Median |
10 |
18% |
41% |
|
11 |
21% |
23% |
|
12 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
7% |
92% |
|
8 |
21% |
86% |
|
9 |
34% |
65% |
Median |
10 |
27% |
31% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
2% |
100% |
|
6 |
4% |
98% |
Last Result |
7 |
11% |
95% |
|
8 |
6% |
84% |
|
9 |
53% |
78% |
Median |
10 |
19% |
25% |
|
11 |
4% |
6% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
6 |
12% |
99.4% |
|
7 |
22% |
87% |
|
8 |
49% |
65% |
Median |
9 |
7% |
16% |
Last Result |
10 |
3% |
9% |
|
11 |
6% |
6% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
23% |
100% |
|
5 |
19% |
77% |
|
6 |
17% |
58% |
Median |
7 |
17% |
41% |
|
8 |
16% |
24% |
|
9 |
3% |
9% |
Last Result |
10 |
5% |
6% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
18% |
96% |
|
5 |
29% |
78% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
31% |
50% |
|
7 |
7% |
19% |
|
8 |
12% |
12% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
35% |
100% |
|
3 |
18% |
65% |
Median |
4 |
12% |
47% |
|
5 |
26% |
35% |
|
6 |
8% |
9% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
32% |
98.8% |
|
3 |
19% |
67% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
30% |
48% |
|
5 |
6% |
17% |
|
6 |
11% |
12% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
39% |
93% |
Last Result |
4 |
47% |
54% |
Median |
5 |
3% |
6% |
|
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
1 |
8% |
99.3% |
|
2 |
50% |
91% |
Median |
3 |
38% |
41% |
Last Result |
4 |
4% |
4% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
33% |
100% |
|
1 |
58% |
67% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
8% |
9% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
15% |
100% |
|
1 |
81% |
85% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
68 |
1.3% |
64–71 |
64–71 |
62–73 |
62–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
87 |
66 |
0% |
63–67 |
62–69 |
59–71 |
59–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
60 |
0% |
54–62 |
53–63 |
52–64 |
52–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
57 |
0% |
55–60 |
54–62 |
53–63 |
50–64 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
56 |
0% |
52–61 |
52–61 |
50–63 |
48–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
56 |
0% |
50–59 |
50–59 |
49–60 |
49–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
52 |
0% |
48–54 |
47–57 |
47–58 |
46–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
53 |
0% |
48–56 |
47–56 |
47–57 |
45–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
51 |
0% |
47–55 |
47–56 |
47–56 |
46–59 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
61 |
52 |
0% |
44–55 |
44–55 |
43–55 |
41–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
42 |
0% |
38–47 |
37–47 |
37–47 |
36–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
58 |
42 |
0% |
38–45 |
38–46 |
37–47 |
37–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
41 |
0% |
37–46 |
36–46 |
36–46 |
35–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
40 |
0% |
34–41 |
34–42 |
34–42 |
33–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
39 |
0% |
34–40 |
33–41 |
33–42 |
32–44 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
48 |
36 |
0% |
30–37 |
30–38 |
29–39 |
28–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
32 |
0% |
30–37 |
29–39 |
28–39 |
28–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
34 |
0% |
31–38 |
31–38 |
31–38 |
29–40 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
28 |
0% |
23–29 |
23–30 |
22–32 |
21–32 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
29 |
22 |
0% |
19–24 |
18–26 |
18–28 |
17–28 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
24 |
17 |
0% |
14–19 |
13–20 |
13–20 |
12–22 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
64 |
7% |
96% |
|
65 |
7% |
89% |
|
66 |
4% |
83% |
|
67 |
13% |
79% |
Median |
68 |
30% |
66% |
|
69 |
6% |
36% |
|
70 |
20% |
30% |
|
71 |
6% |
10% |
|
72 |
2% |
5% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
61 |
2% |
97% |
|
62 |
4% |
95% |
|
63 |
10% |
91% |
|
64 |
11% |
80% |
|
65 |
19% |
69% |
Median |
66 |
15% |
50% |
|
67 |
26% |
35% |
|
68 |
3% |
9% |
|
69 |
2% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
71 |
3% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
54 |
14% |
94% |
|
55 |
2% |
80% |
|
56 |
2% |
78% |
|
57 |
6% |
76% |
Median |
58 |
6% |
70% |
|
59 |
10% |
64% |
|
60 |
28% |
54% |
|
61 |
8% |
26% |
|
62 |
11% |
18% |
|
63 |
4% |
7% |
|
64 |
2% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
53 |
3% |
98% |
|
54 |
3% |
95% |
|
55 |
7% |
92% |
|
56 |
14% |
85% |
|
57 |
23% |
71% |
Median |
58 |
10% |
48% |
|
59 |
27% |
38% |
|
60 |
3% |
11% |
|
61 |
2% |
8% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
63 |
3% |
5% |
|
64 |
2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
2% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
50 |
2% |
98% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
52 |
7% |
96% |
|
53 |
5% |
89% |
|
54 |
4% |
85% |
|
55 |
2% |
80% |
|
56 |
34% |
79% |
|
57 |
7% |
45% |
Median |
58 |
4% |
37% |
|
59 |
9% |
33% |
|
60 |
6% |
24% |
|
61 |
14% |
18% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
49 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
13% |
95% |
|
51 |
2% |
82% |
|
52 |
2% |
80% |
|
53 |
7% |
78% |
|
54 |
6% |
71% |
Median |
55 |
8% |
65% |
|
56 |
13% |
57% |
|
57 |
6% |
44% |
|
58 |
27% |
37% |
|
59 |
7% |
10% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
4% |
98% |
|
48 |
4% |
94% |
|
49 |
5% |
90% |
|
50 |
8% |
85% |
|
51 |
11% |
76% |
|
52 |
16% |
65% |
Median |
53 |
33% |
49% |
|
54 |
7% |
17% |
|
55 |
2% |
10% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
57 |
3% |
6% |
|
58 |
3% |
4% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
48 |
13% |
94% |
|
49 |
6% |
81% |
|
50 |
11% |
75% |
|
51 |
6% |
63% |
Median |
52 |
3% |
57% |
|
53 |
35% |
54% |
|
54 |
8% |
20% |
|
55 |
2% |
12% |
|
56 |
7% |
10% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
9% |
98.9% |
|
48 |
3% |
90% |
|
49 |
10% |
87% |
|
50 |
6% |
77% |
|
51 |
41% |
72% |
Median |
52 |
13% |
30% |
|
53 |
5% |
17% |
|
54 |
2% |
13% |
|
55 |
4% |
11% |
|
56 |
4% |
7% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
41 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
43 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
44 |
7% |
97% |
|
45 |
4% |
89% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
85% |
|
47 |
1.4% |
84% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
83% |
|
49 |
14% |
82% |
|
50 |
5% |
69% |
|
51 |
11% |
64% |
Median |
52 |
29% |
53% |
|
53 |
2% |
24% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
22% |
|
55 |
18% |
21% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
6% |
98% |
|
38 |
4% |
93% |
|
39 |
18% |
89% |
|
40 |
4% |
71% |
Median |
41 |
4% |
67% |
|
42 |
34% |
63% |
|
43 |
7% |
30% |
|
44 |
7% |
23% |
|
45 |
2% |
16% |
|
46 |
3% |
14% |
|
47 |
10% |
11% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
8% |
97% |
|
39 |
2% |
88% |
|
40 |
18% |
86% |
|
41 |
14% |
68% |
Median |
42 |
24% |
55% |
|
43 |
12% |
31% |
|
44 |
1.3% |
18% |
|
45 |
11% |
17% |
|
46 |
3% |
6% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
5% |
94% |
|
38 |
13% |
89% |
|
39 |
7% |
76% |
Median |
40 |
4% |
68% |
|
41 |
34% |
64% |
|
42 |
7% |
31% |
|
43 |
8% |
24% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
16% |
|
45 |
4% |
15% |
|
46 |
9% |
10% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
9% |
98.5% |
|
35 |
17% |
90% |
|
36 |
2% |
73% |
|
37 |
7% |
71% |
Median |
38 |
7% |
65% |
|
39 |
8% |
58% |
|
40 |
34% |
50% |
|
41 |
9% |
16% |
|
42 |
5% |
7% |
|
43 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
9% |
99.5% |
|
34 |
15% |
91% |
|
35 |
5% |
76% |
|
36 |
5% |
71% |
Median |
37 |
8% |
66% |
|
38 |
7% |
58% |
|
39 |
33% |
51% |
|
40 |
11% |
18% |
|
41 |
4% |
7% |
|
42 |
2% |
4% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
28 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
30 |
9% |
97% |
|
31 |
6% |
88% |
|
32 |
7% |
82% |
|
33 |
6% |
75% |
|
34 |
10% |
69% |
|
35 |
7% |
59% |
|
36 |
8% |
52% |
Median |
37 |
38% |
44% |
|
38 |
3% |
6% |
|
39 |
3% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
3% |
100% |
|
29 |
5% |
97% |
|
30 |
4% |
92% |
|
31 |
15% |
88% |
|
32 |
31% |
74% |
Median |
33 |
10% |
43% |
|
34 |
11% |
33% |
|
35 |
4% |
21% |
|
36 |
2% |
18% |
|
37 |
9% |
16% |
|
38 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
39 |
5% |
5% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
31 |
14% |
98% |
|
32 |
19% |
85% |
|
33 |
8% |
66% |
Median |
34 |
26% |
57% |
|
35 |
10% |
31% |
|
36 |
4% |
21% |
|
37 |
6% |
17% |
|
38 |
9% |
11% |
|
39 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
22 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
23 |
12% |
96% |
|
24 |
10% |
84% |
|
25 |
11% |
74% |
|
26 |
2% |
62% |
|
27 |
4% |
60% |
|
28 |
8% |
56% |
Median |
29 |
41% |
48% |
|
30 |
3% |
7% |
|
31 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
32 |
2% |
3% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
18 |
6% |
98% |
|
19 |
9% |
92% |
|
20 |
9% |
83% |
|
21 |
11% |
74% |
|
22 |
17% |
63% |
Median |
23 |
8% |
46% |
|
24 |
30% |
38% |
|
25 |
2% |
9% |
|
26 |
2% |
6% |
|
27 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
28 |
3% |
4% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
13 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
14 |
6% |
95% |
|
15 |
22% |
89% |
|
16 |
14% |
68% |
|
17 |
17% |
54% |
Median |
18 |
25% |
36% |
|
19 |
4% |
11% |
|
20 |
5% |
7% |
|
21 |
2% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.38%