Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 9–12 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 14.6% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.3–16.0% | 13.0–16.3% | 12.5–16.9% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8–11.7% | 9.5–11.9% | 9.3–12.2% | 8.9–12.7% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 9.9% | 9.0–10.9% | 8.8–11.1% | 8.6–11.4% | 8.2–11.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 9.6% | 8.8–10.6% | 8.5–10.8% | 8.3–11.1% | 7.9–11.6% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.7–9.2% | 6.4–9.7% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 7.8% | 7.0–8.6% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.6–9.1% | 6.3–9.5% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.2–8.7% | 5.9–9.1% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.2–6.2% | 3.9–6.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.1–5.9% | 4.0–6.0% | 3.7–6.4% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.1% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.4% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3–4.5% | 3.1–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1–4.2% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–4.9% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.3–4.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.1% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.7% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.1% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.6% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 21 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–26 | 20–26 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 13–19 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 19 | 15–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 14 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 12 | 12 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 9 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–9 | 5–10 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–7 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–7 | 3–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 82% | 98% | Median |
| 22 | 2% | 16% | |
| 23 | 2% | 14% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 25 | 8% | 11% | |
| 26 | 3% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 15 | 8% | 96% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 17 | 87% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 18 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 3% | 94% | |
| 15 | 5% | 91% | |
| 16 | 3% | 86% | |
| 17 | 1.5% | 83% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 82% | |
| 19 | 81% | 81% | Median |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 97% | |
| 14 | 82% | 93% | Median |
| 15 | 6% | 11% | |
| 16 | 2% | 5% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 98% | |
| 12 | 86% | 95% | Median |
| 13 | 3% | 9% | |
| 14 | 5% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 82% | 99.0% | Median |
| 11 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 12 | 14% | 15% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 88% | 97% | Median |
| 12 | 3% | 9% | |
| 13 | 5% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 96% | |
| 7 | 3% | 93% | |
| 8 | 7% | 90% | |
| 9 | 83% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 7 | 88% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 6% | 9% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 83% | 99.9% | Median |
| 6 | 9% | 17% | |
| 7 | 4% | 8% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 90% | 94% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 92% | 98.6% | Median |
| 6 | 5% | 7% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 3% | 98% | |
| 5 | 92% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 10% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 84% | 86% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 6% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 91% | 99.6% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 7% | 9% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 97% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 57 | 0% | 57–62 | 57–65 | 57–65 | 55–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 56 | 0% | 56–61 | 56–63 | 56–64 | 56–64 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 56 | 0% | 56 | 56–58 | 55–59 | 52–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 52 | 0% | 52–54 | 52–56 | 52–56 | 51–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 48 | 0% | 48–51 | 48–53 | 48–54 | 48–54 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 47 | 0% | 47–49 | 47–53 | 47–53 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 46 | 0% | 46–49 | 46–53 | 46–53 | 45–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 45 | 0% | 45–50 | 45–51 | 45–51 | 44–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 43 | 0% | 43–46 | 43–46 | 43–50 | 42–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 40 | 0% | 40–45 | 40–46 | 40–46 | 39–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 37 | 0% | 37–42 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 37–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 36 | 0% | 36–40 | 36–40 | 36–41 | 35–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 35 | 0% | 35–39 | 35–39 | 35–40 | 35–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 32 | 0% | 32–37 | 32–38 | 32–38 | 32–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 32 | 0% | 32–36 | 32–37 | 32–38 | 31–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 31 | 0% | 31–36 | 31–37 | 31–37 | 31–38 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 30 | 0% | 30–33 | 30–34 | 30–35 | 29–36 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 26 | 0% | 26–31 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 25–33 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 21 | 0% | 21–23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 19–25 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 19 | 0% | 19–21 | 19–21 | 19–23 | 18–24 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 16 | 0% | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 81% | 99.0% | Median |
| 58 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 60 | 2% | 16% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 62 | 4% | 13% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 8% | 8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 82% | 99.8% | Median |
| 57 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 61 | 5% | 15% | |
| 62 | 4% | 10% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 64 | 4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 87% | 97% | Median |
| 57 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 58 | 6% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 85% | 99.3% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 14% | |
| 54 | 5% | 11% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 56 | 3% | 6% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 83% | 99.7% | Median |
| 49 | 4% | 17% | |
| 50 | 2% | 13% | |
| 51 | 5% | 11% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 54 | 5% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 82% | 99.1% | Median |
| 48 | 4% | 17% | |
| 49 | 4% | 13% | |
| 50 | 3% | 10% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 53 | 6% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 81% | 98.7% | Median |
| 47 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 48 | 4% | 17% | |
| 49 | 5% | 14% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 51 | 2% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 53 | 5% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 81% | 98.9% | Median |
| 46 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 48 | 2% | 16% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 50 | 7% | 15% | |
| 51 | 5% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 83% | 99.1% | Median |
| 44 | 3% | 16% | |
| 45 | 3% | 13% | |
| 46 | 5% | 10% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 50 | 3% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 81% | 99.0% | Median |
| 41 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 45 | 7% | 15% | |
| 46 | 6% | 8% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 81% | 99.8% | Median |
| 38 | 2% | 18% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 41 | 2% | 15% | |
| 42 | 4% | 13% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 44 | 8% | 8% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 81% | 99.3% | Median |
| 37 | 3% | 18% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 15% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 40 | 10% | 13% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 82% | 99.5% | Median |
| 36 | 2% | 18% | |
| 37 | 2% | 16% | |
| 38 | 2% | 15% | |
| 39 | 10% | 13% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 83% | 99.9% | Median |
| 33 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 34 | 2% | 17% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 14% | |
| 37 | 7% | 13% | |
| 38 | 5% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 83% | 99.4% | Median |
| 33 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 34 | 2% | 15% | |
| 35 | 2% | 13% | |
| 36 | 6% | 11% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 38 | 4% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 82% | 99.9% | Median |
| 32 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 17% | |
| 34 | 2% | 16% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 14% | |
| 36 | 7% | 13% | |
| 37 | 5% | 6% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 81% | 98% | Median |
| 31 | 4% | 17% | |
| 32 | 2% | 12% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 34 | 6% | 9% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 36 | 2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 26 | 82% | 99.5% | Median |
| 27 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 29 | 3% | 16% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 31 | 7% | 12% | |
| 32 | 2% | 5% | |
| 33 | 3% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 21 | 82% | 98.6% | Median |
| 22 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 23 | 6% | 15% | |
| 24 | 8% | 9% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 84% | 99.4% | Median |
| 20 | 4% | 16% | |
| 21 | 7% | 12% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 84% | 99.6% | Median |
| 17 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 18 | 3% | 14% | |
| 19 | 11% | 12% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9–12 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1789
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.64%